Thursday , 2 July 2026

Heart of Midlothian FC vs Motherwell FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Sat 17 Feb 2024 · 15:00 UTC Tynecastle 18,748 HT 45' · FT 45'
Lawrence Shankland 67' 2–0
Kenneth Vargas 90+2' 2–0

Overview

Match Preview

Heart of Midlothian FC vs Motherwell FCPremier League at Tynecastle.

Match Details

  • Referee
  • Assistant 1 Douglas Ross
  • Assistant 2 Sean Carr

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Feb Motherwell FC H 2–0 W
07 Feb St. Johnstone FC A 1–0 W
03 Feb Dundee FC A 3–2 W
27 Jan Aberdeen FC H 2–0 W
23 Jan Dundee FC H 3–2 W
02 Jan Livingston FC A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Feb Heart of Midlothian FC A 0–2 L
14 Feb Aberdeen FC A 3–3 D
06 Feb Ross County FC H 5–0 W
03 Feb Kilmarnock FC H 1–1 D
27 Jan St. Johnstone FC A 1–1 D
02 Jan Hibernian FC A 2–2 D

Season Stats

Heart of Midlothian FC Motherwell FC
#1 Position #4
70 Points 54
33 Played 33
21 / 7 / 5 W / D / L 14 / 12 / 7
58 Scored 52
28 Conceded 29
+30 GD +23
2.12 PPG 1.64
64% Win % 42%

Key Stats

42% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
42% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Heart of Midlothian FC are 1st (70 pts). Motherwell FC are 4th (54 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.63 Heart of Midlothian FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.02 Motherwell FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Heart of Midlothian FC53% Draw25% Motherwell FC22%
Actual: Heart of Midlothian FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.65
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 49%
51%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Heart of Midlothian FC or Draw
79%
Draw or Motherwell FC
47%
Heart of Midlothian FC or Motherwell FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Heart of Midlothian FC35% Draw47% Motherwell FC18%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.6%
1 – 0
10.7%
2 – 1
9.2%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
9.1%
0 – 1
6.2%
1 – 2
5.7%
3 – 1
5%
3 – 0
4.9%
2 – 2
4.7%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Heart of Midlothian FC

Handicap Heart of Midlothian FC covers Push Motherwell FC covers
-2.5 12% 88%
-2 12% 16% 73%
-1.5 27% 73%
-1 27% 23% 50%
-0.5 50% 50%
+0.5 78% 22%
+1 78% 14% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
37%
Motherwell FC keeps clean sheet
20%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.