Kilmarnock FC vs Aberdeen FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Kilmarnock FC vs Aberdeen FC — Premier League at Rugby Park.
- Kilmarnock FC 33 games · 28 pts (2026/27)
- Aberdeen FC 33 games · 33 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Graham Grainger
- Assistant 1 Douglas Ross
- Assistant 2 Andrew Milne (Scotland)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heart of Midlothian FC | 33 | 70 |
| 2 | Rangers FC | 33 | 69 |
| 3 | Celtic FC | 33 | 67 |
| 4 | Motherwell FC | 33 | 54 |
| 5 | Hibernian FC | 33 | 51 |
| 6 | Falkirk FC | 33 | 46 |
| 7 | Dundee United FC | 33 | 40 |
| 8 | Aberdeen FC | 33 | 33 |
| 9 | Dundee FC | 33 | 33 |
| 10 | St. Mirren FC | 33 | 30 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock FC | 33 | 28 |
| 12 | Livingston FC | 33 | 16 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb | Aberdeen FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 17 Feb | Celtic FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 07 Feb | Livingston FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 03 Feb | Motherwell FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Jan | Hibernian FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 02 Jan | Rangers FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb | Kilmarnock FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 17 Feb | Hibernian FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 14 Feb | Motherwell FC | H | 3–3 | D |
| 06 Feb | Rangers FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 03 Feb | Celtic FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Jan | Dundee FC | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Kilmarnock FC | Aberdeen FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #8 |
| 28 | Points | 33 |
| 33 | Played | 33 |
| 6 / 10 / 17 | W / D / L | 9 / 6 / 18 |
| 37 | Scored | 33 |
| 65 | Conceded | 48 |
| -28 | GD | -15 |
| 0.85 | PPG | 1.00 |
| 18% | Win % | 27% |
Key Stats
22%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (23 games)
H2H (23 games)
35%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Kilmarnock FC are 11th (28 pts). Aberdeen FC are 8th (33 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to Rugby Park that hosts another battle between Kilmarnock FC and Aberdeen FC.
- 5' The 30-year-old Stuart Findlay has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 10' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 15' Aberdeen FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 20' Bojan Miovski is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Aberdeen FC so far.
- 25' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 30' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 35' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Matty Kennedy made 260 appearances and scored 6 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 40' Kilmarnock FC is showing some good football. However, Kilmarnock FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 45' Neil Warnock is having his name booked by the referee on 45.
- 50' What a moment for Corrie Ndaba! That strike on 45 puts his side firmly in control.
- 55' With 0 assists to his name this season, Junior Hoilett is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Kilmarnock FC.
- 58' What a moment for Matty Kennedy! That strike on 58 puts his side firmly in control.
- 59' Junior Hoilett is ready to make an impact after coming on for Duk at the 59 minute mark.
- 64' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 69' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 72' David Watson is ready to make an impact after coming on for Kyle Vassell at the 72 minute mark.
- 77' Controversy at the stadium! Danny Armstrong argues furiously but the card stands.
- 82' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 82 minutes.
- 86' Fresh legs for Kilmarnock FC! Greg Stewart comes on to replace Danny Armstrong.
- 87' James Balagizi gets the nod from Kilmarnock FC. He replaces Liam Polworth and will look to change the dynamic.
- 90' Another change for Kilmarnock FC made on 90 minute. Matty Kennedy leaves to be changed by Fraser Murray.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 2-0.
Lineups
Kilmarnock FC Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
-
23
Marley Watkins ↓ Kevin van Veen 86'
- 19
-
9
Kyle Vassell ↓ David Watson 72'
- 17
- 22
- 3
-
31
Liam Polworth ↓ James Balagizi 87'
- 5
- 1
-
11
Danny Armstrong ↓ Greg Stewart 86'
-
10
Matty Kennedy ↓ Fraser Murray 90'
Bench
-
98
Kevin van Veen ↑ 86'
- 39
-
21
Greg Stewart ↑ 86'
- 7
-
15
Fraser Murray ↑ 90'
- 20
-
12
David Watson ↑ 72'
- 19
-
14
James Balagizi ↑ 87'
Coach
Derek McInnes
Aberdeen FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 24
- 2
- 5
- 4
- 3
- 7
- 8
- 6
-
21
Dante Polvara ↓ Ester Sokler 59'
- 9
-
11
Duk ↓ Junior Hoilett 59'
Bench
-
30
Junior Hoilett ↑ 59'
- 27
- 15
- 17
- 34
- 10
- 18
- 28
-
19
Ester Sokler ↑ 59'
Coach
Neil Warnock
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| David Watson | 2 |
| Scott McKenna | 2 |
| Sam Cosgrove | 2 |
| Bojan Miovski | 2 |
| Pape Gueye | 2 |
| Eamonn Brophy | 2 |
| Duk | 2 |
| Kyle Vassell | 2 |
Head to Head
Kilmarnock FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.55
Kilmarnock FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.95
Aberdeen FC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Kilmarnock FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.5
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 2.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
| ± 3.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
Kilmarnock FC or Draw
80%
Draw or Aberdeen FC
46%
Kilmarnock FC or Aberdeen FC
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Kilmarnock FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.9%
1 – 0
11.7%
0 – 0
10.2%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
9%
0 – 1
6.7%
1 – 2
5.5%
3 – 0
4.9%
3 – 1
4.7%
2 – 2
4.4%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
2.4%
Asian Handicap — Kilmarnock FC
| Handicap | Kilmarnock FC covers | Push | Aberdeen FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 15% | 74% |
| -1.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -1 | 26% | 24% | 50% |
| -0.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| +0.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +1 | 78% | 14% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
39%
✗
Aberdeen FC keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

