Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Kilmarnock FC vs Aberdeen FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Sat 24 Feb 2024 · 15:00 UTC Rugby Park 6,230 HT 45' · FT 45'
Corrie Ndaba 45+5' 2–0
Matty Kennedy 58' 2–0

Overview

Match Preview

Kilmarnock FC vs Aberdeen FC — Premier League at Rugby Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Graham Grainger
  • Assistant 1 Douglas Ross
  • Assistant 2 Andrew Milne (Scotland)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Feb Aberdeen FC H 2–0 W
17 Feb Celtic FC A 1–1 D
07 Feb Livingston FC H 1–0 W
03 Feb Motherwell FC A 1–1 D
27 Jan Hibernian FC H 2–2 D
02 Jan Rangers FC A 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Feb Kilmarnock FC A 0–2 L
17 Feb Hibernian FC H 2–2 D
14 Feb Motherwell FC H 3–3 D
06 Feb Rangers FC A 1–2 L
03 Feb Celtic FC H 1–1 D
30 Jan Dundee FC H 1–1 D

Season Stats

Kilmarnock FC Aberdeen FC
#12 Position #7
5 Points 8
7 Played 7
1 / 2 / 4 W / D / L 2 / 2 / 3
6 Scored 7
15 Conceded 8
-9 GD -1
0.71 PPG 1.14
14% Win % 29%

Key Stats

21% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
Kilmarnock FC this season
29% Clean Sheets
Aberdeen FC this season

Kilmarnock FC are 12th (5 pts). Aberdeen FC are 7th (8 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kilmarnock FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
–/2
76+
–/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Aberdeen FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
1/–
31-45
1/3
46-60
1/1
61-75
–/2
76+
4/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Aberdeen FC
Kevin Nisbet 3 G 2 A
Lewis Mayo 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Kilmarnock FC is hosting Aberdeen FC for another epic battle.
  • 5' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
  • 15' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 20' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 25' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Matty Kennedy suffering a number of foals already.
  • 30' Kilmarnock FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 35' named a 4-4-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 40' Aberdeen FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 45' That looks like a foul for a card for Neil Warnock.
  • 50' Assisted by Danny Armstrong with the perfectly-timed delivery and Corrie Ndaba makes no mistake. 1-0!
  • 55' Aberdeen FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 55.
  • 58' A goal from the Northern Ireland international Matty Kennedy! He fires home on 58 to make it 2-0!
  • 59' Fresh legs for Aberdeen FC! Junior Hoilett comes on to replace Duk.
  • 64' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Kilmarnock FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 69' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 72' Kilmarnock FC make a change. Kyle Vassell trudges off to be replaced by David Watson on 72 minutes.
  • 77' It’s gonna be a card for Danny Armstrong.
  • 82' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 86' Greg Stewart gets the nod from Kilmarnock FC. He replaces Danny Armstrong and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 87' The Kilmarnock FC manager makes a substitution. Liam Polworth departs to be replaced by James Balagizi.
  • 90' A change in the Kilmarnock FC ranks — Matty Kennedy exits the field as Fraser Murray enters on 90.
  • 2-0 the final result. Aberdeen FC will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.31 Kilmarnock FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.07 Aberdeen FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Kilmarnock FC47% Draw27% Aberdeen FC26%
Actual: Kilmarnock FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.38
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Kilmarnock FC or Draw
75%
Draw or Aberdeen FC
53%
Kilmarnock FC or Aberdeen FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Kilmarnock FC29% Draw50% Aberdeen FC21%
Actual: Kilmarnock FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 0
11.5%
1 – 0
11%
0 – 1
8.7%
2 – 1
8.2%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
6.7%
0 – 2
5.1%
2 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
3.6%
3 – 0
3.3%
1 – 3
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Kilmarnock FC

Handicap Kilmarnock FC covers Push Aberdeen FC covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% — 81%
-1 19% 22% 59%
-0.5 41% — 59%
+0.5 71% — 29%
+1 71% 17% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
35% ✗
Aberdeen FC keeps clean sheet
28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.