Kilmarnock FC vs Aberdeen FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Kilmarnock FC vs Aberdeen FC — Premier League at Rugby Park.
- Kilmarnock FC 13 games · 9 pts (2026/27)
- Aberdeen FC 12 games · 11 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Graham Grainger
- Assistant 1 Douglas Ross
- Assistant 2 Andrew Milne (Scotland)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic FC | 13 | 31 |
| 2 | Rangers FC | 12 | 27 |
| 3 | Falkirk FC | 13 | 21 |
| 4 | Heart of Midlothian FC | 12 | 20 |
| 5 | Dundee FC | 12 | 17 |
| 6 | Dundee United FC | 12 | 17 |
| 7 | St. Johnstone FC | 13 | 17 |
| 8 | St. Mirren FC | 13 | 14 |
| 9 | Motherwell FC | 13 | 13 |
| 10 | Hibernian FC | 12 | 11 |
| 11 | Aberdeen FC | 12 | 11 |
| 12 | Kilmarnock FC | 13 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb | Aberdeen FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 17 Feb | Celtic FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 07 Feb | Livingston FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 03 Feb | Motherwell FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Jan | Hibernian FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 02 Jan | Rangers FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb | Kilmarnock FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 17 Feb | Hibernian FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 14 Feb | Motherwell FC | H | 3–3 | D |
| 06 Feb | Rangers FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 03 Feb | Celtic FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Jan | Dundee FC | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Kilmarnock FC | Aberdeen FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #11 |
| 9 | Points | 11 |
| 13 | Played | 12 |
| 2 / 3 / 8 | W / D / L | 3 / 2 / 7 |
| 13 | Scored | 12 |
| 29 | Conceded | 18 |
| -16 | GD | -6 |
| 0.69 | PPG | 0.92 |
| 15% | Win % | 25% |
Key Stats
21%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
15%
Clean Sheets
Kilmarnock FC this season
Kilmarnock FC this season
17%
Clean Sheets
Aberdeen FC this season
Aberdeen FC this season
Kilmarnock FC are 12th (9 pts). Aberdeen FC are 11th (11 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Kilmarnock FC
0-15
2/4
16-30
1/4
31-45
3/8
46-60
4/3
61-75
2/3
76+
1/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Aberdeen FC
0-15
1/4
16-30
2/1
31-45
1/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
1/4
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Kilmarnock FC
| Greg Kiltie | 3 G | |
| Joe Hugill | 2 G | 2 A |
| Michael Schjonning-Larsen | 2 G | |
| Jason Holt | 1 G |
Aberdeen FC
| Kevin Nisbet | 4 G | 3 A |
| Connor Ronan | 2 G | 2 A |
| Ayoub Mouloua | 2 G | |
| Lewis Mayo | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. Aberdeen FC get us underway at Rugby Park.
- 5' Aberdeen FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 10' The energy levels are beginning to show. Neil Warnock might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 15' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Aberdeen FC winning 0% of all matches.
- 20' Over 20 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 25' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Kilmarnock FC and Aberdeen FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 30' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 35' Aberdeen FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 40' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 45' Poor challenge from Neil Warnock. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 50' Corrie Ndaba makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and Kilmarnock FC are in front.
- 55' Kilmarnock FC is showing some good football. However, Kilmarnock FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 58' Matty Kennedy doubles the advantage! 2-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 59' Junior Hoilett gets the nod from Aberdeen FC. He replaces Duk and will look to change the dynamic.
- 64' Aberdeen FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 69' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Kilmarnock FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 72' Kilmarnock FC ring the changes. Kyle Vassell has done his job and it is now time for David Watson to step up.
- 77' It’s a booking for Kilmarnock FC player. Danny Armstrong gets a card.
- 82' Aberdeen FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 1 meetings.
- 86' Greg Stewart is replacing Danny Armstrong for the Kilmarnock FC side.
- 87' A change in the Kilmarnock FC ranks — Liam Polworth exits the field as James Balagizi enters on 87.
- 90' The whistle greets Matty Kennedy as he departs to be replaced by Fraser Murray.
- The points are shared — Kilmarnock FC 2-0 Aberdeen FC. Honours even.
Lineups
Kilmarnock FC Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
-
23
Marley Watkins ↓ Kevin van Veen 86'
- 19
-
9
Kyle Vassell ↓ David Watson 72'
- 17
- 22
- 3
-
31
Liam Polworth ↓ James Balagizi 87'
- 5
- 1
-
11
Danny Armstrong ↓ Greg Stewart 86'
-
10
Matty Kennedy ↓ Fraser Murray 90'
Bench
-
98
Kevin van Veen ↑ 86'
- 39
-
21
Greg Stewart ↑ 86'
- 7
-
15
Fraser Murray ↑ 90'
- 20
-
12
David Watson ↑ 72'
- 19
-
14
James Balagizi ↑ 87'
Coach
Derek McInnes
Aberdeen FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 24
- 2
- 5
- 4
- 3
- 7
- 8
- 6
-
21
Dante Polvara ↓ Ester Sokler 59'
- 9
-
11
Duk ↓ Junior Hoilett 59'
Bench
-
30
Junior Hoilett ↑ 59'
- 27
- 15
- 17
- 34
- 10
- 18
- 28
-
19
Ester Sokler ↑ 59'
Coach
Neil Warnock
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Eamonn Brophy | 2 |
| Duk | 2 |
| Kyle Vassell | 2 |
| David Watson | 2 |
| Scott McKenna | 2 |
| Sam Cosgrove | 2 |
| Bojan Miovski | 2 |
| Pape Gueye | 2 |
Head to Head
Kilmarnock FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.47
Kilmarnock FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.01
Aberdeen FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Kilmarnock FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.48
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 2.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
| ± 3.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
Kilmarnock FC or Draw
78%
Draw or Aberdeen FC
49%
Kilmarnock FC or Aberdeen FC
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Kilmarnock FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.3%
1 – 0
11.3%
0 – 0
10.4%
2 – 1
8.8%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
7.3%
1 – 2
6%
2 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
4.4%
3 – 0
4.3%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 2
2.3%
Asian Handicap — Kilmarnock FC
| Handicap | Kilmarnock FC covers | Push | Aberdeen FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 14% | 76% |
| -1.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 23% | 54% |
| -0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +0.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +1 | 76% | 15% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
37%
✗
Aberdeen FC keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

