Thursday , 2 July 2026

Kilmarnock FC vs Aberdeen FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Sat 24 Feb 2024 · 15:00 UTC Rugby Park 6,230 HT 45' · FT 45'
Corrie Ndaba 45+5' 2–0
Matty Kennedy 58' 2–0

Overview

Match Preview

Kilmarnock FC vs Aberdeen FCPremier League at Rugby Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Graham Grainger
  • Assistant 1 Douglas Ross
  • Assistant 2 Andrew Milne (Scotland)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Feb Aberdeen FC H 2–0 W
17 Feb Celtic FC A 1–1 D
07 Feb Livingston FC H 1–0 W
03 Feb Motherwell FC A 1–1 D
27 Jan Hibernian FC H 2–2 D
02 Jan Rangers FC A 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Feb Kilmarnock FC A 0–2 L
17 Feb Hibernian FC H 2–2 D
14 Feb Motherwell FC H 3–3 D
06 Feb Rangers FC A 1–2 L
03 Feb Celtic FC H 1–1 D
30 Jan Dundee FC H 1–1 D

Season Stats

Kilmarnock FC Aberdeen FC
#11 Position #8
28 Points 33
33 Played 33
6 / 10 / 17 W / D / L 9 / 6 / 18
37 Scored 33
65 Conceded 48
-28 GD -15
0.85 PPG 1.00
18% Win % 27%

Key Stats

22% Both Teams to Score
H2H (23 games)
35% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Kilmarnock FC are 11th (28 pts). Aberdeen FC are 8th (33 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Rugby Park that hosts another battle between Kilmarnock FC and Aberdeen FC.
  • 5' The 30-year-old Stuart Findlay has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 10' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 15' Aberdeen FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 20' Bojan Miovski is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Aberdeen FC so far.
  • 25' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 30' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 35' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Matty Kennedy made 260 appearances and scored 6 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 40' Kilmarnock FC is showing some good football. However, Kilmarnock FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 45' Neil Warnock is having his name booked by the referee on 45.
  • 50' What a moment for Corrie Ndaba! That strike on 45 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 55' With 0 assists to his name this season, Junior Hoilett is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Kilmarnock FC.
  • 58' What a moment for Matty Kennedy! That strike on 58 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 59' Junior Hoilett is ready to make an impact after coming on for Duk at the 59 minute mark.
  • 64' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 69' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 72' David Watson is ready to make an impact after coming on for Kyle Vassell at the 72 minute mark.
  • 77' Controversy at the stadium! Danny Armstrong argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 82' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 82 minutes.
  • 86' Fresh legs for Kilmarnock FC! Greg Stewart comes on to replace Danny Armstrong.
  • 87' James Balagizi gets the nod from Kilmarnock FC. He replaces Liam Polworth and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 90' Another change for Kilmarnock FC made on 90 minute. Matty Kennedy leaves to be changed by Fraser Murray.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 2-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.55 Kilmarnock FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.95 Aberdeen FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Kilmarnock FC54% Draw26% Aberdeen FC20%
Actual: Kilmarnock FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.5
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Kilmarnock FC or Draw
80%
Draw or Aberdeen FC
46%
Kilmarnock FC or Aberdeen FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Kilmarnock FC35% Draw48% Aberdeen FC17%
Actual: Kilmarnock FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.9%
1 – 0
11.7%
0 – 0
10.2%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
9%
0 – 1
6.7%
1 – 2
5.5%
3 – 0
4.9%
3 – 1
4.7%
2 – 2
4.4%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Kilmarnock FC

Handicap Kilmarnock FC covers Push Aberdeen FC covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 15% 74%
-1.5 26% 74%
-1 26% 24% 50%
-0.5 50% 50%
+0.5 78% 22%
+1 78% 14% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
39%
Aberdeen FC keeps clean sheet
22%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.