Sunday , 15 November 2026

Heart of Midlothian FC vs Kilmarnock FC, Premier League 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2022-23
Heart of Midlothian FC
3 – 1
Full Time
Kilmarnock FC
Sat 17 Dec 2022 · 15:00 UTC Tynecastle Park HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 28' Liam Donnelly
Robert Snodgrass 74' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Heart of Midlothian FC vs Kilmarnock FC — Premier League at Tynecastle Park.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Celtic FC 13 31
2 Rangers FC 12 27
3 Falkirk FC 13 21
4 Heart of Midlothian FC 12 20
5 Dundee FC 12 17
6 Dundee United FC 12 17
7 St. Johnstone FC 13 17
8 St. Mirren FC 13 14
9 Motherwell FC 13 13
10 Hibernian FC 12 11
11 Aberdeen FC 12 11
12 Kilmarnock FC 13 9

Head-to-Head

7
6
9
Heart of Midlothian FC 22 games · Avg 2.1 goals Kilmarnock FC
Last 5 meetings
2022-12-17 Heart of Midlothian FC 3–1 Kilmarnock FC 2022-10-09 Kilmarnock FC 2–2 Heart of Midlothian FC 2020-02-05 Heart of Midlothian FC 2–3 Kilmarnock FC 2019-11-23 Kilmarnock FC 3–0 Heart of Midlothian FC 2019-10-05 Heart of Midlothian FC 0–1 Kilmarnock FC

Recent Form

Heart of Midlothian FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Dec Kilmarnock FC H 3–1 W
12 Nov Livingston FC H 1–1 D
09 Nov Rangers FC A 0–1 L
06 Nov Motherwell FC H 3–2 W
30 Oct Ross County FC A 2–1 W
22 Oct Celtic FC H 3–4 L
Kilmarnock FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Dec Heart of Midlothian FC A 1–3 L
12 Nov Hibernian FC H 1–0 W
09 Nov Dundee United FC A 0–4 L
04 Nov Livingston FC H 2–3 L
29 Oct St. Johnstone FC A 0–1 L
22 Oct Ross County FC H 1–0 W

Season Stats

Heart of Midlothian FC Kilmarnock FC
#4 Position #12
20 Points 9
12 Played 13
6 / 2 / 4 W / D / L 2 / 3 / 8
26 Scored 13
22 Conceded 29
+4 GD -16
1.67 PPG 0.69
50% Win % 15%

Key Stats

45% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
41% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
Heart of Midlothian FC this season
15% Clean Sheets
Kilmarnock FC this season

Heart of Midlothian FC are 4th (20 pts). Kilmarnock FC are 12th (9 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Heart of Midlothian FC
0-15
4/4
16-30
3/4
31-45
5/4
46-60
6/4
61-75
3/1
76+
5/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Kilmarnock FC
0-15
2/4
16-30
1/4
31-45
3/8
46-60
4/3
61-75
2/3
76+
1/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Heart of Midlothian FC
Claudio Braga 6 G 2 A
Calvin Miller 5 G 1 A
James Wilson 3 G
Laurent Mendy 3 G
Joshua McPake 2 G 1 A
Kilmarnock FC
Greg Kiltie 3 G
Joe Hugill 2 G 2 A
Michael Schjonning-Larsen 2 G
Jason Holt 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Heart of Midlothian FC to score. At the same time, Kilmarnock FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Christian Doidge, as he is very good at scoring at Tynecastle Park with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 10' Heart of Midlothian FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 15' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 19' Against the run of play, Josh Ginnelly has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 24' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Heart of Midlothian FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 28' The referee has no hesitation. Liam Donnelly is booked for Kilmarnock FC — Yellow card on 28.
  • 29' The Scotland Lawrence Shankland breaks the deadlock on 29 minutes. 2-0!
  • 34' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 39' It is a cagey affair so far. Heart of Midlothian FC in their trying to find a way past Kilmarnock FC's compact .
  • 44' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 46' Another substitution for Kilmarnock FC to replace Liam Polworth by Christian Doidge on 46 minute.
  • 51' Scotland international Rory McKenzie has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 56' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 61' It’s high time Robbie Neilson made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 66' Toby Sibbick is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Kilmarnock FC so far.
  • 68' Another substitution for Kilmarnock FC to replace Rory McKenzie by Fraser Murray on 68 minute.
  • 73' Goal! Ashton Taylor scores his 5 goal in 273 matches.
  • 74' It’s a booking for Heart of Midlothian FC player. Robert Snodgrass gets a Yellow card.
  • 78' The Heart of Midlothian FC bench stirs into life. Josh Ginnelly is withdrawn and Jorge Grant gets his opportunity.
  • 79' Jorge Grant is ready to make an impact after coming on for Josh Ginnelly at the 79 minute mark.
  • 84' Over 84 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 85' Ryan Alebiosu is ready to make an impact after coming on for Lewis Mayo at the 85 minute mark.
  • 87' Lawrence Shankland has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 87 minutes.
  • 90' Alan Forrest gets the nod from Heart of Midlothian FC. He replaces Andrew Halliday and will look to change the dynamic.
  • Another three points for Heart of Midlothian FC.

Lineups

Heart of Midlothian FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Robbie Neilson

Kilmarnock FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Derek McInnes

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Chris Burke 4
Lawrence Shankland 3
Danny Armstrong 2
Eamonn Brophy 2
Stephen Kingsley 2
Sean Clare 2
Stuart Findlay 2
Elton Kabangu 1

Head to Head

2022-12-17 Heart of Midlothian FC 3–1 Kilmarnock FC 2022-10-09 Kilmarnock FC 2–2 Heart of Midlothian FC 2020-02-05 Heart of Midlothian FC 2–3 Kilmarnock FC 2019-11-23 Kilmarnock FC 3–0 Heart of Midlothian FC 2019-10-05 Heart of Midlothian FC 0–1 Kilmarnock FC

Heart of Midlothian FC Form

2022-12-17 Heart of Midlothian FC 3–1 Kilmarnock FC W 2022-11-12 Heart of Midlothian FC 1–1 Livingston FC D 2022-11-09 Rangers FC 1–0 Heart of Midlothian FC L 2022-11-06 Heart of Midlothian FC 3–2 Motherwell FC W 2022-10-30 Ross County FC 1–2 Heart of Midlothian FC W 2022-10-22 Heart of Midlothian FC 3–4 Celtic FC L

Kilmarnock FC Form

2022-12-17 Heart of Midlothian FC 3–1 Kilmarnock FC L 2022-11-12 Kilmarnock FC 1–0 Hibernian FC W 2022-11-09 Dundee United FC 4–0 Kilmarnock FC L 2022-11-04 Kilmarnock FC 2–3 Livingston FC L 2022-10-29 St. Johnstone FC 1–0 Kilmarnock FC L 2022-10-22 Kilmarnock FC 1–0 Ross County FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
3.07 Heart of Midlothian FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.36 Kilmarnock FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 80% + Both teams to score 70%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Heart of Midlothian FC64% Draw18% Kilmarnock FC18%
Actual: Heart of Midlothian FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes70% 0% No30%
Avg goals/match: 4.43
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 93%
7%
± 2.5 80%
20%
± 3.5 63%
37%
± 4.5 44%
56%

Double Chance

Heart of Midlothian FC or Draw
83%
Draw or Kilmarnock FC
36%
Heart of Midlothian FC or Kilmarnock FC
82%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Heart of Midlothian FC54% Draw32% Kilmarnock FC14%
Actual: Heart of Midlothian FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
7.6%
3 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
5.9%
4 – 1
5.8%
3 – 0
5.8%
1 – 1
5.7%
3 – 2
5.1%
2 – 2
5.1%
4 – 0
4.4%
4 – 2
3.9%
5 – 1
3.6%
1 – 0
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Heart of Midlothian FC

Handicap Heart of Midlothian FC covers Push Kilmarnock FC covers
-2.5 33% — 67%
-2 33% 19% 49%
-1.5 51% — 49%
-1 51% 19% 30%
-0.5 70% — 30%
+0.5 86% — 14%
+1 86% 8% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 4% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
26% ✓
Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
5% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.