Sunday , 16 August 2026

Heart of Midlothian FC vs Kilmarnock FC, Premier League 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2022-23
Sat 17 Dec 2022 · 15:00 UTC Tynecastle Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Heart of Midlothian FC vs Kilmarnock FCPremier League at Tynecastle Park.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Dec Kilmarnock FC H 3–1 W
12 Nov Livingston FC H 1–1 D
09 Nov Rangers FC A 0–1 L
06 Nov Motherwell FC H 3–2 W
30 Oct Ross County FC A 2–1 W
22 Oct Celtic FC H 3–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Dec Heart of Midlothian FC A 1–3 L
12 Nov Hibernian FC H 1–0 W
09 Nov Dundee United FC A 0–4 L
04 Nov Livingston FC H 2–3 L
29 Oct St. Johnstone FC A 0–1 L
22 Oct Ross County FC H 1–0 W

Season Stats

Heart of Midlothian FC Kilmarnock FC
#4 Position #12
3 Points 0
2 Played 2
1 / 0 / 1 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 2
5 Scored 4
2 Conceded 9
+3 GD -5
1.50 PPG 0.00
50% Win % 0%

Key Stats

43% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
43% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
Heart of Midlothian FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Kilmarnock FC this season

Heart of Midlothian FC are 4th (3 pts). Kilmarnock FC are 12th (0 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Heart of Midlothian FC
0-15
2/
16-30
/
31-45
1/
46-60
1/
61-75
1/
76+
/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Kilmarnock FC
0-15
/1
16-30
/1
31-45
1/2
46-60
3/2
61-75
/2
76+
/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
5 Heart of Midlothian FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.42 Kilmarnock FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 94% + Heart of Midlothian FC to win 76%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Heart of Midlothian FC76% Draw13% Kilmarnock FC11%
Actual: Heart of Midlothian FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes74% 0% No26%
Avg goals/match: 6.42
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 100%
0%
± 1.5 98%
2%
± 2.5 94%
6%
± 3.5 85%
15%
± 4.5 71%
29%

Double Chance

Heart of Midlothian FC or Draw
89%
Draw or Kilmarnock FC
24%
Heart of Midlothian FC or Kilmarnock FC
87%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Heart of Midlothian FC72% Draw20% Kilmarnock FC8%
Actual: Heart of Midlothian FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
4 – 1
6.7%
5 – 1
6.6%
3 – 1
Actual
6 – 1
5.5%
4 – 0
4.9%
5 – 0
4.8%
4 – 2
4.7%
5 – 2
4.7%
3 – 0
4.1%
7 – 1
4%
6 – 0
4%
6 – 2
3.9%

Asian Handicap — Heart of Midlothian FC

Handicap Heart of Midlothian FC covers Push Kilmarnock FC covers
-2.5 59% 41%
-2 59% 16% 25%
-1.5 75% 25%
-1 75% 12% 13%
-0.5 87% 13%
+0.5 94% 6%
+1 94% 3% 2%
+1.5 98% 2%
+2 98% 1% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
25%
Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
1%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.