Heart of Midlothian FC vs Kilmarnock FC, Premier League 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Heart of Midlothian FC vs Kilmarnock FC — Premier League at Tynecastle Park.
- Heart of Midlothian FC 7 games · 13 pts (2026/27)
- Kilmarnock FC 7 games · 5 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic FC | 7 | 18 |
| 2 | Rangers FC | 7 | 16 |
| 3 | Heart of Midlothian FC | 7 | 13 |
| 4 | Dundee FC | 7 | 10 |
| 5 | St. Mirren FC | 7 | 10 |
| 6 | St. Johnstone FC | 7 | 8 |
| 7 | Aberdeen FC | 7 | 8 |
| 8 | Motherwell FC | 7 | 8 |
| 9 | Dundee United FC | 7 | 8 |
| 10 | Hibernian FC | 7 | 7 |
| 11 | Falkirk FC | 7 | 6 |
| 12 | Kilmarnock FC | 7 | 5 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec | Kilmarnock FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 12 Nov | Livingston FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 09 Nov | Rangers FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 06 Nov | Motherwell FC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 30 Oct | Ross County FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Oct | Celtic FC | H | 3–4 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec | Heart of Midlothian FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 12 Nov | Hibernian FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 09 Nov | Dundee United FC | A | 0–4 | L |
| 04 Nov | Livingston FC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 29 Oct | St. Johnstone FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Oct | Ross County FC | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Heart of Midlothian FC | Kilmarnock FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #12 |
| 13 | Points | 5 |
| 7 | Played | 7 |
| 4 / 1 / 2 | W / D / L | 1 / 2 / 4 |
| 14 | Scored | 6 |
| 8 | Conceded | 15 |
| +6 | GD | -9 |
| 1.86 | PPG | 0.71 |
| 57% | Win % | 14% |
Key Stats
45%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
H2H (22 games)
41%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
14%
Clean Sheets
Heart of Midlothian FC this season
Heart of Midlothian FC this season
29%
Clean Sheets
Kilmarnock FC this season
Kilmarnock FC this season
Heart of Midlothian FC are 3rd (13 pts). Kilmarnock FC are 12th (5 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Heart of Midlothian FC
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/1
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Kilmarnock FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
–/2
76+
–/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Heart of Midlothian FC
| James Wilson | 3 G | |
| Claudio Braga | 2 G | 2 A |
| Joshua McPake | 1 G | 1 A |
| Calvin Miller | 1 G | |
| Tom Renaud | 1 G |
Kilmarnock FC
| Michael Schjonning-Larsen | 2 G |
| Jason Holt | 1 G |
| Greg Kiltie | 1 G |
| Joe Hugill | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. Kilmarnock FC get us underway at Tynecastle Park.
- 5' Benjamin Chrisene is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Heart of Midlothian FC so far.
- 10' Kilmarnock FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 15' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 19' Josh Ginnelly is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 24' It looks like no one’s ball. Heart of Midlothian FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 28' The referee has no hesitation. Liam Donnelly is booked for Kilmarnock FC — Yellow card on 28.
- 29' Lawrence Shankland has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 29 minutes.
- 34' Heart of Midlothian FC have won 332 goals from 311 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 39' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 44' Kerr McInroy is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Kilmarnock FC tonight.
- 46' Fresh legs for Kilmarnock FC! Christian Doidge comes on to replace Liam Polworth.
- 51' Both keepers have barely been tested. Heart of Midlothian FC and Kilmarnock FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 56' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Robbie Neilson will be considering his options from the bench.
- 61' With 1 assists to his name this season, Ryan Alebiosu is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Kilmarnock FC.
- 66' Supporters expect more eagerness from Barrie McKay, as he is very good at scoring at Tynecastle Park with 4 goals in the last 4 games.
- 68' Rory McKenzie makes way for Fraser Murray at the 68 minute mark. A tactical switch from Kilmarnock FC.
- 73' Ashton Taylor does the damage! The net is bulging and Kilmarnock FC surge ahead!
- 74' The referee shows Heart of Midlothian FC player a Yellow card on 74.
- 78' Jorge Grant gets the nod from Heart of Midlothian FC. He replaces Josh Ginnelly and will look to change the dynamic.
- 79' Jorge Grant is replacing Josh Ginnelly for the Heart of Midlothian FC side.
- 84' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 85' Another substitution for Kilmarnock FC to replace Lewis Mayo by Ryan Alebiosu on 85 minute.
- 87' Lawrence Shankland has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 87 minutes.
- 90' Time for substitution for Heart of Midlothian FC. Andrew Halliday is replaced by Alan Forrest.
- The final score is 3-1.
Lineups
Heart of Midlothian FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
18
Barrie McKay ↓ Toby Sibbick 90'
-
77
Robert Snodgrass ↓ Connor Smith 90'
- 3
-
30
Josh Ginnelly ↓ Jorge Grant 79'
- 14
- 1
- 2
- 4
-
16
Andrew Halliday ↓ Alan Forrest 90'
- 9
- 19
Bench
-
21
Toby Sibbick ↑ 90'
-
7
Jorge Grant ↑ 79'
-
27
Connor Smith ↑ 90'
- 28
- 12
-
17
Alan Forrest ↑ 90'
-
8
Orestis Kiomourtzoglou ↑ 78'
- 22
- 20
Coach
Robbie Neilson
Kilmarnock FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 20
- 19
- 21
-
7
Rory McKenzie ↓ Fraser Murray 68'
- 4
- 22
- 31
-
2
Lewis Mayo ↓ Ryan Alebiosu 85'
- 5
- 11
-
29
Bobby Wales ↓ Scott Robinson 68'
Bench
-
26
Christian Doidge ↑ 46'
- 8
- 10
-
15
Fraser Murray ↑ 68'
- 9
-
16
Scott Robinson ↑ 68'
-
33
Benjamin Chrisene ↑ 46'
-
25
Ryan Alebiosu ↑ 85'
- 1
Coach
Derek McInnes
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Chris Burke | 4 |
| Lawrence Shankland | 3 |
| Stuart Findlay | 2 |
| Danny Armstrong | 2 |
| Eamonn Brophy | 2 |
| Stephen Kingsley | 2 |
| Sean Clare | 2 |
| Jorge Grant | 1 |
Head to Head
Heart of Midlothian FC Form
2022-12-17
Heart of Midlothian FC
3–1
Kilmarnock FC
W
2022-11-12
Heart of Midlothian FC
1–1
Livingston FC
D
2022-11-09
Rangers FC
1–0
Heart of Midlothian FC
L
2022-11-06
Heart of Midlothian FC
3–2
Motherwell FC
W
2022-10-30
Ross County FC
1–2
Heart of Midlothian FC
W
2022-10-22
Heart of Midlothian FC
3–4
Celtic FC
L
Kilmarnock FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
3.06
Heart of Midlothian FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.11
Kilmarnock FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 77% + Heart of Midlothian FC to win 68%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Heart of Midlothian FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.17
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 2.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 3.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
| ± 4.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
Double Chance
Heart of Midlothian FC or Draw
85%
Draw or Kilmarnock FC
32%
Heart of Midlothian FC or Kilmarnock FC
82%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Heart of Midlothian FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8%
3 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
7.5%
3 – 0
7.4%
4 – 1
6.1%
1 – 1
6%
4 – 0
5.5%
1 – 0
4.7%
3 – 2
4.4%
2 – 2
4.3%
5 – 1
3.8%
5 – 0
3.4%
Asian Handicap — Heart of Midlothian FC
| Handicap | Heart of Midlothian FC covers | Push | Kilmarnock FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| -2 | 36% | 20% | 44% |
| -1.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| -1 | 56% | 19% | 25% |
| -0.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +0.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +1 | 90% | 7% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
| +2 | 96% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
34%
✓
Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
6%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.