Heart of Midlothian FC vs Kilmarnock FC, Premier League 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

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Premier League · 2022-23

Heart of Midlothian FC

3 – 1

Full Time

Kilmarnock FC

Sat 17 Dec 2022 · 15:00 UTC Tynecastle Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 28' Liam Donnelly

Robert Snodgrass 74' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Heart of Midlothian FC vs Kilmarnock FC — Premier League at Tynecastle Park.

Heart of Midlothian FC 33 games · 70 pts (2026/27)
Kilmarnock FC 33 games · 28 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Heart of Midlothian FC	33	70
2	Rangers FC	33	69
3	Celtic FC	33	67
4	Motherwell FC	33	54
5	Hibernian FC	33	51
6	Falkirk FC	33	46
7	Dundee United FC	33	40
8	Aberdeen FC	33	33
9	Dundee FC	33	33
10	St. Mirren FC	33	30
11	Kilmarnock FC	33	28
12	Livingston FC	33	16

Head-to-Head

Heart of Midlothian FC 21 games · Avg 2.1 goals Kilmarnock FC

Last 5 meetings

2022-12-17 Heart of Midlothian FC 3–1 Kilmarnock FC 2022-10-09 Kilmarnock FC 2–2 Heart of Midlothian FC 2020-02-05 Heart of Midlothian FC 2–3 Kilmarnock FC 2019-11-23 Kilmarnock FC 3–0 Heart of Midlothian FC 2019-10-05 Heart of Midlothian FC 0–1 Kilmarnock FC

Recent Form

Heart of Midlothian FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
17 Dec	Kilmarnock FC	H	3–1	W
12 Nov	Livingston FC	H	1–1	D
09 Nov	Rangers FC	A	0–1	L
06 Nov	Motherwell FC	H	3–2	W
30 Oct	Ross County FC	A	2–1	W
22 Oct	Celtic FC	H	3–4	L

Kilmarnock FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
17 Dec	Heart of Midlothian FC	A	1–3	L
12 Nov	Hibernian FC	H	1–0	W
09 Nov	Dundee United FC	A	0–4	L
04 Nov	Livingston FC	H	2–3	L
29 Oct	St. Johnstone FC	A	0–1	L
22 Oct	Ross County FC	H	1–0	W

Season Stats

Heart of Midlothian FC		Kilmarnock FC
#1	Position	#11
70	Points	28
33	Played	33
21 / 7 / 5	W / D / L	6 / 10 / 17
58	Scored	37
28	Conceded	65
+30	GD	-28
2.12	PPG	0.85
64%	Win %	18%

Key Stats

43% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)

43% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Heart of Midlothian FC are 1st (70 pts). Kilmarnock FC are 11th (28 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' KICK OFF: Heart of Midlothian FC gets underway.
5' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Heart of Midlothian FC and Kilmarnock FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
10' The travelling Kilmarnock FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
15' It’s high time Derek McInnes made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
19' What composure from Josh Ginnelly! The England international strokes it home. 1-0.
24' Heart of Midlothian FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Kilmarnock FC backline.
28' Controversy at the stadium! Liam Donnelly argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
29' Lawrence Shankland does the damage! The net is bulging and Heart of Midlothian FC surge ahead!
34' With 0 assists to his name this season, Craig Halkett is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Heart of Midlothian FC.
39' Kilmarnock FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
44' Heart of Midlothian FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
46' The supporters are chanting for Christian Doidge. He replaces Liam Polworth on 46 minute.
51' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
56' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
61' Liam Donnelly has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
66' Kilmarnock FC is showing some good football. However, Kilmarnock FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
68' The Kilmarnock FC bench stirs into life. Rory McKenzie is withdrawn and Fraser Murray gets his opportunity.
73' GOAL! Ashton Taylor scores on 73.
74' Controversy at the stadium! Robert Snodgrass argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
78' Jorge Grant gets the nod from Heart of Midlothian FC. He replaces Josh Ginnelly and will look to change the dynamic.
79' It is a substitution in Heart of Midlothian FC team. Josh Ginnelly is replaced by Jorge Grant on 79 minute.
84' It is a cagey affair so far. Heart of Midlothian FC in their trying to find a way past Kilmarnock FC's compact .
85' Kilmarnock FC make a change. Lewis Mayo trudges off to be replaced by Ryan Alebiosu on 85 minutes.
87' Goal! Lawrence Shankland scores his 78 goal in 1 matches.
90' The whistle greets Andrew Halliday as he departs to be replaced by Alan Forrest.
The referee brings this contest to a close. Heart of Midlothian FC take all three points.

Lineups

Heart of Midlothian FC Lineups

Starting XI

18
Barrie McKay ↓ Toby Sibbick 90'
77
Robert Snodgrass ↓ Connor Smith 90'
3
Stephen Kingsley
30
Josh Ginnelly ↓ Jorge Grant 79'
14
Cameron Devlin ↓ Orestis Kiomourtzoglou 78'
1
Craig Gordon
2
Michael Smith
4
Craig Halkett
16
Andrew Halliday ↓ Alan Forrest 90'
9
Lawrence Shankland
19
Alex Cochrane

Bench

Coach Robbie Neilson

Kilmarnock FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Derek McInnes

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Chris Burke	4
Lawrence Shankland	3
Stuart Findlay	2
Danny Armstrong	2
Eamonn Brophy	2
Sean Clare	2
Josh Ginnelly	1
Bobby Wales	1

Head to Head

Heart of Midlothian FC Form

2022-12-17 Heart of Midlothian FC 3–1 Kilmarnock FC W 2022-11-12 Heart of Midlothian FC 1–1 Livingston FC D 2022-11-09 Rangers FC 1–0 Heart of Midlothian FC L 2022-11-06 Heart of Midlothian FC 3–2 Motherwell FC W 2022-10-30 Ross County FC 1–2 Heart of Midlothian FC W 2022-10-22 Heart of Midlothian FC 3–4 Celtic FC L

Kilmarnock FC Form

2022-12-17 Heart of Midlothian FC 3–1 Kilmarnock FC L 2022-11-12 Kilmarnock FC 1–0 Hibernian FC W 2022-11-09 Dundee United FC 4–0 Kilmarnock FC L 2022-11-04 Kilmarnock FC 2–3 Livingston FC L 2022-10-29 St. Johnstone FC 1–0 Kilmarnock FC L 2022-10-22 Kilmarnock FC 1–0 Ross County FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

2.58 Heart of Midlothian FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.07 Kilmarnock FC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 69% + Heart of Midlothian FC to win 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Heart of Midlothian FC63% Draw20% Kilmarnock FC17%

Actual: Heart of Midlothian FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes61% 0% No39%

Avg goals/match: 3.65

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	87%	13%
± 2.5	69%	31%
± 3.5	49%	51%
± 4.5	30%	70%

Double Chance

Heart of Midlothian FC or Draw

83%

Draw or Kilmarnock FC

37%

Heart of Midlothian FC or Kilmarnock FC

80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Heart of Midlothian FC51% Draw36% Kilmarnock FC13%

Actual: Heart of Midlothian FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 1

2 – 0

8.7%

1 – 1

3 – 1

Actual

3 – 0

7.2%

1 – 0

6.4%

4 – 1

2 – 2

4.8%

4 – 0

4.6%

3 – 2

4.1%

0 – 0

3.8%

1 – 2

3.8%

Asian Handicap — Heart of Midlothian FC

Handicap	Heart of Midlothian FC covers	Push	Kilmarnock FC covers
-2.5	28%	—	72%
-2	28%	20%	52%
-1.5	48%	—	52%
-1	48%	21%	32%
-0.5	68%	—	32%
+0.5	87%	—	13%
+1	87%	8%	5%
+1.5	95%	—	5%
+2	95%	4%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet

35% ✓

Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet

8% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.