Heart of Midlothian FC vs Kilmarnock FC, Premier League 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Heart of Midlothian FC vs Kilmarnock FC — Premier League at Tynecastle Park.
- Heart of Midlothian FC 2 games · 3 pts (2026/27)
- Kilmarnock FC 2 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic FC | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | St. Mirren FC | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Motherwell FC | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | Heart of Midlothian FC | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Dundee FC | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | St. Johnstone FC | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | Hibernian FC | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Aberdeen FC | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | Rangers FC | 2 | 1 |
| 10 | Falkirk FC | 2 | 1 |
| 11 | Dundee United FC | 2 | 1 |
| 12 | Kilmarnock FC | 2 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec | Kilmarnock FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 12 Nov | Livingston FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 09 Nov | Rangers FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 06 Nov | Motherwell FC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 30 Oct | Ross County FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Oct | Celtic FC | H | 3–4 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec | Heart of Midlothian FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 12 Nov | Hibernian FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 09 Nov | Dundee United FC | A | 0–4 | L |
| 04 Nov | Livingston FC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 29 Oct | St. Johnstone FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Oct | Ross County FC | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Heart of Midlothian FC | Kilmarnock FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #12 |
| 3 | Points | 0 |
| 2 | Played | 2 |
| 1 / 0 / 1 | W / D / L | 0 / 0 / 2 |
| 5 | Scored | 4 |
| 2 | Conceded | 9 |
| +3 | GD | -5 |
| 1.50 | PPG | 0.00 |
| 50% | Win % | 0% |
Key Stats
43%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
H2H (21 games)
43%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
50%
Clean Sheets
Heart of Midlothian FC this season
Heart of Midlothian FC this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Kilmarnock FC this season
Kilmarnock FC this season
Heart of Midlothian FC are 4th (3 pts). Kilmarnock FC are 12th (0 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Heart of Midlothian FC
0-15
2/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Kilmarnock FC
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/2
46-60
3/2
61-75
–/2
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Heart of Midlothian FC and Kilmarnock FC is underway.
- 5' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 10' Heart of Midlothian FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Kilmarnock FC backline.
- 15' It looks surprising Kilmarnock FC does not make any changes. Joe Wright has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 19' What a strike from Josh Ginnelly! The score is 1-0.
- 24' Lawrence Shankland has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 28' Liam Donnelly was booked on 28.
- 29' Lawrence Shankland has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 29 minutes.
- 34' Cameron Devlin needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 41 Yellow cards this season.
- 39' Heart of Midlothian FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 39.
- 44' A quiet spell here at Tynecastle Park. Heart of Midlothian FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 46' Liam Polworth makes way for Christian Doidge at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from Kilmarnock FC.
- 51' Heart of Midlothian FC have won 323 goals from 308 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 56' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Heart of Midlothian FC and Kilmarnock FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 61' Kilmarnock FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 66' The 34-year-old Christian Doidge has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 68' A tactical swap from Kilmarnock FC — Fraser Murray on, Rory McKenzie off on 68 minutes.
- 73' What a moment for Ashton Taylor! That strike on 73 puts his side firmly in control.
- 74' Robert Snodgrass catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 74.
- 78' The Heart of Midlothian FC bench stirs into life. Josh Ginnelly is withdrawn and Jorge Grant gets his opportunity.
- 79' The crowd applauds Josh Ginnelly as he leaves the pitch. Jorge Grant steps in for Heart of Midlothian FC.
- 84' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 85' The Kilmarnock FC bench stirs into life. Lewis Mayo is withdrawn and Ryan Alebiosu gets his opportunity.
- 87' Against the run of play, Lawrence Shankland has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 90' It is a substitution in Heart of Midlothian FC team. Andrew Halliday is replaced by Alan Forrest on 90 minute.
- With this win, Heart of Midlothian FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
Heart of Midlothian FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
18
Barrie McKay ↓ Toby Sibbick 90'
-
77
Robert Snodgrass ↓ Connor Smith 90'
- 3
-
30
Josh Ginnelly ↓ Jorge Grant 79'
- 14
- 1
- 2
- 4
-
16
Andrew Halliday ↓ Alan Forrest 90'
- 9
- 19
Bench
-
21
Toby Sibbick ↑ 90'
-
7
Jorge Grant ↑ 79'
-
27
Connor Smith ↑ 90'
- 28
- 12
-
17
Alan Forrest ↑ 90'
-
8
Orestis Kiomourtzoglou ↑ 78'
- 22
- 20
Coach
Robbie Neilson
Kilmarnock FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 20
- 19
- 21
-
7
Rory McKenzie ↓ Fraser Murray 68'
- 4
- 22
- 31
-
2
Lewis Mayo ↓ Ryan Alebiosu 85'
- 5
- 11
-
29
Bobby Wales ↓ Scott Robinson 68'
Bench
-
26
Christian Doidge ↑ 46'
- 8
- 10
-
15
Fraser Murray ↑ 68'
- 9
-
16
Scott Robinson ↑ 68'
-
33
Benjamin Chrisene ↑ 46'
-
25
Ryan Alebiosu ↑ 85'
- 1
Coach
Derek McInnes
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Chris Burke | 4 |
| Lawrence Shankland | 3 |
| Sean Clare | 2 |
| Stuart Findlay | 2 |
| Danny Armstrong | 2 |
| Eamonn Brophy | 2 |
| Marley Watkins | 1 |
| Stephen Kingsley | 1 |
Head to Head
Heart of Midlothian FC Form
2022-12-17
Heart of Midlothian FC
3–1
Kilmarnock FC
W
2022-11-12
Heart of Midlothian FC
1–1
Livingston FC
D
2022-11-09
Rangers FC
1–0
Heart of Midlothian FC
L
2022-11-06
Heart of Midlothian FC
3–2
Motherwell FC
W
2022-10-30
Ross County FC
1–2
Heart of Midlothian FC
W
2022-10-22
Heart of Midlothian FC
3–4
Celtic FC
L
Kilmarnock FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
5
Heart of Midlothian FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.42
Kilmarnock FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 94% + Heart of Midlothian FC to win 76%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Heart of Midlothian FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 6.42
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 100% |
|
0% |
| ± 1.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 2.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 3.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 4.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
Double Chance
Heart of Midlothian FC or Draw
89%
Draw or Kilmarnock FC
24%
Heart of Midlothian FC or Kilmarnock FC
87%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Heart of Midlothian FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
4 – 1
6.7%
5 – 1
6.6%
3 – 1
Actual
6 – 1
5.5%
4 – 0
4.9%
5 – 0
4.8%
4 – 2
4.7%
5 – 2
4.7%
3 – 0
4.1%
7 – 1
4%
6 – 0
4%
6 – 2
3.9%
Asian Handicap — Heart of Midlothian FC
| Handicap | Heart of Midlothian FC covers | Push | Kilmarnock FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 59% | — | 41% |
| -2 | 59% | 16% | 25% |
| -1.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| -1 | 75% | 12% | 13% |
| -0.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +0.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +1 | 94% | 3% | 2% |
| +1.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
| +2 | 98% | 1% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
1%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

