Hamburger SV vs MSV Duisburg, 2017

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1. Bundesliga 2017/18 · 2017

Hamburger SV

2 – 0

Full Time

MSV Duisburg

Sat 12 May 2018 · 13:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Hamburger SV vs MSV Duisburg — Bundesliga .

Hamburger SV 0 games · 0 pts
MSV Duisburg 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

Hamburger SV 1.95

Draw 3.39

MSV Duisburg 4.00

Head-to-Head

Hamburger SV 6 games · Avg 2.8 goals MSV Duisburg

Last 5 meetings

2018-05-12 Hamburger SV 2–0 MSV Duisburg 2017-12-16 MSV Duisburg 3–3 Hamburger SV 2017-03-18 MSV Duisburg 1–1 Hamburger SV 2016-10-22 Hamburger SV 2–1 MSV Duisburg 2015-03-21 Hamburger SV 2–0 MSV Duisburg

Recent Form

Hamburger SV

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
12 May	MSV Duisburg	H	2–0	W
05 May	VfB Stuttgart	A	1–3	L
28 Apr	Karlsruher SC	H	3–2	W
21 Apr	TuS Dassendorf	A	0–1	L
16 Apr	SV Linx 1949	A	0–2	L
07 Apr	1. CfR Pforzheim	H	0–2	L

MSV Duisburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
12 May	Hamburger SV	A	0–2	L
05 May	1. FSV Mainz 05	H	1–2	L
28 Apr	SV Sandhausen 1916	A	2–2	D
22 Apr	SV Linx 1949	H	2–0	W
13 Apr	1. CfR Pforzheim	A	0–0	D
07 Apr	VfL Wolfsburg	H	1–4	L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)

33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' Hamburger SV have kicked off against MSV Duisburg. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-0 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

Hamburger SV Lineups

MSV Duisburg Lineups

H2H

Head to Head

Hamburger SV Form

2018-05-12 Hamburger SV 2–0 MSV Duisburg W 2018-05-05 VfB Stuttgart 3–1 Hamburger SV L 2018-04-28 Hamburger SV 3–2 Karlsruher SC W 2018-04-21 TuS Dassendorf 1–0 Hamburger SV L 2018-04-16 SV Linx 1949 2–0 Hamburger SV L 2018-04-07 Hamburger SV 0–2 1. CfR Pforzheim L

MSV Duisburg Form

2018-05-12 Hamburger SV 2–0 MSV Duisburg L 2018-05-05 MSV Duisburg 1–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2018-04-28 SV Sandhausen 1916 2–2 MSV Duisburg D 2018-04-22 MSV Duisburg 2–0 SV Linx 1949 W 2018-04-13 1. CfR Pforzheim 0–0 MSV Duisburg D 2018-04-07 MSV Duisburg 1–4 VfL Wolfsburg L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 3

1.6 Hamburger SV xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.01 MSV Duisburg xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct

Hamburger SV52% Draw26% MSV Duisburg22%

Actual: Hamburger SV win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes51% 0% No49%

Avg goals/match: 2.61

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	91%	9%
± 1.5	73%	27%
± 2.5	48%	52%
± 3.5	27%	73%
± 4.5	13%	87%

Double Chance

Hamburger SV or Draw

78%

Draw or MSV Duisburg

48%

Hamburger SV or MSV Duisburg

74%

Half-Time Result

Hamburger SV35% Draw47% MSV Duisburg18%

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.8%

1 – 0

10.9%

0 – 0

9.4%

2 – 0

Actual

2 – 1

9.2%

0 – 1

6.4%

1 – 2

5.7%

3 – 1

4.9%

3 – 0

4.8%

2 – 2

4.7%

0 – 2

3.7%

3 – 2

2.6%

Asian Handicap — Hamburger SV

Handicap	Hamburger SV covers	Push	MSV Duisburg covers
-2.5	11%	—	89%
-2	11%	15%	73%
-1.5	27%	—	73%
-1	27%	23%	50%
-0.5	50%	—	50%
+0.5	77%	—	23%
+1	77%	14%	8%
+1.5	92%	—	8%
+2	92%	6%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet

37% ✗

MSV Duisburg keeps clean sheet

21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.