MSV Duisburg vs VfL Wolfsburg, 2017

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1. Bundesliga 2017/18 · 2017

MSV Duisburg

1 – 4

Full Time

VfL Wolfsburg

Sat 7 Apr 2018 · 13:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

MSV Duisburg vs VfL Wolfsburg — Bundesliga .

MSV Duisburg 0 games · 0 pts
VfL Wolfsburg 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

MSV Duisburg 6.50

Draw 4.33

VfL Wolfsburg 1.50

Head-to-Head

MSV Duisburg 9 games · Avg 3.8 goals VfL Wolfsburg

Last 5 meetings

2018-04-07 MSV Duisburg 1–4 VfL Wolfsburg 2017-11-18 VfL Wolfsburg 3–0 MSV Duisburg 2017-04-01 VfL Wolfsburg 6–0 MSV Duisburg 2016-10-29 MSV Duisburg 1–3 VfL Wolfsburg 2016-10-26 VfL Wolfsburg 3–1 MSV Duisburg

Recent Form

MSV Duisburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
07 Apr	VfL Wolfsburg	H	1–4	L
31 Mar	SV Drochtersen/Assel	A	0–0	D
17 Mar	Wroxham FC	H	1–3	L
10 Mar	1. FC Nurnberg	A	3–1	W
03 Mar	SC Rot-Weiss Oberhausen	H	0–2	L
26 Feb	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	A	1–1	D

VfL Wolfsburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
07 Apr	MSV Duisburg	A	4–1	W
31 Mar	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	H	6–0	W
18 Mar	TuS Erndtebruck	A	1–2	L
10 Mar	TuS Dassendorf	H	6–0	W
04 Mar	Hamburger SV	A	4–0	W
24 Feb	SV Sandhausen 1916	H	0–0	D

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)

89% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' In just a few seconds will turn into a battlefield for MSV Duisburg and VfL Wolfsburg.
Another three points for VfL Wolfsburg.

Lineups

MSV Duisburg Lineups

VfL Wolfsburg Lineups

H2H

Head to Head

MSV Duisburg Form

2018-04-07 MSV Duisburg 1–4 VfL Wolfsburg L 2018-03-31 SV Drochtersen/Assel 0–0 MSV Duisburg D 2018-03-17 MSV Duisburg 1–3 Wroxham FC L 2018-03-10 1. FC Nurnberg 1–3 MSV Duisburg W 2018-03-03 MSV Duisburg 0–2 SC Rot-Weiss Oberhausen L 2018-02-26 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–1 MSV Duisburg D

VfL Wolfsburg Form

2018-04-07 MSV Duisburg 1–4 VfL Wolfsburg W 2018-03-31 VfL Wolfsburg 6–0 Bayer 04 Leverkusen W 2018-03-18 TuS Erndtebruck 2–1 VfL Wolfsburg L 2018-03-10 VfL Wolfsburg 6–0 TuS Dassendorf W 2018-03-04 Hamburger SV 0–4 VfL Wolfsburg W 2018-02-24 VfL Wolfsburg 0–0 SV Sandhausen 1916 D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.06 MSV Duisburg xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.28 VfL Wolfsburg xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 64% + Both teams to score 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct

MSV Duisburg19% Draw22% VfL Wolfsburg59%

Actual: VfL Wolfsburg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes59% 0% No41%

Avg goals/match: 3.34

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	84%	16%
± 2.5	64%	36%
± 3.5	42%	58%
± 4.5	25%	75%

Double Chance

MSV Duisburg or Draw

41%

Draw or VfL Wolfsburg

81%

MSV Duisburg or VfL Wolfsburg

78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

MSV Duisburg15% Draw39% VfL Wolfsburg46%

Actual: VfL Wolfsburg win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 2

9.4%

1 – 1

9.3%

0 – 2

9.2%

0 – 1

7.6%

1 – 3

7.1%

0 – 3

6.8%

2 – 2

0 – 0

4.9%

2 – 1

4.4%

1 – 4

Actual

0 – 4

3.9%

2 – 3

3.8%

Asian Handicap — MSV Duisburg

Handicap	MSV Duisburg covers	Push	VfL Wolfsburg covers
-2.5	2%	—	98%
-2	2%	4%	94%
-1.5	6%	—	94%
-1	6%	10%	84%
-0.5	16%	—	84%
+0.5	37%	—	63%
+1	37%	22%	42%
+1.5	58%	—	42%
+2	58%	19%	23%
+2.5	77%	—	23%

Clean Sheet

MSV Duisburg keeps clean sheet

11% ✓

VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet

35% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.