MSV Duisburg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, 2017

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1. Bundesliga 2017/18 · 2017

MSV Duisburg

1 – 2

Full Time

1. FSV Mainz 05

Sat 5 May 2018 · 13:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

MSV Duisburg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga .

MSV Duisburg 0 games · 0 pts
1. FSV Mainz 05 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

MSV Duisburg 3.60

Draw 3.29

1. FSV Mainz 05 2.10

Head-to-Head

MSV Duisburg 8 games · Avg 2.4 goals 1. FSV Mainz 05

Last 5 meetings

2018-05-05 MSV Duisburg 1–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 2017-12-13 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–2 MSV Duisburg 2017-03-12 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–0 MSV Duisburg 2016-10-15 MSV Duisburg 1–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2016-05-07 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 MSV Duisburg

Recent Form

MSV Duisburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
05 May	1. FSV Mainz 05	H	1–2	L
28 Apr	SV Sandhausen 1916	A	2–2	D
22 Apr	SV Linx 1949	H	2–0	W
13 Apr	1. CfR Pforzheim	A	0–0	D
07 Apr	VfL Wolfsburg	H	1–4	L
31 Mar	SV Drochtersen/Assel	A	0–0	D

1. FSV Mainz 05

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
05 May	MSV Duisburg	A	2–1	W
28 Apr	VfB Stuttgart	H	1–1	D
22 Apr	Karlsruher SC	A	2–2	D
17 Apr	FC Hansa Rostock	H	0–1	L
15 Apr	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	H	2–0	W
07 Apr	TuS Dassendorf	A	2–3	L

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against MSV Duisburg and 1. FSV Mainz 05 has kicked off!
The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from 1. FSV Mainz 05 to claim maximum points.

Lineups

MSV Duisburg Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

H2H

Head to Head

MSV Duisburg Form

2018-05-05 MSV Duisburg 1–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2018-04-28 SV Sandhausen 1916 2–2 MSV Duisburg D 2018-04-22 MSV Duisburg 2–0 SV Linx 1949 W 2018-04-13 1. CfR Pforzheim 0–0 MSV Duisburg D 2018-04-07 MSV Duisburg 1–4 VfL Wolfsburg L 2018-03-31 SV Drochtersen/Assel 0–0 MSV Duisburg D

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2018-05-05 MSV Duisburg 1–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2018-04-28 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 VfB Stuttgart D 2018-04-22 Karlsruher SC 2–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 D 2018-04-17 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–1 FC Hansa Rostock L 2018-04-15 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–0 Bayer 04 Leverkusen W 2018-04-07 TuS Dassendorf 3–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.34 MSV Duisburg xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.54 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG

I would bet for: MSV Duisburg or 1. FSV Mainz 05 72% + Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct

MSV Duisburg32% Draw28% 1. FSV Mainz 0540%

Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes58% 0% No42%

Avg goals/match: 2.88

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	78%	22%
± 2.5	54%	46%
± 3.5	33%	67%
± 4.5	17%	83%

Double Chance

MSV Duisburg or Draw

60%

Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05

68%

MSV Duisburg or 1. FSV Mainz 05

72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

MSV Duisburg25% Draw45% 1. FSV Mainz 0530%

Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.5%

1 – 2

Actual

0 – 1

7.7%

2 – 1

7.5%

0 – 0

7.4%

1 – 0

6.6%

0 – 2

6.5%

2 – 2

5.8%

2 – 0

1 – 3

4.4%

3 – 1

3.3%

0 – 3

3.3%

Asian Handicap — MSV Duisburg

Handicap	MSV Duisburg covers	Push	1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5	5%	—	95%
-2	5%	9%	85%
-1.5	15%	—	85%
-1	15%	17%	68%
-0.5	32%	—	68%
+0.5	59%	—	41%
+1	59%	20%	21%
+1.5	79%	—	21%
+2	79%	12%	8%
+2.5	92%	—	8%

Clean Sheet

MSV Duisburg keeps clean sheet

22% ✓

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet

27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.