Thursday , 2 July 2026

RB Leipzig vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, 2016

1. Bundesliga 2016/17 · 2016
RB Leipzig
2 – 1
Full Time
1. FSV Mainz 05
Sun 16 Apr 2017 · 15:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga .

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

RB Leipzig 5.75
Draw 3.80
1. FSV Mainz 05 1.60

Head-to-Head

8
4
8
RB Leipzig 20 games · Avg 3.3 goals 1. FSV Mainz 05
Last 5 meetings
2017-04-16 RB Leipzig 2–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2016-11-27 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–1 RB Leipzig 2016-01-30 RB Leipzig 0–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 2015-08-22 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 RB Leipzig

Recent Form

RB Leipzig
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Apr 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 2–1 W
09 Apr 1. FC Koln A 2–3 L
05 Apr SV Drochtersen/Assel H 0–2 L
01 Apr TuS Erndtebruck A 0–4 L
18 Mar 1. CfR Pforzheim A 0–1 L
11 Mar SV Linx 1949 H 2–1 W
1. FSV Mainz 05
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Apr RB Leipzig A 1–2 L
08 Apr 1. CfR Pforzheim H 4–1 W
04 Apr Wroxham FC A 0–3 L
01 Apr Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 1–1 D
19 Mar SV Linx 1949 A 1–0 W
12 Mar MSV Duisburg H 3–0 W

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

RB Leipzig Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Timo Werner 9
Yussuf Poulsen 5
Moussa Niakhate 4
Christopher Nkunku 3
Marcus Ingvartsen 3
Andre Silva 2
Lukas Klostermann 2
Dominik Szoboszlai 2

Head to Head

2017-04-16 RB Leipzig 2–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2016-11-27 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–1 RB Leipzig 2016-01-30 RB Leipzig 0–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 2015-08-22 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig Form

2017-04-16 RB Leipzig 2–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2017-04-09 1. FC Koln 3–2 RB Leipzig L 2017-04-05 RB Leipzig 0–2 SV Drochtersen/Assel L 2017-04-01 TuS Erndtebruck 4–0 RB Leipzig L 2017-03-18 1. CfR Pforzheim 1–0 RB Leipzig L 2017-03-11 RB Leipzig 2–1 SV Linx 1949 W

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2017-04-16 RB Leipzig 2–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2017-04-08 1. FSV Mainz 05 4–1 1. CfR Pforzheim W 2017-04-04 Wroxham FC 3–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2017-04-01 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 Bayer 04 Leverkusen D 2017-03-19 SV Linx 1949 0–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2017-03-12 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–0 MSV Duisburg W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.36 RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.2 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: RB Leipzig or 1. FSV Mainz 05 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig41% Draw28% 1. FSV Mainz 0531%
Actual: RB Leipzig win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.56
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw
69%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
59%
RB Leipzig or 1. FSV Mainz 05
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
RB Leipzig28% Draw48% 1. FSV Mainz 0524%
Actual: RB Leipzig win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.6%
0 – 0
9.8%
1 – 0
9.5%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
7.3%
2 – 0
7%
0 – 2
5.4%
2 – 2
5%
3 – 1
3.8%
3 – 0
3.1%
1 – 3
2.9%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap RB Leipzig covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 12% 82%
-1.5 18% — 82%
-1 18% 20% 61%
-0.5 39% — 61%
+0.5 68% — 32%
+1 68% 18% 14%
+1.5 86% — 14%
+2 86% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
31% ✓
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.