Thursday , 2 July 2026

Hamburger SV vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, 2014

1. Bundesliga 2014/15 · 2014
Sat 8 Nov 2014 · 14:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Hamburger SV vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga .

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

Hamburger SV 2.63
Draw 3.50
1. FSV Mainz 05 2.50

Head-to-Head

3
3
2
Hamburger SV 8 games · Avg 1.9 goals 1. FSV Mainz 05

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Nov 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 2–0 W
02 Nov Karlsruher SC A 1–0 W
25 Oct MSV Duisburg A 0–2 L
18 Oct 1. CfR Pforzheim H 1–2 L
04 Oct Wroxham FC A 1–1 D
27 Sep SV Drochtersen/Assel H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Nov Hamburger SV A 0–2 L
31 Oct MSV Duisburg H 1–0 W
25 Oct SV Drochtersen/Assel A 0–1 L
18 Oct SV Sandhausen 1916 H 2–0 W
04 Oct SC Rot-Weiss Oberhausen A 1–2 L
27 Sep Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 2–1 W

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
13% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Hamburger SV Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 3
1.52 Hamburger SV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.66 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 63% + Under — clean sheet likely 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Hamburger SV56% Draw27% 1. FSV Mainz 0517%
Actual: Hamburger SV win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes39% 0% No61%
Avg goals/match: 2.18
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 37%
63%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Hamburger SV or Draw
83%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
44%
Hamburger SV or 1. FSV Mainz 05
73%

Half-Time Result

Hamburger SV38% Draw51% 1. FSV Mainz 0511%

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
16.2%
0 – 0
13.5%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
12.1%
2 – 1
8.4%
0 – 1
6.4%
3 – 0
6.2%
3 – 1
4.3%
1 – 2
3.6%
2 – 2
2.9%
4 – 0
2.4%
0 – 2
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Hamburger SV

Handicap Hamburger SV covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 12% 88%
-2 12% 18% 70%
-1.5 30% 70%
-1 30% 26% 44%
-0.5 56% 44%
+0.5 85% 15%
+1 85% 11% 4%
+1.5 96% 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
52%
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.