Cruzeiro EC vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Cruzeiro EC vs EC Bahia — Serie A at Mineirao.
- Cruzeiro EC 28 games · 45 pts (2026/26)
- EC Bahia 28 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct | EC Bahia | H | 3–0 | W |
| 22 Oct | CA Mineiro | A | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Oct | CR Flamengo | H | 0–2 | L |
| 15 Oct | Cuiaba EC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 01 Oct | America FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Sep | Fluminense FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct | Cruzeiro EC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 21 Oct | Fortaleza EC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Oct | SC Internacional | H | 1–0 | W |
| 07 Oct | Goiás EC | A | 6–4 | W |
| 30 Sep | CR Flamengo | A | 0–1 | L |
| 18 Sep | Santos FC | H | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Cruzeiro EC | EC Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #5 |
| 45 | Points | 46 |
| 28 | Played | 28 |
| 13 / 6 / 9 | W / D / L | 12 / 10 / 6 |
| 42 | Scored | 43 |
| 40 | Conceded | 35 |
| +2 | GD | +8 |
| 1.61 | PPG | 1.64 |
| 46% | Win % | 43% |
Key Stats
54%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
H2H (13 games)
46%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
21%
Clean Sheets
Cruzeiro EC this season
Cruzeiro EC this season
36%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
Cruzeiro EC are 6th (45 pts). EC Bahia are 5th (46 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Cruzeiro EC
0-15
3/3
16-30
3/6
31-45
6/5
46-60
5/2
61-75
6/2
76+
10/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/6
31-45
7/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/4
76+
7/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Cruzeiro EC
| Matheus Pereira | 9 G | 4 A |
| Kaio Jorge | 7 G | 1 A |
| Christian | 5 G | 3 A |
| Neizer Villarreal | 3 G | 1 A |
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 9 G | 1 A |
| Jean Lucas | 4 G | 3 A |
| Erick | 4 G | |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at Mineirao. Cruzeiro EC are looking to make home advantage count against EC Bahia.
- 5' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 10' A quiet spell here at Mineirao. EC Bahia seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 15' Cruzeiro EC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined EC Bahia backline.
- 19' Machado makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and Cruzeiro EC are in front.
- 24' EC Bahia is showing some good football. However, EC Bahia are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 27' Cruzeiro EC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 32' Over 32 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 37' EC Bahia ring the changes. Cauly has done his job and it is now time for Rafael Ratao to step up.
- 42' The home supporters are growing impatient. Cruzeiro EC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 47' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 52' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Cruzeiro EC that had 257 games and scored 222 goals.
- 53' What a moment for Marlon! That strike on 53 puts his side firmly in control.
- 58' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 63' The referee calls foul for Camilo Candido. He receives a Yellow card.
- 68' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Cruzeiro EC and EC Bahia are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 70' A change in the EC Bahia ranks — Gabriel Teixeira exits the field as Ademir Santos enters on 70.
- 71' EC Bahia manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Matheus Bahia is hanging Camilo Candido on the field on 71 minute.
- 75' The referee calls foul for Machado. He receives a Yellow card.
- 80' The Cruzeiro EC manager makes a substitution. Arthur Gomes departs to be replaced by Wesley.
- 85' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Matheus Jussa suffering a number of foals already.
- 88' A goal from the Brazil international Bruno Rodrigues! He fires home on 88 to make it 3-0!
- 90' Another change for Cruzeiro EC made on 90 minute. Matheus Pereira leaves to be changed by Fernando Henrique.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for EC Bahia.
Lineups
Cruzeiro EC Lineups
Starting XI
-
16
Lucas Silva ↓ Nikao 71'
- –
- –
- 96
- –
-
–
Arthur Gomes ↓ Wesley 80'
- –
-
–
Machado ↓ Ian Luccas 90'
- –
- –
- –
Bench
-
–
Nikao ↑ 71'
- –
- –
- –
- –
-
–
Wesley ↑ 80'
- –
-
–
Fernando Henrique ↑ 90'
- 43
-
–
Ian Luccas ↑ 90'
- –
- –
Coach
Ze Ricardo
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
-
28
Thaciano ↓ Nicolas Acevedo 71'
-
20
Yago Felipe ↓ Lucas Mugni 70'
- 2
- –
- 4
-
8
Cauly ↓ Rafael Ratao 37'
- 9
- 10
- 34
- 5
-
–
Camilo Candido ↓ Matheus Bahia 71'
Bench
-
7
Ademir Santos ↑ 70'
-
19
Lucas Mugni ↑ 70'
- 40
-
11
Rafael Ratao ↑ 37'
- 33
- 21
- –
-
79
Matheus Bahia ↑ 71'
-
26
Nicolas Acevedo ↑ 71'
- 35
- 17
- 3
Coach
Rogério Ceni
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Oscar Estupinan | 2 |
| Bruno Rodrigues | 2 |
| Kaio Jorge | 2 |
| Gabriel Veron | 2 |
| Fernandao | 1 |
| Wesley | 1 |
| Gabriel Teixeira | 1 |
| Luciano Rodriguez | 1 |
Head to Head
Cruzeiro EC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.74
Cruzeiro EC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.33
EC Bahia xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 61% + Over 2.5 goals 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Cruzeiro EC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.07
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 2.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
| ± 3.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 4.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
Double Chance
Cruzeiro EC or Draw
73%
Draw or EC Bahia
51%
Cruzeiro EC or EC Bahia
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Cruzeiro EC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.6%
2 – 1
9%
1 – 0
7.3%
2 – 0
7%
1 – 2
6.9%
0 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
6%
0 – 1
5.3%
3 – 1
5.2%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 2
3.5%
Asian Handicap — Cruzeiro EC
| Handicap | Cruzeiro EC covers | Push | EC Bahia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 14% | 75% |
| -1.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -1 | 25% | 21% | 54% |
| -0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +1 | 72% | 16% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +2 | 87% | 8% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Cruzeiro EC keeps clean sheet
27%
✗
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

