Cruzeiro EC vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Cruzeiro EC vs EC Bahia — Serie A at Mineirao.
- Cruzeiro EC 22 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
- EC Bahia 22 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 23 | 48 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 21 | 42 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 23 | 41 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 23 | 38 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 22 | 33 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 22 | 33 |
| 7 | RB Bragantino | 22 | 32 |
| 8 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 22 | 32 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 23 | 31 |
| 10 | Botafogo FR | 21 | 30 |
| 11 | CA Mineiro | 21 | 29 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo FC | 22 | 27 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 22 | 26 |
| 14 | Gremio FBPA | 21 | 25 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 22 | 23 |
| 16 | Mirassol FC | 21 | 23 |
| 17 | Santos FC | 21 | 22 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 21 | 22 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 22 | 22 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 21 | 10 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct | EC Bahia | H | 3–0 | W |
| 22 Oct | CA Mineiro | A | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Oct | CR Flamengo | H | 0–2 | L |
| 15 Oct | Cuiaba EC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 01 Oct | America FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Sep | Fluminense FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct | Cruzeiro EC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 21 Oct | Fortaleza EC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Oct | SC Internacional | H | 1–0 | W |
| 07 Oct | Goiás EC | A | 6–4 | W |
| 30 Sep | CR Flamengo | A | 0–1 | L |
| 18 Sep | Santos FC | H | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Cruzeiro EC | EC Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #5 |
| 33 | Points | 33 |
| 22 | Played | 22 |
| 9 / 6 / 7 | W / D / L | 8 / 9 / 5 |
| 30 | Scored | 29 |
| 31 | Conceded | 25 |
| -1 | GD | +4 |
| 1.50 | PPG | 1.50 |
| 41% | Win % | 36% |
Key Stats
54%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
H2H (13 games)
46%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
27%
Clean Sheets
Cruzeiro EC this season
Cruzeiro EC this season
41%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
Cruzeiro EC are 6th (33 pts). EC Bahia are 5th (33 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Cruzeiro EC
0-15
3/3
16-30
2/4
31-45
5/2
46-60
3/–
61-75
4/2
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
2/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
3/4
46-60
2/–
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Cruzeiro EC
| Kaio Jorge | 6 G | |
| Christian | 5 G | 3 A |
| Matheus Pereira | 5 G | 2 A |
| Neizer Villarreal | 3 G | 1 A |
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 7 G | 1 A |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at Mineirao as Cruzeiro EC face off against EC Bahia in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 5' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 10' With 0 assists to his name this season, Rafael Ratao is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Cruzeiro EC.
- 15' EC Bahia seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 19' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Machado makes no mistake. 1-0!
- 24' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 27' A meaty challenge results in booking for Lucas Silva on 27.
- 32' Cruzeiro EC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 37' A tactical swap from EC Bahia — Rafael Ratao on, Cauly off on 37 minutes.
- 42' Cruzeiro EC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against EC Bahia's shape.
- 47' It looks like no one’s ball. Cruzeiro EC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 52' It’s high time Ze Ricardo made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 53' Marlon does the damage! The net is bulging and Cruzeiro EC surge ahead!
- 58' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 63' Camilo Candido is having his name booked by the referee on 63.
- 68' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Ademir Santos made 161 appearances and scored 35 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 70' The supporters are chanting for Ademir Santos. He replaces Gabriel Teixeira on 70 minute.
- 71' Matheus Bahia gets the nod from EC Bahia. He replaces Camilo Candido and will look to change the dynamic.
- 75' Cruzeiro EC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 80' It is a substitution in Cruzeiro EC team. Arthur Gomes is replaced by Wesley on 80 minute.
- 85' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 88' Magnificent from Bruno Rodrigues! That is 18 goals in 373 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 90' The Cruzeiro EC bench stirs into life. Matheus Pereira is withdrawn and Fernando Henrique gets his opportunity.
- The points are shared — Cruzeiro EC 3-0 EC Bahia. Honours even.
Lineups
Cruzeiro EC Lineups
Starting XI
-
16
Lucas Silva ↓ Nikao 71'
- –
- –
- 96
- –
-
–
Arthur Gomes ↓ Wesley 80'
- –
-
–
Machado ↓ Ian Luccas 90'
- –
- –
- –
Bench
-
–
Nikao ↑ 71'
- –
- –
- –
- –
-
–
Wesley ↑ 80'
- –
-
–
Fernando Henrique ↑ 90'
- 43
-
–
Ian Luccas ↑ 90'
- –
- –
Coach
Ze Ricardo
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
-
28
Thaciano ↓ Nicolas Acevedo 71'
-
20
Yago Felipe ↓ Lucas Mugni 70'
- 2
- –
- 4
-
8
Cauly ↓ Rafael Ratao 37'
- 9
- 10
- 34
- 5
-
–
Camilo Candido ↓ Matheus Bahia 71'
Bench
-
7
Ademir Santos ↑ 70'
-
19
Lucas Mugni ↑ 70'
- 40
-
11
Rafael Ratao ↑ 37'
- 33
- 21
- –
-
79
Matheus Bahia ↑ 71'
-
26
Nicolas Acevedo ↑ 71'
- 35
- 17
- 3
Coach
Rogério Ceni
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kaio Jorge | 2 |
| Gabriel Veron | 2 |
| Oscar Estupinan | 2 |
| Bruno Rodrigues | 2 |
| Kenji | 1 |
| Arthur Sales | 1 |
| Kaua Moraes | 1 |
| Marlon | 1 |
Head to Head
Cruzeiro EC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.63
Cruzeiro EC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.23
EC Bahia xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Cruzeiro EC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.86
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 2.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 3.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
| ± 4.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
Double Chance
Cruzeiro EC or Draw
74%
Draw or EC Bahia
52%
Cruzeiro EC or EC Bahia
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Cruzeiro EC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.4%
2 – 1
9%
1 – 0
8.4%
0 – 0
7.6%
2 – 0
7.4%
1 – 2
6.8%
0 – 1
6.1%
2 – 2
5.6%
3 – 1
4.9%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 2
3.1%
Asian Handicap — Cruzeiro EC
| Handicap | Cruzeiro EC covers | Push | EC Bahia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 14% | 76% |
| -1.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 21% | 55% |
| -0.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| +0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +1 | 72% | 16% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Cruzeiro EC keeps clean sheet
30%
✗
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

