Cruzeiro EC vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Cruzeiro EC vs EC Bahia — Serie A at Mineirao.
- Cruzeiro EC 18 games · 24 pts (2026/26)
- EC Bahia 17 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 18 | 41 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense FC | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | CA Paranaense | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | RB Bragantino | 18 | 29 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 17 | 26 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 18 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo FC | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | CA Mineiro | 18 | 24 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 18 | 24 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro EC | 18 | 24 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 17 | 22 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 17 | 22 |
| 14 | SC Internacional | 18 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos FC | 18 | 21 |
| 16 | Grêmio FBPA | 18 | 21 |
| 17 | CR Vasco da Gama | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Clube do Remo | 18 | 18 |
| 19 | Mirassol FC | 17 | 16 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 17 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct | EC Bahia | H | 3–0 | W |
| 22 Oct | CA Mineiro | A | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Oct | CR Flamengo | H | 0–2 | L |
| 15 Oct | Cuiaba EC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 01 Oct | America FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Sep | Fluminense FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct | Cruzeiro EC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 21 Oct | Fortaleza EC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Oct | SC Internacional | H | 1–0 | W |
| 07 Oct | Goiás EC | A | 6–4 | W |
| 30 Sep | CR Flamengo | A | 0–1 | L |
| 18 Sep | Santos FC | H | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Cruzeiro EC | EC Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #6 |
| 24 | Points | 26 |
| 18 | Played | 17 |
| 6 / 6 / 6 | W / D / L | 7 / 5 / 5 |
| 24 | Scored | 25 |
| 28 | Conceded | 23 |
| -4 | GD | +2 |
| 1.33 | PPG | 1.53 |
| 33% | Win % | 41% |
Key Stats
54%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
H2H (13 games)
46%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
28%
Clean Sheets
Cruzeiro EC this season
Cruzeiro EC this season
35%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
Cruzeiro EC are 11th (24 pts). EC Bahia are 6th (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Cruzeiro EC
0-15
1/3
16-30
2/3
31-45
5/1
46-60
3/–
61-75
2/2
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
1/–
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Cruzeiro EC
| Christian | 5 G | 3 A |
| Kaio Jorge | 4 G | |
| Matheus Pereira | 3 G | 2 A |
| Neizer Villarreal | 3 G | 1 A |
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 7 G | 1 A |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. Cruzeiro EC host EC Bahia — let the battle begin!
- 5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 10' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 15' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 19' A goal from the Brazil international Machado! He fires home on 19 to make it 1-0!
- 24' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Cruzeiro EC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 27' That is a Yellow card for Cruzeiro EC. Lucas Silva will be fuming at that decision.
- 32' Yago Felipe has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 17 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 37' Rafael Ratao is replacing Cauly for the EC Bahia side.
- 42' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 47' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Cruzeiro EC and EC Bahia are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 52' Cruzeiro EC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined EC Bahia backline.
- 53' Against the run of play, Marlon has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 58' It is a cagey affair so far. Cruzeiro EC in their trying to find a way past EC Bahia's compact .
- 63' A meaty challenge results in booking for Camilo Candido on 63.
- 68' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Cruzeiro EC winning 100% of all matches.
- 70' The whistle greets Gabriel Teixeira as he departs to be replaced by Ademir Santos.
- 71' Matheus Bahia gets the nod from EC Bahia. He replaces Camilo Candido and will look to change the dynamic.
- 75' The referee has no hesitation. Machado is booked for Cruzeiro EC — Yellow card on 75.
- 80' It is a substitution in Cruzeiro EC team. Arthur Gomes is replaced by Wesley on 80 minute.
- 85' The home supporters are growing impatient. Cruzeiro EC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 88' The deadlock is broken! Bruno Rodrigues gets on the scoresheet on 88 minutes.
- 90' The whistle greets Matheus Pereira as he departs to be replaced by Fernando Henrique.
- Another three points for Cruzeiro EC.
Lineups
Cruzeiro EC Lineups
Starting XI
-
16
Lucas Silva ↓ Nikao 71'
- –
- –
- 96
- –
-
–
Arthur Gomes ↓ Wesley 80'
- –
-
–
Machado ↓ Ian Luccas 90'
- –
- –
- –
Bench
-
–
Nikao ↑ 71'
- –
- –
- –
- –
-
–
Wesley ↑ 80'
- –
-
–
Fernando Henrique ↑ 90'
- 43
-
–
Ian Luccas ↑ 90'
- –
- –
Coach
Ze Ricardo
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
-
28
Thaciano ↓ Nicolas Acevedo 71'
-
20
Yago Felipe ↓ Lucas Mugni 70'
- 2
- –
- 4
-
8
Cauly ↓ Rafael Ratao 37'
- 9
- 10
- 34
- 5
-
–
Camilo Candido ↓ Matheus Bahia 71'
Bench
-
7
Ademir Santos ↑ 70'
-
19
Lucas Mugni ↑ 70'
- 40
-
11
Rafael Ratao ↑ 37'
- 33
- 21
- –
-
79
Matheus Bahia ↑ 71'
-
26
Nicolas Acevedo ↑ 71'
- 35
- 17
- 3
Coach
Rogério Ceni
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kaio Jorge | 2 |
| Gabriel Veron | 2 |
| Oscar Estupinan | 2 |
| Bruno Rodrigues | 2 |
| Luciano Juba | 1 |
| Thiago Neves | 1 |
| Machado | 1 |
| Lucas Romero | 1 |
Head to Head
Cruzeiro EC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.72
Cruzeiro EC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.37
EC Bahia xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 61% + Over 2.5 goals 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Cruzeiro EC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.09
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 2.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 3.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 4.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
Double Chance
Cruzeiro EC or Draw
73%
Draw or EC Bahia
52%
Cruzeiro EC or EC Bahia
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Cruzeiro EC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.7%
2 – 1
8.9%
1 – 0
7.1%
1 – 2
7.1%
2 – 0
6.7%
0 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
6%
0 – 1
5.5%
3 – 1
5.1%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 2
3.5%
Asian Handicap — Cruzeiro EC
| Handicap | Cruzeiro EC covers | Push | EC Bahia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 14% | 76% |
| -1.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 20% | 56% |
| -0.5 | 44% | — | 56% |
| +0.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +1 | 70% | 16% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 9% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Cruzeiro EC keeps clean sheet
26%
✗
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.