SE Palmeiras vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
SE Palmeiras vs EC Bahia — Serie A at Allianz Parque.
- SE Palmeiras 34 games · 73 pts (2026/26)
- EC Bahia 34 games · 53 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 34 | 76 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro EC | 34 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 34 | 57 |
| 5 | CA Paranaense | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 34 | 53 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 35 | 51 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos FC | 34 | 47 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo FC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo FR | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba FBC | 34 | 42 |
| 13 | CR Vasco da Gama | 33 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol FC | 35 | 41 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 34 | 38 |
| 16 | EC Vitoria | 34 | 38 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 34 | 37 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 34 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 33 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct | EC Bahia | H | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Oct | Sao Paulo FC | H | 5–0 | W |
| 22 Oct | Coritiba FBC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Oct | CA Mineiro | H | 0–2 | L |
| 08 Oct | Santos FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 06 Oct | CA Boca Juniors | H | 3–5 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct | SE Palmeiras | A | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Oct | Cruzeiro EC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 21 Oct | Fortaleza EC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Oct | SC Internacional | H | 1–0 | W |
| 07 Oct | Goiás EC | A | 6–4 | W |
| 30 Sep | CR Flamengo | A | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| SE Palmeiras | EC Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| #2 | Position | #6 |
| 73 | Points | 53 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 21 / 10 / 3 | W / D / L | 14 / 11 / 9 |
| 62 | Scored | 50 |
| 23 | Conceded | 45 |
| +39 | GD | +5 |
| 2.15 | PPG | 1.56 |
| 62% | Win % | 41% |
Key Stats
47%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
H2H (19 games)
47%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
47%
Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season
SE Palmeiras this season
32%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
SE Palmeiras are 2nd (73 pts). EC Bahia are 6th (53 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
SE Palmeiras
0-15
8/2
16-30
6/1
31-45
7/2
46-60
7/4
61-75
6/1
76+
6/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
5/3
16-30
4/6
31-45
10/7
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/7
76+
9/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
SE Palmeiras
| Jose Manuel Lopez | 10 G | 7 A |
| Mauricio | 10 G | 1 A |
| Jhon Arias | 6 G | 3 A |
| Vitor Roque | 5 G | 1 A |
| Allan | 4 G | 3 A |
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 11 G | 2 A |
| Jean Lucas | 4 G | 4 A |
| Erick | 4 G | |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. SE Palmeiras host EC Bahia — let the battle begin!
- 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Gabriel Teixeira, as he is very good at scoring at Allianz Parque with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 9' Controversy at the stadium! Nicolas Acevedo argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
- 14' Luciano Juba is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for SE Palmeiras so far.
- 18' The whistle greets Raul Gustavo as he departs to be replaced by Diego Rosa.
- 23' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 28' EC Bahia fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 33' Over 33 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 38' Goal! Raphael Veiga scores his 69 goal in 389 matches.
- 43' Gabriel Xavier needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 45' The referee calls foul for Kanu. He receives a Yellow card.
- 46' Matheus Bahia makes way for Lucas Mugni at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from EC Bahia.
- 50' SE Palmeiras player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 55' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. EC Bahia needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 60' SE Palmeiras are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined EC Bahia backline.
- 61' The crowd applauds Ademir Santos as he leaves the pitch. Gabriel Teixeira steps in for EC Bahia.
- 63' A tactical swap from SE Palmeiras — Luis Guilherme on, Endrick off on 63 minutes.
- 68' It looks like no one’s ball. EC Bahia is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 71' Fabinho makes way for Jailson at the 71 minute mark. A tactical switch from SE Palmeiras.
- 76' It is a cagey affair so far. SE Palmeiras in their trying to find a way past EC Bahia's compact .
- 77' The referee calls foul for Everaldo. He receives a Yellow card.
- 81' The SE Palmeiras bench stirs into life. Breno Lopes is withdrawn and Rony gets his opportunity.
- 86' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 90' Nicolas Acevedo was booked on 90.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for EC Bahia.
Lineups
SE Palmeiras Lineups
Starting XI
-
23
Raphael Veiga ↓ Artur Guimaraes 63'
- 21
-
12
Mayke ↓ Marcos Rocha 81'
- 15
-
19
Breno Lopes ↓ Rony 81'
- 13
- 26
- 22
- 35
-
9
Endrick ↓ Luis Guilherme 63'
- 27
Bench
-
30
Jailson ↑ 71'
-
10
Rony ↑ 81'
-
2
Marcos Rocha ↑ 81'
-
14
Artur Guimaraes ↑ 63'
- 42
- 6
- 32
- 18
- 34
- 40
- 37
-
31
Luis Guilherme ↑ 63'
Coach
Abel Ferreira
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
- 7
- –
- 4
- 40
-
21
Vinicius Mingotti ↓ Everaldo 61'
-
–
Luciano Juba ↓ Camilo Candido 61'
-
79
Matheus Bahia ↓ Lucas Mugni 46'
- 26
-
34
Raul Gustavo ↓ Diego Rosa 18'
- 5
- 3
Bench
- 28
- 20
- 1
- 18
-
19
Lucas Mugni ↑ 46'
-
9
Everaldo ↑ 61'
- 33
- 29
-
10
Gabriel Teixeira ↑ 61'
-
–
Camilo Candido ↑ 61'
-
17
Diego Rosa ↑ 18'
Coach
Rogério Ceni
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Raphael Veiga | 4 |
| Gilberto | 3 |
| Willian | 2 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez | 2 |
| Miguel Borja | 2 |
| Rony | 2 |
| Dudu | 2 |
| Arthur Caike | 1 |
Head to Head
SE Palmeiras Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2
SE Palmeiras xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.88
EC Bahia xG
I would bet for:
SE Palmeiras to win 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: SE Palmeiras win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.88
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 2.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 3.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
| ± 4.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
Double Chance
SE Palmeiras or Draw
83%
Draw or EC Bahia
40%
SE Palmeiras or EC Bahia
77%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: SE Palmeiras win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 0
11.1%
1 – 1
10.7%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
9.5%
0 – 0
7.3%
3 – 0
7.2%
3 – 1
6.4%
2 – 2
4.2%
0 – 1
4.2%
1 – 2
4.2%
4 – 0
3.6%
4 – 1
3.3%
Asian Handicap — SE Palmeiras
| Handicap | SE Palmeiras covers | Push | EC Bahia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -2 | 19% | 19% | 61% |
| -1.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| -1 | 39% | 24% | 38% |
| -0.5 | 62% | — | 38% |
| +0.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +1 | 85% | 10% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
42%
✗
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.