SE Palmeiras vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
SE Palmeiras vs EC Bahia — Serie A at Allianz Parque.
- SE Palmeiras 18 games · 41 pts (2026/26)
- EC Bahia 17 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 18 | 41 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense FC | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | CA Paranaense | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | RB Bragantino | 18 | 29 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 17 | 26 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 18 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo FC | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | CA Mineiro | 18 | 24 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 18 | 24 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro EC | 18 | 24 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 17 | 22 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 17 | 22 |
| 14 | SC Internacional | 18 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos FC | 18 | 21 |
| 16 | Grêmio FBPA | 18 | 21 |
| 17 | CR Vasco da Gama | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Clube do Remo | 18 | 18 |
| 19 | Mirassol FC | 17 | 16 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 17 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct | EC Bahia | H | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Oct | Sao Paulo FC | H | 5–0 | W |
| 22 Oct | Coritiba FBC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Oct | CA Mineiro | H | 0–2 | L |
| 08 Oct | Santos FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 06 Oct | CA Boca Juniors | H | 3–5 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct | SE Palmeiras | A | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Oct | Cruzeiro EC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 21 Oct | Fortaleza EC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Oct | SC Internacional | H | 1–0 | W |
| 07 Oct | Goiás EC | A | 6–4 | W |
| 30 Sep | CR Flamengo | A | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| SE Palmeiras | EC Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Position | #6 |
| 41 | Points | 26 |
| 18 | Played | 17 |
| 12 / 5 / 1 | W / D / L | 7 / 5 / 5 |
| 30 | Scored | 25 |
| 13 | Conceded | 23 |
| +17 | GD | +2 |
| 2.28 | PPG | 1.53 |
| 67% | Win % | 41% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
39%
Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season
SE Palmeiras this season
35%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
SE Palmeiras are 1st (41 pts). EC Bahia are 6th (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
SE Palmeiras
0-15
1/2
16-30
3/1
31-45
3/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
1/–
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
SE Palmeiras
| Jose Manuel Lopez | 6 G | 3 A |
| Allan | 4 G | 2 A |
| Gustavo Gomez | 3 G | |
| Jhon Arias | 3 G | |
| Vitor Roque | 3 G |
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 7 G | 1 A |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for SE Palmeiras to score. At the same time, EC Bahia does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' SE Palmeiras has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
- 9' Nicolas Acevedo picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 14' The travelling EC Bahia supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 18' The EC Bahia bench stirs into life. Raul Gustavo is withdrawn and Diego Rosa gets his opportunity.
- 23' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 28' Over 28 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 33' EC Bahia come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 38' What composure from Raphael Veiga! The Brazil international strokes it home. 1-0.
- 43' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 45' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Kanu.
- 46' The supporters are chanting for Lucas Mugni. He replaces Matheus Bahia on 46 minute.
- 50' SE Palmeiras receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 50.
- 55' SE Palmeiras started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 55.
- 60' EC Bahia have won 348 goals from 325 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 61' Another change for EC Bahia made on 61 minute. Ademir Santos leaves to be changed by Gabriel Teixeira.
- 63' Luis Guilherme gets the nod from SE Palmeiras. He replaces Endrick and will look to change the dynamic.
- 68' The home supporters are growing impatient. SE Palmeiras must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 71' Fresh legs for SE Palmeiras! Jailson comes on to replace Fabinho.
- 76' Lucas Mugni has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 77' EC Bahia receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 77.
- 81' The supporters are chanting for Rony. He replaces Breno Lopes on 81 minute.
- 86' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both SE Palmeiras and EC Bahia are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 90' That is a Red card for EC Bahia. Nicolas Acevedo will be fuming at that decision.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for SE Palmeiras players.
Lineups
SE Palmeiras Lineups
Starting XI
-
23
Raphael Veiga ↓ Artur Guimaraes 63'
- 21
-
12
Mayke ↓ Marcos Rocha 81'
- 15
-
19
Breno Lopes ↓ Rony 81'
- 13
- 26
- 22
- 35
-
9
Endrick ↓ Luis Guilherme 63'
- 27
Bench
-
30
Jailson ↑ 71'
-
10
Rony ↑ 81'
-
2
Marcos Rocha ↑ 81'
-
14
Artur Guimaraes ↑ 63'
- 42
- 6
- 32
- 18
- 34
- 40
- 37
-
31
Luis Guilherme ↑ 63'
Coach
Abel Ferreira
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
- 7
- –
- 4
- 40
-
21
Vinicius Mingotti ↓ Everaldo 61'
-
–
Luciano Juba ↓ Camilo Candido 61'
-
79
Matheus Bahia ↓ Lucas Mugni 46'
- 26
-
34
Raul Gustavo ↓ Diego Rosa 18'
- 5
- 3
Bench
- 28
- 20
- 1
- 18
-
19
Lucas Mugni ↑ 46'
-
9
Everaldo ↑ 61'
- 33
- 29
-
10
Gabriel Teixeira ↑ 61'
-
–
Camilo Candido ↑ 61'
-
17
Diego Rosa ↑ 18'
Coach
Rogério Ceni
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Raphael Veiga | 4 |
| Gilberto | 3 |
| Dudu | 2 |
| Willian | 2 |
| Miguel Borja | 2 |
| Rony | 2 |
| Felipe Melo | 1 |
| Gustavo Scarpa | 1 |
Head to Head
SE Palmeiras Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.93
SE Palmeiras xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.9
EC Bahia xG
I would bet for:
SE Palmeiras to win 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: SE Palmeiras win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.83
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 2.5 | 53% |
|
47% |
| ± 3.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
| ± 4.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
Double Chance
SE Palmeiras or Draw
82%
Draw or EC Bahia
42%
SE Palmeiras or EC Bahia
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: SE Palmeiras win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11%
2 – 0
10.8%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
9.5%
0 – 0
7.6%
3 – 0
6.8%
3 – 1
6.2%
0 – 1
4.5%
1 – 2
4.4%
2 – 2
4.3%
4 – 0
3.3%
4 – 1
3.1%
Asian Handicap — SE Palmeiras
| Handicap | SE Palmeiras covers | Push | EC Bahia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -2 | 18% | 19% | 64% |
| -1.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| -1 | 36% | 24% | 40% |
| -0.5 | 60% | — | 40% |
| +0.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +1 | 84% | 10% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
41%
✗
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

