SE Palmeiras vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
SE Palmeiras vs EC Bahia — Serie A at Allianz Parque.
- SE Palmeiras 28 games · 57 pts (2026/26)
- EC Bahia 28 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct | EC Bahia | H | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Oct | Sao Paulo FC | H | 5–0 | W |
| 22 Oct | Coritiba FBC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Oct | CA Mineiro | H | 0–2 | L |
| 08 Oct | Santos FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 06 Oct | CA Boca Juniors | H | 3–5 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct | SE Palmeiras | A | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Oct | Cruzeiro EC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 21 Oct | Fortaleza EC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Oct | SC Internacional | H | 1–0 | W |
| 07 Oct | Goiás EC | A | 6–4 | W |
| 30 Sep | CR Flamengo | A | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| SE Palmeiras | EC Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| #2 | Position | #5 |
| 57 | Points | 46 |
| 28 | Played | 28 |
| 16 / 9 / 3 | W / D / L | 12 / 10 / 6 |
| 47 | Scored | 43 |
| 21 | Conceded | 35 |
| +26 | GD | +8 |
| 2.04 | PPG | 1.64 |
| 57% | Win % | 43% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
43%
Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season
SE Palmeiras this season
36%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
SE Palmeiras are 2nd (57 pts). EC Bahia are 5th (46 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
SE Palmeiras
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/1
31-45
5/1
46-60
5/4
61-75
6/1
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/6
31-45
7/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/4
76+
7/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
SE Palmeiras
| Jose Manuel Lopez | 8 G | 4 A |
| Mauricio | 7 G | 1 A |
| Vitor Roque | 5 G | |
| Allan | 4 G | 3 A |
| Gustavo Gomez | 4 G | 2 A |
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 9 G | 1 A |
| Jean Lucas | 4 G | 3 A |
| Erick | 4 G | |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — SE Palmeiras and EC Bahia get this one started.
- 5' It’s high time Rogério Ceni made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 9' That is a Yellow card for EC Bahia. Nicolas Acevedo will be fuming at that decision.
- 14' SE Palmeiras currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 18' A tactical swap from EC Bahia — Diego Rosa on, Raul Gustavo off on 18 minutes.
- 23' It is a cagey affair so far. SE Palmeiras in their trying to find a way past EC Bahia's compact .
- 28' Marcos Felipe needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 33' It looks like no one’s ball. EC Bahia is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 38' Raphael Veiga does the damage! The net is bulging and SE Palmeiras surge ahead!
- 43' The energy levels are beginning to show. Rogério Ceni might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 45' EC Bahia player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 46' Lucas Mugni has so much to prove this time. He replaces Matheus Bahia on 46 minute.
- 50' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Fabinho.
- 55' EC Bahia fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 60' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with SE Palmeiras winning 100% of all matches.
- 61' EC Bahia manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Gabriel Teixeira is hanging Ademir Santos on the field on 61 minute.
- 63' SE Palmeiras make a change. Endrick trudges off to be replaced by Luis Guilherme on 63 minutes.
- 68' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 71' Jailson is replacing Fabinho for the SE Palmeiras side.
- 76' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His SE Palmeiras side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 77' A moment of madness from Everaldo on 77 minutes earns him a Yellow card. EC Bahia will be frustrated.
- 81' SE Palmeiras make a change. Breno Lopes trudges off to be replaced by Rony on 81 minutes.
- 86' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 90' The referee has no hesitation. Nicolas Acevedo is booked for EC Bahia — Red card on 90.
- The final score is 1-0.
Lineups
SE Palmeiras Lineups
Starting XI
-
23
Raphael Veiga ↓ Artur Guimaraes 63'
- 21
-
12
Mayke ↓ Marcos Rocha 81'
- 15
-
19
Breno Lopes ↓ Rony 81'
- 13
- 26
- 22
- 35
-
9
Endrick ↓ Luis Guilherme 63'
- 27
Bench
-
30
Jailson ↑ 71'
-
10
Rony ↑ 81'
-
2
Marcos Rocha ↑ 81'
-
14
Artur Guimaraes ↑ 63'
- 42
- 6
- 32
- 18
- 34
- 40
- 37
-
31
Luis Guilherme ↑ 63'
Coach
Abel Ferreira
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
- 7
- –
- 4
- 40
-
21
Vinicius Mingotti ↓ Everaldo 61'
-
–
Luciano Juba ↓ Camilo Candido 61'
-
79
Matheus Bahia ↓ Lucas Mugni 46'
- 26
-
34
Raul Gustavo ↓ Diego Rosa 18'
- 5
- 3
Bench
- 28
- 20
- 1
- 18
-
19
Lucas Mugni ↑ 46'
-
9
Everaldo ↑ 61'
- 33
- 29
-
10
Gabriel Teixeira ↑ 61'
-
–
Camilo Candido ↑ 61'
-
17
Diego Rosa ↑ 18'
Coach
Rogério Ceni
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Raphael Veiga | 4 |
| Gilberto | 3 |
| Dudu | 2 |
| Willian | 2 |
| Miguel Borja | 2 |
| Rony | 2 |
| Felipe Melo | 1 |
| Gustavo Scarpa | 1 |
Head to Head
SE Palmeiras Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.86
SE Palmeiras xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.93
EC Bahia xG
I would bet for:
SE Palmeiras to win 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: SE Palmeiras win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.79
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 2.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 3.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
| ± 4.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
Double Chance
SE Palmeiras or Draw
81%
Draw or EC Bahia
43%
SE Palmeiras or EC Bahia
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: SE Palmeiras win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.4%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
10.4%
2 – 1
9.5%
0 – 0
7.9%
3 – 0
6.3%
3 – 1
5.9%
0 – 1
4.8%
1 – 2
4.7%
2 – 2
4.5%
4 – 0
3%
3 – 2
2.9%
Asian Handicap — SE Palmeiras
| Handicap | SE Palmeiras covers | Push | EC Bahia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -2 | 16% | 18% | 66% |
| -1.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| -1 | 34% | 24% | 42% |
| -0.5 | 58% | — | 42% |
| +0.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +1 | 83% | 11% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 4% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
40%
✗
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.