EC Bahia vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Bahia vs Fluminense FC — Serie A at Arena Fonte Nova.
- EC Bahia 34 games · 53 pts (2026/26)
- Fluminense FC 34 games · 57 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 34 | 76 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro EC | 34 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 34 | 57 |
| 5 | CA Paranaense | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 34 | 53 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 34 | 50 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos FC | 34 | 47 |
| 10 | São Paulo FC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo FR | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba FBC | 34 | 42 |
| 13 | CR Vasco da Gama | 33 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol FC | 34 | 40 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 34 | 38 |
| 16 | EC Vitoria | 34 | 38 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 34 | 37 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 34 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 33 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct | Fluminense FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 28 Oct | SE Palmeiras | A | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Oct | Cruzeiro EC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 21 Oct | Fortaleza EC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Oct | SC Internacional | H | 1–0 | W |
| 07 Oct | Goiás EC | A | 6–4 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct | EC Bahia | A | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Oct | CA Mineiro | A | 0–2 | L |
| 25 Oct | Goiás EC | H | 5–3 | W |
| 22 Oct | RB Bragantino | A | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Oct | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 3–3 | D |
| 08 Oct | Botafogo FR | H | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| EC Bahia | Fluminense FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #4 |
| 53 | Points | 57 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 14 / 11 / 9 | W / D / L | 16 / 9 / 9 |
| 50 | Scored | 55 |
| 45 | Conceded | 42 |
| +5 | GD | +13 |
| 1.56 | PPG | 1.68 |
| 41% | Win % | 47% |
Key Stats
44%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
32%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
24%
Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
Fluminense FC this season
EC Bahia are 6th (53 pts). Fluminense FC are 4th (57 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
5/3
16-30
4/6
31-45
10/7
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/7
76+
9/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fluminense FC
0-15
2/4
16-30
6/1
31-45
6/5
46-60
4/9
61-75
5/6
76+
18/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 11 G | 2 A |
| Jean Lucas | 4 G | 4 A |
| Erick | 4 G | |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Fluminense FC
| John Kennedy | 9 G | 1 A |
| Hulk | 7 G | 6 A |
| Jefferson Savarino | 7 G | 2 A |
| Luciano Acosta | 6 G | 5 A |
| Agustin Canobbio | 6 G | 4 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at Arena Fonte Nova as EC Bahia face off against Fluminense FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 5' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Fluminense FC winning 0% of all matches.
- 10' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 15' Fluminense FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 15.
- 20' The energy levels are beginning to show. Fernando Diniz might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 21' It’s a booking for Fluminense FC player. Thiago Santos gets a Yellow card.
- 26' Fluminense FC is showing some good football. However, Fluminense FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 31' Gabriel Teixeira has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 40 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 36' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 40' Everaldo is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 2 goals this season for the .
- 45' Brazil international Thaciano has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 48' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Gilberto.
- 53' It’s high time Fernando Diniz made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 58' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Yago Felipe made 188 appearances and scored 11 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 62' Gabriel Teixeira makes way for Ademir Santos at the 62 minute mark. A tactical switch from EC Bahia.
- 66' The Fluminense FC manager makes a substitution. Giovanni departs to be replaced by Isaac.
- 71' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Fluminense FC that had 404 games and scored 443 goals.
- 76' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 79' The crowd applauds Felipe as he leaves the pitch. Arthur Wenderroscky steps in for Fluminense FC.
- 80' The whistle greets Thaciano as he departs to be replaced by Luciano Juba.
- 85' It is a cagey affair so far. EC Bahia in their trying to find a way past Fluminense FC's compact .
- 90' The crowd applauds Alexsander Gomes as he leaves the pitch. Rafael Monteiro steps in for Fluminense FC.
- 90' EC Bahia player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from EC Bahia to claim maximum points.
Lineups
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
-
28
Thaciano ↓ Luciano Juba 80'
-
20
Yago Felipe ↓ Leo Cittadini 90'
- 2
- –
- 4
-
8
Cauly ↓ Diego Rosa 79'
- 31
-
9
Everaldo ↓ Vinicius Mingotti 79'
- 10
- 5
- –
Bench
-
7
Ademir Santos ↑ 62'
-
18
Leo Cittadini ↑ 90'
- 19
- 40
- 29
-
21
Vinicius Mingotti ↑ 79'
-
–
Luciano Juba ↑ 80'
- 79
- 35
- 44
-
17
Diego Rosa ↑ 79'
- 3
Coach
Rogério Ceni
Fluminense FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 44
- 98
- 29
- 23
- 38
- 19
- 20
- 5
- 37
- 99
-
13
Felipe ↓ Arthur Wenderroscky 79'
Bench
- –
-
47
Rafael Monteiro ↑ 90'
-
–
Joao Neto ↑ 79'
-
32
Isaac ↑ 66'
- 41
-
28
Arthur Wenderroscky ↑ 79'
- 42
- –
- 46
- 40
- 52
Coach
Fernando Diniz
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| German Cano | 3 |
| Edigar Junio | 2 |
| Pedro | 2 |
| Lucca | 2 |
| Gilberto | 2 |
| Gilberto | 2 |
| Nene | 2 |
| Elias Kaua | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Bahia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.36
EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.97
Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: EC Bahia win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.33
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 2.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 3.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
EC Bahia or Draw
76%
Draw or Fluminense FC
52%
EC Bahia or Fluminense FC
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: EC Bahia win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.7%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
11.9%
2 – 0
8.7%
2 – 1
8.5%
0 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
6%
0 – 2
4.4%
2 – 2
4.2%
3 – 0
3.9%
3 – 1
3.9%
3 – 2
2%
Asian Handicap — EC Bahia
| Handicap | EC Bahia covers | Push | Fluminense FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 13% | 79% |
| -1.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -1 | 21% | 23% | 56% |
| -0.5 | 44% | — | 56% |
| +0.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +1 | 75% | 16% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
39%
✗
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.