EC Bahia vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Bahia vs Fluminense FC — Serie A at Arena Fonte Nova.
- EC Bahia 22 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
- Fluminense FC 23 games · 38 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 23 | 48 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 21 | 42 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 23 | 41 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 23 | 38 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 22 | 33 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 22 | 33 |
| 7 | RB Bragantino | 22 | 32 |
| 8 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 22 | 32 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 23 | 31 |
| 10 | Botafogo FR | 21 | 30 |
| 11 | CA Mineiro | 21 | 29 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo FC | 22 | 27 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 22 | 26 |
| 14 | Gremio FBPA | 21 | 25 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 22 | 23 |
| 16 | Mirassol FC | 21 | 23 |
| 17 | Santos FC | 21 | 22 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 21 | 22 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 22 | 22 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 21 | 10 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct | Fluminense FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 28 Oct | SE Palmeiras | A | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Oct | Cruzeiro EC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 21 Oct | Fortaleza EC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Oct | SC Internacional | H | 1–0 | W |
| 07 Oct | Goiás EC | A | 6–4 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct | EC Bahia | A | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Oct | CA Mineiro | A | 0–2 | L |
| 25 Oct | Goiás EC | H | 5–3 | W |
| 22 Oct | RB Bragantino | A | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Oct | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 3–3 | D |
| 08 Oct | Botafogo FR | H | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| EC Bahia | Fluminense FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #4 |
| 33 | Points | 38 |
| 22 | Played | 23 |
| 8 / 9 / 5 | W / D / L | 10 / 8 / 5 |
| 29 | Scored | 34 |
| 25 | Conceded | 28 |
| +4 | GD | +6 |
| 1.50 | PPG | 1.65 |
| 36% | Win % | 43% |
Key Stats
44%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
41%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
22%
Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
Fluminense FC this season
EC Bahia are 5th (33 pts). Fluminense FC are 4th (38 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
2/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
3/4
46-60
2/–
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fluminense FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
3/1
31-45
4/3
46-60
3/3
61-75
1/3
76+
9/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 7 G | 1 A |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Fluminense FC
| John Kennedy | 9 G | 1 A |
| Agustin Canobbio | 4 G | 2 A |
| Luciano Acosta | 3 G | 4 A |
| Jefferson Savarino | 3 G | 2 A |
| Rodrigo Castillo | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Arena Fonte Nova will turn into a battlefield for EC Bahia and Fluminense FC.
- 5' EC Bahia are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Fluminense FC backline.
- 10' Leonardo Fernandez needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 15' Fluminense FC have won 417 goals from 389 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 20' It’s high time Fernando Diniz made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 21' The referee shows Fluminense FC player a Yellow card on 21.
- 26' Fluminense FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 31' Brazil international Yago Felipe has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 36' Vitor Eudes, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 40' Against the run of play, Everaldo has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 45' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 48' EC Bahia receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 48.
- 53' The energy levels are beginning to show. Fernando Diniz might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 58' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 58 minutes.
- 62' A tactical swap from EC Bahia — Ademir Santos on, Gabriel Teixeira off on 62 minutes.
- 66' Isaac is ready to make an impact after coming on for Giovanni at the 66 minute mark.
- 71' Fluminense FC looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
- 76' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Fluminense FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 79' The whistle greets Felipe as he departs to be replaced by Arthur Wenderroscky.
- 80' EC Bahia manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Luciano Juba is hanging Thaciano on the field on 80 minute.
- 85' It is a cagey affair so far. EC Bahia in their trying to find a way past Fluminense FC's compact .
- 90' Fresh legs for Fluminense FC! Rafael Monteiro comes on to replace Alexsander Gomes.
- 90' Kanu was booked on 90.
- That’s it! Another goalless match for EC Bahia and Fluminense FC (для сухой ничьи).
Lineups
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
-
28
Thaciano ↓ Luciano Juba 80'
-
20
Yago Felipe ↓ Leo Cittadini 90'
- 2
- –
- 4
-
8
Cauly ↓ Diego Rosa 79'
- 31
-
9
Everaldo ↓ Vinicius Mingotti 79'
- 10
- 5
- –
Bench
-
7
Ademir Santos ↑ 62'
-
18
Leo Cittadini ↑ 90'
- 19
- 40
- 29
-
21
Vinicius Mingotti ↑ 79'
-
–
Luciano Juba ↑ 80'
- 79
- 35
- 44
-
17
Diego Rosa ↑ 79'
- 3
Coach
Rogério Ceni
Fluminense FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 44
- 98
- 29
- 23
- 38
- 19
- 20
- 5
- 37
- 99
-
13
Felipe ↓ Arthur Wenderroscky 79'
Bench
- –
-
47
Rafael Monteiro ↑ 90'
-
–
Joao Neto ↑ 79'
-
32
Isaac ↑ 66'
- 41
-
28
Arthur Wenderroscky ↑ 79'
- 42
- –
- 46
- 40
- 52
Coach
Fernando Diniz
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| German Cano | 3 |
| Gilberto | 2 |
| Nene | 2 |
| Edigar Junio | 2 |
| Pedro | 2 |
| Lucca | 2 |
| Gilberto | 2 |
| Facundo Bernal | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Bahia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.3
EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.83
Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 64% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: EC Bahia win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.13
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 1.5 | 63% |
|
37% |
| ± 2.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
| ± 3.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
| ± 4.5 | 7% |
|
93% |
Double Chance
EC Bahia or Draw
78%
Draw or Fluminense FC
51%
EC Bahia or Fluminense FC
71%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: EC Bahia win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
14.3%
1 – 1
13.7%
2 – 0
9.7%
0 – 1
8.6%
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
5.1%
3 – 0
4.1%
0 – 2
3.9%
3 – 1
3.6%
2 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
1.6%
Asian Handicap — EC Bahia
| Handicap | EC Bahia covers | Push | Fluminense FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 14% | 78% |
| -1.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 24% | 54% |
| -0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +0.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +1 | 78% | 15% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
44%
✗
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.