EC Bahia vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Bahia vs Fluminense FC — Serie A at Arena Fonte Nova.
- EC Bahia 17 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
- Fluminense FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 18 | 41 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense FC | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | CA Paranaense | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | RB Bragantino | 18 | 29 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 17 | 26 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 18 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo FC | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | CA Mineiro | 18 | 24 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 18 | 24 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro EC | 18 | 24 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 17 | 22 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 17 | 22 |
| 14 | SC Internacional | 18 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos FC | 18 | 21 |
| 16 | Grêmio FBPA | 18 | 21 |
| 17 | CR Vasco da Gama | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Clube do Remo | 18 | 18 |
| 19 | Mirassol FC | 17 | 16 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 17 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct | Fluminense FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 28 Oct | SE Palmeiras | A | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Oct | Cruzeiro EC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 21 Oct | Fortaleza EC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Oct | SC Internacional | H | 1–0 | W |
| 07 Oct | Goiás EC | A | 6–4 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct | EC Bahia | A | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Oct | CA Mineiro | A | 0–2 | L |
| 25 Oct | Goiás EC | H | 5–3 | W |
| 22 Oct | RB Bragantino | A | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Oct | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 3–3 | D |
| 08 Oct | Botafogo FR | H | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| EC Bahia | Fluminense FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #3 |
| 26 | Points | 31 |
| 17 | Played | 18 |
| 7 / 5 / 5 | W / D / L | 9 / 4 / 5 |
| 25 | Scored | 28 |
| 23 | Conceded | 23 |
| +2 | GD | +5 |
| 1.53 | PPG | 1.72 |
| 41% | Win % | 50% |
Key Stats
47%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
24%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
35%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
22%
Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
Fluminense FC this season
EC Bahia are 6th (26 pts). Fluminense FC are 3rd (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
1/–
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fluminense FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/–
31-45
3/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
–/3
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 7 G | 1 A |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Fluminense FC
| John Kennedy | 9 G | 1 A |
| Agustin Canobbio | 4 G | 1 A |
| Luciano Acosta | 3 G | 4 A |
| Jefferson Savarino | 3 G | 2 A |
| Rodrigo Castillo | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and EC Bahia launch into their encounter with Fluminense FC.
- 5' Fluminense FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 10' Cauly has been relatively quiet despite scoring 14 goals in his last 145 appearances.
- 15' Fluminense FC looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
- 20' Yony Gonzalez needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 21' Thiago Santos is having his name booked by the referee on 21.
- 26' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both EC Bahia and Fluminense FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 31' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Fernando Diniz will be considering his options from the bench.
- 36' Fluminense FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 36.
- 40' What a moment for Everaldo! That strike on 40 puts his side firmly in control.
- 45' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 48' Gilberto catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 48.
- 53' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 53 minutes.
- 58' Lele has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 62' The whistle greets Gabriel Teixeira as he departs to be replaced by Ademir Santos.
- 66' Fluminense FC make a change. Giovanni trudges off to be replaced by Isaac on 66 minutes.
- 71' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 76' Arthur Wenderroscky has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 24 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 79' Fluminense FC ring the changes. Felipe has done his job and it is now time for Arthur Wenderroscky to step up.
- 80' The EC Bahia manager makes a substitution. Thaciano departs to be replaced by Luciano Juba.
- 85' Fluminense FC have won 415 goals from 386 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 90' Time for substitution for Fluminense FC. Alexsander Gomes is replaced by Rafael Monteiro.
- 90' That is a Yellow card for EC Bahia. Kanu will be fuming at that decision.
- Game over. The scoreline of 1-0 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
-
28
Thaciano ↓ Luciano Juba 80'
-
20
Yago Felipe ↓ Leo Cittadini 90'
- 2
- –
- 4
-
8
Cauly ↓ Diego Rosa 79'
- 31
-
9
Everaldo ↓ Vinicius Mingotti 79'
- 10
- 5
- –
Bench
-
7
Ademir Santos ↑ 62'
-
18
Leo Cittadini ↑ 90'
- 19
- 40
- 29
-
21
Vinicius Mingotti ↑ 79'
-
–
Luciano Juba ↑ 80'
- 79
- 35
- 44
-
17
Diego Rosa ↑ 79'
- 3
Coach
Rogério Ceni
Fluminense FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 44
- 98
- 29
- 23
- 38
- 19
- 20
- 5
- 37
- 99
-
13
Felipe ↓ Arthur Wenderroscky 79'
Bench
- –
-
47
Rafael Monteiro ↑ 90'
-
–
Joao Neto ↑ 79'
-
32
Isaac ↑ 66'
- 41
-
28
Arthur Wenderroscky ↑ 79'
- 42
- –
- 46
- 40
- 52
Coach
Fernando Diniz
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| German Cano | 3 |
| Gilberto | 2 |
| Nene | 2 |
| Edigar Junio | 2 |
| Pedro | 2 |
| Lucca | 2 |
| Gilberto | 2 |
| Facundo Bernal | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Bahia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.4
EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.96
Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: EC Bahia win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.36
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 2.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 3.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
EC Bahia or Draw
77%
Draw or Fluminense FC
51%
EC Bahia or Fluminense FC
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: EC Bahia win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.6%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
11.7%
2 – 0
8.9%
2 – 1
8.6%
0 – 1
7.9%
1 – 2
5.9%
0 – 2
4.2%
2 – 2
4.2%
3 – 0
4.1%
3 – 1
4%
3 – 2
2%
Asian Handicap — EC Bahia
| Handicap | EC Bahia covers | Push | Fluminense FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 14% | 78% |
| -1.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 23% | 55% |
| -0.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| +0.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +1 | 76% | 15% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
39%
✗
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.