EC Bahia vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Bahia vs Fluminense FC — Serie A at Arena Fonte Nova.
- EC Bahia 28 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
- Fluminense FC 28 games · 48 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct | Fluminense FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 28 Oct | SE Palmeiras | A | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Oct | Cruzeiro EC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 21 Oct | Fortaleza EC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Oct | SC Internacional | H | 1–0 | W |
| 07 Oct | Goiás EC | A | 6–4 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct | EC Bahia | A | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Oct | CA Mineiro | A | 0–2 | L |
| 25 Oct | Goiás EC | H | 5–3 | W |
| 22 Oct | RB Bragantino | A | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Oct | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 3–3 | D |
| 08 Oct | Botafogo FR | H | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| EC Bahia | Fluminense FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #4 |
| 46 | Points | 48 |
| 28 | Played | 28 |
| 12 / 10 / 6 | W / D / L | 13 / 9 / 6 |
| 43 | Scored | 44 |
| 35 | Conceded | 36 |
| +8 | GD | +8 |
| 1.64 | PPG | 1.71 |
| 43% | Win % | 46% |
Key Stats
44%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
36%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
21%
Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
Fluminense FC this season
EC Bahia are 5th (46 pts). Fluminense FC are 4th (48 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/6
31-45
7/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/4
76+
7/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fluminense FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
4/1
31-45
5/5
46-60
3/5
61-75
4/5
76+
14/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 9 G | 1 A |
| Jean Lucas | 4 G | 3 A |
| Erick | 4 G | |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Fluminense FC
| John Kennedy | 9 G | 1 A |
| Hulk | 7 G | 4 A |
| Agustin Canobbio | 5 G | 3 A |
| Luciano Acosta | 4 G | 5 A |
| Rodrigo Castillo | 4 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Arena Fonte Nova!
- 5' Thiago Santos has been relatively quiet despite scoring 8 goals in his last 393 appearances.
- 10' EC Bahia is showing some good football. However, EC Bahia are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 15' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 20' Fluminense FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 2 meetings.
- 21' The referee shows Fluminense FC player a Yellow card on 21.
- 26' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 31' Over 31 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 36' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 40' Everaldo adds to his 2 season tally! EC Bahia lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
- 45' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Fluminense FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 48' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Gilberto.
- 53' David Braz has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 24 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 58' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Arthur Wenderroscky suffering a number of foals already.
- 62' It is a substitution in EC Bahia team. Gabriel Teixeira is replaced by Ademir Santos on 62 minute.
- 66' It is a substitution in Fluminense FC team. Giovanni is replaced by Isaac on 66 minute.
- 71' With 0 assists to his name this season, Kanu is clearly more than just a goal scorer for EC Bahia.
- 76' EC Bahia currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 79' The crowd applauds Felipe as he leaves the pitch. Arthur Wenderroscky steps in for Fluminense FC.
- 80' EC Bahia make a change. Thaciano trudges off to be replaced by Luciano Juba on 80 minutes.
- 85' It looks like no one’s ball. Fluminense FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 90' It is a substitution in Fluminense FC team. Alexsander Gomes is replaced by Rafael Monteiro on 90 minute.
- 90' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Kanu.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Fluminense FC.
Lineups
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
-
28
Thaciano ↓ Luciano Juba 80'
-
20
Yago Felipe ↓ Leo Cittadini 90'
- 2
- –
- 4
-
8
Cauly ↓ Diego Rosa 79'
- 31
-
9
Everaldo ↓ Vinicius Mingotti 79'
- 10
- 5
- –
Bench
-
7
Ademir Santos ↑ 62'
-
18
Leo Cittadini ↑ 90'
- 19
- 40
- 29
-
21
Vinicius Mingotti ↑ 79'
-
–
Luciano Juba ↑ 80'
- 79
- 35
- 44
-
17
Diego Rosa ↑ 79'
- 3
Coach
Rogério Ceni
Fluminense FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 44
- 98
- 29
- 23
- 38
- 19
- 20
- 5
- 37
- 99
-
13
Felipe ↓ Arthur Wenderroscky 79'
Bench
- –
-
47
Rafael Monteiro ↑ 90'
-
–
Joao Neto ↑ 79'
-
32
Isaac ↑ 66'
- 41
-
28
Arthur Wenderroscky ↑ 79'
- 42
- –
- 46
- 40
- 52
Coach
Fernando Diniz
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| German Cano | 3 |
| Edigar Junio | 2 |
| Pedro | 2 |
| Lucca | 2 |
| Gilberto | 2 |
| Gilberto | 2 |
| Nene | 2 |
| Luiz Henrique | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Bahia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.43
EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.91
Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: EC Bahia win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.34
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 2.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 3.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
EC Bahia or Draw
78%
Draw or Fluminense FC
50%
EC Bahia or Fluminense FC
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: EC Bahia win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.4%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
11.8%
2 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
8.7%
0 – 1
7.6%
1 – 2
5.4%
3 – 0
4.5%
3 – 1
4.2%
2 – 2
4%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
2%
Asian Handicap — EC Bahia
| Handicap | EC Bahia covers | Push | Fluminense FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 15% | 76% |
| -1.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 24% | 52% |
| -0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +0.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +1 | 78% | 14% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
41%
✗
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.