Botafogo FR vs CA Mineiro, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Botafogo FR vs CA Mineiro — Serie A at Estadio Nilton Santos.
- Botafogo FR 28 games · 35 pts (2026/26)
- CA Mineiro 27 games · 40 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | CA Mineiro | H | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Sep | Mirassol FC | H | 3–3 | D |
| 14 Sep | Sao Paulo FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Aug | RB Bragantino | H | 4–1 | W |
| 24 Aug | EC Juventude | A | 3–1 | W |
| 17 Aug | SE Palmeiras | H | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | Botafogo FR | A | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Sep | Santos FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 31 Aug | EC Vitoria | A | 0–1 | L |
| 24 Aug | Sao Paulo FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 17 Aug | Gremio FBPA | H | 1–3 | L |
| 10 Aug | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Botafogo FR | CA Mineiro | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #7 |
| 35 | Points | 40 |
| 28 | Played | 27 |
| 9 / 8 / 11 | W / D / L | 11 / 7 / 9 |
| 41 | Scored | 36 |
| 45 | Conceded | 32 |
| -4 | GD | +4 |
| 1.25 | PPG | 1.48 |
| 32% | Win % | 41% |
Key Stats
33%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
18%
Clean Sheets
Botafogo FR this season
Botafogo FR this season
22%
Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season
CA Mineiro this season
Botafogo FR are 12th (35 pts). CA Mineiro are 7th (40 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Botafogo FR
0-15
5/5
16-30
2/4
31-45
4/4
46-60
4/3
61-75
4/3
76+
8/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CA Mineiro
0-15
2/3
16-30
6/–
31-45
5/4
46-60
1/2
61-75
8/5
76+
5/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Botafogo FR
| Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira | 9 G | 2 A |
| Arthur Cabral | 7 G | 1 A |
| Edenilson | 4 G | 2 A |
| Matheus Martins | 4 G |
CA Mineiro
| Tomas Cuello | 5 G | 2 A |
| Victor Hugo Gomes | 4 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Estadio Nilton Santos. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 7' Poor challenge from Lyanco. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 12' CA Mineiro have won 482 goals from 479 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 17' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 22' Newton has been relatively quiet despite scoring 2 goals in his last 348 appearances.
- 26' A moment of madness from Marlon Freitas on 26 minutes earns him a card. Botafogo FR will be frustrated.
- 31' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Botafogo FR and CA Mineiro are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 36' CA Mineiro seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 39' Botafogo FR player sees a card in front of him.
- 44' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Botafogo FR needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 45' A meaty challenge results in booking for Chris Ramos on 45.
- 46' The crowd applauds Lyanco as he leaves the pitch. Gustavo Scarpa steps in for CA Mineiro.
- 48' Santiago Rodriguez has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 48 minutes.
- 53' The home supporters are growing impatient. Botafogo FR must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 58' It looks surprising CA Mineiro does not make any changes. Guilherme Arana has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 63' Botafogo FR are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 68' The 27-year-old Igor Gomes has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
- 70' Time for substitution for CA Mineiro. Igor Gomes is replaced by Rony.
- 73' The supporters are chanting for Joaquin Correa. He replaces Jefferson Savarino on 73 minute.
- 76' Time for substitution for CA Mineiro. Natanael is replaced by Bernard.
- 81' With 0 assists to his name this season, Kaio Pantaleao is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Botafogo FR.
- 83' A moment of madness from Alvaro Montoro on 83 minutes earns him a card. Botafogo FR will be frustrated.
- 83' Cuiabano is replacing Alvaro Montoro for the Botafogo FR side.
- 88' Allan has so much to prove this time. He replaces Santiago Rodriguez on 88 minute.
- 90' Botafogo FR player sees a card in front of him.
- The points are shared — Botafogo FR 1-0 CA Mineiro. Honours even.
Lineups
Botafogo FR Lineups
Starting XI
- 21
- 10
- 31
- 2
- 20
- 17
-
23
Santiago Rodriguez ↓ Allan 88'
- 24
- 9
- 28
-
8
Alvaro Montoro ↓ Cuiabano 83'
Bench
-
25
Allan ↑ 88'
-
30
Joaquin Correa ↑ 73'
- 39
- 11
- 1
- 57
- 47
-
6
Cuiabano ↑ 83'
- 4
- 40
- 26
Coach
Davide Ancelotti
CA Mineiro Lineups
Starting XI
- 22
-
17
Igor Gomes ↓ Rony 70'
-
38
Caio Paulista ↓ Guilherme Arana 46'
- 6
-
4
Lyanco ↓ Gustavo Scarpa 46'
- 14
- 8
-
18
Reinier ↓ Junior Santos 76'
- 21
- 2
- 7
Bench
-
33
Rony ↑ 70'
- 92
-
10
Gustavo Scarpa ↑ 46'
-
37
Junior Santos ↑ 76'
-
11
Bernard ↑ 76'
-
13
Guilherme Arana ↑ 46'
- 25
- 77
- 1
- 23
- 31
Coach
Jorge Sampaoli
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Joao Victor | 2 |
| Juan Cazares | 2 |
| Gabriel | 2 |
| Luan | 2 |
| Diego Souza | 1 |
| Federico Zaracho | 1 |
| Arthur Cabral | 1 |
| Alex Santana | 1 |
Head to Head
Botafogo FR Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.56
Botafogo FR xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.08
CA Mineiro xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Botafogo FR win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.64
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 2.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
| ± 3.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
Botafogo FR or Draw
77%
Draw or CA Mineiro
49%
Botafogo FR or CA Mineiro
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.9%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
9.2%
2 – 1
9%
2 – 0
8.5%
0 – 1
6.7%
1 – 2
6.2%
2 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
4.7%
3 – 0
4.3%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 2
2.6%
Asian Handicap — Botafogo FR
| Handicap | Botafogo FR covers | Push | CA Mineiro covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 14% | 75% |
| -1.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -1 | 25% | 22% | 53% |
| -0.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| +0.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +1 | 75% | 15% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Botafogo FR keeps clean sheet
35%
✗
CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

