Botafogo FR vs CA Mineiro, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Botafogo FR vs CA Mineiro — Serie A at Estadio Nilton Santos.
- Botafogo FR 34 games · 42 pts (2026/26)
- CA Mineiro 34 games · 50 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 34 | 76 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro EC | 34 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 34 | 57 |
| 5 | CA Paranaense | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 34 | 53 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 34 | 50 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos FC | 34 | 47 |
| 10 | São Paulo FC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo FR | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba FBC | 34 | 42 |
| 13 | CR Vasco da Gama | 33 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol FC | 34 | 40 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 34 | 38 |
| 16 | EC Vitoria | 34 | 38 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 34 | 37 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 34 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 33 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | CA Mineiro | H | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Sep | Mirassol FC | H | 3–3 | D |
| 14 Sep | São Paulo FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Aug | RB Bragantino | H | 4–1 | W |
| 24 Aug | EC Juventude | A | 3–1 | W |
| 17 Aug | SE Palmeiras | H | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | Botafogo FR | A | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Sep | Santos FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 31 Aug | EC Vitoria | A | 0–1 | L |
| 24 Aug | São Paulo FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 17 Aug | Gremio FBPA | H | 1–3 | L |
| 10 Aug | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Botafogo FR | CA Mineiro | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #7 |
| 42 | Points | 50 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 11 / 9 / 14 | W / D / L | 14 / 8 / 12 |
| 46 | Scored | 44 |
| 53 | Conceded | 40 |
| -7 | GD | +4 |
| 1.24 | PPG | 1.47 |
| 32% | Win % | 41% |
Key Stats
32%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
H2H (19 games)
32%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
21%
Clean Sheets
Botafogo FR this season
Botafogo FR this season
24%
Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season
CA Mineiro this season
Botafogo FR are 11th (42 pts). CA Mineiro are 7th (50 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Botafogo FR
0-15
6/6
16-30
3/5
31-45
5/6
46-60
5/5
61-75
4/4
76+
9/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CA Mineiro
0-15
3/5
16-30
8/1
31-45
5/6
46-60
2/2
61-75
8/5
76+
9/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Botafogo FR
| Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira | 10 G | 2 A |
| Arthur Cabral | 7 G | 1 A |
| Edenilson | 6 G | 2 A |
| Matheus Martins | 4 G | 1 A |
CA Mineiro
| Bernard | 5 G | 4 A |
| Tomas Cuello | 5 G | 2 A |
| Victor Hugo Gomes | 4 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at Estadio Nilton Santos as Botafogo FR face off against CA Mineiro in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 5' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 7' Poor challenge from Lyanco. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 12' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 17' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 22' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Botafogo FR that had 358 games and scored 367 goals.
- 26' Marlon Freitas picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 31' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 36' Igor Gomes is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Botafogo FR so far.
- 39' A meaty challenge results in booking for Santiago Rodriguez on 39.
- 44' CA Mineiro started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 44.
- 45' Botafogo FR receives a card for a hard tackle on 45.
- 46' A change in the CA Mineiro ranks — Lyanco exits the field as Gustavo Scarpa enters on 46.
- 48' Santiago Rodriguez adds to his 5 season tally! Botafogo FR lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
- 53' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 58' Botafogo FR looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Arthur Cabral scoring 1 goals.
- 63' Supporters expect more eagerness from Gustavo Scarpa, as he is very good at scoring at Estadio Nilton Santos with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 68' The home supporters are growing impatient. Botafogo FR must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 70' CA Mineiro ring the changes. Igor Gomes has done his job and it is now time for Rony to step up.
- 73' A tactical swap from Botafogo FR — Joaquin Correa on, Jefferson Savarino off on 73 minutes.
- 76' The CA Mineiro bench stirs into life. Natanael is withdrawn and Bernard gets his opportunity.
- 81' It’s high time Jorge Sampaoli made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 83' Alvaro Montoro has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 83.
- 83' Cuiabano gets the nod from Botafogo FR. He replaces Alvaro Montoro and will look to change the dynamic.
- 88' The Botafogo FR manager makes a substitution. Santiago Rodriguez departs to be replaced by Allan.
- 90' Leo Linck is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
- With this win, Botafogo FR is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
Botafogo FR Lineups
Starting XI
- 21
- 10
- 31
- 2
- 20
- 17
-
23
Santiago Rodriguez ↓ Allan 88'
- 24
- 9
- 28
-
8
Alvaro Montoro ↓ Cuiabano 83'
Bench
-
25
Allan ↑ 88'
-
30
Joaquin Correa ↑ 73'
- 39
- 11
- 1
- 57
- 47
-
6
Cuiabano ↑ 83'
- 4
- 40
- 26
Coach
Davide Ancelotti
CA Mineiro Lineups
Starting XI
- 22
-
17
Igor Gomes ↓ Rony 70'
-
38
Caio Paulista ↓ Guilherme Arana 46'
- 6
-
4
Lyanco ↓ Gustavo Scarpa 46'
- 14
- 8
-
18
Reinier ↓ Junior Santos 76'
- 21
- 2
- 7
Bench
-
33
Rony ↑ 70'
- 92
-
10
Gustavo Scarpa ↑ 46'
-
37
Junior Santos ↑ 76'
-
11
Bernard ↑ 76'
-
13
Guilherme Arana ↑ 46'
- 25
- 77
- 1
- 23
- 31
Coach
Jorge Sampaoli
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Joao Victor | 2 |
| Juan Cazares | 2 |
| Gabriel | 2 |
| Luan | 2 |
| Caio Alexandre | 1 |
| Paulinho | 1 |
| Juan Cazares | 1 |
| Jefferson Savarino | 1 |
Head to Head
Botafogo FR Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.49
Botafogo FR xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.03
CA Mineiro xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Botafogo FR win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.52
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 2.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 3.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
Botafogo FR or Draw
77%
Draw or CA Mineiro
49%
Botafogo FR or CA Mineiro
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.2%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
10.1%
2 – 1
8.9%
2 – 0
8.7%
0 – 1
7.2%
1 – 2
6.1%
2 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
4.5%
3 – 0
4.3%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 2
2.4%
Asian Handicap — Botafogo FR
| Handicap | Botafogo FR covers | Push | CA Mineiro covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 14% | 76% |
| -1.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 23% | 54% |
| -0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +0.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +1 | 75% | 15% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Botafogo FR keeps clean sheet
36%
✗
CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.