Gamba Osaka vs Nagoya Grampus, 2018

Refresh

J. League · 2018

Gamba Osaka

2 – 3

Full Time

Nagoya Grampus

Sat 24 Feb 2018 · 05:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Gamba Osaka vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League .

Gamba Osaka 18 games · 28 pts (2026/26)
Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)

Match Details

Referee Takuto Okabe
Referee Isao Nishihashi
Referee Yoji Imaoka
Referee Hirokazu Otsubo

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Gamba Osaka 24 games · Avg 3.0 goals Nagoya Grampus

Last 5 meetings

2018-02-24 Gamba Osaka 2–3 Nagoya Grampus 2017-12-02 Gamba Osaka 1–3 Nagoya Grampus 2017-04-15 Gamba Osaka 2–1 Nagoya Grampus 2016-12-03 Nagoya Grampus 3–1 Gamba Osaka 2016-04-30 Gamba Osaka 1–1 Nagoya Grampus

Recent Form

Gamba Osaka

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
24 Feb	Nagoya Grampus	H	2–3	L
19 Feb	Vissel Kobe	H	1–2	L
09 Feb	Shimizu S-Pulse	A	2–0	W
04 Feb	Urawa Red Diamonds	H	1–2	L
30 Jan	Vegalta Sendai	A	0–3	L
20 Jan	Kashima Antlers	A	0–1	L

Nagoya Grampus

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
24 Feb	Gamba Osaka	A	3–2	W
23 Feb	Sagan Tosu FC	H	0–0	D
18 Feb	Kashima Antlers	A	0–5	L
10 Feb	V-Varen Nagasaki	H	3–0	W
03 Feb	Kashiwa Reysol	A	1–5	L
29 Jan	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	A	1–4	L

Season Stats

Gamba Osaka		Nagoya Grampus
#5	Position	#3
28	Points	31
18	Played	18
10 / 0 / 8	W / D / L	10 / 0 / 8
61	Scored	46
53	Conceded	44
+8	GD	+2
1.56	PPG	1.72
56%	Win %	56%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)

58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

22% Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season

28% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

Gamba Osaka are 5th (28 pts). Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gamba Osaka

0-15

2/1

16-30

2/–

31-45

1/4

46-60

1/1

61-75

3/2

76+

5/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Nagoya Grampus

0-15

2/1

16-30

2/4

31-45

5/4

46-60

4/3

61-75

3/1

76+

4/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' And we are off! Gamba Osaka vs Nagoya Grampus — let the football do the talking.
5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
10' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
15' Aria Hasegawa, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
20' Hiroki Fujiharu has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
25' The home supporters are growing impatient. Gamba Osaka must find a spark to ignite this game.
30' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Gamba Osaka that had 403 games and scored 377 goals.
35' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
40' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Gamba Osaka and Nagoya Grampus are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
45' Masaaki Higashiguchi has been relatively quiet despite scoring 1 goals in his last 403 appearances.
50' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
55' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Nagoya Grampus needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
60' It looks surprising Gamba Osaka does not make any changes. Shun Nagasawa has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
65' It’s high time Yahiro Kazama made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
70' Gamba Osaka started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 70.
75' Nagoya Grampus fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
80' Both keepers have barely been tested. Gamba Osaka and Nagoya Grampus are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
85' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Nagoya Grampus winning 50% of all matches.
90' Nagoya Grampus has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
Another three points for Nagoya Grampus.

Lineups

Gamba Osaka Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Levir Culpi

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Yahiro Kazama

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Jo	4
Jo	4
Patric	3
Ademilson	3
Takeru Kishimoto	2
Takashi Usami	2
Yoichiro Kakitani	2
Isa Sakamoto	2

Head to Head

Gamba Osaka Form

2018-02-24 Gamba Osaka 2–3 Nagoya Grampus L 2018-02-19 Gamba Osaka 1–2 Vissel Kobe L 2018-02-09 Shimizu S-Pulse 0–2 Gamba Osaka W 2018-02-04 Gamba Osaka 1–2 Urawa Red Diamonds L 2018-01-30 Vegalta Sendai 3–0 Gamba Osaka L 2018-01-20 Kashima Antlers 1–0 Gamba Osaka L

Nagoya Grampus Form

2018-02-24 Gamba Osaka 2–3 Nagoya Grampus W 2018-02-23 Nagoya Grampus 0–0 Sagan Tosu FC D 2018-02-18 Kashima Antlers 5–0 Nagoya Grampus L 2018-02-10 Nagoya Grampus 3–0 V-Varen Nagasaki W 2018-02-03 Kashiwa Reysol 5–1 Nagoya Grampus L 2018-01-29 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4–1 Nagoya Grampus L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

3.29 Gamba Osaka xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.72 Nagoya Grampus xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 93% + Both teams to score 89%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Gamba Osaka44% Draw20% Nagoya Grampus36%

Actual: Nagoya Grampus win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes89% 0% No11%

Avg goals/match: 6.01

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	99%	1%
± 1.5	98%	2%
± 2.5	93%	7%
± 3.5	83%	17%
± 4.5	69%	31%

Double Chance

Gamba Osaka or Draw

64%

Draw or Nagoya Grampus

56%

Gamba Osaka or Nagoya Grampus

80%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Gamba Osaka41% Draw30% Nagoya Grampus29%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

3 – 2

5.3%

2 – 2

3 – 3

4.7%

2 – 3

Actual

4 – 2

4.3%

3 – 1

4.1%

4 – 3

3.9%

2 – 1

3.8%

4 – 1

3.3%

3 – 4

3.2%

1 – 2

3.2%

2 – 4

Asian Handicap — Gamba Osaka

Handicap	Gamba Osaka covers	Push	Nagoya Grampus covers
-2.5	20%	—	80%
-2	20%	14%	66%
-1.5	34%	—	66%
-1	34%	16%	50%
-0.5	50%	—	50%
+0.5	67%	—	33%
+1	67%	14%	20%
+1.5	80%	—	20%
+2	80%	10%	10%
+2.5	90%	—	10%

Clean Sheet

Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet

7% ✓

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet

4% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.