Kashima Antlers vs Gamba Osaka, 2017

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Primeira Liga 2017/18 · 2017

Kashima Antlers

1 – 0

Full Time

Gamba Osaka

Sat 20 Jan 2018 · 16:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Kashima Antlers vs Gamba Osaka — Primeira Liga .

Kashima Antlers 0 games · 0 pts
Gamba Osaka 0 games · 0 pts

Head-to-Head

Kashima Antlers 22 games · Avg 1.9 goals Gamba Osaka

Last 5 meetings

2018-01-20 Kashima Antlers 1–0 Gamba Osaka 2017-08-13 Gamba Osaka 0–1 Kashima Antlers 2017-02-17 Kashima Antlers 4–0 Gamba Osaka 2016-09-18 Gamba Osaka 0–0 Kashima Antlers 2016-04-04 Kashima Antlers 0–1 Gamba Osaka

Recent Form

Kashima Antlers

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
20 Jan	Gamba Osaka	H	1–0	W
07 Jan	Kawasaki Frontale	H	4–2	W
03 Jan	Kingstonian FC	A	2–1	W
19 Dec	V-Varen Nagasaki	H	3–1	W
10 Dec	FC Tōkyō	A	5–0	W
01 Dec	Kashiwa Reysol	H	0–0	D

Gamba Osaka

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
20 Jan	Kashima Antlers	A	0–1	L
14 Jan	Kingstonian FC	H	3–1	W
09 Jan	FC Tōkyō	H	1–1	D
23 Dec	Kawasaki Frontale	A	1–0	W
17 Dec	Kashiwa Reysol	H	1–5	L
09 Dec	Sagan Tosu FC	A	1–0	W

Key Stats

36% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)

32% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Kashima Antlers launch into their encounter with Gamba Osaka.
Gamba Osaka will have plenty to reflect on. Kashima Antlers were simply the better side today.

Lineups

Kashima Antlers Lineups

Gamba Osaka Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Shoma Doi	4
Ayase Ueda	3
Yuma Suzuki	2
Hayato Nakama	2
Patric	2
Kosuke Onose	2
Tiago Alves	2
Ademilson	1

Head to Head

Kashima Antlers Form

2018-01-20 Kashima Antlers 1–0 Gamba Osaka W 2018-01-07 Kashima Antlers 4–2 Kawasaki Frontale W 2018-01-03 Kingstonian FC 1–2 Kashima Antlers W 2017-12-18 Kashima Antlers 3–1 V-Varen Nagasaki W 2017-12-10 FC Tōkyō 0–5 Kashima Antlers W 2017-12-01 Kashima Antlers 0–0 Kashiwa Reysol D

Gamba Osaka Form

2018-01-20 Kashima Antlers 1–0 Gamba Osaka L 2018-01-14 Gamba Osaka 3–1 Kingstonian FC W 2018-01-09 Gamba Osaka 1–1 FC Tōkyō D 2017-12-23 Kawasaki Frontale 0–1 Gamba Osaka W 2017-12-17 Gamba Osaka 1–5 Kashiwa Reysol L 2017-12-09 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 Gamba Osaka W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.31 Kashima Antlers xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.78 Gamba Osaka xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 65% + Under — clean sheet likely 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Kashima Antlers52% Draw29% Gamba Osaka19%

Actual: Kashima Antlers win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes41% 0% No59%

Avg goals/match: 2.09

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	85%	15%
± 1.5	62%	38%
± 2.5	35%	65%
± 3.5	16%	84%
± 4.5	7%	93%

Double Chance

Kashima Antlers or Draw

80%

Draw or Gamba Osaka

48%

Kashima Antlers or Gamba Osaka

71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Kashima Antlers32% Draw53% Gamba Osaka15%

Actual: Kashima Antlers win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 0

Actual

0 – 0

14.8%

1 – 1

13.5%

2 – 0

10.2%

0 – 1

8.4%

2 – 1

8.1%

1 – 2

4.7%

3 – 0

4.4%

3 – 1

3.6%

0 – 2

3.6%

2 – 2

3.2%

3 – 2

1.5%

Asian Handicap — Kashima Antlers

Handicap	Kashima Antlers covers	Push	Gamba Osaka covers
-2.5	8%	—	92%
-2	8%	14%	77%
-1.5	23%	—	77%
-1	23%	25%	53%
-0.5	47%	—	53%
+0.5	79%	—	21%
+1	79%	14%	6%
+1.5	94%	—	6%
+2	94%	5%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

Kashima Antlers keeps clean sheet

46% ✗

Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet

28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.