Tuesday , 6 October 2026

Gamba Osaka vs Júbilo Iwata, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2024
Sat 16 Mar 2024 · 06:00 UTC Suita City Football Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Kota Yamada 37' Y
Welton 52' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Gamba Osaka vs Júbilo Iwata — J. League at Suita City Football Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Mar Júbilo Iwata H 2–1 W
02 Mar Albirex Niigata H 1–0 W
24 Feb FC Machida Zelvia A 1–1 D
03 Dec Vissel Kobe H 0–1 L
25 Nov Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 0–3 L
11 Nov Avispa Fukuoka H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Mar Gamba Osaka A 1–2 L
09 Mar Kashiwa Reysol H 0–1 L
01 Mar Kawasaki Frontale A 5–4 W
24 Feb Vissel Kobe H 0–2 L
05 Nov Kyoto Sanga FC H 0–0 D
29 Oct Gamba Osaka A 0–2 L

Key Stats

43% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
29% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gamba Osaka
0-15
1/2
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
1/–
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Gamba Osaka
Issam Jebali 2 G 1 A
Deniz Hummet 2 G
Shinnosuke Nakatani 1 G
Asahi Uenaka 1 G
Welton 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Gamba Osaka launch into their encounter with Júbilo Iwata.
  • 4' Takashi Usami is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 9' Gamba Osaka is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 14' The energy levels are beginning to show. Akinobu Yokouchi might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 19' Júbilo Iwata are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 24' Júbilo Iwata have won 151 goals from 278 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 29' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 34' Keisuke Kurokawa needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 15 Yellow cards this season.
  • 37' Kota Yamada was booked on 37.
  • 42' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 46' Hiroki Yamada makes way for Matheus Peixoto at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from Jubilo Iwata.
  • 51' Hiroki Yamada has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 52' Controversy at the stadium! Welton argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 57' What a moment for Dawhan! That strike on 57 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 60' Ryo Germain is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the forward.
  • 62' Kotaro Fujikawa is ready to make an impact after coming on for Masaya Matsumoto at the 62 minute mark.
  • 66' The Gamba Osaka bench stirs into life. Neta Lavi is withdrawn and Tokuma Suzuki gets his opportunity.
  • 71' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 72' The referee calls foul for Kotaro Fujikawa. He receives a card.
  • 72' Isa Sakamoto is replacing Takashi Usami for the Gamba Osaka side.
  • 76' Fresh legs for Jubilo Iwata! Leo Gomes comes on to replace Shun Nakamura.
  • 79' Jubilo Iwata ring the changes. Hiroto Uemura has done his job and it is now time for Shunsuke Nishikubo to step up.
  • 83' Gamba Osaka ring the changes. Kota Yamada has done his job and it is now time for Hideki Ishige to step up.
  • 88' Kota Yamada has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 6 cards already picked up this season.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.49 Gamba Osaka xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.13 Júbilo Iwata xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Gamba Osaka49% Draw26% Júbilo Iwata25%
Actual: Gamba Osaka win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.62
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Gamba Osaka or Draw
75%
Draw or Júbilo Iwata
51%
Gamba Osaka or Júbilo Iwata
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Gamba Osaka32% Draw47% Júbilo Iwata21%
Actual: Gamba Osaka win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.2%
1 – 0
9.9%
0 – 0
9.3%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
7.9%
0 – 1
7.2%
1 – 2
6.6%
2 – 2
5%
0 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
4.4%
3 – 0
3.9%
3 – 2
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Gamba Osaka

Handicap Gamba Osaka covers Push Júbilo Iwata covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 14% 78%
-1.5 22% — 78%
-1 22% 22% 56%
-0.5 44% — 56%
+0.5 73% — 27%
+1 73% 16% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet
33% ✓
Júbilo Iwata keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.