Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Gamba Osaka, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Gamba Osaka — J. League at EDION Stadium Hiroshima.
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
- Gamba Osaka 18 games · 28 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov | Gamba Osaka | H | 3–0 | W |
| 11 Nov | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | A | 0–0 | D |
| 28 Oct | FC Tōkyō | A | 2–1 | W |
| 21 Oct | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 30 Sep | Nagoya Grampus | H | 3–1 | W |
| 23 Sep | Kyōto Sanga FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 0–3 | L |
| 11 Nov | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 1–2 | L |
| 28 Oct | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Oct | Nagoya Grampus | H | 0–1 | L |
| 01 Oct | FC Tōkyō | A | 0–3 | L |
| 24 Sep | Urawa Red Diamonds | H | 1–3 | L |
Season Stats
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Gamba Osaka | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #5 |
| 30 | Points | 28 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 41 | Scored | 61 |
| 33 | Conceded | 53 |
| +8 | GD | +8 |
| 1.67 | PPG | 1.56 |
| 56% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
38%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
H2H (21 games)
43%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
62%
Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
15%
Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season
Gamba Osaka this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts). Gamba Osaka are 5th (28 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
1/1
16-30
4/2
31-45
4/2
46-60
7/2
61-75
7/1
76+
6/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gamba Osaka
0-15
1/4
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/4
46-60
2/3
61-75
2/3
76+
6/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
| Akito Suzuki | 10 G | 4 A |
| Mutsuki Kato | 3 G | 3 A |
| Shuto Nakano | 3 G | 2 A |
| Shun Ayukawa | 3 G | 1 A |
| Sebastien Haller | 3 G | 1 A |
Gamba Osaka
| Issam Jebali | 5 G | 3 A |
| Ryotaro Meshino | 2 G | |
| Welton | 2 G | |
| Deniz Hummet | 2 G | |
| Shinnosuke Nakatani | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! Sanfrecce Hiroshima welcome Gamba Osaka for this crunch clash at EDION Stadium Hiroshima.
- 5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sanfrecce Hiroshima needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 9' Goal! Makoto Mitsuta scores his 18 goal in 348 matches.
- 11' Assisted by Shunki Higashi with the perfectly-timed delivery and Shuto Nakano makes no mistake. 2-0!
- 16' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 21' Sho Sasaki has been relatively quiet despite scoring 21 goals in his last 348 appearances.
- 22' A meaty challenge results in booking for Kyung-won Kwon on 22.
- 27' named a 3-4-2-1 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-2-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 32' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Douglas Vieira made 108 appearances and scored 36 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 37' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 38' A meaty challenge results in booking for Keisuke Kurokawa on 38.
- 43' Riku Handa has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 48' Supporters expect more eagerness from Kyung-won Kwon, as he is very good at scoring at EDION Stadium Hiroshima with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 53' GOAL! Mutsuki Kato fires home to make it 3-0!
- 58' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 60' Issam Jebali gets the nod from Gamba Osaka. He replaces Ryotaro Meshino and will look to change the dynamic.
- 65' The home supporters are growing impatient. Sanfrecce Hiroshima must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 67' A tactical swap from Gamba Osaka — Takashi Usami on, Musashi Suzuki off on 67 minutes.
- 72' Nassim Ben Khalifa is ready to make an impact after coming on for Douglas Vieira at the 72 minute mark.
- 73' It is a substitution in Sanfrecce Hiroshima team. Toshihiro Aoyama is replaced by Kosei Shibasaki on 73 minute.
- 78' Gamba Osaka are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 83' A change in the Sanfrecce Hiroshima ranks — Makoto Mitsuta exits the field as Yoshifumi Kashiwa enters on 83.
- 84' Sanfrecce Hiroshima manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Takuto Hayashi is hanging Keisuke Osako on the field on 84 minute.
- 88' Fresh legs for Sanfrecce Hiroshima! Gakuto Notsuda comes on to replace Mutsuki Kato.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Gamba Osaka.
Lineups
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 19
- 6
-
38
Keisuke Osako ↓ Takuto Hayashi 84'
- 8
- 24
- 33
- 9
- 4
- 11
- 15
-
51
Mutsuki Kato ↓ Gakuto Notsuda 88'
Bench
- 14
-
7
Gakuto Notsuda ↑ 88'
-
1
Takuto Hayashi ↑ 84'
-
30
Kosei Shibasaki ↑ 73'
-
18
Yoshifumi Kashiwa ↑ 83'
- 17
-
13
Nassim Ben Khalifa ↑ 72'
Coach
Michael Skibbe
Gamba Osaka Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
-
9
Musashi Suzuki ↓ Takashi Usami 67'
- 1
- 5
-
10
Shu Kurata ↓ Hiroto Yamami 60'
-
8
Ryotaro Meshino ↓ Issam Jebali 60'
- 24
- 29
- 16
-
20
Kyung-won Kwon ↓ Shinya Nakano 84'
- 3
- 27
Bench
-
7
Takashi Usami ↑ 67'
-
11
Issam Jebali ↑ 60'
- 48
- 13
- 25
-
33
Shinya Nakano ↑ 84'
-
37
Hiroto Yamami ↑ 60'
Coach
Dani Poyatos
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Nassim Ben Khalifa | 4 |
| Makoto Mitsuta | 3 |
| Hayao Kawabe | 2 |
| Leandro Pereira | 2 |
| Shu Kurata | 2 |
| Patric | 2 |
| Patric | 2 |
| Mutsuki Kato | 2 |
Head to Head
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form
2023-11-25
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3–0
Gamba Osaka
W
2023-11-11
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
0–0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
D
2023-10-28
FC Tōkyō
1–2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2023-10-21
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–0
Cerezo Osaka FC
D
2023-09-30
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3–1
Nagoya Grampus
W
2023-09-23
Kyōto Sanga FC
1–0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.97
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.65
Gamba Osaka xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 82% + Both teams to score 76%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 4.62
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 2.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 3.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 4.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
Double Chance
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw
83%
Draw or Gamba Osaka
35%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Gamba Osaka
82%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
7.1%
3 – 1
6.9%
2 – 2
5.8%
3 – 2
5.6%
1 – 1
5.6%
4 – 1
5.1%
2 – 0
4.6%
3 – 0
Actual
4 – 2
4.2%
1 – 2
4%
4 – 0
3.2%
2 – 3
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima
| Handicap | Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers | Push | Gamba Osaka covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| -2 | 27% | 17% | 56% |
| -1.5 | 44% | — | 56% |
| -1 | 44% | 19% | 37% |
| -0.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +0.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +1 | 81% | 10% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 6% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
20%
✗
Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet
6%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

