Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Gamba Osaka, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2023

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

3 – 0

Full Time

Gamba Osaka

Sat 25 Nov 2023 · 05:00 UTC EDION Stadium Hiroshima HT 45' · FT 45'

Makoto Mitsuta 9' 1–0

Shuto Nakano 11' 2–0

Mutsuki Kato 53' 3–0

Y 22' Kyung-won Kwon

Y 38' Keisuke Kurokawa

Overview

Match Preview

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Gamba Osaka — J. League at EDION Stadium Hiroshima.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
Gamba Osaka 18 games · 28 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tokyo	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F.Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 20 games · Avg 2.5 goals Gamba Osaka

Last 5 meetings

2023-11-25 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–0 Gamba Osaka 2023-03-12 Gamba Osaka 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2022-08-20 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 5–2 Gamba Osaka 2022-06-29 Gamba Osaka 2–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2021-05-12 Gamba Osaka 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Recent Form

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Nov	Gamba Osaka	H	3–0	W
11 Nov	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	A	0–0	D
28 Oct	FC Tokyo	A	2–1	W
21 Oct	Cerezo Osaka FC	H	0–0	D
30 Sep	Nagoya Grampus	H	3–1	W
23 Sep	Kyoto Sanga FC	A	0–1	L

Gamba Osaka

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Nov	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	A	0–3	L
11 Nov	Avispa Fukuoka	H	1–2	L
28 Oct	Cerezo Osaka FC	A	0–1	L
21 Oct	Nagoya Grampus	H	0–1	L
01 Oct	FC Tokyo	A	0–3	L
24 Sep	Urawa Red Diamonds	H	1–3	L

Season Stats

Sanfrecce Hiroshima		Gamba Osaka
#4	Position	#5
30	Points	28
18	Played	18
10 / 0 / 8	W / D / L	10 / 0 / 8
41	Scored	61
33	Conceded	53
+8	GD	+8
1.67	PPG	1.56
56%	Win %	56%

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)

45% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season

0% Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season

Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts). Gamba Osaka are 5th (28 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

0-15

–/–

16-30

1/1

31-45

1/–

46-60

–/–

61-75

2/–

76+

–/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Gamba Osaka

0-15

–/–

16-30

–/1

31-45

–/–

46-60

–/–

61-75

1/–

76+

–/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Gamba Osaka get this one started.
5' Gamba Osaka come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
9' GOAL! Makoto Mitsuta fires home to make it 1-0!
11' Shuto Nakano does the damage! The net is bulging and Sanfrecce Hiroshima surge ahead!
16' The 28-year-old Ryotaro Meshino has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
21' The travelling Gamba Osaka supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
22' A moment of madness from Kyung-won Kwon on 22 minutes earns him a card. Gamba Osaka will be frustrated.
27' With 2 assists to his name this season, Mutsuki Kato is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
32' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
37' Shu Kurata, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
38' A moment of madness from Keisuke Kurokawa on 38 minutes earns him a card. Gamba Osaka will be frustrated.
43' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Gamba Osaka are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
48' It is a cagey affair so far. Sanfrecce Hiroshima in their 3-4-2-1 trying to find a way past Gamba Osaka's compact 3-4-2-1.
53' A stunning finish from Mutsuki Kato — that came from absolutely nowhere!
58' Over 58 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
60' Issam Jebali gets the nod from Gamba Osaka. He replaces Ryotaro Meshino and will look to change the dynamic.
65' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
67' The whistle greets Musashi Suzuki as he departs to be replaced by Takashi Usami.
72' A change in the Sanfrecce Hiroshima ranks — Douglas Vieira exits the field as Nassim Ben Khalifa enters on 72.
73' Another change for Sanfrecce Hiroshima made on 73 minute. Toshihiro Aoyama leaves to be changed by Kosei Shibasaki.
78' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
83' Yoshifumi Kashiwa is ready to make an impact after coming on for Makoto Mitsuta at the 83 minute mark.
84' Sanfrecce Hiroshima manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Takuto Hayashi is hanging Keisuke Osako on the field on 84 minute.
88' The Sanfrecce Hiroshima bench stirs into life. Mutsuki Kato is withdrawn and Gakuto Notsuda gets his opportunity.
The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Sanfrecce Hiroshima to claim maximum points.

Lineups

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

19
Sho Sasaki
6
Toshihiro Aoyama ↓ Kosei Shibasaki 73'
38
Keisuke Osako ↓ Takuto Hayashi 84'
8
Takumu Kawamura
24
Shunki Higashi
33
Tsukasa Shiotani
9
Douglas Vieira ↓ Nassim Ben Khalifa 72'
4
Hayato Araki
11
Makoto Mitsuta ↓ Yoshifumi Kashiwa 83'
15
Shuto Nakano
51
Mutsuki Kato ↓ Gakuto Notsuda 88'

Bench

14
Ezequiel
7
Gakuto Notsuda ↑ 88'
1
Takuto Hayashi ↑ 84'
30
Kosei Shibasaki ↑ 73'
18
Yoshifumi Kashiwa ↑ 83'
17
Taishi Matsumoto
13
Nassim Ben Khalifa ↑ 72'

Coach Michael Skibbe

Gamba Osaka Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

7
Takashi Usami ↑ 67'
11
Issam Jebali ↑ 60'
48
Hideki Ishige
13
Ryu Takao
25
Kei Ishikawa
33
Shinya Nakano ↑ 84'
37
Hiroto Yamami ↑ 60'

Coach Dani Poyatos

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Nassim Ben Khalifa	4
Makoto Mitsuta	3
Hayao Kawabe	2
Leandro Pereira	2
Shu Kurata	2
Patric	2
Patric	2
Mutsuki Kato	2

Head to Head

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form

2023-11-25 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–0 Gamba Osaka W 2023-11-11 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 0–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima D 2023-10-28 FC Tokyo 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2023-10-21 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0–0 Cerezo Osaka FC D 2023-09-30 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–1 Nagoya Grampus W 2023-09-23 Kyoto Sanga FC 1–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L

Gamba Osaka Form

2023-11-25 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–0 Gamba Osaka L 2023-11-11 Gamba Osaka 1–2 Avispa Fukuoka L 2023-10-28 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–0 Gamba Osaka L 2023-10-21 Gamba Osaka 0–1 Nagoya Grampus L 2023-10-01 FC Tokyo 3–0 Gamba Osaka L 2023-09-24 Gamba Osaka 1–3 Urawa Red Diamonds L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.97 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.65 Gamba Osaka xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 82% + Both teams to score 76%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Sanfrecce Hiroshima65% Draw18% Gamba Osaka17%

Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes76% 0% No24%

Avg goals/match: 4.62

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	98%	2%
± 1.5	94%	6%
± 2.5	82%	18%
± 3.5	66%	34%
± 4.5	48%	52%

Double Chance

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw

83%

Draw or Gamba Osaka

35%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Gamba Osaka

82%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Sanfrecce Hiroshima49% Draw33% Gamba Osaka18%

Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 1

7.1%

3 – 1

6.9%

2 – 2

5.8%

3 – 2

5.6%

1 – 1

5.6%

4 – 1

5.1%

2 – 0

4.6%

3 – 0

Actual

4 – 2

4.2%

1 – 2

4 – 0

3.2%

2 – 3

3.2%

Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Handicap	Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers	Push	Gamba Osaka covers
-2.5	27%	—	73%
-2	27%	17%	56%
-1.5	44%	—	56%
-1	44%	19%	37%
-0.5	63%	—	37%
+0.5	81%	—	19%
+1	81%	10%	9%
+1.5	91%	—	9%
+2	91%	6%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet

20% ✗

Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet

6% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.