Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Gamba Osaka, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

Refresh

J. League · 2023

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

3 – 0

Full Time

Gamba Osaka

Sat 25 Nov 2023 · 05:00 UTC EDION Stadium Hiroshima HT 45' · FT 45'

Makoto Mitsuta 9' 1–0

Shuto Nakano 11' 2–0

Mutsuki Kato 53' 3–0

Y 22' Kyung-won Kwon

Y 38' Keisuke Kurokawa

Overview

Match Preview

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Gamba Osaka — J. League at EDION Stadium Hiroshima.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
Gamba Osaka 18 games · 28 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyōto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tōkyō Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 21 games · Avg 2.3 goals Gamba Osaka

Last 5 meetings

2023-11-25 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–0 Gamba Osaka 2023-03-12 Gamba Osaka 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2022-08-20 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 5–2 Gamba Osaka 2022-06-29 Gamba Osaka 2–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2021-05-12 Gamba Osaka 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Recent Form

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Nov	Gamba Osaka	H	3–0	W
11 Nov	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	A	0–0	D
28 Oct	FC Tōkyō	A	2–1	W
21 Oct	Cerezo Osaka FC	H	0–0	D
30 Sep	Nagoya Grampus	H	3–1	W
23 Sep	Kyōto Sanga FC	A	0–1	L

Gamba Osaka

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Nov	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	A	0–3	L
11 Nov	Avispa Fukuoka	H	1–2	L
28 Oct	Cerezo Osaka FC	A	0–1	L
21 Oct	Nagoya Grampus	H	0–1	L
01 Oct	FC Tōkyō	A	0–3	L
24 Sep	Urawa Red Diamonds	H	1–3	L

Season Stats

Sanfrecce Hiroshima		Gamba Osaka
#4	Position	#5
30	Points	28
18	Played	18
10 / 0 / 8	W / D / L	10 / 0 / 8
41	Scored	61
33	Conceded	53
+8	GD	+8
1.67	PPG	1.56
56%	Win %	56%

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)

43% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

43% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season

14% Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season

Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts). Gamba Osaka are 5th (28 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

0-15

1/1

16-30

3/2

31-45

3/–

46-60

2/2

61-75

5/–

76+

3/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Gamba Osaka

0-15

1/2

16-30

–/1

31-45

–/1

46-60

–/2

61-75

1/–

76+

2/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Akito Suzuki	6 G	2 A
Shun Ayukawa	3 G	1 A
Sebastien Haller	3 G	1 A
Mutsuki Kato	2 G	3 A
Shuto Nakano	2 G	1 A

Gamba Osaka

Issam Jebali	2 G	1 A
Deniz Hummet	2 G
Shinnosuke Nakatani	1 G
Asahi Uenaka	1 G
Welton	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' What a night it is going to be! Sanfrecce Hiroshima welcome Gamba Osaka for this crunch clash at EDION Stadium Hiroshima.
5' Sanfrecce Hiroshima are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
9' A goal from the Japan international Makoto Mitsuta! He fires home on 9 to make it 1-0!
11' Shuto Nakano adds to his 0 season tally! Sanfrecce Hiroshima lead 2-0 — and this changes everything.
16' Sho Sasaki is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Gamba Osaka tonight.
21' Both keepers have barely been tested. Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Gamba Osaka are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
22' The referee calls foul for Kyung-won Kwon. He receives a card.
27' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
32' The energy levels are beginning to show. Dani Poyatos might look to freshen things up shortly.
37' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Shu Kurata suffering a number of foals already.
38' It’s a booking for Gamba Osaka player. Keisuke Kurokawa gets a card.
43' Shinya Nakano has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
48' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
53' Brilliant from the ! Mutsuki Kato makes it 3-0 with a superb finish on 53.
58' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Gamba Osaka are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
60' Another substitution for Gamba Osaka to replace Ryotaro Meshino by Issam Jebali on 60 minute.
65' With 0 assists to his name this season, Musashi Suzuki is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
67' Fresh legs for Gamba Osaka! Takashi Usami comes on to replace Musashi Suzuki.
72' The supporters are chanting for Nassim Ben Khalifa. He replaces Douglas Vieira on 72 minute.
73' Toshihiro Aoyama makes way for Kosei Shibasaki at the 73 minute mark. A tactical switch from Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
78' It is a cagey affair so far. Sanfrecce Hiroshima in their 3-4-2-1 trying to find a way past Gamba Osaka's compact 3-4-2-1.
83' It is a substitution in Sanfrecce Hiroshima team. Makoto Mitsuta is replaced by Yoshifumi Kashiwa on 83 minute.
84' The Sanfrecce Hiroshima manager makes a substitution. Keisuke Osako departs to be replaced by Takuto Hayashi.
88' Another change for Sanfrecce Hiroshima made on 88 minute. Mutsuki Kato leaves to be changed by Gakuto Notsuda.
The referee brings this contest to a close. Sanfrecce Hiroshima take all three points.

Lineups

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

19
Sho Sasaki
6
Toshihiro Aoyama ↓ Kosei Shibasaki 73'
38
Keisuke Osako ↓ Takuto Hayashi 84'
8
Takumu Kawamura
24
Shunki Higashi
33
Tsukasa Shiotani
9
Douglas Vieira ↓ Nassim Ben Khalifa 72'
4
Hayato Araki
11
Makoto Mitsuta ↓ Yoshifumi Kashiwa 83'
15
Shuto Nakano
51
Mutsuki Kato ↓ Gakuto Notsuda 88'

Bench

14
Ezequiel
7
Gakuto Notsuda ↑ 88'
1
Takuto Hayashi ↑ 84'
30
Kosei Shibasaki ↑ 73'
18
Yoshifumi Kashiwa ↑ 83'
17
Taishi Matsumoto
13
Nassim Ben Khalifa ↑ 72'

Coach Michael Skibbe

Gamba Osaka Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

7
Takashi Usami ↑ 67'
11
Issam Jebali ↑ 60'
48
Hideki Ishige
13
Ryu Takao
25
Kei Ishikawa
33
Shinya Nakano ↑ 84'
37
Hiroto Yamami ↑ 60'

Coach Dani Poyatos

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Nassim Ben Khalifa	4
Makoto Mitsuta	3
Leandro Pereira	2
Shu Kurata	2
Patric	2
Patric	2
Mutsuki Kato	2
Isa Sakamoto	2

Head to Head

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form

2023-11-25 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–0 Gamba Osaka W 2023-11-11 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 0–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima D 2023-10-28 FC Tōkyō 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2023-10-21 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0–0 Cerezo Osaka FC D 2023-09-30 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–1 Nagoya Grampus W 2023-09-23 Kyōto Sanga FC 1–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L

Gamba Osaka Form

2023-11-25 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–0 Gamba Osaka L 2023-11-11 Gamba Osaka 1–2 Avispa Fukuoka L 2023-10-28 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–0 Gamba Osaka L 2023-10-21 Gamba Osaka 0–1 Nagoya Grampus L 2023-10-01 FC Tōkyō 3–0 Gamba Osaka L 2023-09-24 Gamba Osaka 1–3 Urawa Red Diamonds L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.97 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.65 Gamba Osaka xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 82% + Both teams to score 76%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Sanfrecce Hiroshima65% Draw18% Gamba Osaka17%

Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes76% 0% No24%

Avg goals/match: 4.62

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	98%	2%
± 1.5	94%	6%
± 2.5	82%	18%
± 3.5	66%	34%
± 4.5	48%	52%

Double Chance

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw

83%

Draw or Gamba Osaka

35%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Gamba Osaka

82%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Sanfrecce Hiroshima49% Draw33% Gamba Osaka18%

Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 1

7.1%

3 – 1

6.9%

2 – 2

5.8%

3 – 2

5.6%

1 – 1

5.6%

4 – 1

5.1%

2 – 0

4.6%

3 – 0

Actual

4 – 2

4.2%

1 – 2

4 – 0

3.2%

2 – 3

3.2%

Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Handicap	Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers	Push	Gamba Osaka covers
-2.5	27%	—	73%
-2	27%	17%	56%
-1.5	44%	—	56%
-1	44%	19%	37%
-0.5	63%	—	37%
+0.5	81%	—	19%
+1	81%	10%	9%
+1.5	91%	—	9%
+2	91%	6%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet

20% ✗

Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet

6% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.