Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Gamba Osaka, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2023

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

3 – 0

Full Time

Gamba Osaka

Sat 25 Nov 2023 · 05:00 UTC EDION Stadium Hiroshima HT 45' · FT 45'

Makoto Mitsuta 9' 1–0

Shuto Nakano 11' 2–0

Mutsuki Kato 53' 3–0

Y 22' Kyung-won Kwon

Y 38' Keisuke Kurokawa

Overview

Match Preview

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Gamba Osaka — J. League at EDION Stadium Hiroshima.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/26)
Gamba Osaka 18 games · 28 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 20 games · Avg 2.5 goals Gamba Osaka

Last 5 meetings

2023-11-25 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–0 Gamba Osaka 2023-03-12 Gamba Osaka 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2022-08-20 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 5–2 Gamba Osaka 2022-06-29 Gamba Osaka 2–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2021-05-12 Gamba Osaka 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Recent Form

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Nov	Gamba Osaka	H	3–0	W
11 Nov	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	A	0–0	D
28 Oct	FC Tōkyō	A	2–1	W
21 Oct	Cerezo Osaka FC	H	0–0	D
30 Sep	Nagoya Grampus	H	3–1	W
23 Sep	Kyoto Sanga FC	A	0–1	L

Gamba Osaka

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Nov	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	A	0–3	L
11 Nov	Avispa Fukuoka	H	1–2	L
28 Oct	Cerezo Osaka FC	A	0–1	L
21 Oct	Nagoya Grampus	H	0–1	L
01 Oct	FC Tōkyō	A	0–3	L
24 Sep	Urawa Red Diamonds	H	1–3	L

Season Stats

Sanfrecce Hiroshima		Gamba Osaka
#4	Position	#5
30	Points	28
18	Played	18
10 / 0 / 8	W / D / L	10 / 0 / 8
41	Scored	61
33	Conceded	53
+8	GD	+8
1.67	PPG	1.56
56%	Win %	56%

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)

45% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

22% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season

22% Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season

Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts). Gamba Osaka are 5th (28 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

0-15

3/1

16-30

1/2

31-45

3/1

46-60

5/–

61-75

3/4

76+

1/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Gamba Osaka

0-15

2/1

16-30

2/–

31-45

1/4

46-60

1/1

61-75

3/2

76+

5/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Gamba Osaka get this one started.
5' Sanfrecce Hiroshima looks like a favorite considering 2 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Shunki Higashi scoring 1 goals.
9' Makoto Mitsuta puts Sanfrecce Hiroshima on the lead.
11' Assisted by Shunki Higashi with the perfectly-timed delivery and Shuto Nakano makes no mistake. 2-0!
16' Ryotaro Meshino needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
21' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
22' A moment of madness from Kyung-won Kwon on 22 minutes earns him a card. Gamba Osaka will be frustrated.
27' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
32' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
37' Riku Handa, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
38' The referee calls foul for Keisuke Kurokawa. He receives a card.
43' The travelling Gamba Osaka supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
48' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Issam Jebali made 176 appearances and scored 19 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
53' Mutsuki Kato has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 53 minutes.
58' Gamba Osaka have won 377 goals from 403 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
60' Another substitution for Gamba Osaka to replace Ryotaro Meshino by Issam Jebali on 60 minute.
65' Takashi Usami has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
67' Gamba Osaka ring the changes. Musashi Suzuki has done his job and it is now time for Takashi Usami to step up.
72' Nassim Ben Khalifa has so much to prove this time. He replaces Douglas Vieira on 72 minute.
73' The supporters are chanting for Kosei Shibasaki. He replaces Toshihiro Aoyama on 73 minute.
78' Sanfrecce Hiroshima has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 2 of the last 2 meetings.
83' Yoshifumi Kashiwa is replacing Makoto Mitsuta for the Sanfrecce Hiroshima side.
84' Another substitution for Sanfrecce Hiroshima to replace Keisuke Osako by Takuto Hayashi on 84 minute.
88' Mutsuki Kato makes way for Gakuto Notsuda at the 88 minute mark. A tactical switch from Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Sanfrecce Hiroshima to claim maximum points.

Lineups

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

19
Sho Sasaki
6
Toshihiro Aoyama ↓ Kosei Shibasaki 73'
38
Keisuke Osako ↓ Takuto Hayashi 84'
8
Takumu Kawamura
24
Shunki Higashi
33
Tsukasa Shiotani
9
Douglas Vieira ↓ Nassim Ben Khalifa 72'
4
Hayato Araki
11
Makoto Mitsuta ↓ Yoshifumi Kashiwa 83'
15
Shuto Nakano
51
Mutsuki Kato ↓ Gakuto Notsuda 88'

Bench

14
Ezequiel
7
Gakuto Notsuda ↑ 88'
1
Takuto Hayashi ↑ 84'
30
Kosei Shibasaki ↑ 73'
18
Yoshifumi Kashiwa ↑ 83'
17
Taishi Matsumoto
13
Nassim Ben Khalifa ↑ 72'

Coach Michael Skibbe

Gamba Osaka Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

7
Takashi Usami ↑ 67'
11
Issam Jebali ↑ 60'
48
Hideki Ishige
13
Ryu Takao
25
Kei Ishikawa
33
Shinya Nakano ↑ 84'
37
Hiroto Yamami ↑ 60'

Coach Dani Poyatos

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Nassim Ben Khalifa	4
Makoto Mitsuta	3
Mutsuki Kato	2
Isa Sakamoto	2
Hayao Kawabe	2
Leandro Pereira	2
Shu Kurata	2
Patric	2

Head to Head

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form

2023-11-25 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–0 Gamba Osaka W 2023-11-11 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 0–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima D 2023-10-28 FC Tōkyō 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2023-10-21 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0–0 Cerezo Osaka FC D 2023-09-30 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–1 Nagoya Grampus W 2023-09-23 Kyoto Sanga FC 1–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L

Gamba Osaka Form

2023-11-25 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–0 Gamba Osaka L 2023-11-11 Gamba Osaka 1–2 Avispa Fukuoka L 2023-10-28 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–0 Gamba Osaka L 2023-10-21 Gamba Osaka 0–1 Nagoya Grampus L 2023-10-01 FC Tōkyō 3–0 Gamba Osaka L 2023-09-24 Gamba Osaka 1–3 Urawa Red Diamonds L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.97 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.65 Gamba Osaka xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 82% + Both teams to score 76%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Sanfrecce Hiroshima65% Draw18% Gamba Osaka17%

Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes76% 0% No24%

Avg goals/match: 4.62

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	98%	2%
± 1.5	94%	6%
± 2.5	82%	18%
± 3.5	66%	34%
± 4.5	48%	52%

Double Chance

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw

83%

Draw or Gamba Osaka

35%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Gamba Osaka

82%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Sanfrecce Hiroshima49% Draw33% Gamba Osaka18%

Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 1

7.1%

3 – 1

6.9%

2 – 2

5.8%

3 – 2

5.6%

1 – 1

5.6%

4 – 1

5.1%

2 – 0

4.6%

3 – 0

Actual

4 – 2

4.2%

1 – 2

4 – 0

3.2%

2 – 3

3.2%

Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Handicap	Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers	Push	Gamba Osaka covers
-2.5	27%	—	73%
-2	27%	17%	56%
-1.5	44%	—	56%
-1	44%	19%	37%
-0.5	63%	—	37%
+0.5	81%	—	19%
+1	81%	10%	9%
+1.5	91%	—	9%
+2	91%	6%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet

20% ✗

Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet

6% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.