Thursday , 2 July 2026

Gamba Osaka vs Avispa Fukuoka, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2023
Sat 11 Nov 2023 · 06:00 UTC Panasonic Stadium Suita HT 45' · FT 45'
Kyung-won Kwon 13' 1–0
1–1 46' Yuya Yamagishi
1–2 89' Lukian
Y 61' Tatsuki Nara

Overview

Match Preview

Gamba Osaka vs Avispa FukuokaJ. League at Panasonic Stadium Suita.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Nov Avispa Fukuoka H 1–2 L
28 Oct Cerezo Osaka FC A 0–1 L
21 Oct Nagoya Grampus H 0–1 L
01 Oct FC Tōkyō A 0–3 L
24 Sep Urawa Red Diamonds H 1–3 L
17 Sep Albirex Niigata H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Nov Gamba Osaka A 2–1 W
28 Oct Yokohama F·Marinos H 0–4 L
20 Oct Kawasaki Frontale A 2–4 L
30 Sep Kashima Antlers H 0–0 D
23 Sep Kashiwa Reysol A 3–1 W
16 Sep Nagoya Grampus H 1–0 W

Season Stats

Gamba Osaka Avispa Fukuoka
#5 Position #10
28 Points 21
18 Played 18
10 / 0 / 8 W / D / L 7 / 0 / 11
61 Scored 49
53 Conceded 59
+8 GD -10
1.56 PPG 1.17
56% Win % 39%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season
11% Clean Sheets
Avispa Fukuoka this season

Gamba Osaka are 5th (28 pts). Avispa Fukuoka are 10th (21 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gamba Osaka
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/1
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Avispa Fukuoka
0-15
1/3
16-30
3/2
31-45
3/2
46-60
/
61-75
4/2
76+
/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! Gamba Osaka vs Avispa Fukuoka — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 10' Avispa Fukuoka have won 210 goals from 200 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 13' Kyung-won Kwon doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 18' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 23' Avispa Fukuoka fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 28' named a 3-4-2-1 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-2-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 33' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 38' Gamba Osaka are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 43' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 46' Yuya Yamagishi makes no mistake. The score reads 1-1 and Avispa Fukuoka are in front.
  • 46' Wellington has so much to prove this time. He replaces Takeshi Kanamori on 46 minute.
  • 51' Yosuke Ideguchi is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Gamba Osaka so far.
  • 56' Gamba Osaka is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 61' Avispa Fukuoka receives a card for a hard tackle on 61.
  • 66' Both keepers have barely been tested. Gamba Osaka and Avispa Fukuoka are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 71' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Shigetoshi Hasebe will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 76' Time for substitution for Avispa Fukuoka. Masato Yuzawa is replaced by Masashi Kamekawa.
  • 77' The supporters are chanting for Takashi Usami. He replaces Hideki Ishige on 77 minute.
  • 81' Avispa Fukuoka ring the changes. Kazuya Konno has done his job and it is now time for Lukian to step up.
  • 86' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 86 minutes.
  • 89' Magnificent from Lukian! That is 24 goals in 278 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 90' The supporters are chanting for Shoji Toyama. He replaces Shota Fukuoka on 90 minute.
  • Gamba Osaka will have plenty to reflect on. Avispa Fukuoka were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
3.65 Gamba Osaka xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.65 Avispa Fukuoka xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 94% + Both teams to score 89%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Gamba Osaka49% Draw20% Avispa Fukuoka31%
Actual: Avispa Fukuoka win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes89% 0% No11%
Avg goals/match: 6.3
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 100%
0%
± 1.5 98%
2%
± 2.5 94%
6%
± 3.5 85%
15%
± 4.5 73%
27%

Double Chance

Gamba Osaka or Draw
69%
Draw or Avispa Fukuoka
51%
Gamba Osaka or Avispa Fukuoka
80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Gamba Osaka46% Draw29% Avispa Fukuoka25%
Actual: Gamba Osaka win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–2 not predicted
1 – 2
Actual
3 – 2
5.2%
4 – 2
4.7%
3 – 3
4.5%
2 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
4.1%
4 – 3
4.1%
2 – 3
3.8%
4 – 1
3.7%
2 – 1
3.5%
5 – 2
3.4%
5 – 3
3%
3 – 4
3%

Asian Handicap — Gamba Osaka

Handicap Gamba Osaka covers Push Avispa Fukuoka covers
-2.5 25% 75%
-2 25% 15% 61%
-1.5 39% 61%
-1 39% 16% 44%
-0.5 56% 44%
+0.5 72% 28%
+1 72% 12% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 8% 8%
+2.5 92% 8%

Clean Sheet

Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet
8%
Avispa Fukuoka keeps clean sheet
3%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.