São Paulo FC vs CA Mineiro, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
São Paulo FC vs CA Mineiro — Serie A at Morumbi.
- São Paulo FC 27 games · 36 pts (2026/26)
- CA Mineiro 27 games · 40 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | São Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug | CA Mineiro | H | 2–0 | W |
| 16 Aug | SC Recife | A | 2–2 | D |
| 09 Aug | EC Vitoria | H | 2–0 | W |
| 03 Aug | SC Internacional | A | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Jul | Fluminense FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 24 Jul | EC Juventude | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug | São Paulo FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 17 Aug | Gremio FBPA | H | 1–3 | L |
| 10 Aug | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 1–1 | D |
| 03 Aug | RB Bragantino | H | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Jul | CR Flamengo | A | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Jul | SE Palmeiras | A | 2–3 | L |
Season Stats
| São Paulo FC | CA Mineiro | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #7 |
| 36 | Points | 40 |
| 27 | Played | 27 |
| 10 / 6 / 11 | W / D / L | 11 / 7 / 9 |
| 32 | Scored | 36 |
| 30 | Conceded | 32 |
| +2 | GD | +4 |
| 1.33 | PPG | 1.48 |
| 37% | Win % | 41% |
Key Stats
38%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
H2H (21 games)
43%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
26%
Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season
São Paulo FC this season
22%
Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season
CA Mineiro this season
São Paulo FC are 11th (36 pts). CA Mineiro are 7th (40 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
São Paulo FC
0-15
5/–
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
–/9
61-75
5/2
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CA Mineiro
0-15
2/3
16-30
6/–
31-45
5/4
46-60
1/2
61-75
8/5
76+
5/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
São Paulo FC
| Luciano | 8 G | 1 A |
| Jonathan Calleri | 8 G | 1 A |
| Ferreira | 4 G | |
| Artur Guimaraes | 3 G | 1 A |
CA Mineiro
| Tomas Cuello | 5 G | 2 A |
| Victor Hugo Gomes | 4 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. CA Mineiro kicks off things out of here…
- 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 10' Sao Paulo FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 10.
- 15' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with CA Mineiro winning 100% of all matches.
- 20' Sao Paulo FC is showing some good football. However, Sao Paulo FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 23' Pablo Maia does the damage! The net is bulging and Sao Paulo FC surge ahead!
- 28' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Cuca will be considering his options from the bench.
- 33' It’s high time Cuca made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 37' A meaty challenge results in booking for Everson on 37.
- 42' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Sao Paulo FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 43' A change in the Sao Paulo FC ranks — Marcos Antonio exits the field as Rodrigo Huendra enters on 43.
- 45' Enzo Diaz has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 45.
- 46' A tactical swap from CA Mineiro — Alexsander Gomes on, Reinier off on 46 minutes.
- 51' CA Mineiro fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 56' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 60' Controversy at the stadium! Igor Gomes argues furiously but the card stands.
- 63' Time for substitution for Sao Paulo FC. Ferreira is replaced by Luciano.
- 68' Time for substitution for CA Mineiro. Alan Franco is replaced by Gustavo Scarpa.
- 73' The travelling CA Mineiro supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 75' The supporters are chanting for Natanael. He replaces Igor Gomes on 75 minute.
- 79' Gonzalo Tapia is replacing Andre Silva for the Sao Paulo FC side.
- 81' Assisted by Cedric with the perfectly-timed delivery and Gonzalo Tapia makes no mistake. 2-0!
- 86' Caio Paulista needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- With this win, Sao Paulo FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
São Paulo FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 6
- 20
- 28
- 35
- 13
- 17
- 32
- 11
- 29
- 23
- 21
Bench
- 10
- 33
- 36
- 15
- 50
- 43
- 37
- 19
- 34
- 42
- 14
- 45
CA Mineiro Lineups
Starting XI
- 22
- 33
-
17
Igor Gomes ↓ Natanael 75'
- 37
- 38
- 14
- 8
-
18
Reinier ↓ Alexsander Gomes 46'
- 25
-
21
Alan Franco ↓ Gustavo Scarpa 68'
- 23
Bench
-
10
Gustavo Scarpa ↑ 68'
- 13
-
2
Natanael ↑ 75'
-
77
Gabriel Teixeira ↑ 68'
- 1
-
5
Alexsander Gomes ↑ 46'
- 30
- 31
- 19
Coach
Cuca
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Eduardo Vargas | 4 |
| Paulinho | 4 |
| Luciano | 3 |
| Jonathan Calleri | 2 |
| Hulk | 2 |
| Igor Gomes | 2 |
| Jair | 2 |
| Alan Franco | 2 |
Head to Head
São Paulo FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.48
São Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.91
CA Mineiro xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: São Paulo FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.39
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 2.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 3.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
São Paulo FC or Draw
79%
Draw or CA Mineiro
47%
São Paulo FC or CA Mineiro
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: São Paulo FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.2%
1 – 0
12.5%
0 – 0
11.3%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.8%
0 – 1
7.2%
1 – 2
5.4%
3 – 0
4.7%
3 – 1
4.4%
2 – 2
4.1%
0 – 2
3.7%
3 – 2
2.1%
Asian Handicap — São Paulo FC
| Handicap | São Paulo FC covers | Push | CA Mineiro covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 15% | 75% |
| -1.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -1 | 25% | 24% | 51% |
| -0.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| +0.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +1 | 78% | 14% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
41%
✗
CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.