Saturday , 26 September 2026

Fortaleza EC vs São Paulo FC, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2024
Fortaleza EC
1 – 0
Full Time
São Paulo FC
Sun 28 Jul 2024 · 00:30 UTC Castelao 41,322 HT 45' · FT 45'
Renato Kayzer pen 4' 1–0
Y 14' Luciano
Y 50' Rafinha
Y 57' Welington
Emanuel Britez 65' Y
Y 70' Damian Bobadilla
Kervin Andrade 80' Y
Hercules 90' Y
Hercules 90' R

Overview

Match Preview

Fortaleza EC vs São Paulo FC — Serie A at Castelao.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 CR Flamengo 28 60
2 SE Palmeiras 28 57
3 CA Paranaense 28 49
4 Fluminense FC 28 48
5 EC Bahia 28 46
6 Cruzeiro EC 28 45
7 CA Mineiro 27 40
8 Santos FC 27 38
9 Coritiba FBC 28 38
10 RB Bragantino 27 36
11 São Paulo FC 27 36
12 Botafogo FR 28 35
13 EC Vitoria 28 33
14 SC Corinthians Paulista 28 32
15 Mirassol FC 28 32
16 CR Vasco da Gama 27 31
17 Gremio FBPA 28 29
18 SC Internacional 28 28
19 Clube do Remo 28 23
20 Chapecoense AF 27 18

Head-to-Head

5
4
5
Fortaleza EC 14 games · Avg 1.8 goals São Paulo FC
Last 5 meetings
2024-07-28 Fortaleza EC 1–0 São Paulo FC 2024-04-14 São Paulo FC 1–2 Fortaleza EC 2023-09-21 São Paulo FC 1–2 Fortaleza EC 2023-05-11 Fortaleza EC 0–0 São Paulo FC 2022-08-28 São Paulo FC 0–1 Fortaleza EC

Recent Form

Fortaleza EC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Jul São Paulo FC H 1–0 W
24 Jul Criciúma EC A 1–1 D
21 Jul AC Goianiense H 3–1 W
18 Jul EC Vitoria H 3–1 W
11 Jul CR Flamengo A 2–1 W
07 Jul Fluminense FC H 1–0 W
São Paulo FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Jul Fortaleza EC A 0–1 L
24 Jul Botafogo FR H 2–2 D
21 Jul EC Juventude A 0–0 D
17 Jul Gremio FBPA H 1–0 W
12 Jul CA Mineiro A 1–2 L
06 Jul RB Bragantino H 2–0 W

Key Stats

43% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
29% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
26% Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

São Paulo FC
0-15
5/–
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
–/9
61-75
5/2
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

São Paulo FC
Luciano 8 G 1 A
Jonathan Calleri 8 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G
Artur Guimaraes 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! Fortaleza EC welcome Sao Paulo FC for this crunch clash at Castelao.
  • 4' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Renato Kayzer makes no mistake. 1-0!
  • 9' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 14' That looks like a foul for a card for Luciano.
  • 19' The home supporters are growing impatient. Fortaleza EC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 24' Brazil international Igor Vinicius has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 29' Fortaleza EC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 34' Supporters expect more eagerness from Rodrigo Nestor, as he is very good at scoring at Castelao with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 39' Fortaleza EC is showing some good football. However, Fortaleza EC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 44' Fortaleza EC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 49' It looks like no one’s ball. Fortaleza EC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 50' It’s a booking for Sao Paulo FC player. Rafinha gets a card.
  • 55' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 57' The referee calls foul for Welington. He receives a card.
  • 58' Another change for Sao Paulo FC made on 58 minute. Rodrigo Nestor leaves to be changed by Ferreira.
  • 63' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 65' A meaty challenge results in booking for Emanuel Britez on 65.
  • 67' A tactical swap from Fortaleza EC — Moises on, Breno Lopes off on 67 minutes.
  • 70' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Damian Bobadilla.
  • 73' The supporters are chanting for Juan Lucero. He replaces Renato Kayzer on 73 minute.
  • 74' A change in the Sao Paulo FC ranks — Damian Bobadilla exits the field as Liziero enters on 74.
  • 79' Erick is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Sao Paulo FC tonight.
  • 80' Poor challenge from Kervin Andrade. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 84' Pedro Augusto is ready to make an impact after coming on for Lucas Sasha at the 84 minute mark.
  • 89' A quiet spell here at Castelao. Fortaleza EC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 90' Hercules picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • Full Time. Fortaleza EC beats Sao Paulo FC

Lineups

Fortaleza EC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Juan Vojvoda

São Paulo FC Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Luis Zubeldía

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Robson 3
Luciano 3
David 2
Wellington Paulista 2
Juan Lucero 2
Imanol Machuca 1
Renato Kayzer 1
Vitor Bueno 1

Head to Head

2024-07-28 Fortaleza EC 1–0 São Paulo FC 2024-04-14 São Paulo FC 1–2 Fortaleza EC 2023-09-21 São Paulo FC 1–2 Fortaleza EC 2023-05-11 Fortaleza EC 0–0 São Paulo FC 2022-08-28 São Paulo FC 0–1 Fortaleza EC

Fortaleza EC Form

2024-07-28 Fortaleza EC 1–0 São Paulo FC W 2024-07-24 Criciúma EC 1–1 Fortaleza EC D 2024-07-21 Fortaleza EC 3–1 AC Goianiense W 2024-07-18 Fortaleza EC 3–1 EC Vitoria W 2024-07-11 CR Flamengo 1–2 Fortaleza EC W 2024-07-07 Fortaleza EC 1–0 Fluminense FC W

São Paulo FC Form

2024-07-28 Fortaleza EC 1–0 São Paulo FC L 2024-07-24 São Paulo FC 2–2 Botafogo FR D 2024-07-21 EC Juventude 0–0 São Paulo FC D 2024-07-17 São Paulo FC 1–0 Gremio FBPA W 2024-07-12 CA Mineiro 2–1 São Paulo FC L 2024-07-06 São Paulo FC 2–0 RB Bragantino W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.35 Fortaleza EC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.72 São Paulo FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 66% + Under — clean sheet likely 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Fortaleza EC55% Draw28% São Paulo FC17%
Actual: Fortaleza EC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes39% 0% No61%
Avg goals/match: 2.07
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 61%
39%
± 2.5 34%
66%
± 3.5 16%
84%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Fortaleza EC or Draw
83%
Draw or São Paulo FC
45%
Fortaleza EC or São Paulo FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Fortaleza EC33% Draw53% São Paulo FC14%
Actual: Fortaleza EC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
14.9%
1 – 1
13.1%
2 – 0
11%
2 – 1
8.1%
0 – 1
7.9%
3 – 0
4.9%
1 – 2
4.3%
3 – 1
3.7%
0 – 2
3.1%
2 – 2
3%
4 – 0
1.7%

Asian Handicap — Fortaleza EC

Handicap Fortaleza EC covers Push São Paulo FC covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 15% 75%
-1.5 25% — 75%
-1 25% 26% 50%
-0.5 50% — 50%
+0.5 82% — 18%
+1 82% 13% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
49% ✗
São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.