Wednesday , 11 November 2026

Fortaleza EC vs São Paulo FC, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2024
Fortaleza EC
1 – 0
Full Time
São Paulo FC
Sun 28 Jul 2024 · 00:30 UTC Castelao 41,322 HT 45' · FT 45'
Renato Kayzer pen 4' 1–0
Y 14' Luciano
Y 50' Rafinha
Y 57' Welington
Emanuel Britez 65' Y
Y 70' Damian Bobadilla
Kervin Andrade 80' Y
Hercules 90' Y
Hercules 90' R

Overview

Match Preview

Fortaleza EC vs São Paulo FC — Serie A at Castelao.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 CR Flamengo 34 76
2 SE Palmeiras 34 73
3 Cruzeiro EC 34 60
4 Fluminense FC 34 57
5 CA Paranaense 34 54
6 EC Bahia 34 53
7 CA Mineiro 34 50
8 RB Bragantino 34 47
9 Santos FC 34 47
10 São Paulo FC 34 44
11 Botafogo FR 34 42
12 Coritiba FBC 34 42
13 CR Vasco da Gama 33 41
14 Mirassol FC 34 40
15 SC Internacional 34 38
16 EC Vitoria 34 38
17 SC Corinthians Paulista 34 37
18 Gremio FBPA 34 37
19 Clube do Remo 34 29
20 Chapecoense AF 33 21

Head-to-Head

5
4
5
Fortaleza EC 14 games · Avg 1.8 goals São Paulo FC
Last 5 meetings
2024-07-28 Fortaleza EC 1–0 São Paulo FC 2024-04-14 São Paulo FC 1–2 Fortaleza EC 2023-09-21 São Paulo FC 1–2 Fortaleza EC 2023-05-11 Fortaleza EC 0–0 São Paulo FC 2022-08-28 São Paulo FC 0–1 Fortaleza EC

Recent Form

Fortaleza EC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Jul São Paulo FC H 1–0 W
24 Jul Criciúma EC A 1–1 D
21 Jul AC Goianiense H 3–1 W
18 Jul EC Vitoria H 3–1 W
11 Jul CR Flamengo A 2–1 W
07 Jul Fluminense FC H 1–0 W
São Paulo FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Jul Fortaleza EC A 0–1 L
24 Jul Botafogo FR H 2–2 D
21 Jul EC Juventude A 0–0 D
17 Jul Gremio FBPA H 1–0 W
12 Jul CA Mineiro A 1–2 L
06 Jul RB Bragantino H 2–0 W

Key Stats

43% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
29% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
26% Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

São Paulo FC
0-15
5/2
16-30
4/4
31-45
8/6
46-60
–/11
61-75
7/2
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

São Paulo FC
Jonathan Calleri 10 G 2 A
Luciano 9 G 1 A
Artur Guimaraes 4 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. Fortaleza EC get us underway at Castelao.
  • 4' Brilliant from the ! Renato Kayzer makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 4.
  • 9' Sao Paulo FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 14' A moment of madness from Luciano on 14 minutes earns him a card. Sao Paulo FC will be frustrated.
  • 19' Over 19 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 24' It is a cagey affair so far. Fortaleza EC in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Sao Paulo FC's compact 4-4-2.
  • 29' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 34' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Rodrigo Nestor made 387 appearances and scored 11 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 39' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 44' Hercules has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 2 cards already picked up this season.
  • 49' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Juan Vojvoda will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 50' Rafinha picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 55' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sao Paulo FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 57' The referee calls foul for Welington. He receives a card.
  • 58' A change in the Sao Paulo FC ranks — Rodrigo Nestor exits the field as Ferreira enters on 58.
  • 63' Fortaleza EC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Sao Paulo FC backline.
  • 65' The referee has no hesitation. Emanuel Britez is booked for Fortaleza EC — card on 65.
  • 67' The Fortaleza EC manager makes a substitution. Breno Lopes departs to be replaced by Moises.
  • 70' Damian Bobadilla catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 70.
  • 73' The crowd applauds Renato Kayzer as he leaves the pitch. Juan Lucero steps in for Fortaleza EC.
  • 74' Liziero is ready to make an impact after coming on for Damian Bobadilla at the 74 minute mark.
  • 79' Fortaleza EC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 79.
  • 80' The referee calls foul for Kervin Andrade. He receives a card.
  • 84' Lucas Sasha makes way for Pedro Augusto at the 84 minute mark. A tactical switch from Fortaleza EC.
  • 89' Sao Paulo FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 90' The referee calls foul for Hercules. He receives a card.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Fortaleza EC players.

Lineups

Fortaleza EC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Juan Vojvoda

São Paulo FC Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Luis Zubeldía

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Luciano 3
Robson 3
Wellington Paulista 2
Juan Lucero 2
David 2
Pablo Felipe 1
Yago Pikachu 1
Igor Gomes 1

Head to Head

2024-07-28 Fortaleza EC 1–0 São Paulo FC 2024-04-14 São Paulo FC 1–2 Fortaleza EC 2023-09-21 São Paulo FC 1–2 Fortaleza EC 2023-05-11 Fortaleza EC 0–0 São Paulo FC 2022-08-28 São Paulo FC 0–1 Fortaleza EC

Fortaleza EC Form

2024-07-28 Fortaleza EC 1–0 São Paulo FC W 2024-07-24 Criciúma EC 1–1 Fortaleza EC D 2024-07-21 Fortaleza EC 3–1 AC Goianiense W 2024-07-18 Fortaleza EC 3–1 EC Vitoria W 2024-07-11 CR Flamengo 1–2 Fortaleza EC W 2024-07-07 Fortaleza EC 1–0 Fluminense FC W

São Paulo FC Form

2024-07-28 Fortaleza EC 1–0 São Paulo FC L 2024-07-24 São Paulo FC 2–2 Botafogo FR D 2024-07-21 EC Juventude 0–0 São Paulo FC D 2024-07-17 São Paulo FC 1–0 Gremio FBPA W 2024-07-12 CA Mineiro 2–1 São Paulo FC L 2024-07-06 São Paulo FC 2–0 RB Bragantino W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.35 Fortaleza EC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.72 São Paulo FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 66% + Under — clean sheet likely 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Fortaleza EC55% Draw28% São Paulo FC17%
Actual: Fortaleza EC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes39% 0% No61%
Avg goals/match: 2.07
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 61%
39%
± 2.5 34%
66%
± 3.5 16%
84%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Fortaleza EC or Draw
83%
Draw or São Paulo FC
45%
Fortaleza EC or São Paulo FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Fortaleza EC33% Draw53% São Paulo FC14%
Actual: Fortaleza EC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
14.9%
1 – 1
13.1%
2 – 0
11%
2 – 1
8.1%
0 – 1
7.9%
3 – 0
4.9%
1 – 2
4.3%
3 – 1
3.7%
0 – 2
3.1%
2 – 2
3%
4 – 0
1.7%

Asian Handicap — Fortaleza EC

Handicap Fortaleza EC covers Push São Paulo FC covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 15% 75%
-1.5 25% — 75%
-1 25% 26% 50%
-0.5 50% — 50%
+0.5 82% — 18%
+1 82% 13% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
49% ✗
São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.