Saturday , 26 September 2026

Fortaleza EC vs São Paulo FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025
Fortaleza EC
0 – 2
Full Time
São Paulo FC
Thu 2 Oct 2025 · 22:30 UTC Castelao HT 45' · FT 45'
R 22' Emiliano Rigoni
Gaston Avila 45' Y
Lucas Gazal 58' Y
Tomas Pochettino 87' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Fortaleza EC vs São Paulo FC — Serie A at Castelao.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 CR Flamengo 28 60
2 SE Palmeiras 28 57
3 CA Paranaense 28 49
4 Fluminense FC 28 48
5 EC Bahia 28 46
6 Cruzeiro EC 28 45
7 CA Mineiro 27 40
8 Santos FC 27 38
9 Coritiba FBC 28 38
10 RB Bragantino 27 36
11 São Paulo FC 27 36
12 Botafogo FR 28 35
13 EC Vitoria 28 33
14 SC Corinthians Paulista 28 32
15 Mirassol FC 28 32
16 CR Vasco da Gama 27 31
17 Gremio FBPA 28 29
18 SC Internacional 28 28
19 Clube do Remo 28 23
20 Chapecoense AF 27 18

Head-to-Head

5
4
5
Fortaleza EC 14 games · Avg 1.8 goals São Paulo FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-10-02 Fortaleza EC 0–2 São Paulo FC 2025-05-03 São Paulo FC 0–0 Fortaleza EC 2024-07-28 Fortaleza EC 1–0 São Paulo FC 2024-04-14 São Paulo FC 1–2 Fortaleza EC 2023-09-21 São Paulo FC 1–2 Fortaleza EC

Recent Form

Fortaleza EC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Oct São Paulo FC H 0–2 L
27 Sep SC Recife H 1–0 W
21 Sep SE Palmeiras A 1–4 L
13 Sep EC Vitoria H 2–0 W
31 Aug SC Internacional A 1–2 L
24 Aug Mirassol FC H 0–1 L
São Paulo FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Oct Fortaleza EC A 2–0 W
29 Sep Ceará SC H 0–1 L
21 Sep Santos FC A 0–1 L
14 Sep Botafogo FR H 1–0 W
31 Aug Cruzeiro EC A 0–1 L
24 Aug CA Mineiro H 2–0 W

Key Stats

43% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
29% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
26% Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

São Paulo FC
0-15
5/–
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
–/9
61-75
5/2
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

São Paulo FC
Luciano 8 G 1 A
Jonathan Calleri 8 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G
Artur Guimaraes 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. Sao Paulo FC get us underway at Castelao.
  • 5' Wendell has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 10' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 11' A goal from the Chile international Gonzalo Tapia! He fires home on 11 to make it 0-1!
  • 16' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 21' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 22' It’s a booking for Sao Paulo FC player. Emiliano Rigoni gets a card.
  • 27' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 27 minutes.
  • 32' It looks surprising Fortaleza EC does not make any changes. Lucas Sasha has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 37' The 24-year-old Gaston Avila has been sensational this season — 2 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 42' Both keepers have barely been tested. Fortaleza EC and Sao Paulo FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 45' Poor challenge from Gaston Avila. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 46' A change in the Sao Paulo FC ranks — Rodrigo Huendra exits the field as Enzo Diaz enters on 46.
  • 51' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 56' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 58' Lucas Gazal has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 58.
  • 61' A tactical swap from Fortaleza EC — Adam Bareiro on, Lucas Crispim off on 61 minutes.
  • 62' Tomas Pochettino has so much to prove this time. He replaces Yago Pikachu on 62 minute.
  • 67' Supporters expect more eagerness from Enzo Diaz, as he is very good at scoring at Castelao with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 68' Another substitution for Sao Paulo FC to replace Cedric by Mailton dos Santos on 68 minute.
  • 73' Fortaleza EC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Marinho is hanging Deyverson on the field on 73 minute.
  • 77' Luciano is ready to make an impact after coming on for Gonzalo Tapia at the 77 minute mark.
  • 79' A change in the Sao Paulo FC ranks — Wendell exits the field as Alisson enters on 79.
  • 84' Pablo Maia has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 27 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
  • 85' Against the run of play, Luciano has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 87' Tomas Pochettino catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 87.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 0-2 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

Fortaleza EC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

São Paulo FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Luciano 3
Robson 3
Wellington Paulista 2
Juan Lucero 2
David 2
Igor Gomes 1
Juninho Capixaba 1
James Rodriguez 1

Head to Head

2025-10-02 Fortaleza EC 0–2 São Paulo FC 2025-05-03 São Paulo FC 0–0 Fortaleza EC 2024-07-28 Fortaleza EC 1–0 São Paulo FC 2024-04-14 São Paulo FC 1–2 Fortaleza EC 2023-09-21 São Paulo FC 1–2 Fortaleza EC

Fortaleza EC Form

2025-10-02 Fortaleza EC 0–2 São Paulo FC L 2025-09-27 Fortaleza EC 1–0 SC Recife W 2025-09-21 SE Palmeiras 4–1 Fortaleza EC L 2025-09-13 Fortaleza EC 2–0 EC Vitoria W 2025-08-31 SC Internacional 2–1 Fortaleza EC L 2025-08-24 Fortaleza EC 0–1 Mirassol FC L

São Paulo FC Form

2025-10-02 Fortaleza EC 0–2 São Paulo FC W 2025-09-29 São Paulo FC 0–1 Ceará SC L 2025-09-21 Santos FC 1–0 São Paulo FC L 2025-09-14 São Paulo FC 1–0 Botafogo FR W 2025-08-31 Cruzeiro EC 1–0 São Paulo FC L 2025-08-24 São Paulo FC 2–0 CA Mineiro W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.05 Fortaleza EC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.96 São Paulo FC xG
I would bet for: Fortaleza EC or Draw 69% + Under 2.5 goals 67%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Fortaleza EC37% Draw32% São Paulo FC31%
Actual: São Paulo FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes41% 0% No59%
Avg goals/match: 2.01
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 84%
16%
± 1.5 60%
40%
± 2.5 33%
67%
± 3.5 15%
85%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Fortaleza EC or Draw
69%
Draw or São Paulo FC
63%
Fortaleza EC or São Paulo FC
68%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Fortaleza EC24% Draw55% São Paulo FC21%
Actual: São Paulo FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
15.8%
1 – 1
14.5%
1 – 0
12.7%
0 – 1
11.5%
2 – 0
7.1%
2 – 1
6.9%
1 – 2
6.3%
0 – 2
Actual
2 – 2
3.5%
3 – 1
2.5%
3 – 0
2.4%
1 – 3
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Fortaleza EC

Handicap Fortaleza EC covers Push São Paulo FC covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 10% 86%
-1.5 14% — 86%
-1 14% 21% 65%
-0.5 35% — 65%
+0.5 70% — 30%
+1 70% 19% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
39% ✓
São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
36% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.