Fortaleza EC vs Sao Paulo FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
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Overview
Match Preview
Fortaleza EC vs São Paulo FC — Serie A at Castelao.
- Fortaleza EC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
- São Paulo FC 18 games · 25 pts (2026/26)
Standings
# Team P Pts 1 SE Palmeiras 18 41 2 CR Flamengo 17 34 3 Fluminense FC 18 31 4 CA Paranaense 18 30 5 RB Bragantino 18 29 6 EC Bahia 17 26 7 Coritiba FBC 18 26 8 Sao Paulo FC 18 25 9 CA Mineiro 18 24 10 SC Corinthians Paulista 18 24 11 Cruzeiro EC 18 24 12 Botafogo FR 17 22 13 EC Vitoria 17 22 14 SC Internacional 18 21 15 Santos FC 18 21 16 Gremio FBPA 18 21 17 CR Vasco da Gama 18 20 18 Clube do Remo 18 18 19 Mirassol FC 17 16 20 Chapecoense AF 17 9 Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Date Opponent H/A Score Result 02 Oct Sao Paulo FC H 0–2 L 27 Sep SC Recife H 1–0 W 21 Sep SE Palmeiras A 1–4 L 13 Sep EC Vitoria H 2–0 W 31 Aug SC Internacional A 1–2 L 24 Aug Mirassol FC H 0–1 L Date Opponent H/A Score Result 02 Oct Fortaleza EC A 2–0 W 29 Sep Ceará SC H 0–1 L 21 Sep Santos FC A 0–1 L 14 Sep Botafogo FR H 1–0 W 31 Aug Cruzeiro EC A 0–1 L 24 Aug CA Mineiro H 2–0 W Key Stats
43% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)29% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history28% Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this seasonGoal Timing (This Season)
Sao Paulo FC0-153/–16-302/331-451/246-60–/361-752/276+4/4■ Scored ■ ConcededTop Scorers (This Season)
Sao Paulo FCLuciano 6 G 1 A Jonathan Calleri 6 G 1 A Ferreira 4 G -
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Castelao will turn into a battlefield for Fortaleza EC and Sao Paulo FC.
- 5' Fortaleza EC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 10' The travelling Sao Paulo FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 11' What a strike from Gonzalo Tapia! The score is 0-1.
- 16' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 21' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 22' Emiliano Rigoni is having his name booked by the referee on 22.
- 27' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 32' It looks surprising Sao Paulo FC does not make any changes. Gaston Avila has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 37' Supporters expect more eagerness from Cedric, as he is very good at scoring at Castelao with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 42' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Deyverson made 386 appearances and scored 57 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 45' Gaston Avila is having his name booked by the referee on 45.
- 46' The supporters are chanting for Enzo Diaz. He replaces Rodrigo Huendra on 46 minute.
- 51' It looks like no one’s ball. Fortaleza EC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 56' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 56 minutes.
- 58' That looks like a foul for a card for Lucas Gazal.
- 61' Time for substitution for Fortaleza EC. Lucas Crispim is replaced by Adam Bareiro.
- 62' Another change for Fortaleza EC made on 62 minute. Yago Pikachu leaves to be changed by Tomas Pochettino.
- 67' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 68' Mailton dos Santos has so much to prove this time. He replaces Cedric on 68 minute.
- 73' Time for substitution for Fortaleza EC. Deyverson is replaced by Marinho.
- 77' Sao Paulo FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Luciano is hanging Gonzalo Tapia on the field on 77 minute.
- 79' The whistle greets Wendell as he departs to be replaced by Alisson.
- 84' Sao Paulo FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 85' GOAL! Luciano scores on 85. Assisted by Enzo Diaz
- 87' It’s a booking for Fortaleza EC player. Tomas Pochettino gets a card.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Fortaleza EC.
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Lineups
Fortaleza EC Lineups
Starting XI
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22
Yago Pikachu ↓ Tomas Pochettino 62'
- 16
- 18
- 88
- 33
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5
Matheus Pereira ↓ Yeison Guzman 46'
- 3
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91
Lucas Crispim ↓ Adam Bareiro 61'
- 34
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80
Jose Herrera ↓ Breno Lopes 46'
- 12
Bench
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11
Marinho ↑ 73'
- 20
- 23
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7
Tomas Pochettino ↑ 62'
- 13
- 9
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27
Adam Bareiro ↑ 61'
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26
Breno Lopes ↑ 46'
- 70
- 30
- 29
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10
Yeison Guzman ↑ 46'
São Paulo FC Lineups
Starting XI
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6
Cedric ↓ Mailton dos Santos 68'
- 16
- 18
- 77
- 35
- 29
- 23
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15
Rodrigo Huendra ↓ Enzo Diaz 46'
- 21
- 43
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14
Gonzalo Tapia ↓ Luciano 77'
Bench
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25
Alisson ↑ 79'
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10
Luciano ↑ 77'
- 20
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13
Enzo Diaz ↑ 46'
- 11
- 36
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22
Mailton dos Santos ↑ 68'
- 50
- 53
- 19
- 45
- 8
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22
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H2H
H2H Top Scorers
Player Goals Luciano 3 Robson 3 Juan Lucero 2 David 2 Wellington Paulista 2 Jose Welison 1 Gabriel 1 Andre Silva 1 Head to Head
Fortaleza EC Form
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Predictions
Prediction accuracy2 / 41.05 Fortaleza EC xGExpected GoalsDixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo0.96 São Paulo FC xGI would bet for: Fortaleza EC or Draw 69% + Under 2.5 goals 67%Match Result
✗ WrongActual: São Paulo FC winBoth Teams to Score
✓ CorrectAvg goals/match: 2.01Actual: No — clean sheetOver / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5Line Over Under ± 0.5 84% 16% ± 1.5 60% 40% ± 2.5 33% 67% ± 3.5 15% 85% ± 4.5 6% 94% Double Chance
Fortaleza EC or Draw 69%Draw or São Paulo FC 63%Fortaleza EC or São Paulo FC 68%Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: São Paulo FC win at HTCorrect Score
✓ In top 120 – 0 15.8%1 – 1 14.5%1 – 0 12.7%0 – 1 11.5%2 – 0 7.1%2 – 1 6.9%1 – 2 6.3%0 – 2 Actual2 – 2 3.5%3 – 1 2.5%3 – 0 2.4%1 – 3 2.1%Asian Handicap — Fortaleza EC
Handicap Fortaleza EC covers Push São Paulo FC covers -2.5 4% — 96% -2 4% 10% 86% -1.5 14% — 86% -1 14% 21% 65% -0.5 35% — 65% +0.5 70% — 30% +1 70% 19% 11% +1.5 89% — 11% +2 89% 8% 3% +2.5 97% — 3% Clean Sheet
Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet 39% ✓São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet 36% ✗Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

