Fortaleza EC vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Fortaleza EC vs EC Bahia — Serie A at Castelao.
- Fortaleza EC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
- EC Bahia 22 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 23 | 48 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 21 | 42 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 23 | 41 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 23 | 38 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 22 | 33 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 22 | 33 |
| 7 | RB Bragantino | 22 | 32 |
| 8 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 22 | 32 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 23 | 31 |
| 10 | Botafogo FR | 21 | 30 |
| 11 | CA Mineiro | 21 | 29 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo FC | 22 | 27 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 22 | 26 |
| 14 | Gremio FBPA | 21 | 25 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 22 | 23 |
| 16 | Mirassol FC | 21 | 23 |
| 17 | Santos FC | 21 | 22 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 21 | 22 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 22 | 22 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 21 | 10 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul | EC Bahia | H | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Jul | Ceará SC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Jun | Santos FC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 01 Jun | CR Flamengo | A | 0–5 | L |
| 25 May | Cruzeiro EC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 17 May | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 0–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul | Fortaleza EC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Jul | CA Mineiro | H | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Jun | RB Bragantino | A | 3–0 | W |
| 31 May | Sao Paulo FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 25 May | Gremio FBPA | A | 0–1 | L |
| 18 May | EC Vitoria | H | 2–1 | W |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
58%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
41%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
2/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
3/4
46-60
2/–
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 7 G | 1 A |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Fortaleza EC and EC Bahia has kicked off!
- 5' Fortaleza EC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 10' The 27-year-old Caio Alexandre has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 15' Lucas Sasha is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Fortaleza EC tonight.
- 18' It’s gonna be a card for Diogo Barbosa.
- 23' Fortaleza EC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 28' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Fortaleza EC and EC Bahia are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 29' The deadlock is broken! Marinho gets on the scoresheet on 29 minutes.
- 34' It is a cagey affair so far. Fortaleza EC in their trying to find a way past EC Bahia's compact .
- 39' The travelling EC Bahia supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 44' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 46' Fresh legs for EC Bahia! Cauly comes on to replace Luciano Rodriguez.
- 51' Erick catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 51.
- 56' EC Bahia are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 59' Fortaleza EC receives a card for a hard tackle on 59.
- 63' That looks like a foul for a card for Santiago Ramos.
- 65' Controversy at the stadium! Matheus Pereira argues furiously but the card stands.
- 68' Another change for Fortaleza EC made on 68 minute. Tomas Pochettino leaves to be changed by Leandro Martinez.
- 69' Jose Herrera is replacing Marinho for the Fortaleza EC side.
- 74' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 75' Michel Araujo is ready to make an impact after coming on for Jean Lucas at the 75 minute mark.
- 76' Rodrigo Nestor gets the nod from EC Bahia. He replaces Caio Alexandre and will look to change the dynamic.
- 78' Leandro Martinez has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 78.
- 79' Fresh legs for Fortaleza EC! Adam Bareiro comes on to replace Juan Lucero.
- 80' Rodrigo Nestor adds to his 1 season tally! EC Bahia lead 1-1 — and this changes everything.
- 84' Another substitution for Fortaleza EC to replace Breno Lopes by Yago Pikachu on 84 minute.
- 89' Nicolas Acevedo is ready to make an impact after coming on for Everton Ribeiro at the 89 minute mark.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. take all three points.
Lineups
Fortaleza EC Lineups
Starting XI
-
11
Marinho ↓ Jose Herrera 69'
- 16
- 7
- 88
-
33
Emanuel Britez ↓ Eros Mancuso 68'
- 5
- 13
-
9
Juan Lucero ↓ Adam Bareiro 79'
- 3
- 15
-
26
Breno Lopes ↓ Yago Pikachu 84'
Bench
-
22
Yago Pikachu ↑ 84'
- 20
- 18
- 25
- 2
-
27
Adam Bareiro ↑ 79'
- 17
-
14
Eros Mancuso ↑ 68'
-
8
Leandro Martinez ↑ 68'
-
80
Jose Herrera ↑ 69'
- 38
- 19
Coach
Juan Vojvoda
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
-
6
Jean Lucas ↓ Michel Araujo 75'
- 10
- 7
- 2
- 22
- 33
- 21
-
19
Caio Alexandre ↓ Rodrigo Nestor 76'
- 46
- 16
-
17
Luciano Rodriguez ↓ Cauly 46'
Bench
- 96
-
8
Cauly ↑ 46'
- 13
- 25
-
11
Rodrigo Nestor ↑ 76'
-
15
Michel Araujo ↑ 75'
-
26
Nicolas Acevedo ↑ 89'
-
37
Kayky ↑ 76'
- 3
- 66
- 77
- 68
Coach
Eduardo Varjao
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Hugo Rodallega | 4 |
| Marinho | 3 |
| Rodriguinho | 3 |
| Yago Pikachu | 2 |
| Gilberto | 2 |
| Juninho | 2 |
| Everaldo | 1 |
| Rossi | 1 |
Head to Head
Fortaleza EC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.08
Fortaleza EC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.22
EC Bahia xG
I would bet for:
Fortaleza EC or EC Bahia 69% + Under 2.5 goals 60%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.3
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 2.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
| ± 3.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
Fortaleza EC or Draw
62%
Draw or EC Bahia
69%
Fortaleza EC or EC Bahia
69%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Fortaleza EC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
12.3%
0 – 1
11%
1 – 0
9.7%
1 – 2
7.8%
0 – 2
7.2%
2 – 1
6.9%
2 – 0
5.7%
2 – 2
4.3%
1 – 3
3.2%
0 – 3
2.9%
3 – 1
2.5%
Asian Handicap — Fortaleza EC
| Handicap | Fortaleza EC covers | Push | EC Bahia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 9% | 87% |
| -1.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -1 | 13% | 18% | 69% |
| -0.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| +0.5 | 62% | — | 38% |
| +1 | 62% | 21% | 17% |
| +1.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +2 | 83% | 11% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
35%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.