Fortaleza EC vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Fortaleza EC vs EC Bahia — Serie A at Castelao.
- Fortaleza EC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
- EC Bahia 34 games · 53 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 34 | 76 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro EC | 34 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 34 | 57 |
| 5 | CA Paranaense | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 34 | 53 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 34 | 50 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos FC | 34 | 47 |
| 10 | São Paulo FC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo FR | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba FBC | 34 | 42 |
| 13 | CR Vasco da Gama | 33 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol FC | 34 | 40 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 34 | 38 |
| 16 | EC Vitoria | 34 | 38 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 34 | 37 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 34 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 33 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul | EC Bahia | H | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Jul | Ceará SC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Jun | Santos FC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 01 Jun | CR Flamengo | A | 0–5 | L |
| 25 May | Cruzeiro EC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 17 May | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 0–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul | Fortaleza EC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Jul | CA Mineiro | H | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Jun | RB Bragantino | A | 3–0 | W |
| 31 May | São Paulo FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 25 May | Gremio FBPA | A | 0–1 | L |
| 18 May | EC Vitoria | H | 2–1 | W |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
58%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
32%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
5/3
16-30
4/6
31-45
10/7
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/7
76+
9/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 11 G | 2 A |
| Jean Lucas | 4 G | 4 A |
| Erick | 4 G | |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Fortaleza EC is hosting EC Bahia for another epic battle.
- 5' The home supporters are growing impatient. Fortaleza EC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 10' A quiet spell here at Castelao. EC Bahia seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 15' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 18' The referee shows Fortaleza EC player a card on 18.
- 23' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Fortaleza EC that had 266 games and scored 352 goals.
- 28' Both keepers have barely been tested. Fortaleza EC and EC Bahia are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 29' Marinho puts Fortaleza EC on the lead.
- 34' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 39' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 44' The 31-year-old Ademir Santos has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 46' EC Bahia ring the changes. Luciano Rodriguez has done his job and it is now time for Cauly to step up.
- 51' The referee has no hesitation. Erick is booked for EC Bahia — card on 51.
- 56' Erick is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Fortaleza EC tonight.
- 59' It’s gonna be a card for Juan Lucero.
- 63' EC Bahia player sees a card in front of him.
- 65' The referee calls foul for Matheus Pereira. He receives a card.
- 68' The whistle greets Tomas Pochettino as he departs to be replaced by Leandro Martinez.
- 69' The crowd applauds Marinho as he leaves the pitch. Jose Herrera steps in for Fortaleza EC.
- 74' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 75' It is a substitution in EC Bahia team. Jean Lucas is replaced by Michel Araujo on 75 minute.
- 76' The EC Bahia manager makes a substitution. Caio Alexandre departs to be replaced by Rodrigo Nestor.
- 78' The referee calls foul for Leandro Martinez. He receives a card.
- 79' It is a substitution in Fortaleza EC team. Juan Lucero is replaced by Adam Bareiro on 79 minute.
- 80' Rodrigo Nestor does the damage! The net is bulging and EC Bahia surge ahead!
- 84' A tactical swap from Fortaleza EC — Yago Pikachu on, Breno Lopes off on 84 minutes.
- 89' EC Bahia ring the changes. Everton Ribeiro has done his job and it is now time for Nicolas Acevedo to step up.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.
Lineups
Fortaleza EC Lineups
Starting XI
-
11
Marinho ↓ Jose Herrera 69'
- 16
- 7
- 88
-
33
Emanuel Britez ↓ Eros Mancuso 68'
- 5
- 13
-
9
Juan Lucero ↓ Adam Bareiro 79'
- 3
- 15
-
26
Breno Lopes ↓ Yago Pikachu 84'
Bench
-
22
Yago Pikachu ↑ 84'
- 20
- 18
- 25
- 2
-
27
Adam Bareiro ↑ 79'
- 17
-
14
Eros Mancuso ↑ 68'
-
8
Leandro Martinez ↑ 68'
-
80
Jose Herrera ↑ 69'
- 38
- 19
Coach
Juan Vojvoda
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
-
6
Jean Lucas ↓ Michel Araujo 75'
- 10
- 7
- 2
- 22
- 33
- 21
-
19
Caio Alexandre ↓ Rodrigo Nestor 76'
- 46
- 16
-
17
Luciano Rodriguez ↓ Cauly 46'
Bench
- 96
-
8
Cauly ↑ 46'
- 13
- 25
-
11
Rodrigo Nestor ↑ 76'
-
15
Michel Araujo ↑ 75'
-
26
Nicolas Acevedo ↑ 89'
-
37
Kayky ↑ 76'
- 3
- 66
- 77
- 68
Coach
Eduardo Varjao
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Hugo Rodallega | 4 |
| Marinho | 3 |
| Rodriguinho | 3 |
| Gilberto | 2 |
| Juninho | 2 |
| Yago Pikachu | 2 |
| Rodrigo Nestor | 1 |
| Matheus | 1 |
Head to Head
Fortaleza EC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.08
Fortaleza EC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.22
EC Bahia xG
I would bet for:
Fortaleza EC or EC Bahia 69% + Under 2.5 goals 60%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.3
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 2.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
| ± 3.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
Fortaleza EC or Draw
62%
Draw or EC Bahia
69%
Fortaleza EC or EC Bahia
69%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Fortaleza EC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
12.3%
0 – 1
11%
1 – 0
9.7%
1 – 2
7.8%
0 – 2
7.2%
2 – 1
6.9%
2 – 0
5.7%
2 – 2
4.3%
1 – 3
3.2%
0 – 3
2.9%
3 – 1
2.5%
Asian Handicap — Fortaleza EC
| Handicap | Fortaleza EC covers | Push | EC Bahia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 9% | 87% |
| -1.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -1 | 13% | 18% | 69% |
| -0.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| +0.5 | 62% | — | 38% |
| +1 | 62% | 21% | 17% |
| +1.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +2 | 83% | 11% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
35%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.