Fluminense FC vs São Paulo FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Fluminense FC vs São Paulo FC — Serie A at Maracana.
- Fluminense FC 28 games · 48 pts (2026/26)
- São Paulo FC 27 games · 36 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | São Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov | São Paulo FC | H | 6–0 | W |
| 23 Nov | SE Palmeiras | A | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Nov | CR Flamengo | H | 2–1 | W |
| 09 Nov | Cruzeiro EC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 06 Nov | Mirassol FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Nov | Ceará SC | A | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov | Fluminense FC | A | 0–6 | L |
| 23 Nov | EC Juventude | H | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Nov | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 1–3 | L |
| 09 Nov | RB Bragantino | H | 0–1 | L |
| 06 Nov | CR Flamengo | H | 2–2 | D |
| 02 Nov | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 2–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Fluminense FC | São Paulo FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #11 |
| 48 | Points | 36 |
| 28 | Played | 27 |
| 13 / 9 / 6 | W / D / L | 10 / 6 / 11 |
| 44 | Scored | 32 |
| 36 | Conceded | 30 |
| +8 | GD | +2 |
| 1.71 | PPG | 1.33 |
| 46% | Win % | 37% |
Key Stats
70%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
H2H (20 games)
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
21%
Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
Fluminense FC this season
26%
Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season
São Paulo FC this season
Fluminense FC are 4th (48 pts). São Paulo FC are 11th (36 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Fluminense FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
4/1
31-45
5/5
46-60
3/5
61-75
4/5
76+
14/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
São Paulo FC
0-15
5/–
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
–/9
61-75
5/2
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Fluminense FC
| John Kennedy | 9 G | 1 A |
| Hulk | 7 G | 4 A |
| Agustin Canobbio | 5 G | 3 A |
| Luciano Acosta | 4 G | 5 A |
| Rodrigo Castillo | 4 G | 1 A |
São Paulo FC
| Luciano | 8 G | 1 A |
| Jonathan Calleri | 8 G | 1 A |
| Ferreira | 4 G | |
| Artur Guimaraes | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Fluminense FC and Sao Paulo FC is underway.
- 5' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Fluminense FC winning 100% of all matches.
- 9' Agustin Canobbio does the damage! The net is bulging and Fluminense FC surge ahead!
- 14' Fabio has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 25 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 16' Martinelli doubles the advantage! 2-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 21' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
- 23' Nonato is ready to make an impact after coming on for Hercules at the 23 minute mark.
- 24' A goal from the Brazil international Nonato! He fires home on 24 to make it 3-0!
- 29' Both keepers have barely been tested. Fluminense FC and Sao Paulo FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 34' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 34 minutes.
- 39' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 44' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 46' It is a substitution in Sao Paulo FC team. Maik is replaced by Nicolas on 46 minute.
- 51' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 56' Fluminense FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 61' The supporters are chanting for John Kennedy. He replaces Everaldo on 61 minute.
- 62' The supporters are chanting for Ignacio. He replaces Thiago Silva on 62 minute.
- 67' Brazil international Luiz Gustavo has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 69' GOAL! John Kennedy scores on 69.
- 71' A tactical swap from Sao Paulo FC — Felipe Negrucci on, Damian Bobadilla off on 71 minutes.
- 72' Agustin Canobbio picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 77' A stunning finish from Agustin Canobbio — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 78' The crowd applauds Luciano Acosta as he leaves the pitch. Ganso steps in for Fluminense FC.
- 79' It is a substitution in Sao Paulo FC team. Lucca Marques is replaced by Paulo Sergio on 79 minute.
- 84' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 87' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Kevin Serna makes it 6-0.
- With this win, Fluminense FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
Fluminense FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 6
- 2
-
3
Thiago Silva ↓ Ignacio 62'
-
32
Luciano Acosta ↓ Ganso 78'
- 22
-
9
Everaldo ↓ John Kennedy 61'
- 35
- 8
- 17
- 90
Bench
- 29
- 23
-
10
Ganso ↑ 78'
-
16
Nonato ↑ 23'
- 11
-
4
Ignacio ↑ 62'
-
7
Yeferson Soteldo ↑ 79'
- 27
-
99
John Kennedy ↑ 61'
- 45
- 5
- 28
Coach
Luis Zubeldía
São Paulo FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 16
- 77
- 20
- 28
- 32
-
29
Pablo Maia ↓ Alisson 46'
- 50
- 21
- 42
-
14
Gonzalo Tapia ↓ Rafael Toloi 46'
-
45
Lucca Marques ↓ Paulo Sergio 79'
Bench
-
25
Alisson ↑ 46'
- 6
-
2
Rafael Toloi ↑ 46'
- 36
- 22
- 12
-
43
Felipe Negrucci ↑ 71'
- 52
-
56
Nicolas ↑ 46'
-
39
Paulo Sergio ↑ 79'
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| German Cano | 4 |
| Agustin Canobbio | 3 |
| Reinaldo | 3 |
| Brenner | 3 |
| John Kennedy | 2 |
| Patrick | 2 |
| Luciano Neves | 2 |
| Luciano | 2 |
Head to Head
Fluminense FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.35
Fluminense FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.92
São Paulo FC xG
I would bet for:
Fluminense FC to win 65% + Over 2.5 goals 62%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Fluminense FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.27
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 2.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
| ± 3.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 4.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
Double Chance
Fluminense FC or Draw
85%
Draw or São Paulo FC
35%
Fluminense FC or São Paulo FC
80%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Fluminense FC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 6–0 not predicted6 – 0Actual
2 – 0
10.4%
2 – 1
9.3%
1 – 1
9%
1 – 0
8.5%
3 – 0
7.9%
3 – 1
7.3%
0 – 0
5.2%
4 – 0
4.6%
4 – 1
4.3%
2 – 2
4.3%
1 – 2
3.7%
3 – 2
3.4%
Asian Handicap — Fluminense FC
| Handicap | Fluminense FC covers | Push | São Paulo FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -2 | 26% | 20% | 54% |
| -1.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| -1 | 46% | 22% | 32% |
| -0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +0.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +1 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
| +2 | 96% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
40%
✗
São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

