PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara vs FK Baltika Kaliningrad, RFPL 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara vs FK Baltika Kaliningrad — RFPL at Cosmos Arena.
- PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 30 games · 32 pts (2026/27)
- FK Baltika Kaliningrad 30 games · 46 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | 30 | 68 |
| 2 | FK Krasnodar | 30 | 66 |
| 3 | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | 30 | 53 |
| 4 | FK Spartak Moskva | 30 | 52 |
| 5 | PFC CSKA Moskva | 30 | 51 |
| 6 | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | 30 | 46 |
| 7 | FK Dinamo Moskva | 30 | 45 |
| 8 | FK Rubin Kazan | 30 | 43 |
| 9 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 30 | 37 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 30 | 33 |
| 11 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 30 | 32 |
| 12 | FK Orenburg | 30 | 29 |
| 13 | FK Akron Tolyatti | 30 | 27 |
| 14 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | 30 | 26 |
| 15 | FK Nizhny Novgorod | 30 | 23 |
| 16 | PFK Sochi | 30 | 22 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | H | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Aug | FK Rubin Kazan | A | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Aug | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | A | 1–1 | D |
| 05 Aug | FK Rostov | H | 5–1 | W |
| 29 Jul | FK Dinamo Moskva | H | 3–3 | D |
| 22 Jul | RFK Akhmat Grozny | A | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | A | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Aug | FK Ural | H | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Aug | FK Dinamo Moskva | A | 0–2 | L |
| 06 Aug | FK Fakel Voronezh | H | 2–1 | W |
| 31 Jul | FK Spartak Moskva | A | 1–2 | L |
| 23 Jul | PFK Sochi | A | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #6 |
| 32 | Points | 46 |
| 30 | Played | 30 |
| 8 / 8 / 14 | W / D / L | 11 / 13 / 6 |
| 35 | Scored | 38 |
| 50 | Conceded | 21 |
| -15 | GD | +17 |
| 1.07 | PPG | 1.53 |
| 27% | Win % | 37% |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara are 11th (32 pts). FK Baltika Kaliningrad are 6th (46 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Cosmos Arena. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Mateo Barac suffering a number of foals already.
- 10' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 15' It is a cagey affair so far. PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara in their trying to find a way past FK Baltika Kaliningrad's compact .
- 20' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with FK Baltika Kaliningrad winning 50% of all matches.
- 25' Supporters expect more eagerness from Evgeniy Latyshonok, as he is very good at scoring at Cosmos Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 30' Georgii Zotov has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 1 cards already picked up this season.
- 35' Aslan Dudiev has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 60 appearances.
- 40' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 45' That looks like a foul for a card for Aleksandr Soldatenkov.
- 46' The PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara manager makes a substitution. Egor Karpitsky departs to be replaced by Vladislav Shitov.
- 51' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 52' PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara is taking the lead after the goal scored by Sergey Babkin on 52.
- 57' The energy levels are beginning to show. Igor Osinkin might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 62' PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against FK Baltika Kaliningrad's shape.
- 67' Time for substitution for PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara. Sergey Babkin is replaced by Dmitriy Ivanisenya.
- 72' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 73' A change in the FK Baltika Kaliningrad ranks — Artur Galoyan exits the field as Angelo Henriquez enters on 73.
- 74' FK Baltika Kaliningrad make a change. Maksim Kuzmin trudges off to be replaced by Vladislav Lazarev on 74 minutes.
- 79' FK Baltika Kaliningrad looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
- 80' PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara player sees a card in front of him.
- 84' Another change for FK Baltika Kaliningrad made on 84 minute. Roberto Fernandez leaves to be changed by Aslan Dudiev.
- 88' Tamerlan Musaev adds to his 1 season tally! FK Baltika Kaliningrad lead 1-1 — and this changes everything.
- 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Aslan Dudiev on 90.
- 90' A tactical swap from PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara — Amar Rahmanovic on, Maksim Vityugov off on 90 minutes.
- FK Baltika Kaliningrad will have plenty to reflect on. PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara were simply the better side today.
Lineups
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara Lineups
Starting XI
- 24
- 15
- 44
- 1
- 4
- 5
- 8
- 6
- 22
-
14
Nikita Saltykov ↓ Georgii Zotov 90'
- 17
Bench
- 95
-
31
Georgii Zotov ↑ 90'
-
20
Amar Rahmanovic ↑ 90'
- 81
-
73
Vladislav Shitov ↑ 46'
- 72
- 39
-
21
Dmitriy Ivanisenya ↑ 67'
- 76
- 55
- 33
- –
Coach
Igor Osinkin
FK Baltika Kaliningrad Lineups
Starting XI
- 23
- 7
- 10
- 9
- 3
- 1
- 6
- 26
- 20
- 5
- –
Bench
- 2
- 21
- 59
-
18
Angelo Henriquez ↑ 73'
- 22
- 19
- 11
- 67
-
89
Vladislav Lazarev ↑ 74'
- 66
-
8
Aslan Dudiev ↑ 84'
Coach
Sergey Ignashevich
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Sergey Babkin | 1 |
| Tamerlan Musaev | 1 |
| Amar Rahmanovic | 1 |
| Dmitrii Rybchinskii | 1 |
| Angelo Henriquez | 1 |
| Georgii Zotov | 1 |
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara Form
2023-08-27
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
2–1
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
W
2023-08-18
FK Rubin Kazan
2–1
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
L
2023-08-12
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
1–1
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
D
2023-08-05
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
5–1
FK Rostov
W
2023-07-29
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
3–3
FK Dinamo Moskva
D
2023-07-22
RFK Akhmat Grozny
1–2
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
W
FK Baltika Kaliningrad Form
2023-08-27
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
2–1
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
L
2023-08-19
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
0–1
FK Ural
L
2023-08-13
FK Dinamo Moskva
2–0
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
L
2023-08-06
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
2–1
FK Fakel Voronezh
W
2023-07-31
FK Spartak Moskva
2–1
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
L
2023-07-23
PFK Sochi
2–0
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.59
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.33
FK Baltika Kaliningrad xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 59% + Over 2.5 goals 55%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.92
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 2.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 3.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
| ± 4.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
Double Chance
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara or Draw
73%
Draw or FK Baltika Kaliningrad
52%
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara or FK Baltika Kaliningrad
75%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.3%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
7.7%
1 – 2
7.3%
0 – 0
7.2%
2 – 0
6.7%
0 – 1
6.3%
2 – 2
5.8%
0 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
4.6%
3 – 0
3.5%
1 – 3
3.2%
Asian Handicap — PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
| Handicap | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara covers | Push | FK Baltika Kaliningrad covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 13% | 78% |
| -1.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 20% | 58% |
| -0.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| +0.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +1 | 69% | 17% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 9% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
FK Baltika Kaliningrad keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

