Sunday , 16 August 2026

PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara vs FK Baltika Kaliningrad, RFPL 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2023-24
Sun 27 Aug 2023 · 14:30 UTC Cosmos Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

1
1
2
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 4 games · Avg 2.5 goals FK Baltika Kaliningrad

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Aug FK Baltika Kaliningrad H 2–1 W
18 Aug FK Rubin Kazan A 1–2 L
12 Aug FK Lokomotiv Moskva A 1–1 D
05 Aug FK Rostov H 5–1 W
29 Jul FK Dinamo Moskva H 3–3 D
22 Jul RFK Akhmat Grozny A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Aug PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara A 1–2 L
19 Aug FK Ural H 0–1 L
13 Aug FK Dinamo Moskva A 0–2 L
06 Aug FK Fakel Voronezh H 2–1 W
31 Jul FK Spartak Moskva A 1–2 L
23 Jul PFK Sochi A 0–2 L

Season Stats

PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara FK Baltika Kaliningrad
#11 Position #6
32 Points 46
30 Played 30
8 / 8 / 14 W / D / L 11 / 13 / 6
35 Scored 38
50 Conceded 21
-15 GD +17
1.07 PPG 1.53
27% Win % 37%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara are 11th (32 pts). FK Baltika Kaliningrad are 6th (46 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Cosmos Arena. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Mateo Barac suffering a number of foals already.
  • 10' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 15' It is a cagey affair so far. PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara in their trying to find a way past FK Baltika Kaliningrad's compact .
  • 20' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with FK Baltika Kaliningrad winning 50% of all matches.
  • 25' Supporters expect more eagerness from Evgeniy Latyshonok, as he is very good at scoring at Cosmos Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 30' Georgii Zotov has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 1 cards already picked up this season.
  • 35' Aslan Dudiev has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 60 appearances.
  • 40' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 45' That looks like a foul for a card for Aleksandr Soldatenkov.
  • 46' The PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara manager makes a substitution. Egor Karpitsky departs to be replaced by Vladislav Shitov.
  • 51' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 52' PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara is taking the lead after the goal scored by Sergey Babkin on 52.
  • 57' The energy levels are beginning to show. Igor Osinkin might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 62' PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against FK Baltika Kaliningrad's shape.
  • 67' Time for substitution for PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara. Sergey Babkin is replaced by Dmitriy Ivanisenya.
  • 72' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 73' A change in the FK Baltika Kaliningrad ranks — Artur Galoyan exits the field as Angelo Henriquez enters on 73.
  • 74' FK Baltika Kaliningrad make a change. Maksim Kuzmin trudges off to be replaced by Vladislav Lazarev on 74 minutes.
  • 79' FK Baltika Kaliningrad looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
  • 80' PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara player sees a card in front of him.
  • 84' Another change for FK Baltika Kaliningrad made on 84 minute. Roberto Fernandez leaves to be changed by Aslan Dudiev.
  • 88' Tamerlan Musaev adds to his 1 season tally! FK Baltika Kaliningrad lead 1-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Aslan Dudiev on 90.
  • 90' A tactical swap from PFK Krylya Sovetov SamaraAmar Rahmanovic on, Maksim Vityugov off on 90 minutes.
  • FK Baltika Kaliningrad will have plenty to reflect on. PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.59 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.33 FK Baltika Kaliningrad xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 59% + Over 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara48% Draw25% FK Baltika Kaliningrad27%
Actual: PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 2.92
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara or Draw
73%
Draw or FK Baltika Kaliningrad
52%
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara or FK Baltika Kaliningrad
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara31% Draw45% FK Baltika Kaliningrad24%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.3%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
7.7%
1 – 2
7.3%
0 – 0
7.2%
2 – 0
6.7%
0 – 1
6.3%
2 – 2
5.8%
0 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
4.6%
3 – 0
3.5%
1 – 3
3.2%

Asian Handicap — PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara

Handicap PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara covers Push FK Baltika Kaliningrad covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 13% 78%
-1.5 22% 78%
-1 22% 20% 58%
-0.5 42% 58%
+0.5 69% 31%
+1 69% 17% 14%
+1.5 86% 14%
+2 86% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara keeps clean sheet
27%
FK Baltika Kaliningrad keeps clean sheet
21%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.