FK Krasnodar vs FK Lokomotiv Moskva, RFPL 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FK Krasnodar vs FK Lokomotiv Moskva — RFPL at Krasnodar Stadium.
- FK Krasnodar 30 games · 66 pts (2025/26)
- FK Lokomotiv Moskva 30 games · 53 pts (2025/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | 30 | 68 |
| 2 | FK Krasnodar | 30 | 66 |
| 3 | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | 30 | 53 |
| 4 | FK Spartak Moskva | 30 | 52 |
| 5 | PFC CSKA Moskva | 30 | 51 |
| 6 | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | 30 | 46 |
| 7 | FK Dinamo Moskva | 30 | 45 |
| 8 | FK Rubin Kazan | 30 | 43 |
| 9 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 30 | 37 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 30 | 33 |
| 11 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 30 | 32 |
| 12 | FK Orenburg | 30 | 29 |
| 13 | FK Akron Tolyatti | 30 | 27 |
| 14 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | 30 | 26 |
| 15 | FK Nizhny Novgorod | 30 | 23 |
| 16 | PFK Sochi | 30 | 22 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | H | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Aug | FK Orenburg | A | 2–0 | W |
| 04 Aug | FK Nizhny Novgorod | H | 0–0 | D |
| 30 Jul | PFK Sochi | H | 2–0 | W |
| 21 Jul | FK Dinamo Moskva | A | 3–1 | W |
| 03 Jun | RFK Akhmat Grozny | A | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug | FK Krasnodar | A | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Aug | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | H | 1–1 | D |
| 05 Aug | PFC CSKA Moskva | A | 1–4 | L |
| 30 Jul | FK Fakel Voronezh | A | 4–1 | W |
| 22 Jul | FK Rubin Kazan | H | 2–2 | D |
| 03 Jun | FK Torpedo Moskva | H | 3–1 | W |
Season Stats
| FK Krasnodar | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | |
|---|---|---|
| #2 | Position | #3 |
| 66 | Points | 53 |
| 30 | Played | 30 |
| 20 / 6 / 4 | W / D / L | 14 / 11 / 5 |
| 60 | Scored | 54 |
| 23 | Conceded | 39 |
| +37 | GD | +15 |
| 2.20 | PPG | 1.77 |
| 67% | Win % | 47% |
Key Stats
56%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
43%
Clean Sheets
FK Krasnodar this season
FK Krasnodar this season
23%
Clean Sheets
FK Lokomotiv Moskva this season
FK Lokomotiv Moskva this season
FK Krasnodar are 2nd (66 pts). FK Lokomotiv Moskva are 3rd (53 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FK Krasnodar
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/2
46-60
1/1
61-75
4/1
76+
4/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
–/2
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/2
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' FK Krasnodar have kicked off against FK Lokomotiv Moskva. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 10' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 15' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His FK Krasnodar side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 20' The home supporters are growing impatient. FK Krasnodar must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 25' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with FK Lokomotiv Moskva winning 50% of all matches.
- 30' FK Krasnodar started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 30.
- 35' Eduard Spertsyan has been relatively quiet despite scoring 45 goals in his last 266 appearances.
- 39' The referee calls foul for Lucas Olaza. He receives a card.
- 44' FK Krasnodar are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FK Lokomotiv Moskva backline.
- 46' Another change for FK Krasnodar made on 46 minute. Lucas Olaza leaves to be changed by Sergey Petrov.
- 47' Ilzat Akhmetov doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 52' FK Lokomotiv Moskva has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
- 54' The referee shows FK Lokomotiv Moskva player a card on 54.
- 58' Fresh legs for FK Krasnodar! Kady Borges comes on to replace Nikita Krivtsov.
- 63' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FK Krasnodar that had 266 games and scored 423 goals.
- 67' It is a substitution in FK Lokomotiv Moskva team. Egor Pogostnov is replaced by Evgeni Morozov on 67 minute.
- 72' FK Krasnodar currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 77' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 82' FK Krasnodar seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 87' FK Krasnodar are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against FK Lokomotiv Moskva's shape.
- 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Aleksandr Chernikov on 90.
- 90' The FK Krasnodar manager makes a substitution. Joao Batxi departs to be replaced by Olakunle Olusegun.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-1 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
FK Krasnodar Lineups
Starting XI
- 9
- 4
- 31
- 7
-
15
Lucas Olaza ↓ Sergey Petrov 46'
- 39
- 8
- 10
-
88
Nikita Krivtsov ↓ Kady Borges 58'
-
19
Joao Batxi ↓ Olakunle Olusegun 90'
- 82
Bench
- 1
- 23
- 14
-
98
Sergey Petrov ↑ 46'
-
40
Olakunle Olusegun ↑ 90'
- 93
- 96
- 90
- 33
- 42
-
20
Kady Borges ↑ 58'
- 16
Coach
Vladimir Ivic
FK Lokomotiv Moskva Lineups
Starting XI
- 17
- 94
- 15
- 3
- 24
- 77
- 22
- 19
- 93
-
59
Egor Pogostnov ↓ Evgeni Morozov 67'
- 6
Bench
- 11
- 1
- 69
- 71
- 5
- 45
- 8
- 12
- 20
- 53
-
85
Evgeni Morozov ↑ 67'
- 81
Coach
Mikhail Galaktionov
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Markus Berg | 5 |
| Shapi Suleimanov | 3 |
| Jhon Cordoba | 3 |
| Anton Miranchuk | 2 |
| Grzegorz Krychowiak | 2 |
| Dmitrii Barinov | 2 |
| Maksim Glushenkov | 2 |
| Eduard Spertsyan | 2 |
Head to Head
FK Krasnodar Form
FK Lokomotiv Moskva Form
2023-08-19
FK Krasnodar
1–1
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
D
2023-08-12
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
1–1
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
D
2023-08-05
PFC CSKA Moskva
4–1
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
L
2023-07-30
FK Fakel Voronezh
1–4
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
W
2023-07-22
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
2–2
FK Rubin Kazan
D
2023-06-03
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
3–1
FK Torpedo Moskva
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.96
FK Krasnodar xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.12
FK Lokomotiv Moskva xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 58% + Both teams to score 58%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.08
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 2.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
| ± 3.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 4.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
Double Chance
FK Krasnodar or Draw
78%
Draw or FK Lokomotiv Moskva
46%
FK Krasnodar or FK Lokomotiv Moskva
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
8.7%
1 – 0
8.3%
0 – 0
6.2%
3 – 1
6.2%
3 – 0
5.6%
1 – 2
5.4%
2 – 2
5.3%
0 – 1
4.4%
3 – 2
3.5%
4 – 1
3.1%
Asian Handicap — FK Krasnodar
| Handicap | FK Krasnodar covers | Push | FK Lokomotiv Moskva covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -2 | 16% | 17% | 67% |
| -1.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| -1 | 33% | 22% | 44% |
| -0.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +0.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 12% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
FK Krasnodar keeps clean sheet
33%
✓
FK Lokomotiv Moskva keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

