RFK Akhmat Grozny vs FK Orenburg, RFPL 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
RFK Akhmat Grozny vs FK Orenburg — RFPL at Akhmat Arena.
- RFK Akhmat Grozny 30 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
- FK Orenburg 30 games · 29 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | 30 | 68 |
| 2 | FK Krasnodar | 30 | 66 |
| 3 | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | 30 | 53 |
| 4 | FK Spartak Moskva | 30 | 52 |
| 5 | PFC CSKA Moskva | 30 | 51 |
| 6 | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | 30 | 46 |
| 7 | FK Dinamo Moskva | 30 | 45 |
| 8 | FK Rubin Kazan | 30 | 43 |
| 9 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 30 | 37 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 30 | 33 |
| 11 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 30 | 32 |
| 12 | FK Orenburg | 30 | 29 |
| 13 | FK Akron Tolyatti | 30 | 27 |
| 14 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | 30 | 26 |
| 15 | FK Nizhny Novgorod | 30 | 23 |
| 16 | PFK Sochi | 30 | 22 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug | FK Orenburg | H | 4–0 | W |
| 14 Aug | FK Nizhny Novgorod | A | 0–2 | L |
| 06 Aug | PFK Sochi | A | 2–1 | W |
| 30 Jul | PFC CSKA Moskva | H | 2–3 | L |
| 22 Jul | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | H | 1–2 | L |
| 03 Jun | FK Krasnodar | H | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug | RFK Akhmat Grozny | A | 0–4 | L |
| 12 Aug | FK Krasnodar | H | 0–2 | L |
| 05 Aug | FK Ural | H | 0–2 | L |
| 30 Jul | FK Rubin Kazan | A | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Jul | FK Spartak Moskva | A | 2–3 | L |
| 03 Jun | FK Dinamo Moskva | H | 3–0 | W |
Season Stats
| RFK Akhmat Grozny | FK Orenburg | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #12 |
| 37 | Points | 29 |
| 30 | Played | 30 |
| 9 / 10 / 11 | W / D / L | 7 / 8 / 15 |
| 35 | Scored | 29 |
| 39 | Conceded | 44 |
| -4 | GD | -15 |
| 1.23 | PPG | 0.97 |
| 30% | Win % | 23% |
Key Stats
69%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
63%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
RFK Akhmat Grozny are 9th (37 pts). FK Orenburg are 12th (29 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Akhmat Arena!
- 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Ivan Oleinikov suffering a number of foals already.
- 9' What a strike from Artiom Timofeev! The score is 1-0.
- 14' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both RFK Akhmat Grozny and FK Orenburg are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 19' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 24' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Bernard Berisha makes no mistake. 2-0!
- 29' The energy levels are beginning to show. Jiri Jarosik might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 34' FK Orenburg seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 35' Vladimir Ilyin has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 35 minutes.
- 36' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Renato Gojkovic.
- 41' FK Orenburg are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 46' Maksim Sidorov gets the nod from FK Orenburg. He replaces Yuriy Kovalev and will look to change the dynamic.
- 51' Jasmin Celikovic has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 56' FK Orenburg come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 59' The referee has no hesitation. Vladimir Ilyin is booked for RFK Akhmat Grozny — card on 59.
- 62' A tactical swap from FK Orenburg — Vladimir Obukhov on, Jimmy Marin off on 62 minutes.
- 67' RFK Akhmat Grozny started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 67.
- 72' With 0 assists to his name this season, Jimmy Marin is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FK Orenburg.
- 74' The referee has no hesitation. Cesar Florentin is booked for FK Orenburg — card on 74.
- 77' A change in the RFK Akhmat Grozny ranks — Ivan Oleinikov exits the field as Zaim Divanovic enters on 77.
- 82' It looks like no one’s ball. RFK Akhmat Grozny is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 83' Another substitution for RFK Akhmat Grozny to replace Miroslav Bogosavac by Evgeny Kharin on 83 minute.
- 87' Brilliant from the ! Camilo makes it 4-0 with a superb finish on 87.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. RFK Akhmat Grozny take all three points.
Lineups
RFK Akhmat Grozny Lineups
Starting XI
- 15
- 4
- 88
- 7
- 13
-
21
Ivan Oleinikov ↓ Zaim Divanovic 77'
- 8
- 6
- 18
- 94
- 29
Bench
- 40
- 1
- 96
-
24
Zaim Divanovic ↑ 77'
-
98
Svetoslav Kovachev ↑ 83'
- –
- 35
- 71
- 33
-
59
Evgeny Kharin ↑ 83'
- 48
Coach
Sergey Tashuev
FK Orenburg Lineups
Starting XI
-
80
Jimmy Marin ↓ Vladimir Obukhov 62'
- 15
- 21
- 22
-
6
Arsen Adamov ↓ Justin Cuero 46'
- 8
- 11
- 23
- 25
- 95
-
17
Yuriy Kovalev ↓ Maksim Sidorov 46'
Bench
- 55
- 2
- 90
- 99
- 5
-
13
Vladimir Obukhov ↑ 62'
- 38
- 4
- 3
- 7
-
81
Maksim Sidorov ↑ 46'
-
–
Justin Cuero ↑ 46'
Coach
Jiri Jarosik
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Bernard Berisha | 2 |
| Evgenii Kharin | 2 |
| Odise Roshi | 2 |
| Gamid Agalarov | 1 |
| Wilker Angel | 1 |
| Timur Ayupov | 1 |
| Aleksandr Zhirov | 1 |
| Vadim Afonin | 1 |
Head to Head
RFK Akhmat Grozny Form
2023-08-20
RFK Akhmat Grozny
4–0
FK Orenburg
W
2023-08-14
FK Nizhny Novgorod
2–0
RFK Akhmat Grozny
L
2023-08-06
PFK Sochi
1–2
RFK Akhmat Grozny
W
2023-07-30
RFK Akhmat Grozny
2–3
PFC CSKA Moskva
L
2023-07-22
RFK Akhmat Grozny
1–2
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
L
2023-06-03
RFK Akhmat Grozny
2–2
FK Krasnodar
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.12
RFK Akhmat Grozny xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.04
FK Orenburg xG
I would bet for:
RFK Akhmat Grozny to win 61% + Over 2.5 goals 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: RFK Akhmat Grozny win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.16
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 2.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
| ± 3.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 4.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
Double Chance
RFK Akhmat Grozny or Draw
83%
Draw or FK Orenburg
39%
RFK Akhmat Grozny or FK Orenburg
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: RFK Akhmat Grozny win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 4–0 not predicted4 – 0Actual
1 – 1
10.2%
2 – 1
9.6%
2 – 0
9.4%
1 – 0
8.4%
3 – 1
6.7%
3 – 0
6.5%
0 – 0
5.8%
2 – 2
5%
1 – 2
4.7%
0 – 1
3.7%
4 – 1
3.6%
3 – 2
3.6%
Asian Handicap — RFK Akhmat Grozny
| Handicap | RFK Akhmat Grozny covers | Push | FK Orenburg covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -2 | 20% | 19% | 62% |
| -1.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| -1 | 38% | 22% | 39% |
| -0.5 | 61% | — | 39% |
| +0.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +1 | 83% | 11% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 4% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
RFK Akhmat Grozny keeps clean sheet
36%
✗
FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.