Thursday , 2 July 2026

FC Utrecht vs NAC Breda, Eredivisie 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2024-25
1 0
Full Time
Sat 1 Mar 2025 · 15:30 UTC Stadion Galgenwaard 22,348 HT 45' · FT 45'
Oscar Fraulo 59' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

FC Utrecht vs NAC BredaEredivisie at Stadion Galgenwaard.

Match Details

  • Referee Erwin Blank
  • Assistant 1 Dyon Fikkert
  • Assistant 2 Thomas Krijt

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Mar NAC Breda H 1–0 W
15 Feb PSV A 2–2 D
09 Feb Almere City FC H 0–1 L
01 Feb PEC Zwolle A 3–3 D
24 Jan Heracles Almelo A 1–1 D
18 Jan AZ H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Mar FC Utrecht A 0–1 L
15 Feb Feyenoord Rotterdam H 0–0 D
09 Feb RKC Waalwijk A 0–5 L
31 Jan Heracles Almelo H 1–1 D
25 Jan PSV A 2–3 L
19 Jan FC Twente '65 H 2–1 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Stadion Galgenwaard. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 5 minutes.
  • 10' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Fredrik Jensen made 194 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 15' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 20' FC Utrecht are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 25' Netherlands international Jens Toornstra has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 30' NAC Breda started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 30.
  • 35' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 40' FC Utrecht are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined NAC Breda backline.
  • 45' The 36-year-old Nick Viergever has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 50' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 55' NAC Breda fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 58' That looks like a foul for a card for Casper Staring.
  • 58' FC Utrecht ring the changes. Jens Toornstra has done his job and it is now time for Miliano Jonathans to step up.
  • 59' What a strike from Oscar Fraulo! The score is 1-0.
  • 64' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 69' Over 69 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 71' It’s gonna be a card for Zidane Iqbal.
  • 72' The crowd applauds Elias Mar Omarsson as he leaves the pitch. Adam Kaied steps in for NAC Breda.
  • 73' Dominik Janosek has so much to prove this time. He replaces Clint Leemans on 73 minute.
  • 77' The FC Utrecht bench stirs into life. Paxten Aaronson is withdrawn and Victor Jensen gets his opportunity.
  • 80' Boyd Lucassen catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 80.
  • 82' Another change for NAC Breda made on 82 minute. Boyd Lucassen leaves to be changed by Boy Kemper.
  • 87' NAC Breda make a change. Fredrik Jensen trudges off to be replaced by Kacper Kostorz on 87 minutes.
  • 89' Time for substitution for FC Utrecht. Zidane Iqbal is replaced by Alonzo Engwanda.
  • The final score is 1-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.61 FC Utrecht xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.76 NAC Breda xG
I would bet for: FC Utrecht to win 58% + Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Utrecht58% Draw25% NAC Breda17%
Actual: FC Utrecht win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes43% 0% No57%
Avg goals/match: 2.37
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

FC Utrecht or Draw
84%
Draw or NAC Breda
42%
FC Utrecht or NAC Breda
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Utrecht38% Draw48% NAC Breda14%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
12.2%
2 – 0
11.8%
0 – 0
11.4%
2 – 1
8.9%
3 – 0
6.2%
0 – 1
6%
3 – 1
4.9%
1 – 2
4.1%
2 – 2
3.4%
0 – 2
2.6%
4 – 0
2.5%

Asian Handicap — FC Utrecht

Handicap FC Utrecht covers Push NAC Breda covers
-2.5 13% 87%
-2 13% 18% 69%
-1.5 31% 69%
-1 31% 25% 44%
-0.5 56% 44%
+0.5 84% 16%
+1 84% 11% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

FC Utrecht keeps clean sheet
47%
NAC Breda keeps clean sheet
21%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.