Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Heracles Almelo vs FC Utrecht, Eredivisie 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2024-25
Fri 24 Jan 2025 · 19:00 UTC Erve Asito 11,945 HT 45' · FT 45'
Thomas Bruns 58' 1–0
1–1 90+2' Souffian El Karouani

Overview

Match Preview

Heracles Almelo vs FC Utrecht — Eredivisie at Erve Asito.

Match Details

  • Referee Allard Lindhout
  • Assistant 1 Rogier Honig
  • Assistant 2 Johan Balder
6 games this season 🟨 1.5/game ⚽ 7.7 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Jan FC Utrecht H 1–1 D
19 Jan Almere City FC A 2–0 W
11 Jan Sparta Rotterdam H 1–1 D
14 Dec Feyenoord Rotterdam A 2–5 L
07 Dec Fortuna Sittard H 2–2 D
01 Dec AZ A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Jan Heracles Almelo A 1–1 D
18 Jan AZ H 0–0 D
12 Jan Feyenoord Rotterdam A 2–1 W
22 Dec Fortuna Sittard H 2–5 L
15 Dec Go Ahead Eagles H 3–3 D
08 Dec Almere City FC A 3–1 W

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
47% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
FC Utrecht this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Utrecht
0-15
1/4
16-30
1/1
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/6
61-75
2/2
76+
5/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Heracles Almelo and FC Utrecht has kicked off!
  • 5' The travelling FC Utrecht supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 10' The 32-year-old Mario Engels has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 15' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 20' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 25' Heracles Almelo seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 30' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Utrecht is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 35' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 40' It is a cagey affair so far. Heracles Almelo in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past FC Utrecht's compact 4-2-3-1.
  • 42' FC Utrecht player sees a card in front of him.
  • 47' FC Utrecht fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 52' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 52 minutes.
  • 57' Jan Zamburek is having his name booked by the referee on 57.
  • 58' GOAL! Thomas Bruns fires home to make it 1-0!
  • 63' Heracles Almelo player sees a card in front of him.
  • 67' Another substitution for FC Utrecht to replace Miliano Jonathans by Adrian Blake on 67 minute.
  • 70' That is a card for FC Utrecht. Paxten Aaronson will be fuming at that decision.
  • 73' Heracles Almelo ring the changes. Jizz Hornkamp has done his job and it is now time for Juho Talvitie to step up.
  • 78' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 80' Heracles Almelo ring the changes. Suf Podgoreanu has done his job and it is now time for Bryan Limbombe to step up.
  • 81' A meaty challenge results in booking for Jannes Wieckhoff on 81.
  • 82' Alonzo Engwanda gets the nod from FC Utrecht. He replaces Siebe Horemans and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 84' The Heracles Almelo bench stirs into life. Jan Zamburek is withdrawn and Justin Hoogma gets his opportunity.
  • 89' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FC Utrecht that had 321 games and scored 439 goals.
  • 90' The referee calls foul for Sem Scheperman. He receives a card.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.13 Heracles Almelo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.25 FC Utrecht xG
I would bet for: Heracles Almelo or FC Utrecht 70% + Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Heracles Almelo33% Draw30% FC Utrecht37%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.38
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Heracles Almelo or Draw
64%
Draw or FC Utrecht
67%
Heracles Almelo or FC Utrecht
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Heracles Almelo23% Draw50% FC Utrecht27%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
11.5%
0 – 1
10.5%
1 – 0
9.3%
1 – 2
7.9%
2 – 1
7.1%
0 – 2
7%
2 – 0
5.7%
2 – 2
4.5%
1 – 3
3.3%
0 – 3
2.9%
3 – 1
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Heracles Almelo

Handicap Heracles Almelo covers Push FC Utrecht covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 9% 87%
-1.5 13% — 87%
-1 13% 18% 68%
-0.5 32% — 68%
+0.5 63% — 37%
+1 63% 21% 17%
+1.5 83% — 17%
+2 83% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet
29% ✓
FC Utrecht keeps clean sheet
33% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.