Thursday , 2 July 2026

Heracles Almelo vs FC Utrecht, Eredivisie 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2024-25
Fri 24 Jan 2025 · 19:00 UTC Erve Asito 11,945 HT 45' · FT 45'
Thomas Bruns 58' 1–0
1–1 90+2' Souffian El Karouani

Overview

Match Preview

Heracles Almelo vs FC UtrechtEredivisie at Erve Asito.

Match Details

  • Referee Allard Lindhout
  • Assistant 1 Rogier Honig
  • Assistant 2 Johan Balder
3 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 1.7 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Jan FC Utrecht H 1–1 D
19 Jan Almere City FC A 2–0 W
11 Jan Sparta Rotterdam H 1–1 D
14 Dec Feyenoord Rotterdam A 2–5 L
07 Dec Fortuna Sittard H 2–2 D
01 Dec AZ A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Jan Heracles Almelo A 1–1 D
18 Jan AZ H 0–0 D
12 Jan Feyenoord Rotterdam A 2–1 W
22 Dec Fortuna Sittard H 2–5 L
15 Dec Go Ahead Eagles H 3–3 D
08 Dec Almere City FC A 3–1 W

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
47% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. Heracles Almelo get us underway at Erve Asito.
  • 5' Heracles Almelo seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 10' Supporters expect more eagerness from Jizz Hornkamp, as he is very good at scoring at Erve Asito with 12 goals in the last 10 games.
  • 15' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 20' Heracles Almelo are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against FC Utrecht's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 25' The travelling FC Utrecht supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 30' The 22-year-old Paxten Aaronson has been sensational this season — 2 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 35' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 40' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Heracles Almelo and FC Utrecht are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 42' A moment of madness from Mike van der Hoorn on 42 minutes earns him a card. FC Utrecht will be frustrated.
  • 47' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Heracles Almelo and FC Utrecht are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 52' It’s high time Ron Jans made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 57' Jan Zamburek has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 57.
  • 58' What a strike from Thomas Bruns! The score is 1-0.
  • 63' The referee has no hesitation. Jizz Hornkamp is booked for Heracles Almelo — card on 63.
  • 67' Another substitution for FC Utrecht to replace Miliano Jonathans by Adrian Blake on 67 minute.
  • 70' It’s a booking for FC Utrecht player. Paxten Aaronson gets a card.
  • 73' Juho Talvitie is replacing Jizz Hornkamp for the Heracles Almelo side.
  • 78' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 80' Heracles Almelo manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Bryan Limbombe is hanging Suf Podgoreanu on the field on 80 minute.
  • 81' That is a card for Heracles Almelo. Jannes Wieckhoff will be fuming at that decision.
  • 82' The supporters are chanting for Alonzo Engwanda. He replaces Siebe Horemans on 82 minute.
  • 84' Time for substitution for Heracles Almelo. Jan Zamburek is replaced by Justin Hoogma.
  • 89' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 89 minutes.
  • 90' Heracles Almelo receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
  • The final score is 1-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.13 Heracles Almelo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.25 FC Utrecht xG
I would bet for: Heracles Almelo or FC Utrecht 70% + Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Heracles Almelo33% Draw30% FC Utrecht37%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.38
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Heracles Almelo or Draw
64%
Draw or FC Utrecht
67%
Heracles Almelo or FC Utrecht
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Heracles Almelo23% Draw50% FC Utrecht27%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
11.5%
0 – 1
10.5%
1 – 0
9.3%
1 – 2
7.9%
2 – 1
7.1%
0 – 2
7%
2 – 0
5.7%
2 – 2
4.5%
1 – 3
3.3%
0 – 3
2.9%
3 – 1
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Heracles Almelo

Handicap Heracles Almelo covers Push FC Utrecht covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 9% 87%
-1.5 13% 87%
-1 13% 18% 68%
-0.5 32% 68%
+0.5 63% 37%
+1 63% 21% 17%
+1.5 83% 17%
+2 83% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet
29%
FC Utrecht keeps clean sheet
33%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.