PSV vs NAC Breda, Eredivisie 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
PSV vs NAC Breda — Eredivisie at Philips Stadion.
Match Details
- Referee Dennis Higler
- Assistant 1 Rens Bluemink
- Assistant 2 Roy de Nas
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ADO Den Haag | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | AFC Ajax | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | AZ | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | FC Groningen | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | FC Twente '65 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | FC Utrecht | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Fortuna Sittard | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | NEC | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | PEC Zwolle | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | PSV | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | SBV Excelsior | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | SC Heerenveen | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Sparta Rotterdam | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Telstar 1963 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Willem II Tilburg | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan | NAC Breda | H | 3–2 | W |
| 21 Jan | FK Crvena Zvezda | A | 3–2 | W |
| 18 Jan | PEC Zwolle | A | 1–3 | L |
| 11 Jan | AZ | H | 2–2 | D |
| 22 Dec | Feyenoord Rotterdam | H | 3–0 | W |
| 14 Dec | SC Heerenveen | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan | PSV | A | 2–3 | L |
| 19 Jan | FC Twente '65 | H | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Jan | SC Heerenveen | H | 2–4 | L |
| 21 Dec | Go Ahead Eagles | A | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Dec | AZ | H | 1–2 | L |
| 07 Dec | Sparta Rotterdam | A | 2–0 | W |
Key Stats
33%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Philips Stadion!
- 5' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 10' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 15' It looks surprising PSV does not make any changes. Walter Benitez has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 20' Over 20 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 25' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 26' Leo Sauer is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 31' With 0 assists to his name this season, Mauro Junior is clearly more than just a goal scorer for PSV.
- 35' Assisted by Joey Veerman with the perfectly-timed delivery and Guus Til makes no mistake. 1-1!
- 40' NAC Breda is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 45' PSV player sees a card in front of him.
- 46' What a moment for Guus Til! That strike on 45 puts his side firmly in control.
- 51' Daniel Bielica has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 55' Adam Kaied makes way for Sana Fernandes at the 55 minute mark. A tactical switch from NAC Breda.
- 60' Sana Fernandes is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for NAC Breda so far.
- 65' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 69' Another change for PSV made on 69 minute. Guus Til leaves to be changed by Ismael Saibari.
- 74' Jerdy Schouten has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 78' The supporters are chanting for Raul Paula. He replaces Leo Sauer on 78 minute.
- 79' Another substitution for PSV to replace Johan Bakayoko by Esmir Bajraktarevic on 79 minute.
- 84' Jan Van den Bergh, a Belgium , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 87' The whistle greets Elias Mar Omarsson as he departs to be replaced by Kacper Kostorz.
- 89' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Boy Kemper on 89 minutes.
- PSV celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
PSV Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 17
-
9
Luuk de Jong ↓ Ricardo Pepi 79'
-
20
Guus Til ↓ Ismael Saibari 69'
- 22
- 18
- 1
- 5
- 23
- 11
- 6
- 37
Bench
-
4
Armando Obispo ↑ 79'
- 16
- 2
-
14
Ricardo Pepi ↑ 79'
-
34
Ismael Saibari ↑ 69'
-
19
Esmir Bajraktarevic ↑ 79'
- 24
- 28
- 26
- 32
- 47
- 36
Coach
Peter Bosz
NAC Breda Lineups
4-1-3-2Starting XI
- 29
- 10
- 44
- 99
- 12
- 5
- 39
- 4
-
77
Leo Sauer ↓ Raul Paula 78'
-
14
Adam Kaied ↓ Sana Fernandes 55'
- 16
Bench
- 23
- 15
- 2
- 31
- 8
- 20
-
9
Kacper Kostorz ↑ 87'
- 1
- 6
- 17
-
19
Sana Fernandes ↑ 55'
-
11
Raul Paula ↑ 78'
Coach
Carl Hoefkens
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luuk de Jong | 3 |
| Donyell Malen | 2 |
| Ricardo Pepi | 2 |
| Guus Til | 2 |
| Ismael Saibari | 1 |
| Johan Bakayoko | 1 |
| Kacper Kostorz | 1 |
| Leo Sauer | 1 |
Head to Head
PSV Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.91
PSV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.14
NAC Breda xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 58% + Over 2.5 goals 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: PSV win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.05
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 2.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
| ± 3.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
| ± 4.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
Double Chance
PSV or Draw
80%
Draw or NAC Breda
43%
PSV or NAC Breda
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: PSV win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.2%
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
8.5%
1 – 0
8.4%
0 – 0
6.4%
3 – 1
6%
1 – 2
5.7%
2 – 2
5.4%
3 – 0
5.3%
0 – 1
4.6%
3 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
3.1%
Asian Handicap — PSV
| Handicap | PSV covers | Push | NAC Breda covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -2 | 15% | 17% | 68% |
| -1.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| -1 | 32% | 22% | 46% |
| -0.5 | 54% | — | 46% |
| +0.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +1 | 78% | 13% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 6% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
PSV keeps clean sheet
33%
✓
NAC Breda keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

