PSV vs NAC Breda, Eredivisie 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
PSV vs NAC Breda — Eredivisie at Philips Stadion.
Match Details
- Referee Dennis Higler
- Assistant 1 Rens Bluemink
- Assistant 2 Roy de Nas
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AZ | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Fortuna Sittard | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | PSV | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | SBV Excelsior | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Go Ahead Eagles | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | NEC | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | AFC Ajax | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Sparta Rotterdam | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | FC Groningen | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | SC Heerenveen | 1 | 3 |
| 12 | Telstar 1963 | 2 | 3 |
| 13 | FC Twente '65 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 | ADO Den Haag | 1 | 0 |
| 15 | PEC Zwolle | 1 | 0 |
| 16 | FC Utrecht | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | Willem II Tilburg | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden | 2 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan | NAC Breda | H | 3–2 | W |
| 21 Jan | FK Crvena Zvezda | A | 3–2 | W |
| 18 Jan | PEC Zwolle | A | 1–3 | L |
| 11 Jan | AZ | H | 2–2 | D |
| 22 Dec | Feyenoord Rotterdam | H | 3–0 | W |
| 14 Dec | SC Heerenveen | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan | PSV | A | 2–3 | L |
| 19 Jan | FC Twente '65 | H | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Jan | SC Heerenveen | H | 2–4 | L |
| 21 Dec | Go Ahead Eagles | A | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Dec | AZ | H | 1–2 | L |
| 07 Dec | Sparta Rotterdam | A | 2–0 | W |
Key Stats
33%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
PSV this season
PSV this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
PSV
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
2/1
61-75
1/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. PSV is hosting NAC Breda for another epic battle.
- 5' NAC Breda are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 10' PSV is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 15' Over 15 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 20' Supporters expect more eagerness from Sydney van Hooijdonk, as he is very good at scoring at Philips Stadion with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 25' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 25 minutes.
- 26' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Leo Sauer makes it 0-1.
- 31' PSV have won 819 goals from 436 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 35' What composure from Guus Til! The Netherlands international strokes it home. 1-1.
- 40' It’s high time Carl Hoefkens made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 45' PSV player sees a card in front of him.
- 46' GOAL! Guus Til scores on 45. Assisted by Luuk de Jong
- 51' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 55' NAC Breda ring the changes. Adam Kaied has done his job and it is now time for Sana Fernandes to step up.
- 60' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. NAC Breda needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 65' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 69' The PSV bench stirs into life. Guus Til is withdrawn and Ismael Saibari gets his opportunity.
- 74' The travelling NAC Breda supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 78' The NAC Breda bench stirs into life. Leo Sauer is withdrawn and Raul Paula gets his opportunity.
- 79' PSV ring the changes. Johan Bakayoko has done his job and it is now time for Esmir Bajraktarevic to step up.
- 84' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Leo Greiml made 30 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 87' The crowd applauds Elias Mar Omarsson as he leaves the pitch. Kacper Kostorz steps in for NAC Breda.
- 89' Poor challenge from Boy Kemper. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- Full Time. PSV beats NAC Breda
Lineups
PSV Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 17
-
9
Luuk de Jong ↓ Ricardo Pepi 79'
-
20
Guus Til ↓ Ismael Saibari 69'
- 22
- 18
- 1
- 5
- 23
- 11
- 6
- 37
Bench
-
4
Armando Obispo ↑ 79'
- 16
- 2
-
14
Ricardo Pepi ↑ 79'
-
34
Ismael Saibari ↑ 69'
-
19
Esmir Bajraktarevic ↑ 79'
- 24
- 28
- 26
- 32
- 47
- 36
Coach
Peter Bosz
NAC Breda Lineups
4-1-3-2Starting XI
- 29
- 10
- 44
- 99
- 12
- 5
- 39
- 4
-
77
Leo Sauer ↓ Raul Paula 78'
-
14
Adam Kaied ↓ Sana Fernandes 55'
- 16
Bench
- 23
- 15
- 2
- 31
- 8
- 20
-
9
Kacper Kostorz ↑ 87'
- 1
- 6
- 17
-
19
Sana Fernandes ↑ 55'
-
11
Raul Paula ↑ 78'
Coach
Carl Hoefkens
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luuk de Jong | 3 |
| Guus Til | 2 |
| Donyell Malen | 2 |
| Ricardo Pepi | 2 |
| Kacper Kostorz | 1 |
| Leo Sauer | 1 |
| Luuk de Jong | 1 |
| Donyell Malen | 1 |
Head to Head
PSV Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.91
PSV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.14
NAC Breda xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 58% + Over 2.5 goals 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: PSV win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.05
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 2.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
| ± 3.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
| ± 4.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
Double Chance
PSV or Draw
80%
Draw or NAC Breda
43%
PSV or NAC Breda
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: PSV win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.2%
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
8.5%
1 – 0
8.4%
0 – 0
6.4%
3 – 1
6%
1 – 2
5.7%
2 – 2
5.4%
3 – 0
5.3%
0 – 1
4.6%
3 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
3.1%
Asian Handicap — PSV
| Handicap | PSV covers | Push | NAC Breda covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -2 | 15% | 17% | 68% |
| -1.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| -1 | 32% | 22% | 46% |
| -0.5 | 54% | — | 46% |
| +0.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +1 | 78% | 13% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 6% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
PSV keeps clean sheet
33%
✓
NAC Breda keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

