Saturday , 14 November 2026

PSV vs NAC Breda, Eredivisie 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2024-25
PSV
3 – 2
Full Time
NAC Breda
Sat 25 Jan 2025 · 17:45 UTC Philips Stadion 35,150 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 26' Leo Sauer
Guus Til 35' 1–1
Guus Til 45+1' 2–1
Ricardo Pepi 90+4' 3–1
3–2 90+6' Kacper Kostorz
Ivan Perisic 45' Y
Y 89' Boy Kemper

Overview

Match Preview

PSV vs NAC Breda — Eredivisie at Philips Stadion.

  • PSV 12 games · 26 pts (2026/27)
  • NAC Breda 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

  • Referee Dennis Higler
  • Assistant 1 Rens Bluemink
  • Assistant 2 Roy de Nas
7 games this season 🟨 2.1/game ⚽ 10.1 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 PSV 12 26
2 Feyenoord Rotterdam 12 25
3 AFC Ajax 12 25
4 FC Twente '65 12 24
5 AZ 12 23
6 SC Heerenveen 12 21
7 Fortuna Sittard 12 20
8 Go Ahead Eagles 12 17
9 FC Groningen 12 15
10 SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden 12 15
11 NEC 12 14
12 Sparta Rotterdam 12 12
13 PEC Zwolle 12 12
14 FC Utrecht 12 12
15 SBV Excelsior 12 11
16 Telstar 1963 12 10
17 ADO Den Haag 12 9
18 Willem II Tilburg 12 3

Head-to-Head

5
1
PSV 6 games · Avg 2.8 goals NAC Breda
Last 5 meetings
2025-01-25 PSV 3–2 NAC Breda 2024-11-09 NAC Breda 0–3 PSV 2019-03-09 PSV 2–0 NAC Breda 2018-09-29 NAC Breda 0–2 PSV

Recent Form

PSV
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Jan NAC Breda H 3–2 W
21 Jan FK Crvena Zvezda A 3–2 W
18 Jan PEC Zwolle A 1–3 L
11 Jan AZ H 2–2 D
22 Dec Feyenoord Rotterdam H 3–0 W
14 Dec SC Heerenveen A 0–1 L
NAC Breda
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Jan PSV A 2–3 L
19 Jan FC Twente '65 H 2–1 W
12 Jan SC Heerenveen H 2–4 L
21 Dec Go Ahead Eagles A 1–2 L
15 Dec AZ H 1–2 L
07 Dec Sparta Rotterdam A 2–0 W

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
17% Clean Sheets
PSV this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

PSV
0-15
5/4
16-30
8/1
31-45
6/2
46-60
6/3
61-75
3/–
76+
10/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

PSV
Sven Mijnans 9 G 2 A
Guus Til 7 G 1 A
Ruben van Bommel 4 G 3 A
Ricardo Pepi 4 G 1 A
Sergino Dest 2 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Philips Stadion. PSV are looking to make home advantage count against NAC Breda.
  • 5' It is a cagey affair so far. PSV in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past NAC Breda's compact 4-1-3-2.
  • 10' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. PSV needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 15' The home supporters are growing impatient. PSV must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 20' The energy levels are beginning to show. Carl Hoefkens might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 25' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Leo Sauer made 338 appearances and scored 9 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 26' Leo Sauer adds to his 0 season tally! NAC Breda lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 31' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-1-3-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 35' Brilliant from the ! Guus Til makes it 1-1 with a superb finish on 35.
  • 40' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 45' PSV receives a card for a hard tackle on 45.
  • 46' Brilliant from the ! Guus Til makes it 2-1 with a superb finish on 45.
  • 51' NAC Breda come into this ranked 9 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 55' Another change for NAC Breda made on 55 minute. Adam Kaied leaves to be changed by Sana Fernandes.
  • 60' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering NAC Breda that had 103 games and scored 74 goals.
  • 65' The travelling NAC Breda supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 69' Time for substitution for PSV. Guus Til is replaced by Ismael Saibari.
  • 74' It looks like no one’s ball. PSV is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 78' The whistle greets Leo Sauer as he departs to be replaced by Raul Paula.
  • 79' Fresh legs for PSV! Esmir Bajraktarevic comes on to replace Johan Bakayoko.
  • 84' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 87' Another substitution for NAC Breda to replace Elias Mar Omarsson by Kacper Kostorz on 87 minute.
  • 89' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Boy Kemper on 89 minutes.
  • Another three points for PSV.

Lineups

PSV Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Peter Bosz

NAC Breda Lineups

4-1-3-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Carl Hoefkens

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.91 PSV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.14 NAC Breda xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 58% + Over 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
PSV57% Draw23% NAC Breda20%
Actual: PSV win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 3.05
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

PSV or Draw
80%
Draw or NAC Breda
43%
PSV or NAC Breda
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
PSV39% Draw43% NAC Breda18%
Actual: PSV win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.2%
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
8.5%
1 – 0
8.4%
0 – 0
6.4%
3 – 1
6%
1 – 2
5.7%
2 – 2
5.4%
3 – 0
5.3%
0 – 1
4.6%
3 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
3.1%

Asian Handicap — PSV

Handicap PSV covers Push NAC Breda covers
-2.5 15% — 85%
-2 15% 17% 68%
-1.5 32% — 68%
-1 32% 22% 46%
-0.5 54% — 46%
+0.5 78% — 22%
+1 78% 13% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

PSV keeps clean sheet
33% ✓
NAC Breda keeps clean sheet
16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.