Thursday , 2 July 2026

PSV vs NAC Breda, Eredivisie 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2024-25
3 2
Full Time
Sat 25 Jan 2025 · 17:45 UTC Philips Stadion 35,150 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 26' Leo Sauer
Guus Til 35' 1–1
Guus Til 45+1' 2–1
Ricardo Pepi 90+4' 3–1
3–2 90+6' Kacper Kostorz
Ivan Perisic 45' Y
Y 89' Boy Kemper

Overview

Match Preview

PSV vs NAC BredaEredivisie at Philips Stadion.

  • PSV 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
  • NAC Breda 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

  • Referee Dennis Higler
  • Assistant 1 Rens Bluemink
  • Assistant 2 Roy de Nas

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Jan NAC Breda H 3–2 W
21 Jan FK Crvena Zvezda A 3–2 W
18 Jan PEC Zwolle A 1–3 L
11 Jan AZ H 2–2 D
22 Dec Feyenoord Rotterdam H 3–0 W
14 Dec SC Heerenveen A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Jan PSV A 2–3 L
19 Jan FC Twente '65 H 2–1 W
12 Jan SC Heerenveen H 2–4 L
21 Dec Go Ahead Eagles A 1–2 L
15 Dec AZ H 1–2 L
07 Dec Sparta Rotterdam A 2–0 W

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Philips Stadion!
  • 5' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 10' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 15' It looks surprising PSV does not make any changes. Walter Benitez has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 20' Over 20 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 25' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 26' Leo Sauer is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 31' With 0 assists to his name this season, Mauro Junior is clearly more than just a goal scorer for PSV.
  • 35' Assisted by Joey Veerman with the perfectly-timed delivery and Guus Til makes no mistake. 1-1!
  • 40' NAC Breda is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 45' PSV player sees a card in front of him.
  • 46' What a moment for Guus Til! That strike on 45 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 51' Daniel Bielica has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 55' Adam Kaied makes way for Sana Fernandes at the 55 minute mark. A tactical switch from NAC Breda.
  • 60' Sana Fernandes is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for NAC Breda so far.
  • 65' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 69' Another change for PSV made on 69 minute. Guus Til leaves to be changed by Ismael Saibari.
  • 74' Jerdy Schouten has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 78' The supporters are chanting for Raul Paula. He replaces Leo Sauer on 78 minute.
  • 79' Another substitution for PSV to replace Johan Bakayoko by Esmir Bajraktarevic on 79 minute.
  • 84' Jan Van den Bergh, a Belgium , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 87' The whistle greets Elias Mar Omarsson as he departs to be replaced by Kacper Kostorz.
  • 89' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Boy Kemper on 89 minutes.
  • PSV celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.91 PSV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.14 NAC Breda xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 58% + Over 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
PSV57% Draw23% NAC Breda20%
Actual: PSV win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 3.05
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

PSV or Draw
80%
Draw or NAC Breda
43%
PSV or NAC Breda
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
PSV39% Draw43% NAC Breda18%
Actual: PSV win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.2%
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
8.5%
1 – 0
8.4%
0 – 0
6.4%
3 – 1
6%
1 – 2
5.7%
2 – 2
5.4%
3 – 0
5.3%
0 – 1
4.6%
3 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
3.1%

Asian Handicap — PSV

Handicap PSV covers Push NAC Breda covers
-2.5 15% 85%
-2 15% 17% 68%
-1.5 32% 68%
-1 32% 22% 46%
-0.5 54% 46%
+0.5 78% 22%
+1 78% 13% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

PSV keeps clean sheet
33%
NAC Breda keeps clean sheet
16%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.