Wednesday , 30 September 2026

PSV vs NAC Breda, Eredivisie 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2024-25
PSV
3 – 2
Full Time
NAC Breda
Sat 25 Jan 2025 · 17:45 UTC Philips Stadion 35,150 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 26' Leo Sauer
Guus Til 35' 1–1
Guus Til 45+1' 2–1
Ricardo Pepi 90+4' 3–1
3–2 90+6' Kacper Kostorz
Ivan Perisic 45' Y
Y 89' Boy Kemper

Overview

Match Preview

PSV vs NAC Breda — Eredivisie at Philips Stadion.

  • PSV 7 games · 16 pts (2026/27)
  • NAC Breda 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

  • Referee Dennis Higler
  • Assistant 1 Rens Bluemink
  • Assistant 2 Roy de Nas
4 games this season 🟨 1.3/game ⚽ 4.0 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 AZ 7 19
2 Feyenoord Rotterdam 7 17
3 PSV 7 16
4 FC Twente '65 7 16
5 AFC Ajax 7 14
6 Fortuna Sittard 7 13
7 SBV Excelsior 7 11
8 FC Groningen 7 11
9 Go Ahead Eagles 7 10
10 SC Heerenveen 7 9
11 NEC 7 8
12 Sparta Rotterdam 7 5
13 Telstar 1963 7 5
14 SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden 7 5
15 FC Utrecht 7 5
16 PEC Zwolle 7 4
17 ADO Den Haag 7 2
18 Willem II Tilburg 7 2

Head-to-Head

5
1
PSV 6 games · Avg 2.8 goals NAC Breda
Last 5 meetings
2025-01-25 PSV 3–2 NAC Breda 2024-11-09 NAC Breda 0–3 PSV 2019-03-09 PSV 2–0 NAC Breda 2018-09-29 NAC Breda 0–2 PSV

Recent Form

PSV
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Jan NAC Breda H 3–2 W
21 Jan FK Crvena Zvezda A 3–2 W
18 Jan PEC Zwolle A 1–3 L
11 Jan AZ H 2–2 D
22 Dec Feyenoord Rotterdam H 3–0 W
14 Dec SC Heerenveen A 0–1 L
NAC Breda
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Jan PSV A 2–3 L
19 Jan FC Twente '65 H 2–1 W
12 Jan SC Heerenveen H 2–4 L
21 Dec Go Ahead Eagles A 1–2 L
15 Dec AZ H 1–2 L
07 Dec Sparta Rotterdam A 2–0 W

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
PSV this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

PSV
0-15
3/4
16-30
3/1
31-45
5/1
46-60
4/1
61-75
2/–
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

PSV
Sven Mijnans 4 G 1 A
Guus Til 4 G
Ricardo Pepi 3 G
Sergino Dest 2 G 2 A
Ruben van Bommel 2 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Philips Stadion that hosts another battle between PSV and NAC Breda.
  • 5' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 10' NAC Breda started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 10.
  • 15' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both PSV and NAC Breda are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 20' The energy levels are beginning to show. Carl Hoefkens might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 25' With 0 assists to his name this season, Jerdy Schouten is clearly more than just a goal scorer for NAC Breda.
  • 26' A goal from the Slovakia international Leo Sauer! He fires home on 26 to make it 0-1!
  • 31' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 35' Guus Til adds to his 2 season tally! PSV lead 1-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 40' The travelling NAC Breda supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 45' Ivan Perisic was booked on 45.
  • 46' GOAL! Guus Til fires home to make it 2-1!
  • 51' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering NAC Breda that had 103 games and scored 74 goals.
  • 55' Sana Fernandes is ready to make an impact after coming on for Adam Kaied at the 55 minute mark.
  • 60' NAC Breda are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 65' Jan Van den Bergh has been relatively quiet despite scoring 6 goals in his last 100 appearances.
  • 69' Ismael Saibari has so much to prove this time. He replaces Guus Til on 69 minute.
  • 74' Walter Benitez needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 78' Another substitution for NAC Breda to replace Leo Sauer by Raul Paula on 78 minute.
  • 79' It is a substitution in PSV team. Johan Bakayoko is replaced by Esmir Bajraktarevic on 79 minute.
  • 84' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 87' Kacper Kostorz is ready to make an impact after coming on for Elias Mar Omarsson at the 87 minute mark.
  • 89' Boy Kemper picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 3-2 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

PSV Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Peter Bosz

NAC Breda Lineups

4-1-3-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Carl Hoefkens

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.91 PSV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.14 NAC Breda xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 58% + Over 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
PSV57% Draw23% NAC Breda20%
Actual: PSV win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 3.05
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

PSV or Draw
80%
Draw or NAC Breda
43%
PSV or NAC Breda
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
PSV39% Draw43% NAC Breda18%
Actual: PSV win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.2%
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
8.5%
1 – 0
8.4%
0 – 0
6.4%
3 – 1
6%
1 – 2
5.7%
2 – 2
5.4%
3 – 0
5.3%
0 – 1
4.6%
3 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
3.1%

Asian Handicap — PSV

Handicap PSV covers Push NAC Breda covers
-2.5 15% — 85%
-2 15% 17% 68%
-1.5 32% — 68%
-1 32% 22% 46%
-0.5 54% — 46%
+0.5 78% — 22%
+1 78% 13% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

PSV keeps clean sheet
33% ✓
NAC Breda keeps clean sheet
16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.