Thursday , 2 July 2026

NAC Breda vs Heracles Almelo, Eredivisie 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2024-25
Fri 31 Jan 2025 · 19:00 UTC Rat Verlegh Stadion 18,212 HT 45' · FT 45'
1–1 54' Juho Talvitie
Leo Greiml 71' Y

Overview

Match Preview

NAC Breda vs Heracles AlmeloEredivisie at Rat Verlegh Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Martin van den Kerkhof
  • Assistant 1 Maarten Ketting
  • Assistant 2 Rob van de Ven

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Jan Heracles Almelo H 1–1 D
25 Jan PSV A 2–3 L
19 Jan FC Twente '65 H 2–1 W
12 Jan SC Heerenveen H 2–4 L
21 Dec Go Ahead Eagles A 1–2 L
15 Dec AZ H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Jan NAC Breda A 1–1 D
28 Jan FC Groningen H 1–1 D
24 Jan FC Utrecht H 1–1 D
19 Jan Almere City FC A 2–0 W
11 Jan Sparta Rotterdam H 1–1 D
14 Dec Feyenoord Rotterdam A 2–5 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Rat Verlegh Stadion!
  • 4' Elias Mar Omarsson puts NAC Breda on the lead.
  • 9' NAC Breda are deployed in a 4-1-2-1-2 today, looking to exploit space against Heracles Almelo's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 10' A tactical swap from NAC BredaTerence Kongolo on, Boy Kemper off on 10 minutes.
  • 15' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 20' Supporters expect more eagerness from Ivan Mesik, as he is very good at scoring at Rat Verlegh Stadion with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 25' Heracles Almelo are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 30' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 35' It looks surprising Heracles Almelo does not make any changes. Mats Rots has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 40' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 45' Shiloh 't Zand has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 50' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Dominik Janosek suffering a number of foals already.
  • 54' Juho Talvitie is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 59' Heracles Almelo are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 62' The Heracles Almelo manager makes a substitution. Thomas Bruns departs to be replaced by Shiloh 't Zand.
  • 64' Adam Kaied makes way for Clint Leemans at the 64 minute mark. A tactical switch from NAC Breda.
  • 69' The travelling Heracles Almelo supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 71' A moment of madness from Leo Greiml on 71 minutes earns him a card. NAC Breda will be frustrated.
  • 72' Another change for Heracles Almelo made on 72 minute. Suf Podgoreanu leaves to be changed by Bryan Limbombe.
  • 77' The home supporters are growing impatient. NAC Breda must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 82' A change in the NAC Breda ranks — Leo Sauer exits the field as Roy Kuijpers enters on 82.
  • 87' With 0 assists to his name this season, Bryan Limbombe is clearly more than just a goal scorer for NAC Breda.
  • It finishes all square. NAC Breda and Heracles Almelo share the spoils 1-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.29 NAC Breda xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.32 Heracles Almelo xG
I would bet for: NAC Breda or Heracles Almelo 71%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
NAC Breda36% Draw29% Heracles Almelo35%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.61
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

NAC Breda or Draw
65%
Draw or Heracles Almelo
64%
NAC Breda or Heracles Almelo
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
NAC Breda26% Draw48% Heracles Almelo26%
Actual: NAC Breda win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
9.4%
0 – 1
8.7%
1 – 0
8.5%
1 – 2
7.9%
2 – 1
7.8%
0 – 2
6.2%
2 – 0
6%
2 – 2
5.2%
1 – 3
3.5%
3 – 1
3.4%
0 – 3
2.7%

Asian Handicap — NAC Breda

Handicap NAC Breda covers Push Heracles Almelo covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 10% 84%
-1.5 16% 84%
-1 16% 19% 65%
-0.5 35% 65%
+0.5 64% 36%
+1 64% 19% 17%
+1.5 83% 17%
+2 83% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

NAC Breda keeps clean sheet
28%
Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet
28%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.