Saturday , 14 November 2026

NAC Breda vs Heracles Almelo, Eredivisie 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2024-25
Fri 31 Jan 2025 · 19:00 UTC Rat Verlegh Stadion 18,212 HT 45' · FT 45'
1–1 54' Juho Talvitie
Leo Greiml 71' Y

Overview

Match Preview

NAC Breda vs Heracles Almelo — Eredivisie at Rat Verlegh Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Martin van den Kerkhof
  • Assistant 1 Maarten Ketting
  • Assistant 2 Rob van de Ven
5 games this season 🟨 2.6/game ⚽ 8.6 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Jan Heracles Almelo H 1–1 D
25 Jan PSV A 2–3 L
19 Jan FC Twente '65 H 2–1 W
12 Jan SC Heerenveen H 2–4 L
21 Dec Go Ahead Eagles A 1–2 L
15 Dec AZ H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Jan NAC Breda A 1–1 D
28 Jan FC Groningen H 1–1 D
24 Jan FC Utrecht H 1–1 D
19 Jan Almere City FC A 2–0 W
11 Jan Sparta Rotterdam H 1–1 D
14 Dec Feyenoord Rotterdam A 2–5 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Rat Verlegh Stadion. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 4' A stunning finish from Elias Mar Omarsson — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 9' Heracles Almelo seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 10' Another substitution for NAC Breda to replace Boy Kemper by Terence Kongolo on 10 minute.
  • 15' Over 15 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 20' Heracles Almelo are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 25' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 30' NAC Breda have won 74 goals from 103 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 35' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 40' The travelling Heracles Almelo supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 45' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 45 minutes.
  • 50' Both keepers have barely been tested. NAC Breda and Heracles Almelo are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 54' Magnificent from Juho Talvitie! That is 5 goals in 233 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 59' It looks surprising NAC Breda does not make any changes. Jannes Wieckhoff has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 62' Shiloh 't Zand has so much to prove this time. He replaces Thomas Bruns on 62 minute.
  • 64' Another change for NAC Breda made on 64 minute. Adam Kaied leaves to be changed by Clint Leemans.
  • 69' NAC Breda started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 69.
  • 71' It’s gonna be a card for Leo Greiml.
  • 72' It is a substitution in Heracles Almelo team. Suf Podgoreanu is replaced by Bryan Limbombe on 72 minute.
  • 77' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 82' Time for substitution for NAC Breda. Leo Sauer is replaced by Roy Kuijpers.
  • 87' Fabian de Keijzer is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Heracles Almelo so far.
  • 1-1 the final result. will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.29 NAC Breda xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.32 Heracles Almelo xG
I would bet for: NAC Breda or Heracles Almelo 71%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
NAC Breda36% Draw29% Heracles Almelo35%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.61
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

NAC Breda or Draw
65%
Draw or Heracles Almelo
64%
NAC Breda or Heracles Almelo
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
NAC Breda26% Draw48% Heracles Almelo26%
Actual: NAC Breda win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
9.4%
0 – 1
8.7%
1 – 0
8.5%
1 – 2
7.9%
2 – 1
7.8%
0 – 2
6.2%
2 – 0
6%
2 – 2
5.2%
1 – 3
3.5%
3 – 1
3.4%
0 – 3
2.7%

Asian Handicap — NAC Breda

Handicap NAC Breda covers Push Heracles Almelo covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 10% 84%
-1.5 16% — 84%
-1 16% 19% 65%
-0.5 35% — 65%
+0.5 64% — 36%
+1 64% 19% 17%
+1.5 83% — 17%
+2 83% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

NAC Breda keeps clean sheet
28% ✓
Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet
28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.