Sunday , 16 August 2026

NAC Breda vs Heracles Almelo, Eredivisie 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2024-25
Fri 31 Jan 2025 · 19:00 UTC Rat Verlegh Stadion 18,212 HT 45' · FT 45'
1–1 54' Juho Talvitie
Leo Greiml 71' Y

Overview

Match Preview

NAC Breda vs Heracles AlmeloEredivisie at Rat Verlegh Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Martin van den Kerkhof
  • Assistant 1 Maarten Ketting
  • Assistant 2 Rob van de Ven

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Jan Heracles Almelo H 1–1 D
25 Jan PSV A 2–3 L
19 Jan FC Twente '65 H 2–1 W
12 Jan SC Heerenveen H 2–4 L
21 Dec Go Ahead Eagles A 1–2 L
15 Dec AZ H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Jan NAC Breda A 1–1 D
28 Jan FC Groningen H 1–1 D
24 Jan FC Utrecht H 1–1 D
19 Jan Almere City FC A 2–0 W
11 Jan Sparta Rotterdam H 1–1 D
14 Dec Feyenoord Rotterdam A 2–5 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — NAC Breda and Heracles Almelo get this one started.
  • 4' What composure from Elias Mar Omarsson! The Iceland international strokes it home. 1-0.
  • 9' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 10' NAC Breda make a change. Boy Kemper trudges off to be replaced by Terence Kongolo on 10 minutes.
  • 15' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 20' The energy levels are beginning to show. Erwin van de Looi might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 25' Damon Mirani is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Heracles Almelo so far.
  • 30' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both NAC Breda and Heracles Almelo are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 35' Fredrik Jensen needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 1 Yellow cards this season.
  • 40' With 0 assists to his name this season, Leo Greiml is clearly more than just a goal scorer for NAC Breda.
  • 45' Heracles Almelo started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 45.
  • 50' NAC Breda are deployed in a 4-1-2-1-2 today, looking to exploit space against Heracles Almelo's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 54' What an equalizer from Juho Talvitie!
  • 59' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Erwin van de Looi will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 62' Heracles Almelo make a change. Thomas Bruns trudges off to be replaced by Shiloh 't Zand on 62 minutes.
  • 64' The supporters are chanting for Clint Leemans. He replaces Adam Kaied on 64 minute.
  • 69' It is a cagey affair so far. NAC Breda in their 4-1-2-1-2 trying to find a way past Heracles Almelo's compact 4-2-3-1.
  • 71' Leo Greiml has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 71.
  • 72' Bryan Limbombe is replacing Suf Podgoreanu for the Heracles Almelo side.
  • 77' Both keepers have barely been tested. NAC Breda and Heracles Almelo are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 82' The supporters are chanting for Roy Kuijpers. He replaces Leo Sauer on 82 minute.
  • 87' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 87 minutes.
  • The points are shared — NAC Breda 1-1 Heracles Almelo. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.29 NAC Breda xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.32 Heracles Almelo xG
I would bet for: NAC Breda or Heracles Almelo 71%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
NAC Breda36% Draw29% Heracles Almelo35%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.61
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

NAC Breda or Draw
65%
Draw or Heracles Almelo
64%
NAC Breda or Heracles Almelo
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
NAC Breda26% Draw48% Heracles Almelo26%
Actual: NAC Breda win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
9.4%
0 – 1
8.7%
1 – 0
8.5%
1 – 2
7.9%
2 – 1
7.8%
0 – 2
6.2%
2 – 0
6%
2 – 2
5.2%
1 – 3
3.5%
3 – 1
3.4%
0 – 3
2.7%

Asian Handicap — NAC Breda

Handicap NAC Breda covers Push Heracles Almelo covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 10% 84%
-1.5 16% 84%
-1 16% 19% 65%
-0.5 35% 65%
+0.5 64% 36%
+1 64% 19% 17%
+1.5 83% 17%
+2 83% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

NAC Breda keeps clean sheet
28%
Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet
28%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.