Wednesday , 30 September 2026

NAC Breda vs Heracles Almelo, Eredivisie 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2024-25
Fri 31 Jan 2025 · 19:00 UTC Rat Verlegh Stadion 18,212 HT 45' · FT 45'
1–1 54' Juho Talvitie
Leo Greiml 71' Y

Overview

Match Preview

NAC Breda vs Heracles Almelo — Eredivisie at Rat Verlegh Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Martin van den Kerkhof
  • Assistant 1 Maarten Ketting
  • Assistant 2 Rob van de Ven
3 games this season 🟨 1.7/game ⚽ 5.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Jan Heracles Almelo H 1–1 D
25 Jan PSV A 2–3 L
19 Jan FC Twente '65 H 2–1 W
12 Jan SC Heerenveen H 2–4 L
21 Dec Go Ahead Eagles A 1–2 L
15 Dec AZ H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Jan NAC Breda A 1–1 D
28 Jan FC Groningen H 1–1 D
24 Jan FC Utrecht H 1–1 D
19 Jan Almere City FC A 2–0 W
11 Jan Sparta Rotterdam H 1–1 D
14 Dec Feyenoord Rotterdam A 2–5 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for NAC Breda to score. At the same time, Heracles Almelo does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 4' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Elias Mar Omarsson makes it 1-0.
  • 9' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 10' Another substitution for NAC Breda to replace Boy Kemper by Terence Kongolo on 10 minute.
  • 15' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both NAC Breda and Heracles Almelo are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 20' A quiet spell here at Rat Verlegh Stadion. NAC Breda seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 25' NAC Breda are deployed in a 4-1-2-1-2 today, looking to exploit space against Heracles Almelo's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 30' NAC Breda are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 35' It looks like no one’s ball. NAC Breda is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 40' Jizz Hornkamp has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 45' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 45 minutes.
  • 50' Heracles Almelo is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 54' Juho Talvitie is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 59' named a 4-1-2-1-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 62' A tactical swap from Heracles Almelo — Shiloh 't Zand on, Thomas Bruns off on 62 minutes.
  • 64' The NAC Breda manager makes a substitution. Adam Kaied departs to be replaced by Clint Leemans.
  • 69' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Erwin van de Looi will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 71' NAC Breda receives a card for a hard tackle on 71.
  • 72' Fresh legs for Heracles Almelo! Bryan Limbombe comes on to replace Suf Podgoreanu.
  • 77' Max Balard has been relatively quiet despite scoring 4 goals in his last 208 appearances.
  • 82' Another change for NAC Breda made on 82 minute. Leo Sauer leaves to be changed by Roy Kuijpers.
  • 87' It looks surprising Heracles Almelo does not make any changes. Adam Kaied has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • will have plenty to reflect on. were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.29 NAC Breda xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.32 Heracles Almelo xG
I would bet for: NAC Breda or Heracles Almelo 71%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
NAC Breda36% Draw29% Heracles Almelo35%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.61
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

NAC Breda or Draw
65%
Draw or Heracles Almelo
64%
NAC Breda or Heracles Almelo
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
NAC Breda26% Draw48% Heracles Almelo26%
Actual: NAC Breda win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
9.4%
0 – 1
8.7%
1 – 0
8.5%
1 – 2
7.9%
2 – 1
7.8%
0 – 2
6.2%
2 – 0
6%
2 – 2
5.2%
1 – 3
3.5%
3 – 1
3.4%
0 – 3
2.7%

Asian Handicap — NAC Breda

Handicap NAC Breda covers Push Heracles Almelo covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 10% 84%
-1.5 16% — 84%
-1 16% 19% 65%
-0.5 35% — 65%
+0.5 64% — 36%
+1 64% 19% 17%
+1.5 83% — 17%
+2 83% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

NAC Breda keeps clean sheet
28% ✓
Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet
28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.