FC Tokyo vs Albirex Niigata, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Tokyo vs Albirex Niigata — J. League at Ajinomoto Stadium.
- FC Tokyo 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
- Albirex Niigata 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec | Albirex Niigata | H | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Nov | Vissel Kobe | A | 0–0 | D |
| 09 Nov | FC Machida Zelvia | A | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Oct | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 17 Oct | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 0–0 | D |
| 04 Oct | Shimizu S-Pulse | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec | FC Tokyo | A | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Nov | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 1–3 | L |
| 08 Nov | Shonan Bellmare | A | 2–5 | L |
| 26 Oct | Vissel Kobe | H | 2–2 | D |
| 18 Oct | Tokyo Verdy | A | 0–1 | L |
| 04 Oct | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 1–1 | D |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
85%
Clean Sheets
FC Tokyo this season
FC Tokyo this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Tokyo
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
7/1
46-60
8/1
61-75
10/–
76+
7/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Tokyo
| Motoki Nagakura | 8 G | 3 A |
| Marcelo Ryan | 5 G | 2 A |
| Dani Gomez | 5 G | |
| Soma Anzai | 5 G | |
| Teruhito Nakagawa | 4 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Ajinomoto Stadium will turn into a battlefield for FC Tōkyō and Albirex Niigata.
- 5' FC Tōkyō are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Albirex Niigata backline.
- 9' Matheus Moraes makes no mistake. The score reads 0-1 and Albirex Niigata are in front.
- 14' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 19' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 19 minutes.
- 24' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Abdelrahman Saidi suffering a number of foals already.
- 29' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both FC Tōkyō and Albirex Niigata are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 33' Controversy at the stadium! Michael Fitzgerald argues furiously but the card stands.
- 38' Albirex Niigata have won 119 goals from 110 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 43' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His FC Tōkyō side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 47' Keita Endo doubles the advantage! 0-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 52' The home supporters are growing impatient. FC Tōkyō must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 57' FC Tōkyō currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 60' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Sei Muroya on 60 minutes.
- 65' Over 65 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 70' Albirex Niigata fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 73' The FC Tokyo bench stirs into life. Soma Anzai is withdrawn and Leon Nozawa gets his opportunity.
- 78' Keisuke Kasai, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 83' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 85' Another change for Albirex Niigata made on 85 minute. Michael Fitzgerald leaves to be changed by Kazuhiko Chiba.
- 89' It is a substitution in FC Tokyo team. Kein Sato is replaced by Motoki Nagakura on 89 minute.
- 90' That looks like a foul for a card for Eiji Shirai.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-1.
Lineups
FC Tokyo Lineups
Starting XI
- 5
- 3
- 2
- 22
- 8
- 37
- 24
- 13
- 19
- 7
- 16
Bench
- 99
- 39
- 40
- 30
- 31
- 32
- 28
- 26
- 27
Coach
Rikizo Matsuhashi
Albirex Niigata Lineups
Starting XI
- 5
- 25
- 31
- 15
- 65
- 8
- 41
-
46
Keisuke Kasai ↓ Taiki Arai 73'
- 14
- 1
-
55
Matheus Moraes ↓ Jin Okumura 73'
Bench
-
35
Kazuhiko Chiba ↑ 85'
- 42
- 33
- 50
- 4
-
30
Jin Okumura ↑ 73'
- 21
-
22
Taiki Arai ↑ 73'
- 48
Coach
Toru Irie
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Diego Oliveira | 2 |
| Teruhito Nakagawa | 2 |
| Keita Endo | 2 |
| Marcelo Ryan | 2 |
| Keisuke Kasai | 1 |
| Matheus Moraes | 1 |
| Ryotaro Ito | 1 |
| Kosuke Shirai | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Tokyo Form
Albirex Niigata Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.66
FC Tokyo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.02
Albirex Niigata xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.68
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 2.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
| ± 3.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
FC Tokyo or Draw
79%
Draw or Albirex Niigata
46%
FC Tokyo or Albirex Niigata
75%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
10.5%
2 – 1
9.3%
2 – 0
9.2%
0 – 0
8.8%
0 – 1
6%
1 – 2
5.7%
3 – 1
5.2%
3 – 0
5%
2 – 2
4.8%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
2.7%
Asian Handicap — FC Tokyo
| Handicap | FC Tokyo covers | Push | Albirex Niigata covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 16% | 72% |
| -1.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| -1 | 28% | 23% | 49% |
| -0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +0.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +1 | 78% | 14% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
FC Tokyo keeps clean sheet
37%
✓
Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.