Wednesday , 30 September 2026

FC Tokyo vs Albirex Niigata, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
FC Tokyo
1 – 1
Full Time
Albirex Niigata
Sat 6 Dec 2025 · 05:00 UTC Ajinomoto Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 33' Michael Fitzgerald
Sei Muroya 60' Y
Y 90' Eiji Shirai

Overview

Match Preview

FC Tokyo vs Albirex Niigata — J. League at Ajinomoto Stadium.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 18 35
2 Cerezo Osaka FC 18 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 30
5 Gamba Osaka 18 28
6 Fagiano Okayama FC 18 26
7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 24
8 Kyoto Sanga FC 18 23
9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 21
11 Kashima Antlers 18 45
12 FC Tokyo 18 37
13 FC Machida Zelvia 18 37
14 Kawasaki Frontale 18 28
15 Tokyo Verdy 18 28
16 Urawa Red Diamonds 18 25
17 Kashiwa Reysol 18 20
18 Yokohama F.Marinos 18 20
19 FC Mito Holly Hock 18 18
20 JEF United Ichihara Chiba 18 12

Head-to-Head

4
2
FC Tokyo 6 games · Avg 2.7 goals Albirex Niigata
Last 5 meetings
2025-12-06 FC Tokyo 1–1 Albirex Niigata 2025-05-03 Albirex Niigata 2–3 FC Tokyo 2024-07-13 FC Tokyo 2–0 Albirex Niigata 2024-04-27 Albirex Niigata 1–3 FC Tokyo 2023-11-11 Albirex Niigata 0–0 FC Tokyo

Recent Form

FC Tokyo
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Dec Albirex Niigata H 1–1 D
30 Nov Vissel Kobe A 0–0 D
09 Nov FC Machida Zelvia A 1–0 W
25 Oct Fagiano Okayama FC H 3–1 W
17 Oct Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 0–0 D
04 Oct Shimizu S-Pulse A 1–1 D
Albirex Niigata
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Dec FC Tokyo A 1–1 D
30 Nov Kashiwa Reysol H 1–3 L
08 Nov Shonan Bellmare A 2–5 L
26 Oct Vissel Kobe H 2–2 D
18 Oct Tokyo Verdy A 0–1 L
04 Oct Fagiano Okayama FC H 1–1 D

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
71% Clean Sheets
FC Tokyo this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Tokyo
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
4/1
46-60
4/1
61-75
4/–
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Tokyo
Motoki Nagakura 5 G 2 A
Marcelo Ryan 3 G 2 A
Soma Anzai 3 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and FC Tokyo launch into their encounter with Albirex Niigata.
  • 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 9' GOAL! Matheus Moraes fires home to make it 0-1!
  • 14' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 19' The travelling Albirex Niigata supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 24' Albirex Niigata fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 29' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Fumiya Hayakawa made 110 appearances and scored 2 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 33' The referee shows Albirex Niigata player a card on 33.
  • 38' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Rikizo Matsuhashi will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 43' It is a cagey affair so far. FC Tokyo in their trying to find a way past Albirex Niigata's compact .
  • 47' Assisted by Kei Koizumi with the perfectly-timed delivery and Keita Endo makes no mistake. 1-1!
  • 52' FC Tokyo is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 57' Albirex Niigata is showing some good football. However, Albirex Niigata are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 60' Sei Muroya was booked on 60.
  • 65' Alexander Scholz, a Denmark , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 70' It’s high time Toru Irie made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 73' Leon Nozawa is replacing Soma Anzai for the FC Tokyo side.
  • 78' Masato Morishige has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 83' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 85' The Albirex Niigata bench stirs into life. Michael Fitzgerald is withdrawn and Kazuhiko Chiba gets his opportunity.
  • 89' Motoki Nagakura has so much to prove this time. He replaces Kein Sato on 89 minute.
  • 90' Albirex Niigata player sees a card in front of him.
  • The points are shared — FC Tokyo 1-1 Albirex Niigata. Honours even.

Lineups

FC Tokyo Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Rikizo Matsuhashi

Albirex Niigata Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Toru Irie

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Diego Oliveira 2
Teruhito Nakagawa 2
Keita Endo 2
Marcelo Ryan 2
Danilo 1
Keisuke Kasai 1
Matheus Moraes 1
Ryotaro Ito 1

Head to Head

2025-12-06 FC Tokyo 1–1 Albirex Niigata 2025-05-03 Albirex Niigata 2–3 FC Tokyo 2024-07-13 FC Tokyo 2–0 Albirex Niigata 2024-04-27 Albirex Niigata 1–3 FC Tokyo 2023-11-11 Albirex Niigata 0–0 FC Tokyo

FC Tokyo Form

2025-12-06 FC Tokyo 1–1 Albirex Niigata D 2025-11-30 Vissel Kobe 0–0 FC Tokyo D 2025-11-09 FC Machida Zelvia 0–1 FC Tokyo W 2025-10-25 FC Tokyo 3–1 Fagiano Okayama FC W 2025-10-17 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0–0 FC Tokyo D 2025-10-04 Shimizu S-Pulse 1–1 FC Tokyo D

Albirex Niigata Form

2025-12-06 FC Tokyo 1–1 Albirex Niigata D 2025-11-30 Albirex Niigata 1–3 Kashiwa Reysol L 2025-11-08 Shonan Bellmare 5–2 Albirex Niigata L 2025-10-26 Albirex Niigata 2–2 Vissel Kobe D 2025-10-18 Tokyo Verdy 1–0 Albirex Niigata L 2025-10-04 Albirex Niigata 1–1 Fagiano Okayama FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.66 FC Tokyo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.02 Albirex Niigata xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong
FC Tokyo54% Draw25% Albirex Niigata21%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.68
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

FC Tokyo or Draw
79%
Draw or Albirex Niigata
46%
FC Tokyo or Albirex Niigata
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Tokyo36% Draw46% Albirex Niigata18%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
10.5%
2 – 1
9.3%
2 – 0
9.2%
0 – 0
8.8%
0 – 1
6%
1 – 2
5.7%
3 – 1
5.2%
3 – 0
5%
2 – 2
4.8%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
2.7%

Asian Handicap — FC Tokyo

Handicap FC Tokyo covers Push Albirex Niigata covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 16% 72%
-1.5 28% — 72%
-1 28% 23% 49%
-0.5 51% — 49%
+0.5 78% — 22%
+1 78% 14% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

FC Tokyo keeps clean sheet
37% ✓
Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.