FC Tokyo vs Albirex Niigata, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Tokyo vs Albirex Niigata — J. League at Ajinomoto Stadium.
- FC Tokyo 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
- Albirex Niigata 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec | Albirex Niigata | H | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Nov | Vissel Kobe | A | 0–0 | D |
| 09 Nov | FC Machida Zelvia | A | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Oct | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 17 Oct | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 0–0 | D |
| 04 Oct | Shimizu S-Pulse | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec | FC Tokyo | A | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Nov | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 1–3 | L |
| 08 Nov | Shonan Bellmare | A | 2–5 | L |
| 26 Oct | Vissel Kobe | H | 2–2 | D |
| 18 Oct | Tokyo Verdy | A | 0–1 | L |
| 04 Oct | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 1–1 | D |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Ajinomoto Stadium will turn into a battlefield for FC Tokyo and Albirex Niigata.
- 5' Albirex Niigata started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
- 9' What a strike from Matheus Moraes! The score is 0-1.
- 14' Abdelrahman Saidi has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 19' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Motoki Hasegawa suffering a number of foals already.
- 24' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 29' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 33' The referee has no hesitation. Michael Fitzgerald is booked for Albirex Niigata — card on 33.
- 38' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His FC Tokyo side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 43' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both FC Tokyo and Albirex Niigata are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 47' The deadlock is broken! Keita Endo gets on the scoresheet on 45 minutes.
- 52' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 57' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 60' FC Tokyo receives a card for a hard tackle on 60.
- 65' With 0 assists to his name this season, Yuto Horigome is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FC Tokyo.
- 70' FC Tokyo are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 73' A change in the FC Tokyo ranks — Soma Anzai exits the field as Leon Nozawa enters on 73.
- 78' Soma Anzai is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FC Tokyo so far.
- 83' Masato Morishige needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 26 Yellow cards this season.
- 85' Albirex Niigata make a change. Michael Fitzgerald trudges off to be replaced by Kazuhiko Chiba on 85 minutes.
- 89' Motoki Nagakura gets the nod from FC Tokyo. He replaces Kein Sato and will look to change the dynamic.
- 90' Eiji Shirai is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. take all three points.
Lineups
FC Tokyo Lineups
Starting XI
- 5
- 3
- 2
- 22
- 8
- 37
- 24
- 13
- 19
- 7
- 16
Bench
- 99
- 39
- 40
- 30
- 31
- 32
- 28
- 26
- 27
Coach
Rikizo Matsuhashi
Albirex Niigata Lineups
Starting XI
- 5
- 25
- 31
- 15
- 65
- 8
- 41
-
46
Keisuke Kasai ↓ Taiki Arai 73'
- 14
- 1
-
55
Matheus Moraes ↓ Jin Okumura 73'
Bench
-
35
Kazuhiko Chiba ↑ 85'
- 42
- 33
- 50
- 4
-
30
Jin Okumura ↑ 73'
- 21
-
22
Taiki Arai ↑ 73'
- 48
Coach
Toru Irie
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Teruhito Nakagawa | 2 |
| Keita Endo | 2 |
| Marcelo Ryan | 2 |
| Diego Oliveira | 2 |
| Matheus Moraes | 1 |
| Ryotaro Ito | 1 |
| Kosuke Shirai | 1 |
| Fumiya Hayakawa | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Tokyo Form
Albirex Niigata Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.66
FC Tokyo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.02
Albirex Niigata xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.68
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 2.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
| ± 3.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
FC Tokyo or Draw
79%
Draw or Albirex Niigata
46%
FC Tokyo or Albirex Niigata
75%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
10.5%
2 – 1
9.3%
2 – 0
9.2%
0 – 0
8.8%
0 – 1
6%
1 – 2
5.7%
3 – 1
5.2%
3 – 0
5%
2 – 2
4.8%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
2.7%
Asian Handicap — FC Tokyo
| Handicap | FC Tokyo covers | Push | Albirex Niigata covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 16% | 72% |
| -1.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| -1 | 28% | 23% | 49% |
| -0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +0.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +1 | 78% | 14% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
FC Tokyo keeps clean sheet
37%
✓
Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.