Thursday , 2 July 2026

Tokyo Verdy vs Albirex Niigata, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
Sat 18 Oct 2025 · 05:00 UTC Ajinomoto Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Tokyo Verdy vs Albirex NiigataJ. League at Ajinomoto Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Oct Albirex Niigata H 1–0 W
03 Oct Shonan Bellmare A 1–0 W
27 Sep Urawa Red Diamonds H 0–0 D
23 Sep Vissel Kobe A 0–4 L
20 Sep Fagiano Okayama FC H 4–2 W
15 Sep FC Tōkyō A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Oct Tokyo Verdy A 0–1 L
04 Oct Fagiano Okayama FC H 1–1 D
27 Sep Gamba Osaka A 2–4 L
23 Sep Nagoya Grampus H 0–0 D
20 Sep Yokohama FC A 0–1 L
13 Sep Shimizu S-Pulse H 0–1 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
Tokyo Verdy this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Tokyo Verdy
0-15
/
16-30
1/3
31-45
2/4
46-60
3/3
61-75
2/1
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Ajinomoto Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 10' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Yamato Wakatsuki made 418 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 15' Supporters expect more eagerness from Daiki Fukazawa, as he is very good at scoring at Ajinomoto Stadium with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 20' Kosuke Saito needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 25' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 30' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 35' Itsuki Someno has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
  • 36' What a strike from Hiroto Taniguchi! The score is 1-0.
  • 41' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 46' Jason Geria is replacing Michael Fitzgerald for the Albirex Niigata side.
  • 51' It looks like no one’s ball. Tokyo Verdy is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 54' Yuan Matsuhashi is replacing Yuya Fukuda for the Tokyo Verdy side.
  • 59' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 64' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 69' Tokyo Verdy seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 72' The Tokyo Verdy manager makes a substitution. Yuta Arai departs to be replaced by Shoji Toyama.
  • 73' Albirex Niigata manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Yamato Wakatsuki is hanging Abdelrahman Saidi on the field on 73 minute.
  • 78' Tokyo Verdy started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 78.
  • 82' It is a substitution in Tokyo Verdy team. Koki Morita is replaced by Rei Hirakawa on 82 minute.
  • 87' Albirex Niigata is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • With this win, Tokyo Verdy is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.54 Tokyo Verdy xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.91 Albirex Niigata xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Tokyo Verdy54% Draw26% Albirex Niigata20%
Actual: Tokyo Verdy win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.45
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Tokyo Verdy or Draw
80%
Draw or Albirex Niigata
46%
Tokyo Verdy or Albirex Niigata
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Tokyo Verdy35% Draw48% Albirex Niigata17%
Actual: Tokyo Verdy win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
10.8%
2 – 0
9.9%
2 – 1
9%
0 – 1
6.8%
1 – 2
5.3%
3 – 0
5%
3 – 1
4.7%
2 – 2
4.1%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
2.2%

Asian Handicap — Tokyo Verdy

Handicap Tokyo Verdy covers Push Albirex Niigata covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 16% 73%
-1.5 27% 73%
-1 27% 24% 50%
-0.5 50% 50%
+0.5 79% 21%
+1 79% 14% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Tokyo Verdy keeps clean sheet
41%
Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
22%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.