Saturday , 14 November 2026

Tokyo Verdy vs Albirex Niigata, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
Sat 18 Oct 2025 · 05:00 UTC Ajinomoto Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Tōkyō Verdy vs Albirex Niigata — J. League at Ajinomoto Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Oct Albirex Niigata H 1–0 W
03 Oct Shonan Bellmare A 1–0 W
27 Sep Urawa Red Diamonds H 0–0 D
23 Sep Vissel Kobe A 0–4 L
20 Sep Fagiano Okayama FC H 4–2 W
15 Sep FC Tokyo A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Oct Tokyo Verdy A 0–1 L
04 Oct Fagiano Okayama FC H 1–1 D
27 Sep Gamba Osaka A 2–4 L
23 Sep Nagoya Grampus H 0–0 D
20 Sep Yokohama FC A 0–1 L
13 Sep Shimizu S-Pulse H 0–1 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
23% Clean Sheets
Tokyo Verdy this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Tokyo Verdy
0-15
2/1
16-30
–/3
31-45
1/4
46-60
–/8
61-75
4/2
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Tokyo Verdy
Naoki Hayashi 2 G
Shuhei Mizoguchi 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Ajinomoto Stadium as Tokyo Verdy face off against Albirex Niigata in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Koki Morita made 106 appearances and scored 2 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 10' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 15' The 27-year-old Motoki Hasegawa has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 20' It looks like no one’s ball. Albirex Niigata is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 25' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Tokyo Verdy side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 30' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 35' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Albirex Niigata needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 36' Hiroto Taniguchi makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and Tokyo Verdy are in front.
  • 41' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 46' It is a substitution in Albirex Niigata team. Michael Fitzgerald is replaced by Jason Geria on 46 minute.
  • 51' With 0 assists to his name this season, Matheus Vidotto is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Albirex Niigata.
  • 54' Another change for Tokyo Verdy made on 54 minute. Yuya Fukuda leaves to be changed by Yuan Matsuhashi.
  • 59' Over 59 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 64' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 69' A quiet spell here at Ajinomoto Stadium. Tokyo Verdy seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 72' Shoji Toyama gets the nod from Tokyo Verdy. He replaces Yuta Arai and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 73' A change in the Albirex Niigata ranks — Abdelrahman Saidi exits the field as Yamato Wakatsuki enters on 73.
  • 78' Naoki Hayashi has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 1 cards already picked up this season.
  • 82' The supporters are chanting for Rei Hirakawa. He replaces Koki Morita on 82 minute.
  • 87' It is a cagey affair so far. Tokyo Verdy in their trying to find a way past Albirex Niigata's compact .
  • Tokyo Verdy celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.54 Tokyo Verdy xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.91 Albirex Niigata xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Tokyo Verdy54% Draw26% Albirex Niigata20%
Actual: Tokyo Verdy win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.45
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Tokyo Verdy or Draw
80%
Draw or Albirex Niigata
46%
Tokyo Verdy or Albirex Niigata
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Tokyo Verdy35% Draw48% Albirex Niigata17%
Actual: Tokyo Verdy win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
10.8%
2 – 0
9.9%
2 – 1
9%
0 – 1
6.8%
1 – 2
5.3%
3 – 0
5%
3 – 1
4.7%
2 – 2
4.1%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
2.2%

Asian Handicap — Tokyo Verdy

Handicap Tokyo Verdy covers Push Albirex Niigata covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 16% 73%
-1.5 27% — 73%
-1 27% 24% 50%
-0.5 50% — 50%
+0.5 79% — 21%
+1 79% 14% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Tokyo Verdy keeps clean sheet
41% ✗
Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.