Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Tokyo Verdy vs Albirex Niigata, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
Sat 18 Oct 2025 · 05:00 UTC Ajinomoto Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Tokyo Verdy vs Albirex Niigata — J. League at Ajinomoto Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Oct Albirex Niigata H 1–0 W
03 Oct Shonan Bellmare A 1–0 W
27 Sep Urawa Red Diamonds H 0–0 D
23 Sep Vissel Kobe A 0–4 L
20 Sep Fagiano Okayama FC H 4–2 W
15 Sep FC Tokyo A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Oct Tokyo Verdy A 0–1 L
04 Oct Fagiano Okayama FC H 1–1 D
27 Sep Gamba Osaka A 2–4 L
23 Sep Nagoya Grampus H 0–0 D
20 Sep Yokohama FC A 0–1 L
13 Sep Shimizu S-Pulse H 0–1 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
Tokyo Verdy this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Tokyo Verdy
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/2
31-45
–/3
46-60
–/3
61-75
1/1
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Tokyo Verdy
Naoki Hayashi 2 G
Shuhei Mizoguchi 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Tokyo Verdy kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' Albirex Niigata fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 10' With 0 assists to his name this season, Hiroto Taniguchi is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Albirex Niigata.
  • 15' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 20' Both keepers have barely been tested. Tokyo Verdy and Albirex Niigata are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 25' It is a cagey affair so far. Tokyo Verdy in their trying to find a way past Albirex Niigata's compact .
  • 30' Motoki Hasegawa has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 35' Albirex Niigata come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 36' Tokyo Verdy is taking the lead after the goal scored by Hiroto Taniguchi on 36.
  • 41' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Tokyo Verdy side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 46' The whistle greets Michael Fitzgerald as he departs to be replaced by Jason Geria.
  • 51' Japan international Kaito Taniguchi has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
  • 54' Yuya Fukuda makes way for Yuan Matsuhashi at the 54 minute mark. A tactical switch from Tokyo Verdy.
  • 59' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 64' Tokyo Verdy seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 69' Koki Morita has been relatively quiet despite scoring 2 goals in his last 102 appearances.
  • 72' Yuta Arai makes way for Shoji Toyama at the 72 minute mark. A tactical switch from Tokyo Verdy.
  • 73' Yamato Wakatsuki is ready to make an impact after coming on for Abdelrahman Saidi at the 73 minute mark.
  • 78' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Tokyo Verdy and Albirex Niigata are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 82' Rei Hirakawa has so much to prove this time. He replaces Koki Morita on 82 minute.
  • 87' The travelling Albirex Niigata supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Albirex Niigata.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.54 Tokyo Verdy xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.91 Albirex Niigata xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Tokyo Verdy54% Draw26% Albirex Niigata20%
Actual: Tokyo Verdy win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.45
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Tokyo Verdy or Draw
80%
Draw or Albirex Niigata
46%
Tokyo Verdy or Albirex Niigata
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Tokyo Verdy35% Draw48% Albirex Niigata17%
Actual: Tokyo Verdy win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
10.8%
2 – 0
9.9%
2 – 1
9%
0 – 1
6.8%
1 – 2
5.3%
3 – 0
5%
3 – 1
4.7%
2 – 2
4.1%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
2.2%

Asian Handicap — Tokyo Verdy

Handicap Tokyo Verdy covers Push Albirex Niigata covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 16% 73%
-1.5 27% — 73%
-1 27% 24% 50%
-0.5 50% — 50%
+0.5 79% — 21%
+1 79% 14% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Tokyo Verdy keeps clean sheet
41% ✗
Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.