Albirex Niigata vs Fagiano Okayama FC, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Albirex Niigata vs Fagiano Okayama FC — J. League at Denka Big Swan Stadium.
- Albirex Niigata 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
- Fagiano Okayama FC 18 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Sep | Gamba Osaka | A | 2–4 | L |
| 23 Sep | Nagoya Grampus | H | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Sep | Yokohama FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Sep | Shimizu S-Pulse | H | 0–1 | L |
| 31 Aug | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct | Albirex Niigata | A | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Sep | FC Machida Zelvia | A | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Sep | Yokohama FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Sep | Tokyo Verdy | A | 2–4 | L |
| 13 Sep | Nagoya Grampus | H | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Aug | Kyoto Sanga FC | A | 0–5 | L |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
28%
Clean Sheets
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Fagiano Okayama FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
2/2
31-45
2/4
46-60
1/2
61-75
4/3
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to Denka Big Swan Stadium that hosts another battle between Albirex Niigata and Fagiano Okayama FC.
- 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Masaya Matsumoto made 278 appearances and scored 5 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 10' It looks like no one’s ball. Albirex Niigata is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 15' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Fagiano Okayama FC that had 56 games and scored 51 goals.
- 20' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 24' Goal! Kazunari Ichimi scores his 12 goal in 403 matches.
- 29' Ryo Takeuchi needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 34' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 39' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 44' Albirex Niigata is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 47' Albirex Niigata receives a card for a hard tackle on 47.
- 52' Takaya Kimura has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 3 goals this season.
- 56' The whistle greets Takaya Kimura as he departs to be replaced by Lucao.
- 61' The supporters are chanting for Abdelrahman Saidi. He replaces Yuji Ono on 61 minute.
- 66' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 66 minutes.
- 67' What an equalizer from Eiji Shirai!
- 72' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 74' Albirex Niigata manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Motoki Ohara is hanging Takuya Shimamura on the field on 74 minute.
- 75' The Fagiano Okayama FC manager makes a substitution. Haruka Motoyama departs to be replaced by Masaya Matsumoto.
- 76' It is a substitution in Fagiano Okayama FC team. Daichi Tagami is replaced by Yoshitake Suzuki on 76 minute.
- 81' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 83' Fagiano Okayama FC player sees a card in front of him.
- 84' The whistle greets Fumiya Hayakawa as he departs to be replaced by Jason Geria.
- 88' Ryo Takeuchi is replacing Eiji Miyamoto for the Fagiano Okayama FC side.
- 90' That looks like a foul for a card for Kento Hashimoto.
- 90' The supporters are chanting for Kaito Fujii. He replaces Ataru Esaka on 90 minute.
- The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.
Lineups
Albirex Niigata Lineups
Starting XI
- 5
-
99
Yuji Ono ↓ Abdelrahman Saidi 61'
-
28
Takuya Shimamura ↓ Motoki Ohara 74'
- 25
-
31
Yuto Horigome ↓ Kento Hashimoto 61'
-
15
Fumiya Hayakawa ↓ Jason Geria 84'
- 8
- 41
-
30
Jin Okumura ↓ Kaito Taniguchi 84'
- 21
-
22
Taiki Arai ↓ Hiroto Uemura 90'
Bench
- 18
-
2
Jason Geria ↑ 84'
-
42
Kento Hashimoto ↑ 61'
-
7
Kaito Taniguchi ↑ 84'
- 33
-
65
Abdelrahman Saidi ↑ 61'
-
50
Hiroto Uemura ↑ 90'
-
14
Motoki Ohara ↑ 74'
- 1
Coach
Toru Irie
Fagiano Okayama FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 49
- 18
- 22
-
8
Ataru Esaka ↓ Kaito Fujii 90'
- 33
- 15
- 50
-
41
Eiji Miyamoto ↓ Ryo Takeuchi 88'
- 26
-
27
Takaya Kimura ↓ Lucao 56'
- 4
Bench
- 77
- 88
-
43
Yoshitake Suzuki ↑ 76'
-
7
Ryo Takeuchi ↑ 88'
-
28
Masaya Matsumoto ↑ 75'
-
99
Lucao ↑ 56'
-
19
Hiroto Iwabuchi ↑ 76'
-
3
Kaito Fujii ↑ 90'
- 17
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kazunari Ichimi | 2 |
| Eiji Shirai | 1 |
| Motoki Hasegawa | 1 |
| Ataru Esaka | 1 |
Head to Head
Albirex Niigata Form
Fagiano Okayama FC Form
2025-10-04
Albirex Niigata
1–1
Fagiano Okayama FC
D
2025-09-27
FC Machida Zelvia
1–0
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
2025-09-23
Fagiano Okayama FC
0–0
Yokohama FC
D
2025-09-20
Tokyo Verdy
4–2
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
2025-09-13
Fagiano Okayama FC
0–1
Nagoya Grampus
L
2025-08-30
Kyoto Sanga FC
5–0
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.28
Albirex Niigata xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.06
Fagiano Okayama FC xG
I would bet for:
Albirex Niigata or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 59%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.34
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 2.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 3.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
Albirex Niigata or Draw
71%
Draw or Fagiano Okayama FC
59%
Albirex Niigata or Fagiano Okayama FC
70%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Fagiano Okayama FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
11.8%
1 – 0
11.2%
0 – 1
9%
2 – 1
8.1%
2 – 0
7.7%
1 – 2
6.7%
0 – 2
5.2%
2 – 2
4.4%
3 – 1
3.5%
3 – 0
3.2%
1 – 3
2.4%
Asian Handicap — Albirex Niigata
| Handicap | Albirex Niigata covers | Push | Fagiano Okayama FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 12% | 82% |
| -1.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 22% | 60% |
| -0.5 | 40% | — | 60% |
| +0.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +1 | 71% | 18% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 8% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
35%
✓
Fagiano Okayama FC keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.