Albirex Niigata vs Fagiano Okayama FC, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Albirex Niigata vs Fagiano Okayama FC — J. League at Denka Big Swan Stadium.
- Albirex Niigata 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Fagiano Okayama FC 18 games · 26 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Sep | Gamba Osaka | A | 2–4 | L |
| 23 Sep | Nagoya Grampus | H | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Sep | Yokohama FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Sep | Shimizu S-Pulse | H | 0–1 | L |
| 31 Aug | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct | Albirex Niigata | A | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Sep | FC Machida Zelvia | A | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Sep | Yokohama FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Sep | Tōkyō Verdy | A | 2–4 | L |
| 13 Sep | Nagoya Grampus | H | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Aug | Kyōto Sanga FC | A | 0–5 | L |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
23%
Clean Sheets
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Fagiano Okayama FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/5
46-60
3/4
61-75
3/3
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Fagiano Okayama FC
| Kota Kawano | 3 G | |
| Noah Browne | 2 G | 1 A |
| Lucao | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' That's the starting whistle at Denka Big Swan Stadium. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Albirex Niigata and Fagiano Okayama FC.
- 5' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Albirex Niigata side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 10' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 15' The 25-year-old Jin Okumura has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 20' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Eiji Miyamoto suffering a number of foals already.
- 24' Kazunari Ichimi has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 24 minutes.
- 29' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 34' Michael Fitzgerald has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 39' Fagiano Okayama FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 44' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 47' That looks like a foul for a card for Fumiya Hayakawa.
- 52' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
- 56' The supporters are chanting for Lucao. He replaces Takaya Kimura on 56 minute.
- 61' Abdelrahman Saidi is replacing Yuji Ono for the Albirex Niigata side.
- 66' Albirex Niigata are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Fagiano Okayama FC's shape.
- 67' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Eiji Shirai makes it 1-1.
- 72' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 74' Albirex Niigata make a change. Takuya Shimamura trudges off to be replaced by Motoki Ohara on 74 minutes.
- 75' Fagiano Okayama FC make a change. Haruka Motoyama trudges off to be replaced by Masaya Matsumoto on 75 minutes.
- 76' Another change for Fagiano Okayama FC made on 76 minute. Daichi Tagami leaves to be changed by Yoshitake Suzuki.
- 81' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 83' That looks like a foul for a card for Eiji Miyamoto.
- 84' Another substitution for Albirex Niigata to replace Fumiya Hayakawa by Jason Geria on 84 minute.
- 88' Time for substitution for Fagiano Okayama FC. Eiji Miyamoto is replaced by Ryo Takeuchi.
- 90' It’s gonna be a card for Kento Hashimoto.
- 90' Kaito Fujii gets the nod from Fagiano Okayama FC. He replaces Ataru Esaka and will look to change the dynamic.
- The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.
Lineups
Albirex Niigata Lineups
Starting XI
- 5
-
99
Yuji Ono ↓ Abdelrahman Saidi 61'
-
28
Takuya Shimamura ↓ Motoki Ohara 74'
- 25
-
31
Yuto Horigome ↓ Kento Hashimoto 61'
-
15
Fumiya Hayakawa ↓ Jason Geria 84'
- 8
- 41
-
30
Jin Okumura ↓ Kaito Taniguchi 84'
- 21
-
22
Taiki Arai ↓ Hiroto Uemura 90'
Bench
- 18
-
2
Jason Geria ↑ 84'
-
42
Kento Hashimoto ↑ 61'
-
7
Kaito Taniguchi ↑ 84'
- 33
-
65
Abdelrahman Saidi ↑ 61'
-
50
Hiroto Uemura ↑ 90'
-
14
Motoki Ohara ↑ 74'
- 1
Coach
Toru Irie
Fagiano Okayama FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 49
- 18
- 22
-
8
Ataru Esaka ↓ Kaito Fujii 90'
- 33
- 15
- 50
-
41
Eiji Miyamoto ↓ Ryo Takeuchi 88'
- 26
-
27
Takaya Kimura ↓ Lucao 56'
- 4
Bench
- 77
- 88
-
43
Yoshitake Suzuki ↑ 76'
-
7
Ryo Takeuchi ↑ 88'
-
28
Masaya Matsumoto ↑ 75'
-
99
Lucao ↑ 56'
-
19
Hiroto Iwabuchi ↑ 76'
-
3
Kaito Fujii ↑ 90'
- 17
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kazunari Ichimi | 2 |
| Motoki Hasegawa | 1 |
| Ataru Esaka | 1 |
| Eiji Shirai | 1 |
Head to Head
Albirex Niigata Form
Fagiano Okayama FC Form
2025-10-04
Albirex Niigata
1–1
Fagiano Okayama FC
D
2025-09-27
FC Machida Zelvia
1–0
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
2025-09-23
Fagiano Okayama FC
0–0
Yokohama FC
D
2025-09-20
Tōkyō Verdy
4–2
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
2025-09-13
Fagiano Okayama FC
0–1
Nagoya Grampus
L
2025-08-30
Kyōto Sanga FC
5–0
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.28
Albirex Niigata xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.06
Fagiano Okayama FC xG
I would bet for:
Albirex Niigata or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 59%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.34
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 2.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 3.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
Albirex Niigata or Draw
71%
Draw or Fagiano Okayama FC
59%
Albirex Niigata or Fagiano Okayama FC
70%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Fagiano Okayama FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
11.8%
1 – 0
11.2%
0 – 1
9%
2 – 1
8.1%
2 – 0
7.7%
1 – 2
6.7%
0 – 2
5.2%
2 – 2
4.4%
3 – 1
3.5%
3 – 0
3.2%
1 – 3
2.4%
Asian Handicap — Albirex Niigata
| Handicap | Albirex Niigata covers | Push | Fagiano Okayama FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 12% | 82% |
| -1.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 22% | 60% |
| -0.5 | 40% | — | 60% |
| +0.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +1 | 71% | 18% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 8% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
35%
✓
Fagiano Okayama FC keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.