Thursday , 2 July 2026

Albirex Niigata vs Kashiwa Reysol, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
Sun 30 Nov 2025 · 05:00 UTC Denka Big Swan Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Albirex Niigata vs Kashiwa ReysolJ. League at Denka Big Swan Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Nov Kashiwa Reysol H 1–3 L
08 Nov Shonan Bellmare A 2–5 L
26 Oct Vissel Kobe H 2–2 D
18 Oct Tokyo Verdy A 0–1 L
04 Oct Fagiano Okayama FC H 1–1 D
27 Sep Gamba Osaka A 2–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Nov Albirex Niigata A 3–1 W
08 Nov Nagoya Grampus H 1–0 W
25 Oct Yokohama FC H 2–0 W
18 Oct Gamba Osaka A 5–0 W
04 Oct Yokohama F·Marinos H 1–0 W
28 Sep Kawasaki Frontale A 4–4 D

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
17% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
28% Clean Sheets
Kashiwa Reysol this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kashiwa Reysol
0-15
/
16-30
1/
31-45
3/3
46-60
/3
61-75
2/2
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Albirex Niigata and Kashiwa Reysol has kicked off!
  • 5' Kashiwa Reysol is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 10' The travelling Kashiwa Reysol supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 15' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Motoki Hasegawa made 110 appearances and scored 9 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 20' What a strike from Mao Hosoya! The score is 0-1.
  • 25' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 28' The referee shows Albirex Niigata player a card on 28.
  • 33' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Kashiwa Reysol that had 411 games and scored 345 goals.
  • 38' It looks surprising Albirex Niigata does not make any changes. Tojiro Kubo has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 43' It looks like no one’s ball. Albirex Niigata is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 45' What a strike from Mao Hosoya! The score is 0-2.
  • 46' The Albirex Niigata manager makes a substitution. Kaito Taniguchi departs to be replaced by Abdelrahman Saidi.
  • 51' Wataru Harada has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 55' Goal! Mao Hosoya scores his 46 goal in 411 matches.
  • 60' Supporters expect more eagerness from Yusei Yamanouchi, as he is very good at scoring at Denka Big Swan Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 61' Sachiro Toshima has so much to prove this time. He replaces Nobuteru Nakagawa on 61 minute.
  • 62' The supporters are chanting for Tojiro Kubo. He replaces Diego on 62 minute.
  • 64' Albirex Niigata manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Yuto Horigome is hanging Kento Hashimoto on the field on 64 minute.
  • 69' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 72' Goal! Keisuke Kasai scores his 2 goal in 110 matches.
  • 76' The supporters are chanting for Hayato Nakama. He replaces Yusei Yamanouchi on 76 minute.
  • 81' Time for substitution for Kashiwa Reysol. Mao Hosoya is replaced by Yuki Kakita.
  • 83' It’s a booking for Albirex Niigata player. Michael Fitzgerald gets a card.
  • 87' Yoshiaki Takagi is replacing Motoki Ohara for the Albirex Niigata side.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Albirex Niigata.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.24 Albirex Niigata xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.73 Kashiwa Reysol xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 59% + Over 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Albirex Niigata27% Draw26% Kashiwa Reysol47%
Actual: Kashiwa Reysol win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 2.97
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Albirex Niigata or Draw
53%
Draw or Kashiwa Reysol
73%
Albirex Niigata or Kashiwa Reysol
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Albirex Niigata21% Draw44% Kashiwa Reysol35%
Actual: Kashiwa Reysol win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.9%
1 – 2
9.2%
0 – 1
8.1%
0 – 2
7.6%
0 – 0
6.9%
2 – 1
6.6%
2 – 2
5.7%
1 – 0
5.5%
1 – 3
Actual
0 – 3
4.3%
2 – 0
3.9%
2 – 3
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Albirex Niigata

Handicap Albirex Niigata covers Push Kashiwa Reysol covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 8% 89%
-1.5 11% 89%
-1 11% 15% 74%
-0.5 26% 74%
+0.5 52% 48%
+1 52% 21% 26%
+1.5 74% 26%
+2 74% 15% 12%
+2.5 88% 12%

Clean Sheet

Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
19%
Kashiwa Reysol keeps clean sheet
30%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.