FC Tokyo vs Fagiano Okayama FC, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Tokyo vs Fagiano Okayama FC — J. League at Ajinomoto Stadium.
- FC Tokyo 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
- Fagiano Okayama FC 18 games · 26 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 17 Oct | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 0–0 | D |
| 04 Oct | Shimizu S-Pulse | A | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Sep | Yokohama F.Marinos | H | 2–3 | L |
| 23 Sep | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | Kawasaki Frontale | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct | FC Tokyo | A | 1–3 | L |
| 18 Oct | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 04 Oct | Albirex Niigata | A | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Sep | FC Machida Zelvia | A | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Sep | Yokohama FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Sep | Tokyo Verdy | A | 2–4 | L |
Season Stats
| FC Tokyo | Fagiano Okayama FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #6 |
| 37 | Points | 26 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 13 / 0 / 5 | W / D / L | 8 / 0 / 10 |
| 55 | Scored | 41 |
| 42 | Conceded | 46 |
| +13 | GD | -5 |
| 2.06 | PPG | 1.44 |
| 72% | Win % | 44% |
Key Stats
33%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
85%
Clean Sheets
FC Tokyo this season
FC Tokyo this season
23%
Clean Sheets
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
FC Tokyo are 12th (37 pts). Fagiano Okayama FC are 6th (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Tokyo
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
7/1
46-60
8/1
61-75
10/–
76+
7/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fagiano Okayama FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/5
46-60
3/4
61-75
3/3
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Tokyo
| Motoki Nagakura | 8 G | 3 A |
| Marcelo Ryan | 5 G | 2 A |
| Dani Gomez | 5 G | |
| Soma Anzai | 5 G | |
| Teruhito Nakagawa | 4 G | 2 A |
Fagiano Okayama FC
| Kota Kawano | 3 G | |
| Noah Browne | 2 G | 1 A |
| Lucao | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Fagiano Okayama FC kicks off things out of here…
- 5' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 10' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 15' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Fagiano Okayama FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 20' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 25' Supporters expect more eagerness from Werik, as he is very good at scoring at Ajinomoto Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 30' Teruhito Nakagawa, a Japan , has 14 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 35' The referee calls foul for Yugo Tatsuta. He receives a card.
- 40' The travelling Fagiano Okayama FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 45' Fagiano Okayama FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 48' What composure from Kein Sato! The Japan international strokes it home. 1-0.
- 53' The energy levels are beginning to show. Rikizo Matsuhashi might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 58' FC Tokyo started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 58.
- 59' Lucao is replacing Kazunari Ichimi for the Fagiano Okayama FC side.
- 64' Japan international Takaya Kimura has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 68' The FC Tokyo manager makes a substitution. Keita Endo departs to be replaced by Soma Anzai.
- 71' Fagiano Okayama FC ring the changes. Hijiri Kato has done his job and it is now time for Takahiro Yanagi to step up.
- 72' What a strike from Ataru Esaka! The score is 1-1.
- 77' A tactical swap from FC Tokyo — Kota Tawaratsumida on, Marcos Guilherme off on 77 minutes.
- 82' Yoshitake Suzuki picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 87' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Hijiri Kato suffering a number of foals already.
- 88' The Japan Kota Tawaratsumida breaks the deadlock on 88 minutes. 2-1!
- 89' Werik is ready to make an impact after coming on for Ataru Esaka at the 89 minute mark.
- 90' Kein Sato does the damage! The net is bulging and FC Tokyo surge ahead!
- 90' FC Tokyo make a change. Yuto Nagatomo trudges off to be replaced by Teppei Oka on 90 minutes.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. FC Tokyo take all three points.
Lineups
FC Tokyo Lineups
Starting XI
- 5
- 3
- 2
- 22
- 39
- 8
- 37
- 24
- 40
- 81
- 16
Bench
- 99
- 13
- 30
- 14
- 33
- 32
- 7
- 28
- 88
Coach
Rikizo Matsuhashi
Fagiano Okayama FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 77
- 43
- 18
-
22
Kazunari Ichimi ↓ Lucao 59'
- 2
-
8
Ataru Esaka ↓ Werik 89'
-
50
Hijiri Kato ↓ Takahiro Yanagi 71'
- 41
- 26
-
14
Ryo Tabei ↓ Yuta Kamiya 71'
-
19
Hiroto Iwabuchi ↓ Takaya Kimura 59'
Bench
-
88
Takahiro Yanagi ↑ 71'
- 7
- 28
-
33
Yuta Kamiya ↑ 71'
- 15
-
98
Werik ↑ 89'
-
27
Takaya Kimura ↑ 59'
-
99
Lucao ↑ 59'
- 21
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kein Sato | 2 |
| Teruhito Nakagawa | 2 |
| Dani Gomez | 2 |
| Kota Tawaratsumida | 1 |
| Ataru Esaka | 1 |
| Ryo Tabei | 1 |
FC Tokyo Form
Fagiano Okayama FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
3.07
FC Tokyo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.74
Fagiano Okayama FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 84% + Both teams to score 78%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Tokyo win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.81
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 2.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 3.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 4.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
Double Chance
FC Tokyo or Draw
80%
Draw or Fagiano Okayama FC
38%
FC Tokyo or Fagiano Okayama FC
82%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
6.7%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 2
5.7%
2 – 2
5.7%
4 – 1
5.1%
1 – 1
5.1%
4 – 2
4.4%
2 – 0
4.1%
3 – 0
4%
1 – 2
3.9%
3 – 3
3.3%
2 – 3
3.3%
Asian Handicap — FC Tokyo
| Handicap | FC Tokyo covers | Push | Fagiano Okayama FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| -2 | 27% | 17% | 55% |
| -1.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| -1 | 45% | 18% | 37% |
| -0.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +0.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 10% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 6% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
FC Tokyo keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Fagiano Okayama FC keeps clean sheet
5%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.