Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Albirex Niigata vs FC Tokyo, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2023
Sat 11 Nov 2023 · 05:00 UTC Denka Big Swan Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Albirex Niigata vs FC Tokyo — J. League at Denka Big Swan Stadium.

Head-to-Head

2
4
Albirex Niigata 6 games · Avg 2.7 goals FC Tokyo

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Nov FC Tokyo H 0–0 D
28 Oct Kyoto Sanga FC A 1–0 W
21 Oct Sagan Tosu FC H 1–1 D
29 Sep Kawasaki Frontale A 3–2 W
23 Sep Yokohama FC H 3–1 W
17 Sep Gamba Osaka A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Nov Albirex Niigata A 0–0 D
28 Oct Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 1–2 L
21 Oct Yokohama FC A 0–1 L
01 Oct Gamba Osaka H 3–0 W
23 Sep Sagan Tosu FC H 3–2 W
15 Sep Kawasaki Frontale A 0–1 L

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
71% Clean Sheets
FC Tokyo this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Tokyo
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
4/1
46-60
4/1
61-75
4/–
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Tokyo
Motoki Nagakura 5 G 2 A
Marcelo Ryan 3 G 2 A
Soma Anzai 3 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Albirex Niigata and FC Tokyo get this one started.
  • 5' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Albirex Niigata side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 10' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 15' Albirex Niigata are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FC Tokyo backline.
  • 20' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 23' That looks like a foul for a card for Yuji Hoshi.
  • 28' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 32' Michael Fitzgerald was booked on 32.
  • 37' The 36-year-old Keigo Higashi has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 42' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Yasuki Kimoto suffering a number of foals already.
  • 44' It’s a booking for FC Tokyo player. Kuryu Matsuki gets a card.
  • 49' Kosuke Shirai is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Albirex Niigata so far.
  • 50' Poor challenge from Kei Koizumi. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 55' A quiet spell here at Denka Big Swan Stadium. Albirex Niigata seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 57' Michael Fitzgerald makes way for Thomas Deng at the 57 minute mark. A tactical switch from Albirex Niigata.
  • 62' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 67' Taishi Nozawa, a Japan goalkeeper, has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 68' Albirex Niigata ring the changes. Eitaro Matsuda has done his job and it is now time for Shunsuke Mito to step up.
  • 71' The crowd applauds Adailton as he leaves the pitch. Kota Tawaratsumida steps in for FC Tokyo.
  • 76' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 79' Motoki Nagakura has so much to prove this time. He replaces Kaito Taniguchi on 79 minute.
  • 81' Another substitution for FC Tokyo to replace Riki Harakawa by Keigo Higashi on 81 minute.
  • 86' Yuji Hoshi has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 105 appearances.
  • 89' The crowd applauds Kei Koizumi as he leaves the pitch. Tsubasa Terayama steps in for FC Tokyo.
  • 0-0 the final result. will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1 Albirex Niigata xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.82 FC Tokyo xG
I would bet for: Albirex Niigata or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 72%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Albirex Niigata41% Draw33% FC Tokyo26%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes37% 0% No63%
Avg goals/match: 1.82
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 81%
19%
± 1.5 55%
45%
± 2.5 28%
72%
± 3.5 12%
88%
± 4.5 4%
96%

Double Chance

Albirex Niigata or Draw
73%
Draw or FC Tokyo
59%
Albirex Niigata or FC Tokyo
67%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Albirex Niigata24% Draw57% FC Tokyo19%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
14.8%
1 – 1
14.2%
0 – 1
11.8%
2 – 0
7.7%
2 – 1
6.5%
1 – 2
5.3%
0 – 2
5.1%
2 – 2
2.8%
3 – 0
2.5%
3 – 1
2.3%
1 – 3
1.5%

Asian Handicap — Albirex Niigata

Handicap Albirex Niigata covers Push FC Tokyo covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 10% 86%
-1.5 14% — 86%
-1 14% 22% 63%
-0.5 37% — 63%
+0.5 73% — 27%
+1 73% 18% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 7% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
45% ✗
FC Tokyo keeps clean sheet
37% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.