Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Shonan Bellmare vs Albirex Niigata, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
Sat 8 Nov 2025 · 06:00 UTC Lemon Gas Stadium Hiratsuka HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Shonan Bellmare vs Albirex Niigata — J. League at Lemon Gas Stadium Hiratsuka.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Nov Albirex Niigata H 5–2 W
26 Oct Avispa Fukuoka A 0–1 L
19 Oct Kyōto Sanga FC H 1–1 D
03 Oct Tōkyō Verdy H 0–1 L
28 Sep Yokohama FC A 0–1 L
23 Sep Kawasaki Frontale H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Nov Shonan Bellmare A 2–5 L
26 Oct Vissel Kobe H 2–2 D
18 Oct Tōkyō Verdy A 0–1 L
04 Oct Fagiano Okayama FC H 1–1 D
27 Sep Gamba Osaka A 2–4 L
23 Sep Nagoya Grampus H 0–0 D

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Shonan Bellmare to score. At the same time, Albirex Niigata does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' A quiet spell here at Lemon Gas Stadium Hiratsuka. Albirex Niigata seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 10' The 32-year-old Fumiya Hayakawa has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 15' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Taiyo Hiraoka suffering a number of foals already.
  • 20' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 25' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 30' The energy levels are beginning to show. Satoshi Yamaguchi might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 35' Magnificent from Akito Suzuki! That is 30 goals in 418 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 38' Taiyo Hiraoka makes no mistake. The score reads 2-0 and Shonan Bellmare are in front.
  • 43' Takuya Shimamura makes way for Matheus Moraes at the 43 minute mark. A tactical switch from Albirex Niigata.
  • 48' Konsuke Onose has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 48.
  • 52' What composure from Konsuke Onose! The Japan international strokes it home. 3-0.
  • 57' A tactical swap from Albirex Niigata — Fumiya Hayakawa on, Jason Geria off on 57 minutes.
  • 62' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 63' The crowd applauds Rio Nitta as he leaves the pitch. Luiz Phellype steps in for Shonan Bellmare.
  • 68' Shonan Bellmare are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 70' Akito Suzuki has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 70 minutes.
  • 72' The deadlock is broken! Kohei Okuno gets on the scoresheet on 72 minutes.
  • 72' Kohei Okuno has so much to prove this time. He replaces Akimi Barada on 72 minute.
  • 75' The referee calls foul for Matheus Moraes. He receives a card.
  • 77' Fresh legs for Albirex Niigata! Motoki Ohara comes on to replace Kaito Taniguchi.
  • 79' Fresh legs for Shonan Bellmare! Tomoya Fujii comes on to replace Shusuke Ota.
  • 84' The home supporters are growing impatient. Shonan Bellmare must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 85' Motoki Hasegawa has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 85 minutes.
  • 90' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Shonan Bellmare and Albirex Niigata are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • With this win, Shonan Bellmare is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.99 Shonan Bellmare xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.39 Albirex Niigata xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 65% + Over 2.5 goals 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Shonan Bellmare51% Draw24% Albirex Niigata25%
Actual: Shonan Bellmare win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes65% 0% No35%
Avg goals/match: 3.38
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 65%
35%
± 3.5 43%
57%
± 4.5 25%
75%

Double Chance

Shonan Bellmare or Draw
75%
Draw or Albirex Niigata
49%
Shonan Bellmare or Albirex Niigata
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Shonan Bellmare37% Draw41% Albirex Niigata22%
Actual: Shonan Bellmare win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–2 not predicted
5 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
10.3%
2 – 1
9%
2 – 0
6.8%
1 – 2
6.3%
2 – 2
6.2%
1 – 0
6.2%
3 – 1
6%
0 – 0
4.9%
3 – 0
4.4%
3 – 2
4.2%
0 – 1
4.1%
0 – 2
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Shonan Bellmare

Handicap Shonan Bellmare covers Push Albirex Niigata covers
-2.5 14% — 86%
-2 14% 15% 70%
-1.5 30% — 70%
-1 30% 21% 50%
-0.5 50% — 50%
+0.5 74% — 26%
+1 74% 14% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Shonan Bellmare keeps clean sheet
26% ✓
Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
15% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.