Saturday , 15 August 2026

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs FC Tokyo, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
Fri 17 Oct 2025 · 10:00 UTC Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs FC TokyoJ. League at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Oct FC Tokyo H 0–0 D
04 Oct FC Machida Zelvia H 2–1 W
27 Sep Avispa Fukuoka A 2–1 W
23 Sep Kashiwa Reysol A 0–0 D
12 Sep Kyoto Sanga FC H 1–1 D
31 Aug Cerezo Osaka FC A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Oct Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 0–0 D
04 Oct Shimizu S-Pulse A 1–1 D
28 Sep Yokohama F.Marinos H 2–3 L
23 Sep Avispa Fukuoka H 1–0 W
20 Sep Kawasaki Frontale A 1–0 W
15 Sep Tokyo Verdy H 1–0 W

Season Stats

Sanfrecce Hiroshima FC Tokyo
#4 Position #12
30 Points 37
18 Played 18
10 / 0 / 8 W / D / L 13 / 0 / 5
41 Scored 55
33 Conceded 42
+8 GD +13
1.67 PPG 2.06
56% Win % 72%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts). FC Tokyo are 12th (37 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima will turn into a battlefield for Sanfrecce Hiroshima and FC Tokyo.
  • 5' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 5 minutes.
  • 10' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sanfrecce Hiroshima needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 15' Keigo Higashi has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 15.
  • 20' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 25' Sanfrecce Hiroshima are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against FC Tokyo's shape.
  • 30' Sanfrecce Hiroshima is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 35' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 40' Naoto Arai has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 45' Alexander Scholz catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 45.
  • 46' Fresh legs for Sanfrecce Hiroshima! Sota Nakamura comes on to replace Naoto Arai.
  • 51' Both keepers have barely been tested. Sanfrecce Hiroshima and FC Tokyo are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 56' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 61' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Rikizo Matsuhashi will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 62' Leon Nozawa gets the nod from FC Tokyo. He replaces Marcos Guilherme and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 67' The referee has no hesitation. Masato Morishige is booked for FC Tokyo — card on 67.
  • 69' It’s gonna be a card for Yuto Nagatomo.
  • 70' Sanfrecce Hiroshima manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Daiki Suga is hanging Mutsuki Kato on the field on 70 minute.
  • 75' Sanfrecce Hiroshima make a change. Shuto Nakano trudges off to be replaced by Naoki Maeda on 75 minutes.
  • 80' Fresh legs for Sanfrecce Hiroshima! Kosuke Kinoshita comes on to replace Hayao Kawabe.
  • 85' Fresh legs for FC Tokyo! Taiyo Yamaguchi comes on to replace Keita Endo.
  • 89' FC Tokyo manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Soma Anzai is hanging Kein Sato on the field on 89 minute.
  • It finishes all square. Sanfrecce Hiroshima and FC Tokyo share the spoils 0-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.97 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.58 FC Tokyo xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 68% + Over 2.5 goals 68%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Sanfrecce Hiroshima48% Draw23% FC Tokyo29%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes68% 0% No32%
Avg goals/match: 3.55
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 68%
32%
± 3.5 47%
53%
± 4.5 29%
71%

Double Chance

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw
72%
Draw or FC Tokyo
52%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or FC Tokyo
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Sanfrecce Hiroshima35% Draw40% FC Tokyo25%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.8%
2 – 1
8.5%
1 – 2
6.8%
2 – 2
6.6%
2 – 0
5.6%
3 – 1
5.5%
1 – 0
5.1%
3 – 2
4.4%
0 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
3.9%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 0
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Handicap Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers Push FC Tokyo covers
-2.5 13% 87%
-2 13% 14% 73%
-1.5 27% 73%
-1 27% 19% 54%
-0.5 46% 54%
+0.5 70% 30%
+1 70% 15% 15%
+1.5 85% 15%
+2 85% 9% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
21%
FC Tokyo keeps clean sheet
15%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.