Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs FC Tokyo, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs FC Tokyo — J. League at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
- FC Tokyo 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct | FC Tokyo | H | 0–0 | D |
| 04 Oct | FC Machida Zelvia | H | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Sep | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 2–1 | W |
| 23 Sep | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 0–0 | D |
| 12 Sep | Kyoto Sanga FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 31 Aug | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 0–0 | D |
| 04 Oct | Shimizu S-Pulse | A | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Sep | Yokohama F.Marinos | H | 2–3 | L |
| 23 Sep | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | Kawasaki Frontale | A | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Sep | Tokyo Verdy | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima | FC Tokyo | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #12 |
| 30 | Points | 37 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 13 / 0 / 5 |
| 41 | Scored | 55 |
| 33 | Conceded | 42 |
| +8 | GD | +13 |
| 1.67 | PPG | 2.06 |
| 56% | Win % | 72% |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
56%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts). FC Tokyo are 12th (37 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima will turn into a battlefield for Sanfrecce Hiroshima and FC Tokyo.
- 5' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 5 minutes.
- 10' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sanfrecce Hiroshima needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 15' Keigo Higashi has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 15.
- 20' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 25' Sanfrecce Hiroshima are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against FC Tokyo's shape.
- 30' Sanfrecce Hiroshima is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 35' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 40' Naoto Arai has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 45' Alexander Scholz catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 45.
- 46' Fresh legs for Sanfrecce Hiroshima! Sota Nakamura comes on to replace Naoto Arai.
- 51' Both keepers have barely been tested. Sanfrecce Hiroshima and FC Tokyo are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 56' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 61' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Rikizo Matsuhashi will be considering his options from the bench.
- 62' Leon Nozawa gets the nod from FC Tokyo. He replaces Marcos Guilherme and will look to change the dynamic.
- 67' The referee has no hesitation. Masato Morishige is booked for FC Tokyo — card on 67.
- 69' It’s gonna be a card for Yuto Nagatomo.
- 70' Sanfrecce Hiroshima manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Daiki Suga is hanging Mutsuki Kato on the field on 70 minute.
- 75' Sanfrecce Hiroshima make a change. Shuto Nakano trudges off to be replaced by Naoki Maeda on 75 minutes.
- 80' Fresh legs for Sanfrecce Hiroshima! Kosuke Kinoshita comes on to replace Hayao Kawabe.
- 85' Fresh legs for FC Tokyo! Taiyo Yamaguchi comes on to replace Keita Endo.
- 89' FC Tokyo manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Soma Anzai is hanging Kein Sato on the field on 89 minute.
- It finishes all square. Sanfrecce Hiroshima and FC Tokyo share the spoils 0-0.
Lineups
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups
Starting XI
-
98
Valere Germain ↓ Tolgay Arslan 46'
- 9
- 19
- 1
-
6
Hayao Kawabe ↓ Kosuke Kinoshita 80'
- 33
- 4
-
13
Naoto Arai ↓ Sota Nakamura 46'
-
15
Shuto Nakano ↓ Naoki Maeda 75'
-
51
Mutsuki Kato ↓ Daiki Suga 70'
- 37
Bench
-
18
Daiki Suga ↑ 70'
- 3
-
41
Naoki Maeda ↑ 75'
-
17
Kosuke Kinoshita ↑ 80'
- 25
-
30
Tolgay Arslan ↑ 46'
- 32
-
39
Sota Nakamura ↑ 46'
- 26
Coach
Michael Skibbe
FC Tokyo Lineups
Starting XI
- 5
- 3
- 2
-
10
Keigo Higashi ↓ Kei Koizumi 62'
-
22
Keita Endo ↓ Taiyo Yamaguchi 85'
- 8
- 24
-
40
Marcos Guilherme ↓ Leon Nozawa 62'
- 14
- 81
-
16
Kein Sato ↓ Soma Anzai 89'
Bench
- 99
-
39
Teruhito Nakagawa ↑ 89'
-
37
Kei Koizumi ↑ 62'
- 13
- 30
- 32
-
7
Soma Anzai ↑ 89'
-
28
Leon Nozawa ↑ 62'
-
88
Taiyo Yamaguchi ↑ 85'
Coach
Rikizo Matsuhashi
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Diego Oliveira | 5 |
| Tsukasa Morishima | 3 |
| Tolgay Arslan | 3 |
| Adailton | 3 |
| Shuto Abe | 2 |
| Hayao Kawabe | 2 |
| Diego Oliveira | 2 |
| Hayato Araki | 2 |
Head to Head
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form
2025-10-17
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–0
FC Tokyo
D
2025-10-04
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–1
FC Machida Zelvia
W
2025-09-27
Avispa Fukuoka
1–2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2025-09-23
Kashiwa Reysol
0–0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
D
2025-09-12
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–1
Kyoto Sanga FC
D
2025-08-31
Cerezo Osaka FC
1–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.97
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.58
FC Tokyo xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 68% + Over 2.5 goals 68%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.55
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 2.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 3.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 4.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
Double Chance
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw
72%
Draw or FC Tokyo
52%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or FC Tokyo
77%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.8%
2 – 1
8.5%
1 – 2
6.8%
2 – 2
6.6%
2 – 0
5.6%
3 – 1
5.5%
1 – 0
5.1%
3 – 2
4.4%
0 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
3.9%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 0
3.6%
Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima
| Handicap | Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers | Push | FC Tokyo covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 14% | 73% |
| -1.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| -1 | 27% | 19% | 54% |
| -0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +0.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +1 | 70% | 15% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 9% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
21%
✗
FC Tokyo keeps clean sheet
15%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

