Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Albirex Niigata vs FC Tokyo, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2024
Sat 27 Apr 2024 · 05:00 UTC Denka Big Swan Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Albirex Niigata vs FC Tokyo — J. League at Denka Big Swan Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Apr FC Tokyo H 1–3 L
20 Apr Kyoto Sanga FC A 1–0 W
13 Apr Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo H 1–1 D
07 Apr Cerezo Osaka FC H 0–1 L
03 Apr Júbilo Iwata A 0–2 L
30 Mar Kashiwa Reysol H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Apr Albirex Niigata A 3–1 W
21 Apr FC Machida Zelvia H 1–2 L
13 Apr Tokyo Verdy A 2–2 D
07 Apr Kashima Antlers H 2–0 W
03 Apr Urawa Red Diamonds H 2–1 W
30 Mar Kawasaki Frontale A 0–3 L

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
71% Clean Sheets
FC Tokyo this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Tokyo
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
4/1
46-60
4/1
61-75
4/–
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Tokyo
Motoki Nagakura 5 G 2 A
Marcelo Ryan 3 G 2 A
Soma Anzai 3 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Albirex Niigata and FC Tokyo get this one started.
  • 5' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 10' Kanta Doi is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Albirex Niigata so far.
  • 15' Diego Oliveira has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 19' Time for substitution for FC Tokyo. Tsubasa Terayama is replaced by Diego Oliveira.
  • 24' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 26' Eiji Miyamoto is having his name booked by the referee on 26.
  • 31' It looks surprising FC Tokyo does not make any changes. Tsubasa Terayama has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 34' Controversy at the stadium! Kazuhiko Chiba argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 39' The deadlock is broken! Teruhito Nakagawa gets on the scoresheet on 39 minutes.
  • 44' Albirex Niigata are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against FC Tokyo's shape.
  • 49' The deadlock is broken! Kosuke Shirai gets on the scoresheet on 49 minutes.
  • 54' Yota Komi needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 59' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 62' Diego Oliveira is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 63' Another change for Albirex Niigata made on 63 minute. Yota Komi leaves to be changed by Hayato Inamura.
  • 64' Yuji Ono is ready to make an impact after coming on for Kaito Taniguchi at the 64 minute mark.
  • 68' The supporters are chanting for Ryunosuke Sato. He replaces Teruhito Nakagawa on 68 minute.
  • 69' Fresh legs for FC Tokyo! Yuto Nagatomo comes on to replace Kota Tawaratsumida.
  • 73' Takumi Hasegawa gets the nod from Albirex Niigata. He replaces Yoshiaki Takagi and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 78' Albirex Niigata are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 81' Kashif Bangunagande makes way for Leon Nozawa at the 81 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Tokyo.
  • 82' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Shusuke Ota on 82 minutes.
  • 87' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 90' Magnificent from Fumiya Hayakawa! That is 2 goals in 110 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • The points are shared — Albirex Niigata 1-3 FC Tokyo. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.19 Albirex Niigata xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.46 FC Tokyo xG
I would bet for: Albirex Niigata or FC Tokyo 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Albirex Niigata30% Draw29% FC Tokyo41%
Actual: FC Tokyo win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.65
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 49%
51%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Albirex Niigata or Draw
59%
Draw or FC Tokyo
70%
Albirex Niigata or FC Tokyo
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Albirex Niigata22% Draw47% FC Tokyo31%
Actual: FC Tokyo win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.2%
0 – 1
9.3%
0 – 0
9.1%
1 – 2
8.6%
1 – 0
7.4%
0 – 2
7.4%
2 – 1
7%
2 – 2
5.2%
2 – 0
4.9%
1 – 3
Actual
0 – 3
3.5%
3 – 1
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Albirex Niigata

Handicap Albirex Niigata covers Push FC Tokyo covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 8% 87%
-1.5 13% — 87%
-1 13% 17% 71%
-0.5 29% — 71%
+0.5 58% — 42%
+1 58% 21% 21%
+1.5 79% — 21%
+2 79% 13% 8%
+2.5 92% — 8%

Clean Sheet

Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
24% ✓
FC Tokyo keeps clean sheet
31% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.