Saturday , 15 August 2026

FC Tokyo vs Albirex Niigata, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2024
Sat 13 Jul 2024 · 10:00 UTC National Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Tokyo vs Albirex NiigataJ. League at National Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Jul Albirex Niigata H 2–0 W
06 Jul Kashiwa Reysol A 2–3 L
30 Jun Avispa Fukuoka H 0–1 L
26 Jun Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo H 1–0 W
22 Jun Shonan Bellmare A 1–0 W
16 Jun Jubilo Iwata H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Jul FC Tokyo A 0–2 L
06 Jul Sagan Tosu FC H 3–4 L
29 Jun Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo A 1–0 W
26 Jun Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 1–1 D
22 Jun Kawasaki Frontale H 2–2 D
16 Jun Kashima Antlers A 1–1 D

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. FC Tōkyō is hosting Albirex Niigata for another epic battle.
  • 5' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 6' A stunning finish from Keita Endo — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 11' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 16' FC Tōkyō currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 21' Over 21 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 24' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Ryo Endo.
  • 29' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 34' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Albirex Niigata needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 36' The referee has no hesitation. Yuto Horigome is booked for Albirex Niigata — card on 36.
  • 41' Motoki Hasegawa is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FC Tōkyō so far.
  • 42' FC Tokyo receives a card for a hard tackle on 42.
  • 47' Albirex Niigata are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 52' It looks like no one’s ball. Albirex Niigata is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 57' Teppei Oka, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 61' The crowd applauds Diego Oliveira as he leaves the pitch. Kuryu Matsuki steps in for FC Tokyo.
  • 66' Both keepers have barely been tested. FC Tōkyō and Albirex Niigata are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 71' Time for substitution for FC Tokyo. Keita Endo is replaced by Leon Nozawa.
  • 76' Eitaro Matsuda is ready to make an impact after coming on for Motoki Hasegawa at the 76 minute mark.
  • 78' Leon Nozawa does the damage! The net is bulging and FC Tokyo surge ahead!
  • 83' The Albirex Niigata bench stirs into life. Yuzuru Shimada is withdrawn and Eiji Miyamoto gets his opportunity.
  • 84' Motoki Nagakura makes way for Yoshiaki Takagi at the 84 minute mark. A tactical switch from Albirex Niigata.
  • 86' FC Tokyo ring the changes. Teruhito Nakagawa has done his job and it is now time for Riki Harakawa to step up.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-0 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.35 FC Tokyo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.8 Albirex Niigata xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 64% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Tokyo52% Draw28% Albirex Niigata20%
Actual: FC Tokyo win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes42% 0% No58%
Avg goals/match: 2.15
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 63%
37%
± 2.5 36%
64%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

FC Tokyo or Draw
80%
Draw or Albirex Niigata
48%
FC Tokyo or Albirex Niigata
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC Tokyo32% Draw52% Albirex Niigata16%
Actual: FC Tokyo win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
14.6%
0 – 0
14%
1 – 1
13.5%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.3%
0 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
4.8%
3 – 0
4.5%
3 – 1
3.8%
0 – 2
3.5%
2 – 2
3.4%
3 – 2
1.6%

Asian Handicap — FC Tokyo

Handicap FC Tokyo covers Push Albirex Niigata covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 15% 77%
-1.5 23% 77%
-1 23% 25% 52%
-0.5 48% 52%
+0.5 79% 21%
+1 79% 14% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

FC Tokyo keeps clean sheet
45%
Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
27%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.