Albirex Niigata vs FC Tokyo, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2025

Albirex Niigata

2 – 3

Full Time

FC Tokyo

Sat 3 May 2025 · 05:00 UTC Denka Big Swan Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Soya Fujiwara 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Albirex Niigata vs FC Tokyo — J. League at Denka Big Swan Stadium.

Albirex Niigata 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
FC Tokyo 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tokyo	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F.Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Albirex Niigata 6 games · Avg 2.7 goals FC Tokyo

Last 5 meetings

2025-05-03 Albirex Niigata 2–3 FC Tokyo 2024-07-13 FC Tokyo 2–0 Albirex Niigata 2024-04-27 Albirex Niigata 1–3 FC Tokyo 2023-11-11 Albirex Niigata 0–0 FC Tokyo 2023-04-29 FC Tokyo 2–1 Albirex Niigata

Recent Form

Albirex Niigata

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 May	FC Tokyo	H	2–3	L
29 Apr	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	A	1–0	W
26 Apr	Kashiwa Reysol	A	1–1	D
19 Apr	Kyoto Sanga FC	H	1–2	L
13 Apr	Yokohama FC	H	0–0	D
06 Apr	Vissel Kobe	A	1–0	W

FC Tokyo

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 May	Albirex Niigata	A	3–2	W
29 Apr	Shimizu S-Pulse	H	0–2	L
25 Apr	Gamba Osaka	H	3–0	W
20 Apr	Cerezo Osaka FC	A	1–1	D
11 Apr	Kashiwa Reysol	H	1–1	D
06 Apr	Fagiano Okayama FC	A	0–1	L

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Denka Big Swan Stadium!
5' It is a cagey affair so far. Albirex Niigata in their trying to find a way past FC Tōkyō's compact .
8' Marcelo Ryan has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 8 minutes.
13' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Albirex Niigata needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
18' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Kei Koizumi made 411 appearances and scored 7 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
23' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
28' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
33' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 33 minutes.
38' Albirex Niigata is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
43' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Albirex Niigata that had 110 games and scored 119 goals.
48' Teruhito Nakagawa has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
52' GOAL! Kei Koizumi scores on 52. Assisted by Kein Sato
57' The energy levels are beginning to show. Daisuke Kimori might look to freshen things up shortly.
58' The Albirex Niigata bench stirs into life. Yota Komi is withdrawn and Danilo gets his opportunity.
59' The FC Tokyo bench stirs into life. Keita Endo is withdrawn and Soma Anzai gets his opportunity.
64' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
66' GOAL! Keisuke Kasai scores on 66.
67' Hiroki Akiyama makes way for Yoshiaki Takagi at the 67 minute mark. A tactical switch from Albirex Niigata.
72' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Albirex Niigata and FC Tōkyō are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
73' Kosuke Shirai has so much to prove this time. He replaces Takahiro Ko on 73 minute.
75' The FC Tokyo manager makes a substitution. Kein Sato departs to be replaced by Teruhito Nakagawa.
80' Jin Okumura needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 2 Yellow cards this season.
82' Marcelo Ryan doubles the advantage! 1-3 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
85' It is a substitution in Albirex Niigata team. Taiki Arai is replaced by Yuji Hoshi on 85 minute.
86' FC Tokyo manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Teppei Oka is hanging Henrique Trevisan on the field on 86 minute.
90' The referee has no hesitation. Soya Fujiwara is booked for Albirex Niigata — card on 90.
With this win, FC Tōkyō is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

Albirex Niigata Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

5
Michael Fitzgerald
19
Yuji Hoshi ↑ 85'
20
Miguel Silveira ↑ 85'
11
Danilo ↑ 58'
42
Kento Hashimoto ↑ 67'
15
Fumiya Hayakawa
33
Yoshiaki Takagi ↑ 67'
46
Keisuke Kasai ↑ 58'
1
Kazuki Fujita

Coach Daisuke Kimori

FC Tokyo Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

99
Kosuke Shirai ↑ 73'
39
Teruhito Nakagawa ↑ 75'
4
Yasuki Kimoto
13
Go Hatano
30
Teppei Oka ↑ 86'
7
Soma Anzai ↑ 59'
28
Leon Nozawa ↑ 86'
53
Maki Kitahara
27
Kyota Tokiwa ↑ 86'

Coach Rikizo Matsuhashi

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Keita Endo	2
Marcelo Ryan	2
Diego Oliveira	2
Teruhito Nakagawa	2
Ryotaro Ito	1
Kosuke Shirai	1
Fumiya Hayakawa	1
Leon Nozawa	1

Head to Head

Albirex Niigata Form

2025-05-03 Albirex Niigata 2–3 FC Tokyo L 2025-04-29 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0–1 Albirex Niigata W 2025-04-26 Kashiwa Reysol 1–1 Albirex Niigata D 2025-04-19 Albirex Niigata 1–2 Kyoto Sanga FC L 2025-04-13 Albirex Niigata 0–0 Yokohama FC D 2025-04-06 Vissel Kobe 0–1 Albirex Niigata W

FC Tokyo Form

2025-05-03 Albirex Niigata 2–3 FC Tokyo W 2025-04-29 FC Tokyo 0–2 Shimizu S-Pulse L 2025-04-25 FC Tokyo 3–0 Gamba Osaka W 2025-04-20 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–1 FC Tokyo D 2025-04-11 FC Tokyo 1–1 Kashiwa Reysol D 2025-04-06 Fagiano Okayama FC 1–0 FC Tokyo L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.24 Albirex Niigata xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.52 FC Tokyo xG

I would bet for: Albirex Niigata or FC Tokyo 72% + Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Albirex Niigata30% Draw28% FC Tokyo42%

Actual: FC Tokyo win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes56% 0% No44%

Avg goals/match: 2.76

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	92%	8%
± 1.5	76%	24%
± 2.5	51%	49%
± 3.5	30%	70%
± 4.5	15%	85%

Double Chance

Albirex Niigata or Draw

59%

Draw or FC Tokyo

70%

Albirex Niigata or FC Tokyo

72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Albirex Niigata23% Draw46% FC Tokyo31%

Actual: FC Tokyo win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–3 not predicted

2 – 3

Actual

1 – 1

12.9%

0 – 1

8.7%

1 – 2

8.7%

0 – 0

8.3%

0 – 2

7.2%

2 – 1

7.1%

1 – 0

6.9%

2 – 2

5.4%

2 – 0

4.8%

1 – 3

4.4%

0 – 3

3.6%

3 – 1

2.9%

Asian Handicap — Albirex Niigata

Handicap	Albirex Niigata covers	Push	FC Tokyo covers
-2.5	4%	—	96%
-2	4%	9%	87%
-1.5	13%	—	87%
-1	13%	17%	70%
-0.5	30%	—	70%
+0.5	58%	—	42%
+1	58%	21%	21%
+1.5	79%	—	21%
+2	79%	13%	9%
+2.5	91%	—	9%

Clean Sheet

Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet

23% ✓

FC Tokyo keeps clean sheet

30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.