FC Tōkyō vs Albirex Niigata, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Tokyo vs Albirex Niigata — J. League at Ajinomoto Stadium.
- FC Tokyo 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
- Albirex Niigata 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec | Albirex Niigata | H | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Nov | Vissel Kobe | A | 0–0 | D |
| 09 Nov | FC Machida Zelvia | A | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Oct | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 17 Oct | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 0–0 | D |
| 04 Oct | Shimizu S-Pulse | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec | FC Tōkyō | A | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Nov | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 1–3 | L |
| 08 Nov | Shonan Bellmare | A | 2–5 | L |
| 26 Oct | Vissel Kobe | H | 2–2 | D |
| 18 Oct | Tokyo Verdy | A | 0–1 | L |
| 04 Oct | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 1–1 | D |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
71%
Clean Sheets
FC Tōkyō this season
FC Tōkyō this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Tōkyō
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
4/1
46-60
4/1
61-75
4/–
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Tōkyō
| Motoki Nagakura | 5 G | 2 A |
| Marcelo Ryan | 3 G | 2 A |
| Soma Anzai | 3 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and FC Tokyo launch into their encounter with Albirex Niigata.
- 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 9' GOAL! Matheus Moraes fires home to make it 0-1!
- 14' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 19' The travelling Albirex Niigata supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 24' Albirex Niigata fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 29' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Fumiya Hayakawa made 110 appearances and scored 2 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 33' The referee shows Albirex Niigata player a card on 33.
- 38' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Rikizo Matsuhashi will be considering his options from the bench.
- 43' It is a cagey affair so far. FC Tokyo in their trying to find a way past Albirex Niigata's compact .
- 47' Assisted by Kei Koizumi with the perfectly-timed delivery and Keita Endo makes no mistake. 1-1!
- 52' FC Tokyo is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 57' Albirex Niigata is showing some good football. However, Albirex Niigata are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 60' Sei Muroya was booked on 60.
- 65' Alexander Scholz, a Denmark , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 70' It’s high time Toru Irie made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 73' Leon Nozawa is replacing Soma Anzai for the FC Tokyo side.
- 78' Masato Morishige has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 83' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 85' The Albirex Niigata bench stirs into life. Michael Fitzgerald is withdrawn and Kazuhiko Chiba gets his opportunity.
- 89' Motoki Nagakura has so much to prove this time. He replaces Kein Sato on 89 minute.
- 90' Albirex Niigata player sees a card in front of him.
- The points are shared — FC Tokyo 1-1 Albirex Niigata. Honours even.
Lineups
FC Tokyo Lineups
Starting XI
- 5
- 3
- 2
- 22
- 8
- 37
- 24
- 13
- 19
- 7
- 16
Bench
- 99
- 39
- 40
- 30
- 31
- 32
- 28
- 26
- 27
Coach
Rikizo Matsuhashi
Albirex Niigata Lineups
Starting XI
- 5
- 25
- 31
- 15
- 65
- 8
- 41
-
46
Keisuke Kasai ↓ Taiki Arai 73'
- 14
- 1
-
55
Matheus Moraes ↓ Jin Okumura 73'
Bench
-
35
Kazuhiko Chiba ↑ 85'
- 42
- 33
- 50
- 4
-
30
Jin Okumura ↑ 73'
- 21
-
22
Taiki Arai ↑ 73'
- 48
Coach
Toru Irie
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Marcelo Ryan | 2 |
| Diego Oliveira | 2 |
| Teruhito Nakagawa | 2 |
| Keita Endo | 2 |
| Danilo | 1 |
| Keisuke Kasai | 1 |
| Matheus Moraes | 1 |
| Ryotaro Ito | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Tokyo Form
Albirex Niigata Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.66
FC Tokyo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.02
Albirex Niigata xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.68
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 2.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
| ± 3.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
FC Tokyo or Draw
79%
Draw or Albirex Niigata
46%
FC Tokyo or Albirex Niigata
75%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
10.5%
2 – 1
9.3%
2 – 0
9.2%
0 – 0
8.8%
0 – 1
6%
1 – 2
5.7%
3 – 1
5.2%
3 – 0
5%
2 – 2
4.8%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
2.7%
Asian Handicap — FC Tokyo
| Handicap | FC Tokyo covers | Push | Albirex Niigata covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 16% | 72% |
| -1.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| -1 | 28% | 23% | 49% |
| -0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +0.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +1 | 78% | 14% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
FC Tokyo keeps clean sheet
37%
✓
Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.