FC Erzgebirge Aue vs 1. FC Nurnberg, 2016

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2. Bundesliga 2016/17 · 2016

FC Erzgebirge Aue

1 – 2

Full Time

1. FC Nurnberg

Mon 12 Dec 2016 · 19:15 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Erzgebirge Aue vs 1. FC Nurnberg — 2. Bundesliga .

FC Erzgebirge Aue 0 games · 0 pts
1. FC Nurnberg 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

FC Erzgebirge Aue 2.10

Draw 3.50

1. FC Nurnberg 3.30

Head-to-Head

FC Erzgebirge Aue 8 games · Avg 2.3 goals 1. FC Nurnberg

Last 5 meetings

2016-12-12 FC Erzgebirge Aue 1–2 1. FC Nurnberg 2016-02-27 FC Erzgebirge Aue 1–2 1. FC Nurnberg 2015-09-23 1. FC Nurnberg 1–3 FC Erzgebirge Aue 2015-02-28 1. FC Nurnberg 1–1 FC Erzgebirge Aue 2014-09-27 FC Erzgebirge Aue 1–0 1. FC Nurnberg

Recent Form

FC Erzgebirge Aue

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
12 Dec	1. FC Nurnberg	H	1–2	L
04 Dec	North Shields FC	A	4–0	W
28 Nov	FC Augsburg	H	3–1	W
20 Nov	FC Viktoria Koln 1904	A	1–1	D
06 Nov	VfL Bochum 1848	H	3–1	W
30 Oct	SC Heerenveen	A	3–1	W

1. FC Nurnberg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
12 Dec	FC Erzgebirge Aue	A	2–1	W
02 Dec	1. FC Lok Stendal	H	3–2	W
25 Nov	Arminia Bielefeld	A	2–2	D
19 Nov	North Shields FC	H	2–0	W
06 Nov	SSV Jeddeloh	A	2–2	D
30 Oct	FC Groningen	H	3–1	W

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)

38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against FC Erzgebirge Aue and 1. FC Nurnberg has kicked off!
Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for 1. FC Nurnberg players.

Lineups

FC Erzgebirge Aue Lineups

1. FC Nurnberg Lineups

H2H

Head to Head

FC Erzgebirge Aue Form

2016-12-12 FC Erzgebirge Aue 1–2 1. FC Nurnberg L 2016-12-04 North Shields FC 0–4 FC Erzgebirge Aue W 2016-11-28 FC Erzgebirge Aue 3–1 FC Augsburg W 2016-11-20 FC Viktoria Koln 1904 1–1 FC Erzgebirge Aue D 2016-11-06 FC Erzgebirge Aue 3–1 VfL Bochum 1848 W 2016-10-30 SC Heerenveen 1–3 FC Erzgebirge Aue W

1. FC Nurnberg Form

2016-12-12 FC Erzgebirge Aue 1–2 1. FC Nurnberg W 2016-12-02 1. FC Nurnberg 3–2 1. FC Lok Stendal W 2016-11-25 Arminia Bielefeld 2–2 1. FC Nurnberg D 2016-11-19 1. FC Nurnberg 2–0 North Shields FC W 2016-11-06 SSV Jeddeloh 2–2 1. FC Nurnberg D 2016-10-30 1. FC Nurnberg 3–1 FC Groningen W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.52 FC Erzgebirge Aue xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.32 1. FC Nurnberg xG

I would bet for: FC Erzgebirge Aue or 1. FC Nurnberg 72% + Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

FC Erzgebirge Aue40% Draw28% 1. FC Nurnberg32%

Actual: 1. FC Nurnberg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes58% 0% No42%

Avg goals/match: 2.84

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	92%	8%
± 1.5	77%	23%
± 2.5	53%	47%
± 3.5	32%	68%
± 4.5	16%	84%

Double Chance

FC Erzgebirge Aue or Draw

68%

Draw or 1. FC Nurnberg

60%

FC Erzgebirge Aue or 1. FC Nurnberg

72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

FC Erzgebirge Aue30% Draw46% 1. FC Nurnberg24%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.7%

2 – 1

8.6%

1 – 0

0 – 0

7.7%

1 – 2

Actual

0 – 1

6.8%

2 – 0

6.6%

2 – 2

5.7%

0 – 2

3 – 1

4.3%

3 – 0

3.3%

1 – 3

3.3%

Asian Handicap — FC Erzgebirge Aue

Handicap	FC Erzgebirge Aue covers	Push	1. FC Nurnberg covers
-2.5	8%	—	92%
-2	8%	12%	79%
-1.5	21%	—	79%
-1	21%	20%	59%
-0.5	41%	—	59%
+0.5	68%	—	32%
+1	68%	17%	14%
+1.5	86%	—	14%
+2	86%	9%	5%
+2.5	95%	—	5%

Clean Sheet

FC Erzgebirge Aue keeps clean sheet

28% ✓

1. FC Nurnberg keeps clean sheet

23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.