FC Erzgebirge Aue vs 1. FC Nurnberg, 2016

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2. Bundesliga 2016/17 · 2016

FC Erzgebirge Aue

1 – 2

Full Time

1. FC Nurnberg

Mon 12 Dec 2016 · 19:15 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Erzgebirge Aue vs 1. FC Nurnberg — 2. Bundesliga .

FC Erzgebirge Aue 0 games · 0 pts
1. FC Nurnberg 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

FC Erzgebirge Aue 2.10

Draw 3.50

1. FC Nurnberg 3.30

Head-to-Head

FC Erzgebirge Aue 8 games · Avg 2.3 goals 1. FC Nurnberg

Last 5 meetings

2016-12-12 FC Erzgebirge Aue 1–2 1. FC Nurnberg 2016-02-27 FC Erzgebirge Aue 1–2 1. FC Nurnberg 2015-09-23 1. FC Nurnberg 1–3 FC Erzgebirge Aue 2015-02-28 1. FC Nurnberg 1–1 FC Erzgebirge Aue 2014-09-27 FC Erzgebirge Aue 1–0 1. FC Nurnberg

Recent Form

FC Erzgebirge Aue

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
12 Dec	1. FC Nurnberg	H	1–2	L
04 Dec	North Shields FC	A	4–0	W
28 Nov	FC Augsburg	H	3–1	W
20 Nov	FC Viktoria Köln 1904	A	1–1	D
06 Nov	VfL Bochum 1848	H	3–1	W
30 Oct	SC Heerenveen	A	3–1	W

1. FC Nurnberg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
12 Dec	FC Erzgebirge Aue	A	2–1	W
02 Dec	1. FC Lok Stendal	H	3–2	W
25 Nov	Arminia Bielefeld	A	2–2	D
19 Nov	North Shields FC	H	2–0	W
06 Nov	SSV Jeddeloh	A	2–2	D
30 Oct	FC Groningen	H	3–1	W

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)

38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' And we are off! FC Erzgebirge Aue vs 1. FC Nurnberg — let the football do the talking.
The final score is 1-2.

Lineups

FC Erzgebirge Aue Lineups

1. FC Nurnberg Lineups

H2H

Head to Head

FC Erzgebirge Aue Form

2016-12-12 FC Erzgebirge Aue 1–2 1. FC Nurnberg L 2016-12-04 North Shields FC 0–4 FC Erzgebirge Aue W 2016-11-28 FC Erzgebirge Aue 3–1 FC Augsburg W 2016-11-20 FC Viktoria Köln 1904 1–1 FC Erzgebirge Aue D 2016-11-06 FC Erzgebirge Aue 3–1 VfL Bochum 1848 W 2016-10-30 SC Heerenveen 1–3 FC Erzgebirge Aue W

1. FC Nurnberg Form

2016-12-12 FC Erzgebirge Aue 1–2 1. FC Nurnberg W 2016-12-02 1. FC Nurnberg 3–2 1. FC Lok Stendal W 2016-11-25 Arminia Bielefeld 2–2 1. FC Nurnberg D 2016-11-19 1. FC Nurnberg 2–0 North Shields FC W 2016-11-06 SSV Jeddeloh 2–2 1. FC Nurnberg D 2016-10-30 1. FC Nurnberg 3–1 FC Groningen W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.52 FC Erzgebirge Aue xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.32 1. FC Nurnberg xG

I would bet for: FC Erzgebirge Aue or 1. FC Nurnberg 72% + Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

FC Erzgebirge Aue40% Draw28% 1. FC Nurnberg32%

Actual: 1. FC Nurnberg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes58% 0% No42%

Avg goals/match: 2.84

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	92%	8%
± 1.5	77%	23%
± 2.5	53%	47%
± 3.5	32%	68%
± 4.5	16%	84%

Double Chance

FC Erzgebirge Aue or Draw

68%

Draw or 1. FC Nurnberg

60%

FC Erzgebirge Aue or 1. FC Nurnberg

72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

FC Erzgebirge Aue30% Draw46% 1. FC Nurnberg24%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.7%

2 – 1

8.6%

1 – 0

0 – 0

7.7%

1 – 2

Actual

0 – 1

6.8%

2 – 0

6.6%

2 – 2

5.7%

0 – 2

3 – 1

4.3%

3 – 0

3.3%

1 – 3

3.3%

Asian Handicap — FC Erzgebirge Aue

Handicap	FC Erzgebirge Aue covers	Push	1. FC Nurnberg covers
-2.5	8%	—	92%
-2	8%	12%	79%
-1.5	21%	—	79%
-1	21%	20%	59%
-0.5	41%	—	59%
+0.5	68%	—	32%
+1	68%	17%	14%
+1.5	86%	—	14%
+2	86%	9%	5%
+2.5	95%	—	5%

Clean Sheet

FC Erzgebirge Aue keeps clean sheet

28% ✓

1. FC Nurnberg keeps clean sheet

23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.