SC Heerenveen vs FC Erzgebirge Aue, 2016

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2. Bundesliga 2016/17 · 2016

SC Heerenveen

1 – 3

Full Time

FC Erzgebirge Aue

Sun 30 Oct 2016 · 12:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SC Heerenveen vs FC Erzgebirge Aue — 2. Bundesliga .

SC Heerenveen 0 games · 0 pts
FC Erzgebirge Aue 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

SC Heerenveen 3.50

Draw 3.40

FC Erzgebirge Aue 2.05

Head-to-Head

SC Heerenveen 2 games · Avg 3.0 goals FC Erzgebirge Aue

Last 5 meetings

2016-10-30 SC Heerenveen 1–3 FC Erzgebirge Aue

Recent Form

SC Heerenveen

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
30 Oct	FC Erzgebirge Aue	H	1–3	L
21 Oct	FC Groningen	A	2–0	W
16 Oct	FC Augsburg	H	0–3	L
01 Oct	Arminia Bielefeld	A	1–1	D
24 Sep	North Shields FC	H	2–0	W
21 Sep	1. FC Nürnberg	A	0–1	L

FC Erzgebirge Aue

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
30 Oct	SC Heerenveen	A	3–1	W
25 Oct	VfB Stuttgart	A	0–2	L
21 Oct	Vitória SC	H	2–1	W
15 Oct	FC Rot-Weiss Koblenz	A	0–5	L
03 Oct	SC Weiche Flensburg 08	H	4–0	W
23 Sep	Hannover 96	A	1–1	D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' And we are off! SC Heerenveen vs FC Erzgebirge Aue — let the football do the talking.
The points are shared — SC Heerenveen 1-3 FC Erzgebirge Aue. Honours even.

Lineups

SC Heerenveen Lineups

FC Erzgebirge Aue Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.34 SC Heerenveen xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.68 FC Erzgebirge Aue xG

I would bet for: SC Heerenveen or FC Erzgebirge Aue 73% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct

SC Heerenveen31% Draw27% FC Erzgebirge Aue42%

Actual: FC Erzgebirge Aue win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes60% 0% No40%

Avg goals/match: 3.02

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	80%	20%
± 2.5	57%	43%
± 3.5	36%	64%
± 4.5	19%	81%

Double Chance

SC Heerenveen or Draw

58%

Draw or FC Erzgebirge Aue

69%

SC Heerenveen or FC Erzgebirge Aue

73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

SC Heerenveen23% Draw44% FC Erzgebirge Aue33%

Actual: FC Erzgebirge Aue win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

11.9%

1 – 2

8.9%

0 – 1

7.4%

2 – 1

7.1%

0 – 2

6.8%

0 – 0

6.6%

2 – 2

5.9%

1 – 0

5.7%

1 – 3

Actual

2 – 0

4.3%

0 – 3

3.7%

2 – 3

3.4%

Asian Handicap — SC Heerenveen

Handicap	SC Heerenveen covers	Push	FC Erzgebirge Aue covers
-2.5	5%	—	95%
-2	5%	9%	87%
-1.5	13%	—	87%
-1	13%	16%	71%
-0.5	29%	—	71%
+0.5	56%	—	44%
+1	56%	20%	24%
+1.5	76%	—	24%
+2	76%	14%	10%
+2.5	90%	—	10%

Clean Sheet

SC Heerenveen keeps clean sheet

19% ✓

FC Erzgebirge Aue keeps clean sheet

27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.