Thursday , 2 July 2026

Valenciennes FC vs SM Caen, Ligue 2 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2023-24
Sat 28 Oct 2023 · 17:00 UTC Stade du Hainaut HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Valenciennes FC vs SM CaenLigue 2 at Stade du Hainaut.

Match Details

  • Referee Karim Abed

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Oct SM Caen H 2–2 D
21 Oct Grenoble Foot 38 A 3–3 D
07 Oct ES Troyes AC H 1–1 D
30 Sep Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC A 0–1 L
26 Sep US Concarneau H 0–1 L
23 Sep Amiens SC A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Oct Valenciennes FC A 2–2 D
21 Oct AJ Auxerre H 1–1 D
07 Oct Rodez Aveyron Football A 3–5 L
03 Oct FC Girondins de Bordeaux A 1–1 D
30 Sep En Avant Guingamp H 0–1 L
26 Sep Grenoble Foot 38 H 1–2 L

Key Stats

47% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
29% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Stade du Hainaut will turn into a battlefield for Valenciennes FC and SM Caen.
  • 5' SM Caen seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 8' What a strike from Makabi Lilepo! The score is 1-0.
  • 13' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 18' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering SM Caen that had 399 games and scored 298 goals.
  • 23' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 28' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 29' What a strike from Ilyes Hamache! The score is 2-0.
  • 34' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 39' Supporters expect more eagerness from Mohamed Hafid, as he is very good at scoring at Stade du Hainaut with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 44' SM Caen is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 46' It is a substitution in SM Caen team. Godson Kyeremeh is replaced by Caleb Zady Sery on 46 minute.
  • 51' Caleb Zady Sery has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 53' It’s a booking for SM Caen player. Quentin Daubin gets a card.
  • 58' It looks surprising Valenciennes FC does not make any changes. Godson Kyeremeh has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 61' It’s a booking for SM Caen player. Emmanuel Ntim gets a card.
  • 62' The supporters are chanting for Mohamed Hafid. He replaces Quentin Daubin on 62 minute.
  • 67' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 72' It looks like no one’s ball. Valenciennes FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 74' Another change for Valenciennes FC made on 74 minute. Nick Venema leaves to be changed by Andrew Jung.
  • 79' Another substitution for Valenciennes FC to replace Ilyes Hamache by Ibrahima Diallo on 79 minute.
  • 82' SM Caen manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Noe Lebreton is hanging Yoann Court on the field on 82 minute.
  • 87' GOAL! Mickael Le Bihan scores on 87. Assisted by Alexandre Coeff
  • 90' The Valenciennes FC manager makes a substitution. Bruno Costa departs to be replaced by Taylor Moore.
  • The final score is 2-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.55 Valenciennes FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.36 SM Caen xG
I would bet for: Valenciennes FC or SM Caen 73% + Both teams to score 59%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Valenciennes FC42% Draw27% SM Caen31%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 2.91
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

Valenciennes FC or Draw
69%
Draw or SM Caen
58%
Valenciennes FC or SM Caen
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Valenciennes FC30% Draw45% SM Caen25%
Actual: Valenciennes FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.4%
2 – 1
8.5%
1 – 2
7.5%
1 – 0
7.5%
0 – 0
7.3%
0 – 1
6.5%
2 – 0
6.4%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
5%
3 – 1
4.4%
1 – 3
3.4%
3 – 0
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Valenciennes FC

Handicap Valenciennes FC covers Push SM Caen covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 12% 79%
-1.5 21% 79%
-1 21% 20% 60%
-0.5 40% 60%
+0.5 68% 32%
+1 68% 17% 15%
+1.5 85% 15%
+2 85% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Valenciennes FC keeps clean sheet
26%
SM Caen keeps clean sheet
22%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.