Saturday , 14 November 2026

Valenciennes FC vs SM Caen, Ligue 2 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2023-24
Sat 28 Oct 2023 · 17:00 UTC Stade du Hainaut HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Valenciennes FC vs SM Caen — Ligue 2 at Stade du Hainaut.

Match Details

  • Referee Karim Abed
6 games this season 🟨 3.7/game ⚽ 11.2 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Oct SM Caen H 2–2 D
21 Oct Grenoble Foot 38 A 3–3 D
07 Oct ES Troyes AC H 1–1 D
30 Sep Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC A 0–1 L
26 Sep US Concarneau H 0–1 L
23 Sep Amiens SC A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Oct Valenciennes FC A 2–2 D
21 Oct AJ Auxerre H 1–1 D
07 Oct Rodez Aveyron Football A 3–5 L
03 Oct FC Girondins de Bordeaux A 1–1 D
30 Sep En Avant Guingamp H 0–1 L
26 Sep Grenoble Foot 38 H 1–2 L

Key Stats

47% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
29% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Valenciennes FC host SM Caen — let the battle begin!
  • 5' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 8' The DR Congo Makabi Lilepo breaks the deadlock on 8 minutes. 1-0!
  • 13' Nick Venema, a Netherlands , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 18' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 23' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 23 minutes.
  • 28' The home supporters are growing impatient. Valenciennes FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 29' Magnificent from Ilyes Hamache! That is 7 goals in 367 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 34' Brahim Traore has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 39' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 44' A quiet spell here at Stade du Hainaut. Valenciennes FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 46' Caleb Zady Sery is replacing Godson Kyeremeh for the SM Caen side.
  • 51' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 53' That is a card for SM Caen. Quentin Daubin will be fuming at that decision.
  • 58' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 61' It’s gonna be a card for Emmanuel Ntim.
  • 62' The whistle greets Quentin Daubin as he departs to be replaced by Mohamed Hafid.
  • 67' The 21-year-old Mohamed Hafid has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 72' SM Caen have won 298 goals from 399 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 74' The crowd applauds Nick Venema as he leaves the pitch. Andrew Jung steps in for Valenciennes FC.
  • 79' Ibrahima Diallo is ready to make an impact after coming on for Ilyes Hamache at the 79 minute mark.
  • 82' A change in the SM Caen ranks — Yoann Court exits the field as Noe Lebreton enters on 82.
  • 87' Mickael Le Bihan does the damage! The net is bulging and SM Caen surge ahead!
  • 90' Bruno Costa makes way for Taylor Moore at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from Valenciennes FC.
  • The points are shared — Valenciennes FC 2-2 SM Caen. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.55 Valenciennes FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.36 SM Caen xG
I would bet for: Valenciennes FC or SM Caen 73% + Both teams to score 59%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Valenciennes FC42% Draw27% SM Caen31%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 2.91
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

Valenciennes FC or Draw
69%
Draw or SM Caen
58%
Valenciennes FC or SM Caen
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Valenciennes FC30% Draw45% SM Caen25%
Actual: Valenciennes FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.4%
2 – 1
8.5%
1 – 2
7.5%
1 – 0
7.5%
0 – 0
7.3%
0 – 1
6.5%
2 – 0
6.4%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
5%
3 – 1
4.4%
1 – 3
3.4%
3 – 0
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Valenciennes FC

Handicap Valenciennes FC covers Push SM Caen covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 12% 79%
-1.5 21% — 79%
-1 21% 20% 60%
-0.5 40% — 60%
+0.5 68% — 32%
+1 68% 17% 15%
+1.5 85% — 15%
+2 85% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Valenciennes FC keeps clean sheet
26% ✓
SM Caen keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.