Saturday , 14 November 2026

SM Caen vs En Avant Guingamp, Ligue 2 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2023-24
Sat 30 Sep 2023 · 17:00 UTC Michel-d'Ornano HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SM Caen vs En Avant Guingamp — Ligue 2 at Michel-d'Ornano.

Match Details

  • Referee Guillaume Paradis
6 games this season 🟨 4.3/game ⚽ 15.8 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Sep En Avant Guingamp H 0–1 L
26 Sep Grenoble Foot 38 H 1–2 L
16 Sep AS Saint-Étienne H 1–2 L
02 Sep Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC A 1–2 L
26 Aug AC Ajaccio H 3–0 W
19 Aug US Concarneau A 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Sep SM Caen A 1–0 W
26 Sep FC Girondins de Bordeaux H 0–0 D
23 Sep Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC A 1–2 L
18 Sep AC Ajaccio H 3–0 W
02 Sep Amiens SC A 1–4 L
26 Aug Pau FC H 4–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
42% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
En Avant Guingamp this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

En Avant Guingamp
0-15
3/3
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/2
46-60
2/5
61-75
4/3
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

En Avant Guingamp
Brandon Bokangu 4 G
Samir Ben Brahim 3 G 1 A
Stanislas Kielt 3 G
Donatien Gomis 2 G 2 A
Albin Demouchy 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Michel-d'Ornano will turn into a battlefield for SM Caen and En Avant Guingamp.
  • 5' Donatien Gomis is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for SM Caen so far.
  • 10' Hugo Picard, a France , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 15' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 20' Algeria international Anthony Mandrea has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 25' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 25 minutes.
  • 30' It looks surprising SM Caen does not make any changes. Emmanuel Ntim has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 35' Gaetan Courtet has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 34 cards already picked up this season.
  • 40' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 45' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 46' Abdallah Ndour makes way for Vincent Manceau at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from En Avant Guingamp.
  • 51' En Avant Guingamp is showing some good football. However, En Avant Guingamp are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 56' Supporters expect more eagerness from Maxime Sivis, as he is very good at scoring at Michel-d'Ornano with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 61' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Kalidou Sidibe made 430 appearances and scored 9 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 66' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Romain Thomas suffering a number of foals already.
  • 71' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 73' The SM Caen manager makes a substitution. Hianga Mananga Mbock departs to be replaced by Godson Kyeremeh.
  • 74' Time for substitution for En Avant Guingamp. Hugo Picard is replaced by Abdallah Ndour.
  • 77' Brilliant from the forward! Amadou Sagna makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 77.
  • 79' Controversy at the stadium! Donatien Gomis argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 79' Mickael Le Bihan has so much to prove this time. He replaces Yoann Court on 79 minute.
  • 84' En Avant Guingamp fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 85' It is a substitution in En Avant Guingamp team. Amine El Ouazzani is replaced by Jacques Siwe on 85 minute.
  • 90' A moment of madness from Kalidou Sidibe on 90 minutes earns him a card. En Avant Guingamp will be frustrated.
  • 90' Baptiste Roux is replacing Mehdi Merghem for the En Avant Guingamp side.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 0-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.43 SM Caen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.18 En Avant Guingamp xG
I would bet for: SM Caen or En Avant Guingamp 71%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
SM Caen40% Draw29% En Avant Guingamp31%
Actual: En Avant Guingamp win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.61
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

SM Caen or Draw
69%
Draw or En Avant Guingamp
60%
SM Caen or En Avant Guingamp
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SM Caen30% Draw48% En Avant Guingamp22%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.3%
1 – 0
9.5%
0 – 0
9.4%
2 – 1
8.5%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
7.3%
1 – 2
7%
2 – 2
5.1%
0 – 2
5%
3 – 1
4.1%
3 – 0
3.4%
1 – 3
2.8%

Asian Handicap — SM Caen

Handicap SM Caen covers Push En Avant Guingamp covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 13% 80%
-1.5 20% — 80%
-1 20% 21% 59%
-0.5 41% — 59%
+0.5 70% — 30%
+1 70% 17% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

SM Caen keeps clean sheet
31% ✓
En Avant Guingamp keeps clean sheet
25% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.