EC Vitoria vs CR Flamengo, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Vitoria vs CR Flamengo — Serie A at Barradao.
- EC Vitoria 28 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
- CR Flamengo 28 games · 60 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr | CR Flamengo | H | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Mar | EC Juventude | A | 0–2 | L |
| 08 Dec | CR Flamengo | A | 2–2 | D |
| 04 Dec | Gremio FBPA | H | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Dec | Fortaleza EC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 23 Nov | Botafogo FR | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr | EC Vitoria | A | 2–1 | W |
| 30 Mar | SC Internacional | H | 1–1 | D |
| 08 Dec | EC Vitoria | H | 2–2 | D |
| 04 Dec | Criciúma EC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 01 Dec | SC Internacional | H | 3–2 | W |
| 26 Nov | Fortaleza EC | A | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| EC Vitoria | CR Flamengo | |
|---|---|---|
| #13 | Position | #1 |
| 33 | Points | 60 |
| 28 | Played | 28 |
| 9 / 6 / 13 | W / D / L | 18 / 6 / 4 |
| 28 | Scored | 55 |
| 42 | Conceded | 23 |
| -14 | GD | +32 |
| 1.18 | PPG | 2.14 |
| 32% | Win % | 64% |
Key Stats
64%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
H2H (11 games)
73%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
39%
Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season
EC Vitoria this season
43%
Clean Sheets
CR Flamengo this season
CR Flamengo this season
EC Vitoria are 13th (33 pts). CR Flamengo are 1st (60 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Vitoria
0-15
3/1
16-30
4/1
31-45
2/9
46-60
1/2
61-75
5/5
76+
4/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CR Flamengo
0-15
7/1
16-30
4/2
31-45
3/2
46-60
7/4
61-75
6/1
76+
9/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Vitoria
| Carlos Rene | 8 G | 1 A |
| Matheuzinho | 4 G | 2 A |
| Renato Kayzer | 4 G | 1 A |
| Gabriel Baralhas | 2 G | 3 A |
CR Flamengo
| Pedro | 16 G | 6 A |
| Samuel Lino | 9 G | 7 A |
| Jorge Carrascal | 5 G | 7 A |
| Lucas Paqueta | 5 G | |
| Giorgian De Arrascaeta | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' EC Vitoria have kicked off against CR Flamengo. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 10' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 15' Giorgian De Arrascaeta has been relatively quiet despite scoring 67 goals in his last 257 appearances.
- 20' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with CR Flamengo winning 100% of all matches.
- 25' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 30' EC Vitoria are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined CR Flamengo backline.
- 35' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 40' The 32-year-old Ricardo Ryller has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 45' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 50' The travelling CR Flamengo supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 55' CR Flamengo come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 59' The CR Flamengo manager makes a substitution. Nicolas de la Cruz departs to be replaced by Gonzalo Plata.
- 62' Brilliant from the ! Giorgian De Arrascaeta makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 62.
- 67' EC Vitoria is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 68' CR Flamengo make a change. Juninho trudges off to be replaced by Michael on 68 minutes.
- 73' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Bruno Henrique made 290 appearances and scored 71 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 74' EC Vitoria ring the changes. Willian Oliveira has done his job and it is now time for Wellington Rato to step up.
- 77' Wellington Rato doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 82' With 2 assists to his name this season, Gerson is clearly more than just a goal scorer for EC Vitoria.
- 85' The EC Vitoria bench stirs into life. Erick is withdrawn and Osvaldo gets his opportunity.
- 87' What composure from Bruno Henrique! The Brazil international strokes it home. 1-2.
- 89' Evertton has so much to prove this time. He replaces Gerson on 89 minute.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-2 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
EC Vitoria Lineups
Starting XI
- 33
- 28
- 83
- 5
- 3
- 29
- 44
- 1
- 39
- 30
- 2
Bench
- 77
- 23
- 6
- 27
- 43
- 11
- 38
- 7
- 35
- 8
- 10
- 96
Coach
Thiago Carpini
CR Flamengo Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
-
11
Everton ↓ Bruno Henrique 59'
- 3
- 4
- 26
- 5
- 8
- 1
- 23
- 18
- 43
Bench
- 6
-
7
Luiz Araujo ↑ 68'
- 29
- 2
-
27
Bruno Henrique ↑ 59'
-
50
Gonzalo Plata ↑ 59'
-
30
Michael ↑ 68'
- 33
- 25
- 20
-
52
Evertton ↑ 89'
- 61
Coach
Filipe Luis
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Giorgian De Arrascaeta | 3 |
| Bruno Henrique | 3 |
| Pedro | 3 |
| Samuel Lino | 2 |
| Everaldo | 1 |
| Luiz Araujo | 1 |
| Diego | 1 |
| Diego | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Vitoria Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.87
EC Vitoria xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.91
CR Flamengo xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: CR Flamengo win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.78
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 2.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 3.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
EC Vitoria or Draw
45%
Draw or CR Flamengo
80%
EC Vitoria or CR Flamengo
75%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 1
11.2%
1 – 1
11.1%
0 – 2
11.1%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 0
8%
0 – 3
6.9%
1 – 3
6.1%
1 – 0
4.6%
2 – 1
4.3%
2 – 2
4.2%
0 – 4
3.3%
1 – 4
3%
Asian Handicap — EC Vitoria
| Handicap | EC Vitoria covers | Push | CR Flamengo covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 1% | — | 99% |
| -2 | 1% | 4% | 95% |
| -1.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -1 | 5% | 10% | 85% |
| -0.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| +0.5 | 40% | — | 60% |
| +1 | 40% | 24% | 36% |
| +1.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +2 | 64% | 19% | 18% |
| +2.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
Clean Sheet
EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
CR Flamengo keeps clean sheet
42%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.