Fluminense FC vs EC Vitoria, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Fluminense FC vs EC Vitoria — Serie A at Maracana.
- Fluminense FC 23 games · 38 pts (2026/26)
- EC Vitoria 22 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 23 | 48 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 21 | 42 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 23 | 41 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 23 | 38 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 22 | 33 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 22 | 33 |
| 7 | RB Bragantino | 22 | 32 |
| 8 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 22 | 32 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 23 | 31 |
| 10 | Botafogo FR | 21 | 30 |
| 11 | CA Mineiro | 21 | 29 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo FC | 22 | 27 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 22 | 26 |
| 14 | Gremio FBPA | 21 | 25 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 22 | 23 |
| 16 | Mirassol FC | 21 | 23 |
| 17 | Santos FC | 21 | 22 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 21 | 22 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 22 | 22 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 21 | 10 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr | EC Vitoria | H | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Apr | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 2–0 | W |
| 13 Apr | Santos FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 06 Apr | RB Bragantino | H | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Mar | Fortaleza EC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 08 Dec | SE Palmeiras | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr | Fluminense FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Apr | Fortaleza EC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Apr | CA Mineiro | A | 2–2 | D |
| 06 Apr | CR Flamengo | H | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Mar | EC Juventude | A | 0–2 | L |
| 08 Dec | CR Flamengo | A | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| Fluminense FC | EC Vitoria | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #13 |
| 38 | Points | 26 |
| 23 | Played | 22 |
| 10 / 8 / 5 | W / D / L | 7 / 5 / 10 |
| 34 | Scored | 22 |
| 28 | Conceded | 33 |
| +6 | GD | -11 |
| 1.65 | PPG | 1.18 |
| 43% | Win % | 32% |
Key Stats
70%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
Fluminense FC this season
41%
Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season
EC Vitoria this season
Fluminense FC are 4th (38 pts). EC Vitoria are 13th (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Fluminense FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
3/1
31-45
4/3
46-60
3/3
61-75
1/3
76+
9/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Vitoria
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/–
31-45
1/9
46-60
1/1
61-75
4/1
76+
3/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Fluminense FC
| John Kennedy | 9 G | 1 A |
| Agustin Canobbio | 4 G | 2 A |
| Luciano Acosta | 3 G | 4 A |
| Jefferson Savarino | 3 G | 2 A |
| Rodrigo Castillo | 3 G | 1 A |
EC Vitoria
| Carlos Rene | 5 G | 1 A |
| Renato Kayzer | 4 G | 1 A |
| Gabriel Baralhas | 2 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Fluminense FC is hosting EC Vitoria for another epic battle.
- 5' It is a cagey affair so far. Fluminense FC in their trying to find a way past EC Vitoria's compact .
- 10' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. EC Vitoria needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 15' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 20' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Fluminense FC that had 389 games and scored 417 goals.
- 25' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 30' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Fluminense FC and EC Vitoria are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 35' Erick has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
- 39' German Cano has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 39 minutes.
- 44' Fluminense FC is showing some good football. However, Fluminense FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 46' A tactical swap from EC Vitoria — Ronald on, Ricardo Ryller off on 46 minutes.
- 51' EC Vitoria looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Renato Kayzer scoring 1 goals.
- 56' The energy levels are beginning to show. Thiago Carpini might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 61' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 62' A change in the EC Vitoria ranks — Gustavo Mosquito exits the field as Fabricio enters on 62.
- 63' The Fluminense FC bench stirs into life. Agustin Canobbio is withdrawn and Kevin Serna gets his opportunity.
- 68' Fluminense FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 68.
- 71' EC Vitoria ring the changes. Erick has done his job and it is now time for Osvaldo to step up.
- 76' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 78' Fluminense FC make a change. Hercules trudges off to be replaced by Facundo Bernal on 78 minutes.
- 80' The referee shows EC Vitoria player a card on 80.
- 83' Lucas Braga is replacing Janderson Costa for the EC Vitoria side.
- 85' A tactical swap from Fluminense FC — Everaldo on, German Cano off on 85 minutes.
- 90' Goal! Lucas Braga scores his 9 goal in 286 matches.
- Game over. The scoreline of 1-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
Fluminense FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 6
- 2
- 10
- 4
- 22
-
14
German Cano ↓ Everaldo 85'
- 21
-
35
Hercules ↓ Facundo Bernal 78'
-
8
Martinelli ↓ Thiago Santos 85'
-
17
Agustin Canobbio ↓ Kevin Serna 63'
Bench
- 26
- 98
-
29
Thiago Santos ↑ 85'
-
16
Nonato ↑ 78'
- 11
-
9
Everaldo ↑ 85'
- 77
- 18
-
90
Kevin Serna ↑ 63'
-
5
Facundo Bernal ↑ 78'
- 19
- 66
Coach
Renato Gaucho
EC Vitoria Lineups
Starting XI
- 33
-
28
Ricardo Ryller ↓ Ronald 46'
- 83
- 5
- 3
-
7
Gustavo Mosquito ↓ Fabricio 62'
- 44
- 1
-
39
Janderson Costa ↓ Lucas Braga 83'
- 30
- 2
Bench
- 17
- 77
-
23
Fabricio ↑ 62'
- 27
- 43
-
11
Osvaldo ↑ 71'
- 38
- 35
-
8
Ronald ↑ 46'
-
22
Lucas Braga ↑ 83'
- 16
- 96
Coach
Thiago Carpini
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Alerrandro | 1 |
| Neris | 1 |
| Renato Kayzer | 1 |
| Carlos Rene | 1 |
| Neilton | 1 |
| John Kennedy | 1 |
| Gilberto | 1 |
| Kevin Serna | 1 |
Head to Head
Fluminense FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.62
Fluminense FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.96
EC Vitoria xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.58
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 2.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 3.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
Fluminense FC or Draw
77%
Draw or EC Vitoria
50%
Fluminense FC or EC Vitoria
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Fluminense FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
11.3%
2 – 0
9.7%
0 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
9.2%
0 – 1
6.3%
1 – 2
5.4%
3 – 0
5.1%
3 – 1
5%
2 – 2
4.5%
0 – 2
3.4%
3 – 2
2.5%
Asian Handicap — Fluminense FC
| Handicap | Fluminense FC covers | Push | EC Vitoria covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 16% | 72% |
| -1.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| -1 | 28% | 23% | 49% |
| -0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +0.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +1 | 79% | 13% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
39%
✓
EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

