Thursday , 2 July 2026

Fluminense FC vs EC Vitoria, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Sun 20 Apr 2025 · 21:30 UTC Maracana HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 80' Claudinho

Overview

Match Preview

Fluminense FC vs EC VitoriaSerie A at Maracana.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Apr EC Vitoria H 1–1 D
16 Apr SC Corinthians Paulista A 2–0 W
13 Apr Santos FC H 1–0 W
06 Apr RB Bragantino H 2–1 W
29 Mar Fortaleza EC A 0–2 L
08 Dec SE Palmeiras A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Apr Fluminense FC A 1–1 D
17 Apr Fortaleza EC H 2–1 W
13 Apr CA Mineiro A 2–2 D
06 Apr CR Flamengo H 1–2 L
29 Mar EC Juventude A 0–2 L
08 Dec CR Flamengo A 2–2 D

Season Stats

Fluminense FC EC Vitoria
#3 Position #13
31 Points 22
18 Played 17
9 / 4 / 5 W / D / L 6 / 4 / 7
28 Scored 21
23 Conceded 25
+5 GD -4
1.72 PPG 1.29
50% Win % 35%

Key Stats

70% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
41% Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season

Fluminense FC are 3rd (31 pts). EC Vitoria are 13th (22 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Fluminense FC
0-15
/2
16-30
3/
31-45
3/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
/3
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Vitoria
0-15
1/
16-30
3/
31-45
1/7
46-60
1/
61-75
3/
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Fluminense FC
John Kennedy 9 G 1 A
Agustin Canobbio 4 G 1 A
Luciano Acosta 3 G 4 A
Jefferson Savarino 3 G 2 A
Rodrigo Castillo 3 G 1 A
EC Vitoria
Carlos Rene 5 G 1 A
Renato Kayzer 3 G 1 A
Gabriel Baralhas 2 G 3 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Fluminense FC and EC Vitoria has kicked off!
  • 5' Fluminense FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 10' Both keepers have barely been tested. Fluminense FC and EC Vitoria are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 15' Osvaldo, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 20' Fluminense FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 25' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 30' The 27-year-old Lucas Arcanjo has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 35' Fluminense FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against EC Vitoria's shape.
  • 39' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. German Cano makes it 1-0.
  • 44' Lucas Halter has been relatively quiet despite scoring 10 goals in his last 373 appearances.
  • 46' The whistle greets Ricardo Ryller as he departs to be replaced by Ronald.
  • 51' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 56' Fluminense FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 61' Lucas Braga is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Fluminense FC so far.
  • 62' Fabricio has so much to prove this time. He replaces Gustavo Mosquito on 62 minute.
  • 63' Fresh legs for Fluminense FC! Kevin Serna comes on to replace Agustin Canobbio.
  • 68' Fluminense FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined EC Vitoria backline.
  • 71' The whistle greets Erick as he departs to be replaced by Osvaldo.
  • 76' EC Vitoria is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 78' Facundo Bernal has so much to prove this time. He replaces Hercules on 78 minute.
  • 80' EC Vitoria receives a card for a hard tackle on 80.
  • 83' The EC Vitoria bench stirs into life. Janderson Costa is withdrawn and Lucas Braga gets his opportunity.
  • 85' Another change for Fluminense FC made on 85 minute. German Cano leaves to be changed by Everaldo.
  • 90' Magnificent from Lucas Braga! That is 9 goals in 284 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • will have plenty to reflect on. were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.62 Fluminense FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.08 EC Vitoria xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Fluminense FC48% Draw27% EC Vitoria25%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.7
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Fluminense FC or Draw
75%
Draw or EC Vitoria
52%
Fluminense FC or EC Vitoria
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Fluminense FC34% Draw46% EC Vitoria20%
Actual: Fluminense FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
10%
2 – 1
9.2%
0 – 0
8.7%
2 – 0
8.6%
0 – 1
6.3%
1 – 2
6.1%
2 – 2
5%
3 – 1
5%
3 – 0
4.6%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Fluminense FC

Handicap Fluminense FC covers Push EC Vitoria covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 15% 74%
-1.5 26% 74%
-1 26% 22% 52%
-0.5 48% 52%
+0.5 76% 24%
+1 76% 15% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
35%
EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
21%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.