Fluminense FC vs EC Vitoria, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Fluminense FC vs EC Vitoria — Serie A at Maracana.
- Fluminense FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
- EC Vitoria 17 games · 22 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 18 | 41 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense FC | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | CA Paranaense | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | RB Bragantino | 18 | 29 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 17 | 26 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 18 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo FC | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | CA Mineiro | 18 | 24 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 18 | 24 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro EC | 18 | 24 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 17 | 22 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 17 | 22 |
| 14 | SC Internacional | 18 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos FC | 18 | 21 |
| 16 | Grêmio FBPA | 18 | 21 |
| 17 | CR Vasco da Gama | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Clube do Remo | 18 | 18 |
| 19 | Mirassol FC | 17 | 16 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 17 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr | EC Vitoria | H | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Apr | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 2–0 | W |
| 13 Apr | Santos FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 06 Apr | RB Bragantino | H | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Mar | Fortaleza EC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 08 Dec | SE Palmeiras | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr | Fluminense FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Apr | Fortaleza EC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Apr | CA Mineiro | A | 2–2 | D |
| 06 Apr | CR Flamengo | H | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Mar | EC Juventude | A | 0–2 | L |
| 08 Dec | CR Flamengo | A | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| Fluminense FC | EC Vitoria | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #13 |
| 31 | Points | 22 |
| 18 | Played | 17 |
| 9 / 4 / 5 | W / D / L | 6 / 4 / 7 |
| 28 | Scored | 21 |
| 23 | Conceded | 25 |
| +5 | GD | -4 |
| 1.72 | PPG | 1.29 |
| 50% | Win % | 35% |
Key Stats
70%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
Fluminense FC this season
41%
Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season
EC Vitoria this season
Fluminense FC are 3rd (31 pts). EC Vitoria are 13th (22 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Fluminense FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/–
31-45
3/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
–/3
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Vitoria
0-15
1/–
16-30
3/–
31-45
1/7
46-60
1/–
61-75
3/–
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Fluminense FC
| John Kennedy | 9 G | 1 A |
| Agustin Canobbio | 4 G | 1 A |
| Luciano Acosta | 3 G | 4 A |
| Jefferson Savarino | 3 G | 2 A |
| Rodrigo Castillo | 3 G | 1 A |
EC Vitoria
| Carlos Rene | 5 G | 1 A |
| Renato Kayzer | 3 G | 1 A |
| Gabriel Baralhas | 2 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Fluminense FC and EC Vitoria has kicked off!
- 5' Fluminense FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 10' Both keepers have barely been tested. Fluminense FC and EC Vitoria are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 15' Osvaldo, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 20' Fluminense FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 25' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 30' The 27-year-old Lucas Arcanjo has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 35' Fluminense FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against EC Vitoria's shape.
- 39' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. German Cano makes it 1-0.
- 44' Lucas Halter has been relatively quiet despite scoring 10 goals in his last 373 appearances.
- 46' The whistle greets Ricardo Ryller as he departs to be replaced by Ronald.
- 51' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 56' Fluminense FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 61' Lucas Braga is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Fluminense FC so far.
- 62' Fabricio has so much to prove this time. He replaces Gustavo Mosquito on 62 minute.
- 63' Fresh legs for Fluminense FC! Kevin Serna comes on to replace Agustin Canobbio.
- 68' Fluminense FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined EC Vitoria backline.
- 71' The whistle greets Erick as he departs to be replaced by Osvaldo.
- 76' EC Vitoria is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 78' Facundo Bernal has so much to prove this time. He replaces Hercules on 78 minute.
- 80' EC Vitoria receives a card for a hard tackle on 80.
- 83' The EC Vitoria bench stirs into life. Janderson Costa is withdrawn and Lucas Braga gets his opportunity.
- 85' Another change for Fluminense FC made on 85 minute. German Cano leaves to be changed by Everaldo.
- 90' Magnificent from Lucas Braga! That is 9 goals in 284 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- will have plenty to reflect on. were simply the better side today.
Lineups
Fluminense FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 6
- 2
- 10
- 4
- 22
-
14
German Cano ↓ Everaldo 85'
- 21
-
35
Hercules ↓ Facundo Bernal 78'
-
8
Martinelli ↓ Thiago Santos 85'
-
17
Agustin Canobbio ↓ Kevin Serna 63'
Bench
- 26
- 98
-
29
Thiago Santos ↑ 85'
-
16
Nonato ↑ 78'
- 11
-
9
Everaldo ↑ 85'
- 77
- 18
-
90
Kevin Serna ↑ 63'
-
5
Facundo Bernal ↑ 78'
- 19
- 66
Coach
Renato Gaucho
EC Vitoria Lineups
Starting XI
- 33
-
28
Ricardo Ryller ↓ Ronald 46'
- 83
- 5
- 3
-
7
Gustavo Mosquito ↓ Fabricio 62'
- 44
- 1
-
39
Janderson Costa ↓ Lucas Braga 83'
- 30
- 2
Bench
- 17
- 77
-
23
Fabricio ↑ 62'
- 27
- 43
-
11
Osvaldo ↑ 71'
- 38
- 35
-
8
Ronald ↑ 46'
-
22
Lucas Braga ↑ 83'
- 16
- 96
Coach
Thiago Carpini
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Gilberto | 1 |
| Kevin Serna | 1 |
| Pablo Dyego | 1 |
| Lucas Braga | 1 |
| Neilton | 1 |
| German Cano | 1 |
| Gilberto | 1 |
| Hercules | 1 |
Head to Head
Fluminense FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.62
Fluminense FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.08
EC Vitoria xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.7
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 2.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
| ± 3.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
Fluminense FC or Draw
75%
Draw or EC Vitoria
52%
Fluminense FC or EC Vitoria
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Fluminense FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
10%
2 – 1
9.2%
0 – 0
8.7%
2 – 0
8.6%
0 – 1
6.3%
1 – 2
6.1%
2 – 2
5%
3 – 1
5%
3 – 0
4.6%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
2.8%
Asian Handicap — Fluminense FC
| Handicap | Fluminense FC covers | Push | EC Vitoria covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 15% | 74% |
| -1.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -1 | 26% | 22% | 52% |
| -0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +0.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +1 | 76% | 15% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
35%
✓
EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

