Fluminense FC vs EC Vitoria, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Fluminense FC vs EC Vitoria — Serie A at Maracana.
- Fluminense FC 34 games · 57 pts (2026/26)
- EC Vitoria 34 games · 38 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 34 | 76 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro EC | 34 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 34 | 57 |
| 5 | CA Paranaense | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 34 | 53 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 34 | 50 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos FC | 34 | 47 |
| 10 | São Paulo FC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo FR | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba FBC | 34 | 42 |
| 13 | CR Vasco da Gama | 33 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol FC | 34 | 40 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 34 | 38 |
| 16 | EC Vitoria | 34 | 38 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 34 | 37 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 34 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 33 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr | EC Vitoria | H | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Apr | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 2–0 | W |
| 13 Apr | Santos FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 06 Apr | RB Bragantino | H | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Mar | Fortaleza EC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 08 Dec | SE Palmeiras | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr | Fluminense FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Apr | Fortaleza EC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Apr | CA Mineiro | A | 2–2 | D |
| 06 Apr | CR Flamengo | H | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Mar | EC Juventude | A | 0–2 | L |
| 08 Dec | CR Flamengo | A | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| Fluminense FC | EC Vitoria | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #16 |
| 57 | Points | 38 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 16 / 9 / 9 | W / D / L | 10 / 8 / 16 |
| 55 | Scored | 35 |
| 42 | Conceded | 51 |
| +13 | GD | -16 |
| 1.68 | PPG | 1.12 |
| 47% | Win % | 29% |
Key Stats
64%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
H2H (11 games)
64%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
24%
Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
Fluminense FC this season
35%
Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season
EC Vitoria this season
Fluminense FC are 4th (57 pts). EC Vitoria are 16th (38 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Fluminense FC
0-15
2/4
16-30
6/1
31-45
6/5
46-60
4/9
61-75
5/6
76+
18/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Vitoria
0-15
3/2
16-30
6/2
31-45
4/10
46-60
2/3
61-75
7/8
76+
4/11
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Fluminense FC
| John Kennedy | 9 G | 1 A |
| Hulk | 7 G | 6 A |
| Jefferson Savarino | 7 G | 2 A |
| Luciano Acosta | 6 G | 5 A |
| Agustin Canobbio | 6 G | 4 A |
EC Vitoria
| Carlos Rene | 9 G | 1 A |
| Matheuzinho | 6 G | 4 A |
| Erick | 5 G | 6 A |
| Renato Kayzer | 5 G | 1 A |
| Gabriel Baralhas | 2 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. Fluminense FC host EC Vitoria — let the battle begin!
- 5' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 5 minutes.
- 10' Both keepers have barely been tested. Fluminense FC and EC Vitoria are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 15' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 20' With 1 assists to his name this season, Samuel Xavier is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Fluminense FC.
- 25' Supporters expect more eagerness from Ze Marcos, as he is very good at scoring at Maracana with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 30' EC Vitoria seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 35' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Fluminense FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 39' German Cano is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 2 goals this season for the .
- 44' The travelling EC Vitoria supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 46' Ronald has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ricardo Ryller on 46 minute.
- 51' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 56' Matheuzinho has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 61' EC Vitoria come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 62' Fabricio is ready to make an impact after coming on for Gustavo Mosquito at the 62 minute mark.
- 63' Agustin Canobbio makes way for Kevin Serna at the 63 minute mark. A tactical switch from Fluminense FC.
- 68' Fluminense FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 71' It is a substitution in EC Vitoria team. Erick is replaced by Osvaldo on 71 minute.
- 76' It looks like no one’s ball. Fluminense FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 78' Hercules makes way for Facundo Bernal at the 78 minute mark. A tactical switch from Fluminense FC.
- 80' It’s gonna be a card for Claudinho.
- 83' EC Vitoria manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Lucas Braga is hanging Janderson Costa on the field on 83 minute.
- 85' Fresh legs for Fluminense FC! Everaldo comes on to replace German Cano.
- 90' Against the run of play, Lucas Braga has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- The points are shared — Fluminense FC 1-1 EC Vitoria. Honours even.
Lineups
Fluminense FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 6
- 2
- 10
- 4
- 22
-
14
German Cano ↓ Everaldo 85'
- 21
-
35
Hercules ↓ Facundo Bernal 78'
-
8
Martinelli ↓ Thiago Santos 85'
-
17
Agustin Canobbio ↓ Kevin Serna 63'
Bench
- 26
- 98
-
29
Thiago Santos ↑ 85'
-
16
Nonato ↑ 78'
- 11
-
9
Everaldo ↑ 85'
- 77
- 18
-
90
Kevin Serna ↑ 63'
-
5
Facundo Bernal ↑ 78'
- 19
- 66
Coach
Renato Gaucho
EC Vitoria Lineups
Starting XI
- 33
-
28
Ricardo Ryller ↓ Ronald 46'
- 83
- 5
- 3
-
7
Gustavo Mosquito ↓ Fabricio 62'
- 44
- 1
-
39
Janderson Costa ↓ Lucas Braga 83'
- 30
- 2
Bench
- 17
- 77
-
23
Fabricio ↑ 62'
- 27
- 43
-
11
Osvaldo ↑ 71'
- 38
- 35
-
8
Ronald ↑ 46'
-
22
Lucas Braga ↑ 83'
- 16
- 96
Coach
Thiago Carpini
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Renato Kayzer | 1 |
| Carlos Rene | 1 |
| Neilton | 1 |
| John Kennedy | 1 |
| Gilberto | 1 |
| Kevin Serna | 1 |
| Pablo Dyego | 1 |
| Jefferson Savarino | 1 |
Head to Head
Fluminense FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.67
Fluminense FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.97
EC Vitoria xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.64
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 2.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
| ± 3.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
Fluminense FC or Draw
78%
Draw or EC Vitoria
49%
Fluminense FC or EC Vitoria
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Fluminense FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
11.1%
2 – 0
9.8%
2 – 1
9.3%
0 – 0
9.1%
0 – 1
5.9%
1 – 2
5.3%
3 – 0
5.3%
3 – 1
5.2%
2 – 2
4.5%
0 – 2
3.3%
3 – 2
2.6%
Asian Handicap — Fluminense FC
| Handicap | Fluminense FC covers | Push | EC Vitoria covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 16% | 71% |
| -1.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| -1 | 29% | 23% | 48% |
| -0.5 | 52% | — | 48% |
| +0.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 13% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
39%
✓
EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

