EC Vitoria vs Fortaleza EC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Vitoria vs Fortaleza EC — Serie A at Barradao.
- EC Vitoria 34 games · 38 pts (2026/26)
- Fortaleza EC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 34 | 76 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro EC | 34 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 34 | 57 |
| 5 | CA Paranaense | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 34 | 53 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 34 | 50 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos FC | 34 | 47 |
| 10 | São Paulo FC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo FR | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba FBC | 34 | 42 |
| 13 | CR Vasco da Gama | 33 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol FC | 34 | 40 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 34 | 38 |
| 16 | EC Vitoria | 34 | 38 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 34 | 37 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 34 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 33 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr | Fortaleza EC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Apr | CA Mineiro | A | 2–2 | D |
| 06 Apr | CR Flamengo | H | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Mar | EC Juventude | A | 0–2 | L |
| 08 Dec | CR Flamengo | A | 2–2 | D |
| 04 Dec | Gremio FBPA | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr | EC Vitoria | A | 1–2 | L |
| 13 Apr | SC Internacional | H | 0–0 | D |
| 06 Apr | Mirassol FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Mar | Fluminense FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 08 Dec | SC Internacional | H | 3–0 | W |
| 05 Dec | AC Goianiense | A | 1–3 | L |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
35%
Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season
EC Vitoria this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Vitoria
0-15
3/2
16-30
6/2
31-45
4/10
46-60
2/3
61-75
7/8
76+
4/11
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Vitoria
| Carlos Rene | 9 G | 1 A |
| Matheuzinho | 6 G | 4 A |
| Erick | 5 G | 6 A |
| Renato Kayzer | 5 G | 1 A |
| Gabriel Baralhas | 2 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to Barradao that hosts another battle between EC Vitoria and Fortaleza EC.
- 5' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 10' It’s high time Igor Cearense made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 15' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 20' EC Vitoria is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 25' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Eros Mancuso made 208 appearances and scored 5 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 30' Fortaleza EC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 35' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 37' GOAL! Janderson Costa fires home to make it 1-0!
- 42' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Gabriel Baralhas.
- 46' The Fortaleza EC bench stirs into life. Marinho is withdrawn and Deyverson gets his opportunity.
- 48' Diogo Barbosa has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 48 minutes.
- 53' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 53 minutes.
- 58' It looks like no one’s ball. Fortaleza EC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 59' The crowd applauds Ricardo Ryller as he leaves the pitch. Joao Pedro Pepe steps in for EC Vitoria.
- 64' Supporters expect more eagerness from Erick, as he is very good at scoring at Barradao with 6 goals in the last 5 games.
- 67' It is a substitution in Fortaleza EC team. Guillermo Fernandez is replaced by Calebe on 67 minute.
- 71' Another change for EC Vitoria made on 71 minute. Gustavo Mosquito leaves to be changed by Ronald.
- 74' Against the run of play, Matheuzinho has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 75' The supporters are chanting for Jose Welison. He replaces Matheus Rossetto on 75 minute.
- 76' The supporters are chanting for Yago Pikachu. He replaces Eros Mancuso on 76 minute.
- 79' Poor challenge from Leandro Martinez. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 80' Fortaleza EC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kervin Andrade is hanging Benjamin Kuscevic on the field on 80 minute.
- 82' EC Vitoria manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Osvaldo is hanging Matheuzinho on the field on 82 minute.
- 83' Another change for EC Vitoria made on 83 minute. Jamerson leaves to be changed by Carlos Eduardo.
- 88' With 0 assists to his name this season, Joao Ricardo is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Fortaleza EC.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-1 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
EC Vitoria Lineups
Starting XI
- 33
- 28
- 83
- 5
- 3
- 7
- 44
- 1
- 39
- 30
- 2
Bench
- 77
- 23
- 6
- 27
- 43
- 11
- 35
- 29
- 8
- 22
- 96
- 99
Coach
Thiago Carpini
Fortaleza EC Lineups
Starting XI
- 11
- 1
-
20
Matheus Rossetto ↓ Jose Welison 75'
- 16
- 23
-
5
Guillermo Fernandez ↓ Calebe 67'
- 13
- 9
-
14
Eros Mancuso ↓ Yago Pikachu 76'
- 8
- 39
Bench
-
22
Yago Pikachu ↑ 76'
- 6
-
18
Deyverson ↑ 46'
- 88
- 27
-
10
Calebe ↑ 67'
- 15
- 4
-
17
Jose Welison ↑ 75'
-
77
Kervin Andrade ↑ 80'
- 19
- 41
Coach
Igor Cearense
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Breno Lopes | 2 |
| Alerrandro | 2 |
| Tomas Pochettino | 1 |
| Tinga | 1 |
| Janderson Costa | 1 |
| Matheuzinho | 1 |
| Diogo Barbosa | 1 |
| Bruno Pacheco | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Vitoria Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.51
EC Vitoria xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.17
Fortaleza EC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: EC Vitoria win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.68
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 2.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
| ± 3.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
EC Vitoria or Draw
73%
Draw or Fortaleza EC
54%
EC Vitoria or Fortaleza EC
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: EC Vitoria win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
1 – 0
9.4%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
8.8%
2 – 0
7.7%
0 – 1
7%
1 – 2
6.8%
2 – 2
5.2%
0 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
4.5%
3 – 0
3.8%
3 – 2
2.7%
Asian Handicap — EC Vitoria
| Handicap | EC Vitoria covers | Push | Fortaleza EC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 13% | 78% |
| -1.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 21% | 56% |
| -0.5 | 44% | — | 56% |
| +0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +1 | 72% | 16% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
32%
✓
Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.