EC Vitoria vs Fortaleza EC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Vitoria vs Fortaleza EC — Serie A at Barradao.
- EC Vitoria 28 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
- Fortaleza EC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr | Fortaleza EC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Apr | CA Mineiro | A | 2–2 | D |
| 06 Apr | CR Flamengo | H | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Mar | EC Juventude | A | 0–2 | L |
| 08 Dec | CR Flamengo | A | 2–2 | D |
| 04 Dec | Gremio FBPA | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr | EC Vitoria | A | 1–2 | L |
| 13 Apr | SC Internacional | H | 0–0 | D |
| 06 Apr | Mirassol FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Mar | Fluminense FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 08 Dec | SC Internacional | H | 3–0 | W |
| 05 Dec | AC Goianiense | A | 1–3 | L |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
39%
Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season
EC Vitoria this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Vitoria
0-15
3/1
16-30
4/1
31-45
2/9
46-60
1/2
61-75
5/5
76+
4/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Vitoria
| Carlos Rene | 8 G | 1 A |
| Matheuzinho | 4 G | 2 A |
| Renato Kayzer | 4 G | 1 A |
| Gabriel Baralhas | 2 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — EC Vitória and Fortaleza EC get this one started.
- 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Yago Pikachu made 296 appearances and scored 51 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 10' David Luiz, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 15' Fortaleza EC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 20' EC Vitória are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Fortaleza EC backline.
- 25' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 30' Fortaleza EC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 35' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Lucas Halter suffering a number of foals already.
- 37' Janderson Costa does the damage! The net is bulging and EC Vitoria surge ahead!
- 42' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Gabriel Baralhas.
- 46' Marinho makes way for Deyverson at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from Fortaleza EC.
- 48' GOAL! Diogo Barbosa fires home to make it 0-2!
- 53' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 58' EC Vitória started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 58.
- 59' Another change for EC Vitoria made on 59 minute. Ricardo Ryller leaves to be changed by Joao Pedro Pepe.
- 64' EC Vitória currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 67' Time for substitution for Fortaleza EC. Guillermo Fernandez is replaced by Calebe.
- 71' Ronald gets the nod from EC Vitoria. He replaces Gustavo Mosquito and will look to change the dynamic.
- 74' Against the run of play, Matheuzinho has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 75' The Fortaleza EC bench stirs into life. Matheus Rossetto is withdrawn and Jose Welison gets his opportunity.
- 76' It is a substitution in Fortaleza EC team. Eros Mancuso is replaced by Yago Pikachu on 76 minute.
- 79' The referee has no hesitation. Leandro Martinez is booked for Fortaleza EC — card on 79.
- 80' Kervin Andrade is ready to make an impact after coming on for Benjamin Kuscevic at the 80 minute mark.
- 82' Matheuzinho makes way for Osvaldo at the 82 minute mark. A tactical switch from EC Vitoria.
- 83' The whistle greets Jamerson as he departs to be replaced by Carlos Eduardo.
- 88' The travelling Fortaleza EC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from EC Vitória to claim maximum points.
Lineups
EC Vitoria Lineups
Starting XI
- 33
- 28
- 83
- 5
- 3
- 7
- 44
- 1
- 39
- 30
- 2
Bench
- 77
- 23
- 6
- 27
- 43
- 11
- 35
- 29
- 8
- 22
- 96
- 99
Coach
Thiago Carpini
Fortaleza EC Lineups
Starting XI
- 11
- 1
-
20
Matheus Rossetto ↓ Jose Welison 75'
- 16
- 23
-
5
Guillermo Fernandez ↓ Calebe 67'
- 13
- 9
-
14
Eros Mancuso ↓ Yago Pikachu 76'
- 8
- 39
Bench
-
22
Yago Pikachu ↑ 76'
- 6
-
18
Deyverson ↑ 46'
- 88
- 27
-
10
Calebe ↑ 67'
- 15
- 4
-
17
Jose Welison ↑ 75'
-
77
Kervin Andrade ↑ 80'
- 19
- 41
Coach
Igor Cearense
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Breno Lopes | 2 |
| Alerrandro | 2 |
| Jose Hugo | 1 |
| Tomas Pochettino | 1 |
| Tinga | 1 |
| Janderson Costa | 1 |
| Matheuzinho | 1 |
| Diogo Barbosa | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Vitoria Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.51
EC Vitoria xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.17
Fortaleza EC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: EC Vitoria win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.68
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 2.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
| ± 3.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
EC Vitoria or Draw
73%
Draw or Fortaleza EC
54%
EC Vitoria or Fortaleza EC
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: EC Vitoria win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
1 – 0
9.4%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
8.8%
2 – 0
7.7%
0 – 1
7%
1 – 2
6.8%
2 – 2
5.2%
0 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
4.5%
3 – 0
3.8%
3 – 2
2.7%
Asian Handicap — EC Vitoria
| Handicap | EC Vitoria covers | Push | Fortaleza EC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 13% | 78% |
| -1.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 21% | 56% |
| -0.5 | 44% | — | 56% |
| +0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +1 | 72% | 16% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
32%
✓
Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.