CA Mineiro vs EC Vitoria, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CA Mineiro vs EC Vitoria — Serie A at Mineirao.
- CA Mineiro 27 games · 40 pts (2026/26)
- EC Vitoria 28 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr | EC Vitoria | H | 2–2 | D |
| 06 Apr | Sao Paulo FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 29 Mar | Gremio FBPA | A | 1–2 | L |
| 08 Dec | CA Paranaense | H | 1–0 | W |
| 04 Dec | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 0–2 | L |
| 30 Nov | Botafogo FR | H | 1–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr | CA Mineiro | A | 2–2 | D |
| 06 Apr | CR Flamengo | H | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Mar | EC Juventude | A | 0–2 | L |
| 08 Dec | CR Flamengo | A | 2–2 | D |
| 04 Dec | Gremio FBPA | H | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Dec | Fortaleza EC | H | 2–0 | W |
Season Stats
| CA Mineiro | EC Vitoria | |
|---|---|---|
| #7 | Position | #13 |
| 40 | Points | 33 |
| 27 | Played | 28 |
| 11 / 7 / 9 | W / D / L | 9 / 6 / 13 |
| 36 | Scored | 28 |
| 32 | Conceded | 42 |
| +4 | GD | -14 |
| 1.48 | PPG | 1.18 |
| 41% | Win % | 32% |
Key Stats
64%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
H2H (11 games)
64%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season
CA Mineiro this season
39%
Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season
EC Vitoria this season
CA Mineiro are 7th (40 pts). EC Vitoria are 13th (33 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
CA Mineiro
0-15
2/3
16-30
6/–
31-45
5/4
46-60
1/2
61-75
8/5
76+
5/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Vitoria
0-15
3/1
16-30
4/1
31-45
2/9
46-60
1/2
61-75
5/5
76+
4/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
CA Mineiro
| Tomas Cuello | 5 G | 2 A |
| Victor Hugo Gomes | 4 G | 1 A |
EC Vitoria
| Carlos Rene | 8 G | 1 A |
| Matheuzinho | 4 G | 2 A |
| Renato Kayzer | 4 G | 1 A |
| Gabriel Baralhas | 2 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Mineirao. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' Willian Oliveira has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 10' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 15' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Ricardo Ryller made 430 appearances and scored 2 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 20' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 25' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 28' Willian Oliveira was booked on 28.
- 33' Claudinho has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 38' It’s high time Thiago Carpini made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 43' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Guilherme Arana on 43 minutes.
- 46' Another change for EC Vitoria made on 46 minute. Willian Oliveira leaves to be changed by Ricardo Ryller.
- 48' Lucas Halter is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 53' Rony has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 25 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 54' The referee shows EC Vitoria player a card on 54.
- 57' Fausto Vera does the damage! The net is bulging and CA Mineiro surge ahead!
- 58' Time for substitution for EC Vitoria. Erick is replaced by Carlos Eduardo.
- 63' Jamerson is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for CA Mineiro so far.
- 65' What composure from Matheuzinho! The Brazil international strokes it home. 1-2.
- 70' EC Vitoria looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Erick scoring 1 goals.
- 71' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Janderson Costa on 71 minutes.
- 71' The whistle greets Fausto Vera as he departs to be replaced by Bernard.
- 72' Caio Paulista gets the nod from CA Mineiro. He replaces Guilherme Arana and will look to change the dynamic.
- 75' Another change for EC Vitoria made on 75 minute. Gustavo Mosquito leaves to be changed by Leo Augusto.
- 76' Joao Marcelo has so much to prove this time. He replaces Natanael on 76 minute.
- 81' The travelling EC Vitoria supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 84' Gabriel Menino is replacing Rubens for the CA Mineiro side.
- 87' Against the run of play, Igor Gomes has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 90' Bernard has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 90.
- 90' Claudinho gets the nod from EC Vitoria. He replaces Raul Caceres and will look to change the dynamic.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. take all three points.
Lineups
CA Mineiro Lineups
Starting XI
- 22
- 33
-
10
Gustavo Scarpa ↓ Igor Gomes 84'
- 6
-
13
Guilherme Arana ↓ Caio Paulista 72'
- 28
-
8
Fausto Vera ↓ Bernard 71'
-
2
Natanael ↓ Joao Marcelo 76'
- 7
-
44
Rubens ↓ Gabriel Menino 84'
- 23
Bench
-
17
Igor Gomes ↑ 84'
-
38
Caio Paulista ↑ 72'
-
11
Bernard ↑ 71'
- 14
- 26
-
25
Gabriel Menino ↑ 84'
- 1
- 47
- 20
- 31
-
19
Joao Marcelo ↑ 76'
Coach
Cuca
EC Vitoria Lineups
Starting XI
-
33
Erick ↓ Carlos Eduardo 58'
- 83
-
27
Raul Caceres ↓ Claudinho 90'
- 5
- 3
-
7
Gustavo Mosquito ↓ Leo Augusto 75'
- 29
- 44
- 1
- 39
- 30
Bench
- 77
-
28
Ricardo Ryller ↑ 46'
-
6
Joao Pedro Pepe ↑ 76'
- 43
- 11
-
38
Leo Augusto ↑ 75'
- 35
- 22
- 10
-
96
Carlos Eduardo ↑ 58'
-
2
Claudinho ↑ 90'
- 99
Coach
Thiago Carpini
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Fausto Vera | 2 |
| Erick | 2 |
| Willian Oliveira | 2 |
| Matheuzinho | 2 |
| Roger Guedes | 1 |
| Eduardo Vargas | 1 |
| Leo Ceara | 1 |
| Leo Ceara | 1 |
Head to Head
CA Mineiro Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.67
CA Mineiro xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.23
EC Vitoria xG
I would bet for:
CA Mineiro or EC Vitoria 73% + Both teams to score 58%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.9
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 2.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 3.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
| ± 4.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
Double Chance
CA Mineiro or Draw
72%
Draw or EC Vitoria
55%
CA Mineiro or EC Vitoria
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.2%
2 – 1
9.1%
1 – 0
8.3%
2 – 0
7.5%
0 – 0
7.3%
1 – 2
6.7%
0 – 1
5.9%
2 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
5.1%
3 – 0
4.1%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 2
3.2%
Asian Handicap — CA Mineiro
| Handicap | CA Mineiro covers | Push | EC Vitoria covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 14% | 75% |
| -1.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -1 | 25% | 21% | 54% |
| -0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +0.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +1 | 73% | 15% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

