CA Mineiro vs EC Vitoria, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CA Mineiro vs EC Vitoria — Serie A at Mineirao.
- CA Mineiro 21 games · 29 pts (2026/26)
- EC Vitoria 22 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 23 | 48 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 21 | 42 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 23 | 41 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 23 | 38 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 23 | 34 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 22 | 33 |
| 7 | RB Bragantino | 22 | 32 |
| 8 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 22 | 32 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 23 | 31 |
| 10 | Botafogo FR | 21 | 30 |
| 11 | CA Mineiro | 21 | 29 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo FC | 22 | 27 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 22 | 26 |
| 14 | Gremio FBPA | 21 | 25 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 22 | 23 |
| 16 | Mirassol FC | 21 | 23 |
| 17 | Santos FC | 21 | 22 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 21 | 22 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 22 | 22 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 22 | 11 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr | EC Vitoria | H | 2–2 | D |
| 06 Apr | Sao Paulo FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 29 Mar | Gremio FBPA | A | 1–2 | L |
| 08 Dec | CA Paranaense | H | 1–0 | W |
| 04 Dec | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 0–2 | L |
| 30 Nov | Botafogo FR | H | 1–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr | CA Mineiro | A | 2–2 | D |
| 06 Apr | CR Flamengo | H | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Mar | EC Juventude | A | 0–2 | L |
| 08 Dec | CR Flamengo | A | 2–2 | D |
| 04 Dec | Gremio FBPA | H | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Dec | Fortaleza EC | H | 2–0 | W |
Season Stats
| CA Mineiro | EC Vitoria | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #13 |
| 29 | Points | 26 |
| 21 | Played | 22 |
| 8 / 5 / 8 | W / D / L | 7 / 5 / 10 |
| 27 | Scored | 22 |
| 27 | Conceded | 33 |
| +0 | GD | -11 |
| 1.38 | PPG | 1.18 |
| 38% | Win % | 32% |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
19%
Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season
CA Mineiro this season
41%
Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season
EC Vitoria this season
CA Mineiro are 11th (29 pts). EC Vitoria are 13th (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
CA Mineiro
0-15
2/3
16-30
4/–
31-45
5/3
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/3
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Vitoria
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/–
31-45
1/9
46-60
1/1
61-75
4/1
76+
3/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
CA Mineiro
| Victor Hugo Gomes | 4 G | 1 A |
EC Vitoria
| Carlos Rene | 5 G | 1 A |
| Renato Kayzer | 4 G | 1 A |
| Gabriel Baralhas | 2 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and CA Mineiro launch into their encounter with EC Vitoria.
- 5' A quiet spell here at Mineirao. EC Vitoria seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 10' CA Mineiro are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined EC Vitoria backline.
- 15' Brazil international Guilherme Arana has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
- 20' Supporters expect more eagerness from Jamerson, as he is very good at scoring at Mineirao with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 25' Over 25 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 28' It’s gonna be a card for Willian Oliveira.
- 33' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with EC Vitoria winning 100% of all matches.
- 38' Rony has been relatively quiet despite scoring 33 goals in his last 376 appearances.
- 43' Guilherme Arana picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 46' Another substitution for EC Vitoria to replace Willian Oliveira by Ricardo Ryller on 46 minute.
- 48' What a strike from Lucas Halter! The score is 0-1.
- 53' The 29-year-old Carlos Eduardo has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 54' A meaty challenge results in booking for Raul Caceres on 54.
- 57' What a strike from Fausto Vera! The score is 1-1.
- 58' The EC Vitoria bench stirs into life. Erick is withdrawn and Carlos Eduardo gets his opportunity.
- 63' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Gustavo Scarpa made 389 appearances and scored 29 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 65' What a strike from Matheuzinho! The score is 1-2.
- 70' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both CA Mineiro and EC Vitoria are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 71' Janderson Costa is having his name booked by the referee on 71.
- 71' CA Mineiro ring the changes. Fausto Vera has done his job and it is now time for Bernard to step up.
- 72' CA Mineiro make a change. Guilherme Arana trudges off to be replaced by Caio Paulista on 72 minutes.
- 75' The EC Vitoria manager makes a substitution. Gustavo Mosquito departs to be replaced by Leo Augusto.
- 76' The whistle greets Natanael as he departs to be replaced by Joao Marcelo.
- 81' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His CA Mineiro side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 84' Another substitution for CA Mineiro to replace Rubens by Gabriel Menino on 84 minute.
- 87' Goal! Igor Gomes scores his 18 goal in 373 matches.
- 90' CA Mineiro player sees a card in front of him.
- 90' Raul Caceres makes way for Claudinho at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from EC Vitoria.
- What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — CA Mineiro 2-2 EC Vitoria.
Lineups
CA Mineiro Lineups
Starting XI
- 22
- 33
-
10
Gustavo Scarpa ↓ Igor Gomes 84'
- 6
-
13
Guilherme Arana ↓ Caio Paulista 72'
- 28
-
8
Fausto Vera ↓ Bernard 71'
-
2
Natanael ↓ Joao Marcelo 76'
- 7
-
44
Rubens ↓ Gabriel Menino 84'
- 23
Bench
-
17
Igor Gomes ↑ 84'
-
38
Caio Paulista ↑ 72'
-
11
Bernard ↑ 71'
- 14
- 26
-
25
Gabriel Menino ↑ 84'
- 1
- 47
- 20
- 31
-
19
Joao Marcelo ↑ 76'
Coach
Cuca
EC Vitoria Lineups
Starting XI
-
33
Erick ↓ Carlos Eduardo 58'
- 83
-
27
Raul Caceres ↓ Claudinho 90'
- 5
- 3
-
7
Gustavo Mosquito ↓ Leo Augusto 75'
- 29
- 44
- 1
- 39
- 30
Bench
- 77
-
28
Ricardo Ryller ↑ 46'
-
6
Joao Pedro Pepe ↑ 76'
- 43
- 11
-
38
Leo Augusto ↑ 75'
- 35
- 22
- 10
-
96
Carlos Eduardo ↑ 58'
-
2
Claudinho ↑ 90'
- 99
Coach
Thiago Carpini
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Willian Oliveira | 2 |
| Matheuzinho | 2 |
| Fausto Vera | 2 |
| Erick | 1 |
| Gabriel | 1 |
| Gustavo Scarpa | 1 |
| Ricardo Oliveira | 1 |
| Brahian Palacios | 1 |
Head to Head
CA Mineiro Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.66
CA Mineiro xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.28
EC Vitoria xG
I would bet for:
CA Mineiro or EC Vitoria 73% + Both teams to score 59%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.94
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 2.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 3.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
| ± 4.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
Double Chance
CA Mineiro or Draw
71%
Draw or EC Vitoria
56%
CA Mineiro or EC Vitoria
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.1%
2 – 1
9%
1 – 0
7.9%
2 – 0
7.2%
0 – 0
7%
1 – 2
6.9%
0 – 1
5.9%
2 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
5%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 0
3.9%
3 – 2
3.3%
Asian Handicap — CA Mineiro
| Handicap | CA Mineiro covers | Push | EC Vitoria covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 14% | 76% |
| -1.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 21% | 55% |
| -0.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| +0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +1 | 72% | 16% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
29%
✓
EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

