CA Mineiro vs EC Vitoria, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CA Mineiro vs EC Vitoria — Serie A at Mineirao.
- CA Mineiro 18 games · 24 pts (2026/26)
- EC Vitoria 17 games · 22 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 18 | 41 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense FC | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | CA Paranaense | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | RB Bragantino | 18 | 29 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 17 | 26 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 18 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo FC | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | CA Mineiro | 18 | 24 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 18 | 24 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro EC | 18 | 24 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 17 | 22 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 17 | 22 |
| 14 | SC Internacional | 18 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos FC | 18 | 21 |
| 16 | Grêmio FBPA | 18 | 21 |
| 17 | CR Vasco da Gama | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Clube do Remo | 18 | 18 |
| 19 | Mirassol FC | 17 | 16 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 17 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr | EC Vitoria | H | 2–2 | D |
| 06 Apr | Sao Paulo FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 29 Mar | Grêmio FBPA | A | 1–2 | L |
| 08 Dec | CA Paranaense | H | 1–0 | W |
| 04 Dec | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 0–2 | L |
| 30 Nov | Botafogo FR | H | 1–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr | CA Mineiro | A | 2–2 | D |
| 06 Apr | CR Flamengo | H | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Mar | EC Juventude | A | 0–2 | L |
| 08 Dec | CR Flamengo | A | 2–2 | D |
| 04 Dec | Grêmio FBPA | H | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Dec | Fortaleza EC | H | 2–0 | W |
Season Stats
| CA Mineiro | EC Vitoria | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #13 |
| 24 | Points | 22 |
| 18 | Played | 17 |
| 7 / 3 / 8 | W / D / L | 6 / 4 / 7 |
| 22 | Scored | 21 |
| 23 | Conceded | 25 |
| -1 | GD | -4 |
| 1.33 | PPG | 1.29 |
| 39% | Win % | 35% |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season
CA Mineiro this season
41%
Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season
EC Vitoria this season
CA Mineiro are 9th (24 pts). EC Vitoria are 13th (22 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
CA Mineiro
0-15
2/2
16-30
4/–
31-45
2/3
46-60
–/1
61-75
2/1
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Vitoria
0-15
1/–
16-30
3/–
31-45
1/7
46-60
1/–
61-75
3/–
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
CA Mineiro
| Victor Hugo Gomes | 3 G | 1 A |
EC Vitoria
| Carlos Rene | 5 G | 1 A |
| Renato Kayzer | 3 G | 1 A |
| Gabriel Baralhas | 2 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. CA Mineiro is hosting EC Vitoria for another epic battle.
- 5' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 10' With 0 assists to his name this season, Fausto Vera is clearly more than just a goal scorer for EC Vitoria.
- 15' A quiet spell here at Mineirao. CA Mineiro seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 20' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 25' CA Mineiro are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 28' Controversy at the stadium! Willian Oliveira argues furiously but the card stands.
- 33' EC Vitoria have won 127 goals from 171 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 38' Hulk has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 43' A moment of madness from Guilherme Arana on 43 minutes earns him a card. CA Mineiro will be frustrated.
- 46' EC Vitoria manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ricardo Ryller is hanging Willian Oliveira on the field on 46 minute.
- 48' A stunning finish from Lucas Halter — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 53' Natanael, a Brazil , has 1 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 54' It’s gonna be a card for Raul Caceres.
- 57' Fausto Vera makes no mistake. The score reads 1-1 and CA Mineiro are in front.
- 58' It is a substitution in EC Vitoria team. Erick is replaced by Carlos Eduardo on 58 minute.
- 63' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 63 minutes.
- 65' Assisted by Gustavo Mosquito with the perfectly-timed delivery and Matheuzinho makes no mistake. 1-2!
- 70' Rubens has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 71' Janderson Costa catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 71.
- 71' Another change for CA Mineiro made on 71 minute. Fausto Vera leaves to be changed by Bernard.
- 72' Another substitution for CA Mineiro to replace Guilherme Arana by Caio Paulista on 72 minute.
- 75' It is a substitution in EC Vitoria team. Gustavo Mosquito is replaced by Leo Augusto on 75 minute.
- 76' The whistle greets Natanael as he departs to be replaced by Joao Marcelo.
- 81' EC Vitoria seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 84' CA Mineiro make a change. Rubens trudges off to be replaced by Gabriel Menino on 84 minutes.
- 87' Igor Gomes adds to his 0 season tally! CA Mineiro lead 2-2 — and this changes everything.
- 90' That is a card for CA Mineiro. Bernard will be fuming at that decision.
- 90' Claudinho is ready to make an impact after coming on for Raul Caceres at the 90 minute mark.
- will have plenty to reflect on. were simply the better side today.
Lineups
CA Mineiro Lineups
Starting XI
- 22
- 33
-
10
Gustavo Scarpa ↓ Igor Gomes 84'
- 6
-
13
Guilherme Arana ↓ Caio Paulista 72'
- 28
-
8
Fausto Vera ↓ Bernard 71'
-
2
Natanael ↓ Joao Marcelo 76'
- 7
-
44
Rubens ↓ Gabriel Menino 84'
- 23
Bench
-
17
Igor Gomes ↑ 84'
-
38
Caio Paulista ↑ 72'
-
11
Bernard ↑ 71'
- 14
- 26
-
25
Gabriel Menino ↑ 84'
- 1
- 47
- 20
- 31
-
19
Joao Marcelo ↑ 76'
Coach
Cuca
EC Vitoria Lineups
Starting XI
-
33
Erick ↓ Carlos Eduardo 58'
- 83
-
27
Raul Caceres ↓ Claudinho 90'
- 5
- 3
-
7
Gustavo Mosquito ↓ Leo Augusto 75'
- 29
- 44
- 1
- 39
- 30
Bench
- 77
-
28
Ricardo Ryller ↑ 46'
-
6
Joao Pedro Pepe ↑ 76'
- 43
- 11
-
38
Leo Augusto ↑ 75'
- 35
- 22
- 10
-
96
Carlos Eduardo ↑ 58'
-
2
Claudinho ↑ 90'
- 99
Coach
Thiago Carpini
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Matheuzinho | 2 |
| Fausto Vera | 2 |
| Willian Oliveira | 2 |
| Gabriel | 1 |
| Gustavo Scarpa | 1 |
| Ricardo Oliveira | 1 |
| Brahian Palacios | 1 |
| Roger Guedes | 1 |
Head to Head
CA Mineiro Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.59
CA Mineiro xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.37
EC Vitoria xG
I would bet for:
CA Mineiro or EC Vitoria 73% + Both teams to score 60%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.96
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 2.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 3.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
| ± 4.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
Double Chance
CA Mineiro or Draw
68%
Draw or EC Vitoria
59%
CA Mineiro or EC Vitoria
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.2%
2 – 1
8.6%
1 – 2
7.5%
1 – 0
7.4%
0 – 0
7%
2 – 0
6.4%
0 – 1
6.2%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4.6%
1 – 3
3.4%
3 – 0
3.3%
Asian Handicap — CA Mineiro
| Handicap | CA Mineiro covers | Push | EC Vitoria covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 13% | 79% |
| -1.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -1 | 21% | 20% | 59% |
| -0.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| +0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 17% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 9% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

