CA Mineiro vs EC Vitoria, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CA Mineiro vs EC Vitoria — Serie A at Mineirao.
- CA Mineiro 34 games · 50 pts (2026/26)
- EC Vitoria 34 games · 38 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 34 | 76 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro EC | 34 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 34 | 57 |
| 5 | CA Paranaense | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 34 | 53 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 34 | 50 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos FC | 34 | 47 |
| 10 | São Paulo FC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo FR | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba FBC | 34 | 42 |
| 13 | CR Vasco da Gama | 33 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol FC | 34 | 40 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 34 | 38 |
| 16 | EC Vitoria | 34 | 38 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 34 | 37 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 34 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 33 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr | EC Vitoria | H | 2–2 | D |
| 06 Apr | São Paulo FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 29 Mar | Gremio FBPA | A | 1–2 | L |
| 08 Dec | CA Paranaense | H | 1–0 | W |
| 04 Dec | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 0–2 | L |
| 30 Nov | Botafogo FR | H | 1–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr | CA Mineiro | A | 2–2 | D |
| 06 Apr | CR Flamengo | H | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Mar | EC Juventude | A | 0–2 | L |
| 08 Dec | CR Flamengo | A | 2–2 | D |
| 04 Dec | Gremio FBPA | H | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Dec | Fortaleza EC | H | 2–0 | W |
Season Stats
| CA Mineiro | EC Vitoria | |
|---|---|---|
| #7 | Position | #16 |
| 50 | Points | 38 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 14 / 8 / 12 | W / D / L | 10 / 8 / 16 |
| 44 | Scored | 35 |
| 40 | Conceded | 51 |
| +4 | GD | -16 |
| 1.47 | PPG | 1.12 |
| 41% | Win % | 29% |
Key Stats
64%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
H2H (11 games)
64%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
24%
Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season
CA Mineiro this season
35%
Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season
EC Vitoria this season
CA Mineiro are 7th (50 pts). EC Vitoria are 16th (38 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
CA Mineiro
0-15
3/5
16-30
8/1
31-45
5/6
46-60
2/2
61-75
8/5
76+
9/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Vitoria
0-15
3/2
16-30
6/2
31-45
4/10
46-60
2/3
61-75
7/8
76+
4/11
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
CA Mineiro
| Bernard | 5 G | 4 A |
| Tomas Cuello | 5 G | 2 A |
| Victor Hugo Gomes | 4 G | 2 A |
EC Vitoria
| Carlos Rene | 9 G | 1 A |
| Matheuzinho | 6 G | 4 A |
| Erick | 5 G | 6 A |
| Renato Kayzer | 5 G | 1 A |
| Gabriel Baralhas | 2 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — CA Mineiro and EC Vitoria get this one started.
- 5' EC Vitoria come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 10' CA Mineiro is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 15' CA Mineiro seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 20' With 0 assists to his name this season, Leo Augusto is clearly more than just a goal scorer for CA Mineiro.
- 25' Erick has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 4 goals to his name this season.
- 28' Poor challenge from Willian Oliveira. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 33' A quiet spell here at Mineirao. EC Vitoria seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 38' It is a cagey affair so far. CA Mineiro in their trying to find a way past EC Vitoria's compact .
- 43' It’s gonna be a card for Guilherme Arana.
- 46' Ricardo Ryller gets the nod from EC Vitoria. He replaces Willian Oliveira and will look to change the dynamic.
- 48' What a strike from Lucas Halter! The score is 0-1.
- 53' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 54' Raul Caceres picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 57' Fausto Vera is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 58' The whistle greets Erick as he departs to be replaced by Carlos Eduardo.
- 63' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 65' The Brazil Matheuzinho breaks the deadlock on 65 minutes. 1-2!
- 70' Jamerson has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
- 71' That is a card for EC Vitoria. Janderson Costa will be fuming at that decision.
- 71' The CA Mineiro bench stirs into life. Fausto Vera is withdrawn and Bernard gets his opportunity.
- 72' Fresh legs for CA Mineiro! Caio Paulista comes on to replace Guilherme Arana.
- 75' Time for substitution for EC Vitoria. Gustavo Mosquito is replaced by Leo Augusto.
- 76' Joao Marcelo has so much to prove this time. He replaces Natanael on 76 minute.
- 81' CA Mineiro have won 494 goals from 489 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 84' It is a substitution in CA Mineiro team. Rubens is replaced by Gabriel Menino on 84 minute.
- 87' The deadlock is broken! Igor Gomes gets on the scoresheet on 87 minutes.
- 90' The referee has no hesitation. Bernard is booked for CA Mineiro — card on 90.
- 90' EC Vitoria manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Claudinho is hanging Raul Caceres on the field on 90 minute.
- 2-2 the final result. will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
CA Mineiro Lineups
Starting XI
- 22
- 33
-
10
Gustavo Scarpa ↓ Igor Gomes 84'
- 6
-
13
Guilherme Arana ↓ Caio Paulista 72'
- 28
-
8
Fausto Vera ↓ Bernard 71'
-
2
Natanael ↓ Joao Marcelo 76'
- 7
-
44
Rubens ↓ Gabriel Menino 84'
- 23
Bench
-
17
Igor Gomes ↑ 84'
-
38
Caio Paulista ↑ 72'
-
11
Bernard ↑ 71'
- 14
- 26
-
25
Gabriel Menino ↑ 84'
- 1
- 47
- 20
- 31
-
19
Joao Marcelo ↑ 76'
Coach
Cuca
EC Vitoria Lineups
Starting XI
-
33
Erick ↓ Carlos Eduardo 58'
- 83
-
27
Raul Caceres ↓ Claudinho 90'
- 5
- 3
-
7
Gustavo Mosquito ↓ Leo Augusto 75'
- 29
- 44
- 1
- 39
- 30
Bench
- 77
-
28
Ricardo Ryller ↑ 46'
-
6
Joao Pedro Pepe ↑ 76'
- 43
- 11
-
38
Leo Augusto ↑ 75'
- 35
- 22
- 10
-
96
Carlos Eduardo ↑ 58'
-
2
Claudinho ↑ 90'
- 99
Coach
Thiago Carpini
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Willian Oliveira | 2 |
| Matheuzinho | 2 |
| Fausto Vera | 2 |
| Erick | 2 |
| Lucas Halter | 1 |
| Igor Gomes | 1 |
| Gabriel | 1 |
| Gustavo Scarpa | 1 |
Head to Head
CA Mineiro Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.64
CA Mineiro xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.24
EC Vitoria xG
I would bet for:
CA Mineiro or EC Vitoria 73% + Both teams to score 58%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.88
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 2.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 3.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
| ± 4.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
Double Chance
CA Mineiro or Draw
71%
Draw or EC Vitoria
56%
CA Mineiro or EC Vitoria
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.3%
2 – 1
9%
1 – 0
8.3%
2 – 0
7.4%
0 – 0
7.4%
1 – 2
6.8%
0 – 1
6%
2 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
4.9%
0 – 2
4.2%
3 – 0
4%
3 – 2
3.1%
Asian Handicap — CA Mineiro
| Handicap | CA Mineiro covers | Push | EC Vitoria covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 14% | 76% |
| -1.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 21% | 55% |
| -0.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| +0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +1 | 72% | 16% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

