EC Bahia vs Cruzeiro EC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Bahia vs Cruzeiro EC — Serie A at Arena Fonte Nova.
- EC Bahia 17 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
- Cruzeiro EC 18 games · 24 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 18 | 41 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense FC | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | CA Paranaense | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | RB Bragantino | 18 | 29 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 17 | 26 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 18 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo FC | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | CA Mineiro | 18 | 24 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 18 | 24 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro EC | 18 | 24 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 17 | 22 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 17 | 22 |
| 14 | SC Internacional | 18 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos FC | 18 | 21 |
| 16 | Grêmio FBPA | 18 | 21 |
| 17 | CR Vasco da Gama | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Clube do Remo | 18 | 18 |
| 19 | Mirassol FC | 17 | 16 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 17 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep | Cruzeiro EC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 31 Aug | Mirassol FC | A | 1–5 | L |
| 24 Aug | Santos FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 17 Aug | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Aug | Fluminense FC | H | 3–3 | D |
| 02 Aug | SC Recife | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep | EC Bahia | A | 2–1 | W |
| 31 Aug | Sao Paulo FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 23 Aug | SC Internacional | H | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Aug | Mirassol FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Aug | Santos FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 03 Aug | Botafogo FR | A | 2–0 | W |
Season Stats
| EC Bahia | Cruzeiro EC | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #11 |
| 26 | Points | 24 |
| 17 | Played | 18 |
| 7 / 5 / 5 | W / D / L | 6 / 6 / 6 |
| 25 | Scored | 24 |
| 23 | Conceded | 28 |
| +2 | GD | -4 |
| 1.53 | PPG | 1.33 |
| 41% | Win % | 33% |
Key Stats
54%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
H2H (13 games)
46%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
35%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
28%
Clean Sheets
Cruzeiro EC this season
Cruzeiro EC this season
EC Bahia are 6th (26 pts). Cruzeiro EC are 11th (24 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
1/–
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Cruzeiro EC
0-15
1/3
16-30
2/3
31-45
5/1
46-60
3/–
61-75
2/2
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 7 G | 1 A |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Cruzeiro EC
| Christian | 5 G | 3 A |
| Kaio Jorge | 4 G | |
| Matheus Pereira | 3 G | 2 A |
| Neizer Villarreal | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at Arena Fonte Nova. EC Bahia are looking to make home advantage count against Cruzeiro EC.
- 2' That looks like a foul for a card for Christian.
- 7' Cruzeiro EC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 12' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 12 minutes.
- 17' Both keepers have barely been tested. EC Bahia and Cruzeiro EC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 22' Cruzeiro EC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 22.
- 27' EC Bahia currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 32' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 37' Nicolas Acevedo has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 42' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 47' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Lucas Romero suffering a number of foals already.
- 49' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Matheus Henrique on 49 minutes.
- 54' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Cruzeiro EC winning 100% of all matches.
- 59' EC Bahia are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Cruzeiro EC backline.
- 64' A quiet spell here at Arena Fonte Nova. EC Bahia seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 65' A tactical swap from EC Bahia — Michel Araujo on, Kayky off on 65 minutes.
- 66' What composure from Jean Lucas! The Brazil international strokes it home. 1-0.
- 71' The crowd applauds Kaio Jorge as he leaves the pitch. Gabriel Barbosa steps in for Cruzeiro EC.
- 72' Keny Arroyo is replacing Christian for the Cruzeiro EC side.
- 77' What an equalizer from Luis Sinisterra!
- 78' Jose Guilherme is ready to make an impact after coming on for Willian Jose at the 78 minute mark.
- 83' The travelling Cruzeiro EC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 84' The whistle greets Matheus Pereira as he departs to be replaced by Yannick Bolasie.
- 86' What a strike from Gabriel Barbosa! The score is 1-2.
- 87' The referee calls foul for Gabriel Barbosa. He receives a card.
- The final score is 1-2.
Lineups
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
- 96
- 6
- 10
-
12
Willian Jose ↓ Jose Guilherme 78'
- 13
- 21
- 46
-
26
Nicolas Acevedo ↓ Rezende 78'
-
37
Kayky ↓ Michel Araujo 65'
-
23
Mateo Sanabria ↓ Cauly 72'
- 3
Bench
- 2
-
8
Cauly ↑ 72'
- 1
- 25
-
11
Rodrigo Nestor ↑ 78'
- 33
-
15
Michel Araujo ↑ 65'
-
5
Rezende ↑ 78'
-
66
Jose Guilherme ↑ 78'
- 83
Coach
Rogério Ceni
Cruzeiro EC Lineups
Starting XI
- 29
- 8
- 1
- 15
- 12
- 10
-
19
Kaio Jorge ↓ Gabriel Barbosa 71'
-
94
Wanderson ↓ Luis Sinisterra 72'
- 25
-
88
Christian ↓ Keny Arroyo 72'
-
6
Kaiki Bruno ↓ Kaua Prates 78'
Bench
-
11
Yannick Bolasie ↑ 84'
-
17
Luis Sinisterra ↑ 72'
- 5
-
9
Gabriel Barbosa ↑ 71'
- 7
- 77
- 34
- 41
-
36
Kaua Prates ↑ 78'
-
99
Keny Arroyo ↑ 72'
- 35
Coach
Leonardo Jardim
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Bruno Rodrigues | 2 |
| Kaio Jorge | 2 |
| Gabriel Veron | 2 |
| Oscar Estupinan | 2 |
| Wesley | 1 |
| Gabriel Teixeira | 1 |
| Luciano Rodriguez | 1 |
| Kayky | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Bahia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.64
EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.58
Cruzeiro EC xG
I would bet for:
EC Bahia or Cruzeiro EC 73% + Both teams to score 64%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Cruzeiro EC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.22
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 2.5 | 61% |
|
39% |
| ± 3.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
| ± 4.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
Double Chance
EC Bahia or Draw
63%
Draw or Cruzeiro EC
63%
EC Bahia or Cruzeiro EC
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.2%
2 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 2
6.4%
1 – 0
5.8%
0 – 0
5.6%
0 – 1
5.6%
2 – 0
5.4%
0 – 2
5%
3 – 1
4.5%
1 – 3
4.1%
3 – 2
3.6%
Asian Handicap — EC Bahia
| Handicap | EC Bahia covers | Push | Cruzeiro EC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 12% | 80% |
| -1.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 19% | 61% |
| -0.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| +0.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +1 | 64% | 18% | 18% |
| +1.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +2 | 82% | 11% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Cruzeiro EC keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.