EC Bahia vs Cruzeiro EC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Bahia vs Cruzeiro EC — Serie A at Arena Fonte Nova.
- EC Bahia 28 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
- Cruzeiro EC 28 games · 45 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep | Cruzeiro EC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 31 Aug | Mirassol FC | A | 1–5 | L |
| 24 Aug | Santos FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 17 Aug | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Aug | Fluminense FC | H | 3–3 | D |
| 02 Aug | SC Recife | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep | EC Bahia | A | 2–1 | W |
| 31 Aug | Sao Paulo FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 23 Aug | SC Internacional | H | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Aug | Mirassol FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Aug | Santos FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 03 Aug | Botafogo FR | A | 2–0 | W |
Season Stats
| EC Bahia | Cruzeiro EC | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #6 |
| 46 | Points | 45 |
| 28 | Played | 28 |
| 12 / 10 / 6 | W / D / L | 13 / 6 / 9 |
| 43 | Scored | 42 |
| 35 | Conceded | 40 |
| +8 | GD | +2 |
| 1.64 | PPG | 1.61 |
| 43% | Win % | 46% |
Key Stats
54%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
H2H (13 games)
46%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
36%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
21%
Clean Sheets
Cruzeiro EC this season
Cruzeiro EC this season
EC Bahia are 5th (46 pts). Cruzeiro EC are 6th (45 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/6
31-45
7/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/4
76+
7/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Cruzeiro EC
0-15
3/3
16-30
3/6
31-45
6/5
46-60
5/2
61-75
6/2
76+
10/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 9 G | 1 A |
| Jean Lucas | 4 G | 3 A |
| Erick | 4 G | |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Cruzeiro EC
| Matheus Pereira | 9 G | 4 A |
| Kaio Jorge | 7 G | 1 A |
| Christian | 5 G | 3 A |
| Neizer Villarreal | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! EC Bahia welcome Cruzeiro EC for this crunch clash at Arena Fonte Nova.
- 2' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Christian on 2 minutes.
- 7' It looks surprising EC Bahia does not make any changes. Kaiki Bruno has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 12' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 17' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. EC Bahia needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 22' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Cruzeiro EC winning 100% of all matches.
- 27' EC Bahia currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 32' Supporters expect more eagerness from Nicolas Acevedo, as he is very good at scoring at Arena Fonte Nova with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 37' Cruzeiro EC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
- 42' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering EC Bahia that had 333 games and scored 359 goals.
- 47' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 49' It’s a booking for Cruzeiro EC player. Matheus Henrique gets a card.
- 54' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 59' Cruzeiro EC is showing some good football. However, Cruzeiro EC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 64' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 65' The crowd applauds Kayky as he leaves the pitch. Michel Araujo steps in for EC Bahia.
- 66' Jean Lucas makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and EC Bahia are in front.
- 71' A change in the Cruzeiro EC ranks — Kaio Jorge exits the field as Gabriel Barbosa enters on 71.
- 72' Keny Arroyo gets the nod from Cruzeiro EC. He replaces Christian and will look to change the dynamic.
- 77' Against the run of play, Luis Sinisterra has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 78' Jose Guilherme gets the nod from EC Bahia. He replaces Willian Jose and will look to change the dynamic.
- 83' Cruzeiro EC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 84' The supporters are chanting for Yannick Bolasie. He replaces Matheus Pereira on 84 minute.
- 86' GOAL! Gabriel Barbosa scores on 86. Assisted by William
- 87' Gabriel Barbosa catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 87.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for EC Bahia.
Lineups
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
- 96
- 6
- 10
-
12
Willian Jose ↓ Jose Guilherme 78'
- 13
- 21
- 46
-
26
Nicolas Acevedo ↓ Rezende 78'
-
37
Kayky ↓ Michel Araujo 65'
-
23
Mateo Sanabria ↓ Cauly 72'
- 3
Bench
- 2
-
8
Cauly ↑ 72'
- 1
- 25
-
11
Rodrigo Nestor ↑ 78'
- 33
-
15
Michel Araujo ↑ 65'
-
5
Rezende ↑ 78'
-
66
Jose Guilherme ↑ 78'
- 83
Coach
Rogério Ceni
Cruzeiro EC Lineups
Starting XI
- 29
- 8
- 1
- 15
- 12
- 10
-
19
Kaio Jorge ↓ Gabriel Barbosa 71'
-
94
Wanderson ↓ Luis Sinisterra 72'
- 25
-
88
Christian ↓ Keny Arroyo 72'
-
6
Kaiki Bruno ↓ Kaua Prates 78'
Bench
-
11
Yannick Bolasie ↑ 84'
-
17
Luis Sinisterra ↑ 72'
- 5
-
9
Gabriel Barbosa ↑ 71'
- 7
- 77
- 34
- 41
-
36
Kaua Prates ↑ 78'
-
99
Keny Arroyo ↑ 72'
- 35
Coach
Leonardo Jardim
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Gabriel Veron | 2 |
| Oscar Estupinan | 2 |
| Bruno Rodrigues | 2 |
| Kaio Jorge | 2 |
| Douglas Grolli | 1 |
| Gabriel Barbosa | 1 |
| Sassa | 1 |
| Thaciano | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Bahia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.6
EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.6
Cruzeiro EC xG
I would bet for:
EC Bahia or Cruzeiro EC 73% + Both teams to score 64%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Cruzeiro EC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.2
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 2.5 | 61% |
|
39% |
| ± 3.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
| ± 4.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
Double Chance
EC Bahia or Draw
62%
Draw or Cruzeiro EC
64%
EC Bahia or Cruzeiro EC
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.3%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
8%
2 – 2
6.4%
0 – 1
5.8%
1 – 0
5.8%
0 – 0
5.7%
0 – 2
5.2%
2 – 0
5.2%
1 – 3
4.3%
3 – 1
4.3%
2 – 3
3.5%
Asian Handicap — EC Bahia
| Handicap | EC Bahia covers | Push | Cruzeiro EC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 11% | 81% |
| -1.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 18% | 63% |
| -0.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| +0.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +1 | 63% | 18% | 19% |
| +1.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +2 | 81% | 11% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Cruzeiro EC keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.