EC Bahia vs Cruzeiro EC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Bahia vs Cruzeiro EC — Serie A at Arena Fonte Nova.
- EC Bahia 34 games · 53 pts (2026/26)
- Cruzeiro EC 34 games · 60 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 34 | 76 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro EC | 34 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 34 | 57 |
| 5 | CA Paranaense | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 34 | 53 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 35 | 51 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos FC | 34 | 47 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo FC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo FR | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba FBC | 34 | 42 |
| 13 | CR Vasco da Gama | 33 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol FC | 35 | 41 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 34 | 38 |
| 16 | EC Vitoria | 34 | 38 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 34 | 37 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 34 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 33 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep | Cruzeiro EC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 31 Aug | Mirassol FC | A | 1–5 | L |
| 24 Aug | Santos FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 17 Aug | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Aug | Fluminense FC | H | 3–3 | D |
| 02 Aug | SC Recife | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep | EC Bahia | A | 2–1 | W |
| 31 Aug | Sao Paulo FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 23 Aug | SC Internacional | H | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Aug | Mirassol FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Aug | Santos FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 03 Aug | Botafogo FR | A | 2–0 | W |
Season Stats
| EC Bahia | Cruzeiro EC | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #3 |
| 53 | Points | 60 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 14 / 11 / 9 | W / D / L | 18 / 6 / 10 |
| 50 | Scored | 55 |
| 45 | Conceded | 48 |
| +5 | GD | +7 |
| 1.56 | PPG | 1.76 |
| 41% | Win % | 53% |
Key Stats
57%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
H2H (14 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
32%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
26%
Clean Sheets
Cruzeiro EC this season
Cruzeiro EC this season
EC Bahia are 6th (53 pts). Cruzeiro EC are 3rd (60 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
5/3
16-30
4/6
31-45
10/7
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/7
76+
9/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Cruzeiro EC
0-15
4/4
16-30
4/8
31-45
10/7
46-60
7/2
61-75
8/2
76+
13/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 11 G | 2 A |
| Jean Lucas | 4 G | 4 A |
| Erick | 4 G | |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Cruzeiro EC
| Kaio Jorge | 14 G | 2 A |
| Matheus Pereira | 9 G | 7 A |
| Christian | 5 G | 3 A |
| Neizer Villarreal | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for EC Bahia to score. At the same time, Cruzeiro EC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 2' Poor challenge from Christian. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 7' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Leonardo Jardim will be considering his options from the bench.
- 12' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 17' Cruzeiro EC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
- 22' EC Bahia are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 27' Cruzeiro EC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 32' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 37' Over 37 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 42' EC Bahia is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 47' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 49' Matheus Henrique was booked on 49.
- 54' EC Bahia seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 59' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 64' Cruzeiro EC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 64.
- 65' EC Bahia ring the changes. Kayky has done his job and it is now time for Michel Araujo to step up.
- 66' Jean Lucas adds to his 2 season tally! EC Bahia lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
- 71' Fresh legs for Cruzeiro EC! Gabriel Barbosa comes on to replace Kaio Jorge.
- 72' Fresh legs for Cruzeiro EC! Keny Arroyo comes on to replace Christian.
- 77' Magnificent from Luis Sinisterra! That is 39 goals in 337 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 78' Time for substitution for EC Bahia. Willian Jose is replaced by Jose Guilherme.
- 83' The home supporters are growing impatient. EC Bahia must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 84' A tactical swap from Cruzeiro EC — Yannick Bolasie on, Matheus Pereira off on 84 minutes.
- 86' Assisted by William with the perfectly-timed delivery and Gabriel Barbosa makes no mistake. 1-2!
- 87' Cruzeiro EC player sees a card in front of him.
- With this win, Cruzeiro EC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
- 96
- 6
- 10
-
12
Willian Jose ↓ Jose Guilherme 78'
- 13
- 21
- 46
-
26
Nicolas Acevedo ↓ Rezende 78'
-
37
Kayky ↓ Michel Araujo 65'
-
23
Mateo Sanabria ↓ Cauly 72'
- 3
Bench
- 2
-
8
Cauly ↑ 72'
- 1
- 25
-
11
Rodrigo Nestor ↑ 78'
- 33
-
15
Michel Araujo ↑ 65'
-
5
Rezende ↑ 78'
-
66
Jose Guilherme ↑ 78'
- 83
Coach
Rogério Ceni
Cruzeiro EC Lineups
Starting XI
- 29
- 8
- 1
- 15
- 12
- 10
-
19
Kaio Jorge ↓ Gabriel Barbosa 71'
-
94
Wanderson ↓ Luis Sinisterra 72'
- 25
-
88
Christian ↓ Keny Arroyo 72'
-
6
Kaiki Bruno ↓ Kaua Prates 78'
Bench
-
11
Yannick Bolasie ↑ 84'
-
17
Luis Sinisterra ↑ 72'
- 5
-
9
Gabriel Barbosa ↑ 71'
- 7
- 77
- 34
- 41
-
36
Kaua Prates ↑ 78'
-
99
Keny Arroyo ↑ 72'
- 35
Coach
Leonardo Jardim
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kaio Jorge | 4 |
| Bruno Rodrigues | 3 |
| Gabriel Veron | 2 |
| Oscar Estupinan | 2 |
| Gabriel Teixeira | 1 |
| Jean Lucas | 1 |
| Luciano Rodriguez | 1 |
| Kayky | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Bahia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.55
EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.7
Cruzeiro EC xG
I would bet for:
EC Bahia or Cruzeiro EC 74% + Both teams to score 64%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Cruzeiro EC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.25
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 2.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
| ± 3.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 4.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
Double Chance
EC Bahia or Draw
60%
Draw or Cruzeiro EC
66%
EC Bahia or Cruzeiro EC
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.1%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
7.6%
2 – 2
6.4%
0 – 1
5.9%
0 – 2
5.6%
0 – 0
5.5%
1 – 0
5.3%
1 – 3
4.7%
2 – 0
4.7%
3 – 1
3.9%
2 – 3
3.7%
Asian Handicap — EC Bahia
| Handicap | EC Bahia covers | Push | Cruzeiro EC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 10% | 83% |
| -1.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -1 | 17% | 17% | 66% |
| -0.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| +0.5 | 60% | — | 40% |
| +1 | 60% | 19% | 21% |
| +1.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +2 | 79% | 12% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Cruzeiro EC keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.