EC Bahia vs Cruzeiro EC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Bahia vs Cruzeiro EC — Serie A at Arena Fonte Nova.
- EC Bahia 22 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
- Cruzeiro EC 22 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 23 | 48 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 21 | 42 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 23 | 41 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 23 | 38 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 22 | 33 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 22 | 33 |
| 7 | RB Bragantino | 22 | 32 |
| 8 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 22 | 32 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 23 | 31 |
| 10 | Botafogo FR | 21 | 30 |
| 11 | CA Mineiro | 21 | 29 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo FC | 22 | 27 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 22 | 26 |
| 14 | Gremio FBPA | 21 | 25 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 22 | 23 |
| 16 | Mirassol FC | 21 | 23 |
| 17 | Santos FC | 21 | 22 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 21 | 22 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 22 | 22 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 21 | 10 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep | Cruzeiro EC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 31 Aug | Mirassol FC | A | 1–5 | L |
| 24 Aug | Santos FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 17 Aug | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Aug | Fluminense FC | H | 3–3 | D |
| 02 Aug | SC Recife | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep | EC Bahia | A | 2–1 | W |
| 31 Aug | Sao Paulo FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 23 Aug | SC Internacional | H | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Aug | Mirassol FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Aug | Santos FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 03 Aug | Botafogo FR | A | 2–0 | W |
Season Stats
| EC Bahia | Cruzeiro EC | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #6 |
| 33 | Points | 33 |
| 22 | Played | 22 |
| 8 / 9 / 5 | W / D / L | 9 / 6 / 7 |
| 29 | Scored | 30 |
| 25 | Conceded | 31 |
| +4 | GD | -1 |
| 1.50 | PPG | 1.50 |
| 36% | Win % | 41% |
Key Stats
54%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
H2H (13 games)
46%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
41%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
27%
Clean Sheets
Cruzeiro EC this season
Cruzeiro EC this season
EC Bahia are 5th (33 pts). Cruzeiro EC are 6th (33 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
2/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
3/4
46-60
2/–
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Cruzeiro EC
0-15
3/3
16-30
2/4
31-45
5/2
46-60
3/–
61-75
4/2
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 7 G | 1 A |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Cruzeiro EC
| Kaio Jorge | 6 G | |
| Christian | 5 G | 3 A |
| Matheus Pereira | 5 G | 2 A |
| Neizer Villarreal | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. EC Bahia kicks off things out of here…
- 2' The referee calls foul for Christian. He receives a card.
- 7' Wanderson has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 12' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 17' Matheus Pereira, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 22' Cruzeiro EC have won 214 goals from 253 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 27' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His EC Bahia side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 32' Cruzeiro EC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 37' Over 37 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 42' Lucas Villalba is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for EC Bahia tonight.
- 47' The travelling Cruzeiro EC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 49' Cruzeiro EC receives a card for a hard tackle on 49.
- 54' EC Bahia started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 54.
- 59' Cruzeiro EC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 64' It looks surprising EC Bahia does not make any changes. Santiago Arias has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 65' Michel Araujo is ready to make an impact after coming on for Kayky at the 65 minute mark.
- 66' Magnificent from Jean Lucas! That is 10 goals in 385 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 71' Time for substitution for Cruzeiro EC. Kaio Jorge is replaced by Gabriel Barbosa.
- 72' Keny Arroyo is replacing Christian for the Cruzeiro EC side.
- 77' Luis Sinisterra makes no mistake. The score reads 1-1 and Cruzeiro EC are in front.
- 78' Jose Guilherme is replacing Willian Jose for the EC Bahia side.
- 83' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering EC Bahia that had 329 games and scored 352 goals.
- 84' Cruzeiro EC make a change. Matheus Pereira trudges off to be replaced by Yannick Bolasie on 84 minutes.
- 86' GOAL! Gabriel Barbosa scores on 86. Assisted by William
- 87' Gabriel Barbosa is having his name booked by the referee on 87.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-2.
Lineups
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
- 96
- 6
- 10
-
12
Willian Jose ↓ Jose Guilherme 78'
- 13
- 21
- 46
-
26
Nicolas Acevedo ↓ Rezende 78'
-
37
Kayky ↓ Michel Araujo 65'
-
23
Mateo Sanabria ↓ Cauly 72'
- 3
Bench
- 2
-
8
Cauly ↑ 72'
- 1
- 25
-
11
Rodrigo Nestor ↑ 78'
- 33
-
15
Michel Araujo ↑ 65'
-
5
Rezende ↑ 78'
-
66
Jose Guilherme ↑ 78'
- 83
Coach
Rogério Ceni
Cruzeiro EC Lineups
Starting XI
- 29
- 8
- 1
- 15
- 12
- 10
-
19
Kaio Jorge ↓ Gabriel Barbosa 71'
-
94
Wanderson ↓ Luis Sinisterra 72'
- 25
-
88
Christian ↓ Keny Arroyo 72'
-
6
Kaiki Bruno ↓ Kaua Prates 78'
Bench
-
11
Yannick Bolasie ↑ 84'
-
17
Luis Sinisterra ↑ 72'
- 5
-
9
Gabriel Barbosa ↑ 71'
- 7
- 77
- 34
- 41
-
36
Kaua Prates ↑ 78'
-
99
Keny Arroyo ↑ 72'
- 35
Coach
Leonardo Jardim
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Bruno Rodrigues | 2 |
| Kaio Jorge | 2 |
| Gabriel Veron | 2 |
| Oscar Estupinan | 2 |
| Luciano Rodriguez | 1 |
| Kayky | 1 |
| Kenji | 1 |
| Arthur Sales | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Bahia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.48
EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.5
Cruzeiro EC xG
I would bet for:
EC Bahia or Cruzeiro EC 73% + Both teams to score 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Cruzeiro EC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.98
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 2.5 | 57% |
|
43% |
| ± 3.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
| ± 4.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
Double Chance
EC Bahia or Draw
63%
Draw or Cruzeiro EC
65%
EC Bahia or Cruzeiro EC
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.2%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
8%
0 – 0
6.8%
0 – 1
6.7%
1 – 0
6.6%
2 – 2
6%
0 – 2
5.6%
2 – 0
5.5%
1 – 3
4.1%
3 – 1
4%
2 – 3
3.1%
Asian Handicap — EC Bahia
| Handicap | EC Bahia covers | Push | Cruzeiro EC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 11% | 82% |
| -1.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 18% | 64% |
| -0.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| +0.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +1 | 63% | 19% | 18% |
| +1.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +2 | 82% | 11% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Cruzeiro EC keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.